Wednesday, April25, 2018 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Painter, VA

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
3/3/2018 - There is a new GOES Satellite for the east coast that required rewriting that part of the code. Please report any issues.
6/25/2017 - NOAA is having a major issue that impact the 7 day forecast load times. Many users are reporting problems. The issue has been reported.
5/23/2017 - Worked with NOAA again to speed up the 7 day forecast load times. Thanks to them for being responsive.

Sunrise 6:15AMSunset 7:50PM Wednesday April 25, 2018 7:38 PM EDT (23:38 UTC) Moonrise 2:22PMMoonset 3:00AM Illumination 81% Phase: Waxing Gibbous; Moon at 11 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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ANZ630 Chesapeake Bay From Smith Point To Windmill Point Va- 704 Pm Edt Wed Apr 25 2018
Tonight..W winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming nw 10 to 15 kt after midnight. Waves 1 foot, building to 2 to 3 ft late. Scattered showers early this evening, then a slight chance of showers late this evening and early morning.
Thu..NW winds 10 to 15 kt, diminishing to 5 to 10 kt early in the afternoon, then becoming se late. Waves 2 to 3 ft, subsiding to 1 foot.
Thu night..SE winds 5 to 10 kt, increasing to 10 to 15 kt late. Waves 1 to 2 ft. A chance of showers after midnight.
Fri..S winds 10 to 15 kt, becoming sw late. Waves 1 to 2 ft. Showers likely.
Fri night..W winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 foot. A chance of showers in the evening.
Sat..SW winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 foot.
Sat night..W winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming N 15 kt after midnight. Waves 1 to 2 ft, building to 2 to 3 ft.
Sun..NW winds 10 to 15 kt. Waves 1 to 2 ft.
Sun night..NW winds 5 to 10 kt, increasing to 10 to 15 kt after midnight. Waves 1 to 2 ft.
ANZ600 704 Pm Edt Wed Apr 25 2018
Synopsis for fenwick island de to currituck beach light nc out 20 nautical miles including virginia portion of the chesapeake bay currituck sound and portions of the james, york, and rappahannock rivers.. Low pressure tracks across the delmarva this evening, then moves away from the coast tonight. Weak high pressure returns Thursday. Another area of low pressure crosses the local area late Thursday night through Friday. A cold front crosses the region late Saturday with highs pressure building over the region on Sunday.

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Painter, VA
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location: 37.58, -75.78     debug


Area Discussion for - Wakefield, VA
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Fxus61 kakq 251942
afdakq
area forecast discussion
national weather service wakefield va
342 pm edt Wed apr 25 2018

Synopsis
Low pressure lifts northeast and away from the area this evening
and tonight. Weak high pressure returns Thursday. The next area
of low pressure crosses the local area late Thursday night
through Friday. Dry weather is on tap this weekend and early
next week.

Near term until 6 am Thursday morning
As of 300 pm edt Wednesday...

an upper level low is currently centered over the mid-atlantic
region, and is accompanied by scattered showers and a couple of
tstms. Pcpn is most extensive across southern SE va into NE nc
where one or two stronger tstms will be capable of brief rain
heavy and small hail thru about sunset. For areas east of i-95
and especially where some peeks of Sun have occurred, temps have
been able to warm into the low mid 70s this afternoon. Farther
west into the piedmont, where clouds have been more stubborn to
break, temps have remained in the upr 50s to low mid 60s.

By this evening, expecting the upper low overhead to exit
northeast and head offshore. It should take with it any
lingering showers across eastern areas, so that pcpn ends
altogether on the eastern shore by about 03z. Expecting some
lingering moisture over far SRN SE areas of the fa into thu
morning for mostly cloudy conditions. Turning out mostly clear
to partly cloudy elsewhere. Lows from the upr 40s NW to the
mid 50s se.

Short term 6 am Thursday morning through Saturday
As of 300 pm edt Wednesday...

a brief break from the unsettled weather Thursday... Although
expecting clouds to begin arriving increasing from the ssw as
the next area of low pressure tracks through tn NRN al NRN ga.

Expect most areas to be dry through the day, although did allow
slight chc pops over interior NE nc after 21z. Highs Thu mainly
70-75f, except 60s at the beaches.

A quick increase in pops (to 40-80%) Thu night (after 06z) as
low pressure enters the fa from the sw. Keeping pops 50-70% ne
half of the fa Fri morning... Tapering to 20-30% far sw. The low
pressure area lifts to the NE of the local area Friday
afternoon... However will be keeping 20-30% as a low pressure
trough remains INVOF the fa. Otherwise... Mostly cloudy Friday
morning, then some partial sunshine in the afternoon. Lows
Thursday night from near 50 N to the mid 50s s. Highs Friday
from the upr 60s NW and along the immediate coast to the low mid
70s central southern locales.

Improved conditions Friday night and Saturday, although do
expect a dry cold front to cross the region Saturday afternoon.

Partly to mostly clear during this time. Lows Friday night from
the upr 40s NW to the mid 50s se. Highs Saturday mainly 70-75,
except upr 60s at the beaches.

Long term Saturday night through Wednesday
As of 300 pm edt Wednesday...

some delightful spring weather on tap early next week as high
pressure builds SE from the gt lakes region Sun to a position
over the local area Mon then off the mid atlantic coast Tue wed.

Cool to start, then a warming trend.

Lows Sat Sun nites near 40 NW to near 50 se. Highs Sun in the 60s,
mid 60s-lwr 70s mon. Lows Mon nite mid 40s NW to lwr 50s se. Highs
tues 75-80. Lows tues nite in the 50s. Highs Wed upr 70s-lwr
80s.

Aviation 20z Wednesday through Monday
As of 300 pm edt Wednesday...

MVFR CIGS to linger at kric kphf thru 21z or so before
improving. Otherwise, vrb clouds mostly cloudy the rest of the
afternoon. Will continue W sct-likely shras and there could be
isold tstms as the cold pool aloft crosses the region from about
18z 25-00z 26. Have included tempo groups at phf orf?ecg to
indicate highest confidence in shras, from about 20-23z. Wx will
be slow to improve tonight as low pres finally moves away to
the ene.VFR conditions expected Thu as weak hi pres returns.

Another area of lo pres will impact the region by late Thu night
into Fri afternoon W flight restrictions likely due to lower
bkn-ovc CIGS and shras. MainlyVFR conditions expected sat-sun.

Marine
As of 330 pm edt Wednesday...

sca headlines remain in effect through 1 am Thu for the mouth of
the bay, and well into Thu aftn for all coastal waters due to
lingering long period E SE swell of 10-12 seconds. Seas
currently avg 6-8 ft with waves to around 4 ft at the mouth of
the bay.

Broad low pressure moving into the DELMARVA this aftn and will
continue to lift NE into new jersey this evening through
tonight. Winds are relatively light with S to SE flow around 10
kt or less (light variable in some areas). Winds will shift to
the W to NW at around 15 kt later tonight into Thu morning.

While some occasional 20 kt gusts will probably develop for a
few hrs early Thu morning across much of the area (especially
in the bay N of new pt comfort), does not look to be enough to
warrant SCA headlines since there is minimal cold advection in
the wake of this cold front. Weak sfc high pressure builds in
fm the nnw on thu, with winds diminishing by late morning and
shifting back to onshore during the mid late aftn hrs through
thu evening. Another low pressure area will affect the waters
thu night thru fri, as it tracks from the SE u.S. Through the
local area on Fri and off to the NE by Fri night. Another cold
front crosses the waters Sat night, increasing winds close to
sca levels, then diminishing Sun as high pressure returns.

Akq watches warnings advisories
Md... None.

Nc... None.

Va... None.

Marine... Small craft advisory until 1 am edt Thursday for anz634.

Small craft advisory until 6 pm edt Thursday for anz650-652-
654.

Small craft advisory until 4 pm edt Thursday for anz656-658.

Synopsis... Jdm
near term... Jdm
short term... Alb jdm
long term... Mpr
aviation... Alb jdm
marine... Lkb


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
WAHV2 - 8631044 - Wachapreague, VA 5 mi51 min SSW 8 G 11 61°F 59°F1004.8 hPa
RPLV2 - 8632837 - Rappahannock Light, VA 13 mi51 min WNW 2.9 G 2.9 1005.3 hPa
44089 27 mi39 min 52°F7 ft
KPTV2 - 8632200 - Kiptopeke, VA 31 mi57 min SW 4.1 G 4.1 57°F
44072 37 mi39 min W 1.9 G 1.9 60°F 37°F1 ft
YKRV2 - 8637611 - York River East Rear Range Light, VA 37 mi51 min WNW 6 G 7 62°F 1005.5 hPa
CHBV2 41 mi57 min S 1.9 G 1.9 60°F 1004 hPa
44064 43 mi39 min SW 3.9 G 3.9 58°F 56°F2 ft1005.9 hPa (+1.9)
44042 - Potomac, MD 43 mi39 min W 12 G 14 58°F 55°F1 ft1006.1 hPa (+0.0)
YKTV2 - 8637689 - Yorktown, VA 44 mi51 min NW 5.1 G 5.1 62°F 57°F1004.8 hPa
44099 - Cape Henry, VA (147) 46 mi39 min 56°F5 ft
BISM2 - 8571421 - Bishops Head, MD 46 mi51 min WNW 8.9 G 11 60°F 61°F1005 hPa
LWTV2 - 8635750 - Lewisetta, VA 46 mi51 min N 6 G 8.9 62°F 58°F1005 hPa
CHYV2 - 8638999 - Cape Henry, VA 47 mi51 min Calm G 1 62°F

Wind History for Rappahannock Light, VA
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Melfa / Accomack Airport, VA5 mi64 minN 010.00 miOvercast64°F59°F87%1004.7 hPa

Wind History from MFV (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrE9
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SE7SE8E7E8E6E6E4SE5SE7S5S4SW5W9W8W7W7SW3W5SW3NW3
1 day agoE6E4SE6E7E7E8E6E8E9E8SE7
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2 days agoSE8SE6SE6SE5SE3SE3SE4SE3CalmCalmE3CalmSE4SE8E7SE9SE10
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Tide / Current Tables for Wachapreague, Wachapreague Channel, Virginia
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Wachapreague
Click for Map
Wed -- 04:00 AM EDT     Moonset
Wed -- 05:32 AM EDT     4.43 feet High Tide
Wed -- 06:14 AM EDT     Sunrise
Wed -- 11:40 AM EDT     0.10 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 03:21 PM EDT     Moonrise
Wed -- 05:58 PM EDT     4.36 feet High Tide
Wed -- 07:47 PM EDT     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
0.51.32.23.13.84.34.43.93.22.21.10.30.10.71.62.53.34.14.44.13.42.51.50.5

Tide / Current Tables for Pungoteague Creek, Chesapeake Bay, Virginia
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Pungoteague Creek
Click for Map
Wed -- 02:36 AM EDT     0.05 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 04:00 AM EDT     Moonset
Wed -- 06:15 AM EDT     Sunrise
Wed -- 08:39 AM EDT     1.82 feet High Tide
Wed -- 03:14 PM EDT     0.03 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 03:22 PM EDT     Moonrise
Wed -- 07:48 PM EDT     Sunset
Wed -- 09:09 PM EDT     1.82 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
0.70.30.10.10.30.71.11.51.81.81.71.30.90.50.200.10.40.81.31.71.81.71.5

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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wmap_A
GOES Local Image of Mid-Atlantic    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
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Wind Forecast for Wakefield, VA (19,4,5,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Dover AFB, DE
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.