Friday, September22, 2017 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Nassawadox, VA

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
6/25/2017 - NOAA is having a major issue that impact the 7 day forecast load times. Many users are reporting problems. The issue has been reported.
5/23/2017 - Worked with NOAA again to speed up the 7 day forecast load times. Thanks to them for being responsive.
5/19/2016 - There were issues with the 3 day airport observation history. I switched to another data source. Let me know if you see any issues with the data feeds.

Sunrise 6:51AMSunset 7:01PM Friday September 22, 2017 8:03 PM EDT (00:03 UTC) Moonrise 8:06AMMoonset 7:41PM Illumination 6% Phase: Waxing Crescent; Moon at 2 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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ANZ654 Coastal Waters From Parramore Island To Cape Charles Light Va Out 20 Nm- 631 Pm Edt Fri Sep 22 2017
.small craft advisory for hazardous seas in effect through Sunday afternoon...
Tonight..NW winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 5 to 6 ft... Subsiding to 4 to 5 ft after midnight...mainly E swell with a dominant period of 11 seconds.
Sat..NE winds 10 kt. Seas 4 to 5 ft... Mainly E swell with a dominant period of 11 seconds.
Sat night..SE winds 5 kt...becoming sw after midnight, then becoming nw late. Seas 4 to 5 ft... Mainly E swell with a dominant period of 13 seconds.
Sun..NE winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 4 to 5 ft... Mainly se swell with a dominant period of 15 seconds.
Sun night..NE winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 4 to 5 ft... Building to 5 to 6 ft late...mainly se swell with a dominant period of 15 seconds in the evening.
Mon..NE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 5 to 6 ft.
Mon night..NE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 6 to 8 ft...building to 7 to 9 ft after midnight.
Tue..NE winds 15 kt. Seas 7 to 9 ft...subsiding to 6 to 8 ft in the afternoon.
Tue night..NE winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 7 to 9 ft.
Wed..NE winds 20 kt. Seas 8 to 10 ft. A chance of showers.
ANZ600 631 Pm Edt Fri Sep 22 2017
Synopsis for fenwick island de to currituck beach light nc out 20 nautical miles including virginia portion of the chesapeake bay currituck sound and portions of the james, york, and rappahannock rivers.. High pressure remains centered northwest of the area through the weekend while post tropical cyclone jose meanders south of the new england coast. SWells from distant hurricane maria will begin to impact the local area waters by late this weekend.

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Nassawadox, VA
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location: 37.4, -75.72     debug


Area Discussion for - Wakefield, VA
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Fxus61 kakq 221841
afdakq
area forecast discussion
national weather service wakefield va
241 pm edt Fri sep 22 2017

Synopsis
Post-tropical cyclone jose will continue to weaken as it
lingers off the new england coast through the weekend.

Meanwhile, high pressure will expand into the mid-atlantic.

Hurricane maria is forecast to move northward between the
offshore atlantic waters and bermuda through the early part of
next week.

Near term through tonight
Post-tropical cyclone jose continues to spin just off the coast
of SE new england. A spoke of moisture rotating around the west
side of jose has been responsible for a little extra cloud
cover around the local area today. However, this has not stopped
temps from reaching the mid 80s in most places with moderate
humidity levels. Expecting another warm evening with clouds
gradually diminishing overnight. Have inserted patchy fog into
some of the usual locations for early Saturday morning. Lows
tonight in the 60s to around 70.

Short term Saturday through Monday
High pressure at the surface and aloft will be in control of our
weather pattern over the weekend, as ptc jose weakens and
shifts a bit further offshore. High pressure in combination with
nne flow will allow for continued dry weather and above normal
temperatures. Will have to keep and eye on hurricane maria which
will be moving north off the SE coast by Sunday and Monday.

Right now maria is expected to take a course similar to jose,
keeping it well offshore. Highs sat-mon will generally be in the
mid 80s, except upper 70s at the beaches. Lows will range from
the lower 60s inland to upper 60s near the coast.

Long term Monday night through Friday
Hi pres sfc-aloft continues to weaken INVOF NE CONUS Mon night
into tue. Meanwhile... Tropical cyclone maria is expected to
track to (well?) E of the coastal carolinas. Wx conditions tue-
thu remain dependent on the track of tropical cyclone maria. A
track closer to the coast (than that of jose) would bring
increasing winds pops... Esp ERN portions of fa... More to the e
would result in drier-continued warm wx. For now... Generally
going W partly cloudy W low pops (e portions). Monitor
forecasts from the national hurricane center on maria through
the weekend. A cold front is forecast to arrive late next week
(late thu-thu night)... Resulting in cooler wx and possibly
higher pops.

Highs Tue in the u70s-l80s... Wed u70s-mid 80s... L-m80s thu... In
the 70s fri. Lows mon-wed nights mainly 65 to 70f... Then thu
night from the m50s NW to the m60s se.

Aviation 18z Friday through Wednesday
High pressure over the mid atlantic region will promoteVFR
conditions and mostly light wind through the TAF forecast
period. Mid high clouds will tend to disspiate into this
evening. Patchy fog may develop early Saturday morning.

Outlook: generallyVFR dry conditions, with the exception of
patchy morning fog, are anticipated through early next week due
to the influence of high pressure over the region.

Marine
Post-tropical cyclone jose remains centered SE of CAPE cod
early this morning and is forecast to remain nearly stationary
through Saturday morning... Before gradually pushing ewd through
Sunday. Meanwhile, hurricane maria is located nne of the turks
and caicos this afternoon and is forecast to track to the nnw
through Sat and then on a N track through Wed to about
equidistant from the carolina coast and bermuda.

Long period swell continues to propagate toward the coast with seas
generally 3-6 ft. Some portions of the area will have seas fall
at times below 5 ft over the next few days. However... The sca
for hazardous seas will continue... And will be extended to 22z
sun as energetic ene swell will continue. Swell arrives from
maria most likely beginning late this weekend and continuing
into next week. Scas for seas will likely be needed into early
next week. The bulk of the forecast guidance keeps maria
offshore during the early to middle portions of next week.

Monitor the NHC forecast for the official forecast track of
maria. A further increase in seas is expected Monday through
Wednesday along with an increasing N wind tue-thu.

Tides coastal flooding
Water levels expected to remain elevated at all sites through
the weekend... But given that the swell is not as large as what
it has been... They should stay just below flood. Will need to
watch for additional flooding next week... Especially in the
bay... As the swell from maria moves into the area.

High risk for rip currents for all beaches adjacent to coastal
waters continues through Sat as swell nearshore waves will be
slow to subside.

Akq watches warnings advisories
Md... Coastal flood advisory until 6 pm edt this evening for
mdz021>023.

Nc... None.

Va... None.

Marine... Small craft advisory for hazardous seas until 6 pm edt Sunday
for anz650-652-654-656-658.

Synopsis... Jdm
near term... Jdm
short term... Jdm
long term... Alb
aviation... Ajb jdm
marine... Ajz alb
tides coastal flooding... Akq


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
WAHV2 - 8631044 - Wachapreague, VA 14 mi45 min Calm G 1.9 71°F 77°F1015.2 hPa
RPLV2 - 8632837 - Rappahannock Light, VA 18 mi45 min Calm G 0 1015.8 hPa
KPTV2 - 8632200 - Kiptopeke, VA 22 mi45 min NW 1 G 1 76°F
44058 - Stingray Point, VA 31 mi43 min ENE 1.9 G 1.9 77°F 1015.6 hPa
44072 32 mi43 min NW 3.9 G 5.8 77°F
44089 32 mi93 min 74°F4 ft
44099 - Cape Henry, VA (147) 34 mi93 min 75°F5 ft
44064 34 mi43 min Calm G 1.9 75°F 1015.1 hPa
YKRV2 - 8637611 - York River East Rear Range Light, VA 35 mi45 min NW 5.1 G 6 78°F 1015.6 hPa
CHYV2 - 8638999 - Cape Henry, VA 36 mi45 min Calm G 0 74°F
CBBV2 - 8638863 - Chesapeake Bay Bridge Tunnel, VA 36 mi45 min Calm G 1 75°F 76°F1015.2 hPa
YKTV2 - 8637689 - Yorktown, VA 42 mi45 min W 2.9 G 4.1 76°F 77°F1014.9 hPa
WDSV2 - 8638614 - Willoughby Deguassing , VA 43 mi45 min WNW 4.1 G 5.1
SWPV2 - 8638610 - Sewells Point, VA 45 mi45 min 76°F1015.4 hPa
CRYV2 - 8638595 - South Craney Island, VA 48 mi45 min NW 1 G 1.9 77°F 1015.2 hPa
DOMV2 - 8638511 - Dominion Terminal Association, VA 48 mi45 min NW 4.1 G 5.1 78°F 1015.5 hPa

Wind History for Rappahannock Light, VA
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Melfa / Accomack Airport, VA17 mi68 minN 010.00 miFair72°F67°F86%1015.2 hPa

Wind History from MFV (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrSE4SE3CalmS3SW4SW3W4SW3SW3W6W6W5NW5NW4N4N7N3NW3NW6NW7NW7NW4W3NW3
1 day agoW3CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmN5CalmCalmNE4N4NW3NW7W8NW7CalmN3E3SE3
2 days agoN8
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Tide / Current Tables for Great Machipongo Inlet (inside), Virginia
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Great Machipongo Inlet (inside)
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Fri -- 04:13 AM EDT     -0.04 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 06:50 AM EDT     Sunrise
Fri -- 09:05 AM EDT     Moonrise
Fri -- 10:30 AM EDT     4.68 feet High Tide
Fri -- 04:39 PM EDT     0.01 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 06:59 PM EDT     Sunset
Fri -- 08:41 PM EDT     Moonset
Fri -- 10:50 PM EDT     4.31 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
3.72.71.50.5-00.10.81.82.944.64.64.13.22.10.90.200.51.32.33.34.14.3

Tide / Current Tables for Upshur Neck, south end, Virginia
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Upshur Neck
Click for Map
Fri -- 04:42 AM EDT     -0.04 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 06:51 AM EDT     Sunrise
Fri -- 09:06 AM EDT     Moonrise
Fri -- 10:44 AM EDT     5.26 feet High Tide
Fri -- 05:08 PM EDT     0.01 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 06:59 PM EDT     Sunset
Fri -- 08:41 PM EDT     Moonset
Fri -- 11:04 PM EDT     4.84 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
4.43.42.210.1-00.51.52.84.155.24.83.92.81.50.500.312.13.44.44.8

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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Weather Map
wmap_A
IR Satellite Image from GEOS
east_satellite

GOES Local Image of Mid-Atlantic    EDIT
Geos

Wind Forecast for Wakefield, VA (20,4,5,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Wakefield, VA
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.