Wednesday, June28, 2017 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Quinby, VA

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
6/25/2017 - NOAA is having a major issue that impact the 7 day forecast load times. Many users are reporting problems. The issue has been reported.
5/23/2017 - Worked with NOAA again to speed up the 7 day forecast load times. Thanks to them for being responsive.
5/19/2016 - There were issues with the 3 day airport observation history. I switched to another data source. Let me know if you see any issues with the data feeds.

Sunrise 5:46AMSunset 8:28PM Wednesday June 28, 2017 3:13 AM EDT (07:13 UTC) Moonrise 9:46AMMoonset 11:04PM Illumination 18% Phase: Waxing Crescent; Moon at 4 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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ANZ654 Coastal Waters From Parramore Island To Cape Charles Light Va Out 20 Nm- 121 Am Edt Wed Jun 28 2017
Rest of tonight..NW winds 5 to 10 kt...becoming N 10 to 15 kt late. Seas 2 to 3 ft with a dominant period of 9 seconds.
Wed..N winds 10 to 15 kt...becoming ne 5 to 10 kt early in the afternoon, then becoming se late. Seas 2 to 3 ft with a dominant period of 8 seconds.
Wed night..S winds 5 to 10 kt...increasing to 10 to 15 kt after midnight. Seas around 2 ft with a dominant period of 7 seconds.
Thu..S winds 10 to 15 kt...increasing to 15 to 20 kt late. Seas 2 to 3 ft...building to 3 to 4 ft late.
Thu night..SW winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 3 to 4 ft.
Fri..S winds 10 to 15 kt...increasing to 15 to 20 kt late. Seas 2 to 3 ft...building to 3 to 4 ft late.
Fri night..S winds 15 to 20 kt...becoming sw 10 to 15 kt after midnight. Seas 3 to 4 ft.
Sat..S winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft.
Sat night..SW winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas around 3 ft. A chance of showers after midnight.
Sun..SW winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft. A chance of showers and tstms in the afternoon.
Sun night..SW winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas around 2 ft. A chance of showers and tstms in the evening. Winds and seas higher and visibilities lower in and near tstms.
ANZ600 121 Am Edt Wed Jun 28 2017
Synopsis for fenwick island de to currituck beach light nc out 20 nautical miles including virginia portion of the chesapeake bay currituck sound and portions of the james, york, and rappahannock rivers.. A weak frontal boundary crosses the waters overnight. High pressure builds into the area Wednesday afternoon through Thursday morning, before sliding offshore late in the week. A slow moving cold front will approach from the northwest over the weekend.

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Quinby, VA
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location: 37.47, -75.67     debug


Area Discussion for - Wakefield, VA
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Fxus61 kakq 280650
afdakq
area forecast discussion
national weather service wakefield va
250 am edt Wed jun 28 2017

Synopsis
High pressure builds over the area today... Then slides off the
coast for Wednesday night through Friday.

Near term through today
Sfc hi pres will build over the region on today... Providing dry
wx and very comfortable conditions under a sunny or mostly
sunny sky. Highs in the l-m80s... Except m-u70s at the beaches.

Short term tonight through Friday
The high will slide out to sea later tonight thru fri. Dry
wx will prevail. Ssw flow will start to increase on thu
resulting in a warmer and more humid airmass. Clear or mostly
clear tonight with lows 55 to 60f inland... 60 to 65f at the
coast. Partly to mostly sunny on Thu with highs in the m80s to
around 90f... L80s at the beaches.

That ssw flow will bring increasing dewpts low level moisture
into the region for Thu night and fri. Enough of that moisture
combined with heating and very weak lift could trigger isold
shras tstms over far SRN SW counties Fri evening. Lows thu
night in the m60s to around 70f. Highs on Fri in the 80s-
l90s... L80s at the beaches.

Long term Friday night through Tuesday
Long term period will feature a fairly typical summertime pattern
with a weakening cold front approaching from the W NW on Sat with a
lee sfc trough out ahead of the front. Still capping pops at 20-40%
in the aftn evening under partly-mostly sunny skies as any more
significant forcing stays NW closer to the front. Lows mainly 70-75
f with highs Sat primarily in the upper 80s to lower 90s. Sunday
will see the front wash out across the local area, will maintain 20-
30% pops (except 30 to 40% over northeast nc). Highs in the upper
80 around 90 f. May even be able to lower pops a little more across
the N with later model runs but wanted to keep some continuity given
the weak front and a lot of uncertainty as to how much it actually
weakens. Mon Tue will see the local area generally in light flow and
minimal forcing. It will be very warm and humid with enough
aftn early evening instability along a lee trough for ~20% pops most
areas. Highs 90-95 f inland and mid-upper 80s lower 90s near the
coast. Lows generally 70-75 f.

Aviation 07z Wednesday through Sunday
Sfc hi pres builds over the region today... Then shifts slowly
off the coast thu-fri.VFR conditions W mainly light winds (aob
10 kt) into thu... Some increase in speeds but remaining mainly
aob 15 kt Thu afternoon into Fri as winds become ssw. The next
chance for shras tstms will be late fri-sat.

Marine
A brief northerly surge is impacting the middle lower bay early
this morning in the wake of a weak frontal passage. Wind gusts
up to 25 kt will occur thru 4 am or so. Due to the short
duration of these elevated winds will opt to handle with a
marine weather statement as opposed to a small craft advisory.

Waves on the bay will build to 3 ft for a time early this
morning with the increased winds. Winds become nne around 10 kt
all areas by late morning. As sfc high pressure builds overhead
this aftn, expect much lighter onshore flow to develop at 5-10
kt. High pressure slides well off the coast Thursday Friday with
return flow resulting in increasing s-sw winds to 15-20 kt.

Waves 2-3 ft on the bay and seas possibly building to 4-5 ft
north of parramore island (genly more like 2-4 ft for southern
coastal waters). SCA headlines may be needed late Thu thu night.

A slow moving cold a front approaches from the NW Sat but
weakens by the time it reaches the local area on Sunday. Thus,
outside of any tstms conditions will be sub-sca with winds only
10-15 kt or less.

Akq watches warnings advisories
Md... None.

Nc... None.

Va... None.

Marine... None.

Synopsis... Alb tmg
near term... Alb
short term... Alb tmg
long term... Lkb
aviation... Jef wrs
marine... Jdm


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
WAHV2 - 8631044 - Wachapreague, VA 10 mi44 min NNW 4.1 G 6 65°F 76°F1018.3 hPa
RPLV2 - 8632837 - Rappahannock Light, VA 19 mi44 min N 20 G 24 1018.8 hPa
44089 27 mi44 min 67°F1 ft
KPTV2 - 8632200 - Kiptopeke, VA 27 mi44 min NNE 2.9 G 2.9 75°F
44058 - Stingray Point, VA 32 mi34 min N 16 G 18 73°F 1018.3 hPa
44096 32 mi53 min 69°F1 ft
44072 37 mi34 min N 16 G 21 74°F
44099 - Cape Henry, VA (147) 38 mi44 min 72°F1 ft
44064 39 mi34 min 7.8 G 9.7 75°F 1018.3 hPa
YKRV2 - 8637611 - York River East Rear Range Light, VA 39 mi44 min NNE 19 G 23 73°F 1018.5 hPa
CBBV2 - 8638863 - Chesapeake Bay Bridge Tunnel, VA 42 mi44 min NNW 8.9 G 11 74°F 72°F1018.1 hPa
CHYV2 - 8638999 - Cape Henry, VA 42 mi44 min W 5.1 G 5.1 72°F
YKTV2 - 8637689 - Yorktown, VA 46 mi44 min N 11 G 14 71°F 79°F1018.4 hPa
WDSV2 - 8638614 - Willoughby Deguassing , VA 48 mi44 min NW 8.9 G 11 72°F 1018.2 hPa

Wind History for Rappahannock Light, VA
(wind in knots)    EDIT      (on/off)   Help
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Melfa / Accomack Airport, VA14 mi19 minNNE 710.00 miPartly Cloudy66°F58°F75%1019 hPa

Wind History from MFV (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrSW5S5S3CalmS3NW7
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N4NW6N5N5NW4W6NW5CalmCalmCalmCalmN4CalmCalmCalmN4
1 day agoCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmNW3N8N4N5NW5W8CalmS6SE10S9S9SE7S4SE5S6S5S4S5S4
2 days agoS5CalmW3W5NW4N5N4N5N4NW6NW5NW6NW6NW7NW4NW3CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmW4N4Calm

Tide / Current Tables for Quinby Inlet entrance, Virginia
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Quinby Inlet entrance
Click for Map
Wed -- 05:44 AM EDT     Sunrise
Wed -- 06:01 AM EDT     -0.38 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 10:46 AM EDT     Moonrise
Wed -- 12:29 PM EDT     4.45 feet High Tide
Wed -- 06:12 PM EDT     0.22 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 08:27 PM EDT     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
4.94.43.42.10.90-0.4-0.10.81.92.93.84.44.43.72.61.60.70.20.41.22.23.24

Tide / Current Tables for Upshur Neck, south end, Virginia
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Upshur Neck
Click for Map
Wed -- 12:29 AM EDT     5.46 feet High Tide
Wed -- 05:44 AM EDT     Sunrise
Wed -- 07:07 AM EDT     -0.39 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 10:46 AM EDT     Moonrise
Wed -- 12:57 PM EDT     4.29 feet High Tide
Wed -- 07:15 PM EDT     -0.15 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 08:28 PM EDT     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
5.45.44.83.82.51.20.1-0.4-0.10.61.7344.343.32.41.40.4-0.100.81.93.2

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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Weather Map
wmap_A
IR Satellite Image from GEOS
east_satellite

GOES Local Image of Mid-Atlantic    EDIT
Geos

Wind Forecast for Wakefield, VA (3,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Wakefield, VA
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.