Sunday, May20, 2018 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Urbanna, VA

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
5/20/2018 -- NOAA is having problems with the data feed that I use to draw the graphs. They are aware of the issue and working to resolve it. Sometimes changing the location by about a mile will give a correct graph. 3/3/2018 - There is a new GOES Satellite for the east coast that required rewriting that part of the code. Please report any issues.

Sunrise 5:53AMSunset 8:17PM Sunday May 20, 2018 5:50 PM EDT (21:50 UTC) Moonrise 10:04AMMoonset 12:00AM Illumination 35% Phase: Waxing Crescent; Moon at 6 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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ANZ635 Rappahannock River From Urbanna To Windmill Point- 316 Pm Edt Sun May 20 2018
Through 7 pm..SW winds 10 kt. Waves 1 foot.
Tonight..SW winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming nw late. Waves 1 foot. A chance of showers in the evening.
Mon..E winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 foot.
Mon night..SE winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 foot. A chance of showers after midnight.
Tue..S winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 foot. A chance of showers. A chance of tstms in the afternoon.
Tue night..SW winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 foot. A chance of tstms in the evening. A chance of showers.
Wed..W winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 foot. A chance of showers in the morning.
Wed night..NW winds 5 kt. Waves 1 foot.
Thu..N winds 5 kt. Waves 1 foot.
Thu night..SE winds 5 kt. Waves 1 foot. Winds and waves higher in and near tstms.
ANZ600 316 Pm Edt Sun May 20 2018
Synopsis for fenwick island de to currituck beach light nc out 20 nautical miles including virginia portion of the chesapeake bay currituck sound and portions of the james, york, and rappahannock rivers.. A weak frontal boundary drops south over the waters tonight and into Monday, before returning as a cold front Monday night. A cold front is expected to cross the region on Wednesday.

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Urbanna, VA
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location: 37.65, -76.58     debug


Area Discussion for - Wakefield, VA
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Fxus61 kakq 201918
afdakq
area forecast discussion
national weather service wakefield va
318 pm edt Sun may 20 2018

Synopsis
A weak frontal boundary slips south across the area tonight,
then returns as a warm front Monday night. A more pronounced
cold front will cross the area Wednesday... Then a period of dry
weather is expected Thursday and Friday.

Near term until 6 am Monday morning
As of 240 pm edt Sunday...

other than a narrow band of shras extending from just off va
beach to bertie co nc (and an isold pop up INVOF chesterfield co
va)... A much nicer afternoon across the local area as at least
periods of sunshine have returned. Despite SW winds... Gusty at
times to 20-25 mph... Dew points have not lowered too much... Mainly
remaining from the u60s-70s (as temperatures have climed back
into the 80s).

A weak frontal boundary W limited support aloft will be slipping
se through the local area tonight. Expecting additional sct
shras-tstms to develop over nnw areas early this eve which move
ese overnight. Will have pops 20-40% along W vrb clouds-
becoming mostly cloudy. Winds will turn from wsw to N after
midnight late. Lows mainly 65-70f.

Short term 6 am Monday morning through Wednesday
As of 240 pm edt Sunday...

on mon, will see some weak onshore NE flow develop for awhile
along the coast. By aftn as the flow aloft shifts from the W to
the wsw... Expecting increasing moisture ahead of the next
approaching systems from the S and w. Partly sunny-mostly
cloudy W pops by afternoon rising to 30-50% (far) wsw tier
counties... While remaining AOB 15% toward the ERN shore. Highs
in the 70s at the coast to the l80s inland.

Warm front pulls N of the region Mon night (w possible sct
shras-tstms)... And will have 30-50% pops all areas. Sfc hi pres
off the SE CONUS coast remains in control Tue while lo pres and
its accompanying cold front tracks through the midwest-oh
valley. Vrb clouds-partly sunny Tue W mainly diurnal pops
(20-40%) (tue) ahead of that system, but pops have been
increased later in the day nnw locations. Lows Mon night in the
u50s-l60s on the lower md ERN shore to the m60s elsewhere. Highs
tue from the m-u70s at the coast to 80-85f inland.

A more pronounced cold front crosses the area (late) Tue night
through Wed accompanied by at least sct shras tstms. Will have
pops mainly 30-40%... W highs from the 70s-around 80f at the
coast to the m80s inland.

Long term Wednesday night through Sunday
As of 300 pm edt Sunday...

any lingering showers t-storms move south of the area by Thursday
morning as a cold front passes through va and nc. Behind the
cold front, sfc high pressure settles into the mid-atlantic
region thu-fri. This will give us a short break from the rain.

Moisture starts to stream northward next weekend as southerly
flow returns to the region. Therefore, rain is in the forecast
from Saturday afternoon through the remainder of the weekend.

Expect isolated-scattered afternoon showers t-storms on
Saturday with more widespread showers t-storms returning Sunday
through memorial day. Currently have slight chc pops Sat pm-sun
am with pops increasing to ~40% Sunday afternoon through Monday.

Highs in the low 80s inland upper 70s in coastal areas on Thursday.

Warmer with highs in the mid-upper 80s expected Friday through
Sunday. Lows in the low-mid 60s on Fri Sat morning increasing to ~70
on Sun Mon am.

Aviation 19z Sunday through Friday
As of 215 pm edt Sunday...

a narrow band of shras was found from near coastal SE va SW to
just NW of the WRN tip of the albemarle sound attm. Otherwise
sct-bkn CU mainly 3-4kft over the local area W SW winds avgg
blo 15 kt. There will remain a 15-30% pop in SE va NE nc into
ealry this evening. Another area of sct shras tstms will be
possible as a weak frontal boundary drops tonight-early mon.

Still not really expecting anything widespread but some brief
flight restrictions will be possible mainly from 00-06z 21 N to
06-12z 21 s. Went W lower end MVFR CIGS at all but sby mon
morning as winds turn nne. A warm front lifts across the local
area Mon night-early Tue W potential shras (isold tstms) (pop
20-50%) W possible lower cigs. Aftn evening showers tstms
willpossible Tue through wed. A moist airmass will remain over
the region and a potential will exist for patchy early morning
fog and or stratus. High pressure may build in from the N by thu
bringing mainlyVFR conditions to end the week.

Marine
As of 300 pm edt Sunday...

will continue the small craft advisory for the northern coastal
waters through this evening as seas are expected to remain at or
above 5 feet, especially out 20 nautical miles. Elsewhere, SW winds
are ranging from 10 to 15 knots this afternoon ahead of a frontal
boundary. The boundary will drop into northern portions of the
region tonight and slowly drops south through the day on Monday.

Winds become E NE on Monday and are expected to remain below small
craft advisory criteria. Seas will range from 2 to 4 feet and waves
1 to 2 feet on Monday. The boundary moves back north of the region
Tuesday turning the winds back to the S SW at around 5 to 15 knots
into Wednesday morning. Another cold front moves through the region
Wednesday turning the winds northerly Wednesday night into Thursday.

Winds and seas are generally expected to remain below small craft
advisory criteria through much of the week.

Hydrology
As of 530 am edt Sunday...

flood warnings have been cancelled for bremo bluff on the james
river, and rawlings on the nottoway river. Flood warnings continue
for the james and appomattox river basins. Warnings also continue
for the meherrin and nottoway rivers (at stony creek), as well
as portions of the chowan basin. Additional flood warnings
continue for the chickahominy, south anna and mattaponi rivers,
as well as the pocomoke river in md. See flwakq or flsakq for
more details.

Climate
As of 200 am edt Sunday...

* ric monthly rainfall total through 5 19 is now 8.84" (already
ranks as 5th wettest may on record). (precipitation records
date back to 1880)
* sby monthly rainfall total through 5 19 is now 8.51" (already
ranks as 3rd wettest may on record). (precipitation records
date back to 1906)

Akq watches warnings advisories
Md... None.

Nc... None.

Va... None.

Marine... Small craft advisory until 10 pm edt this evening for anz650-
652.

Synopsis... Alb lkb
near term... Alb
short term... Alb lkb
long term... Eri
aviation... Alb lkb
marine... Ajb
hydrology...

climate...



Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
YRSV2 - Chesapeake Bay,VA 18 mi80 min SSW 1.9 88°F 1018 hPa77°F
44058 - Stingray Point, VA 18 mi40 min WSW 5.8 G 7.8 77°F 1020 hPa
LWTV2 - 8635750 - Lewisetta, VA 25 mi50 min WSW 8 G 8.9 84°F 73°F1016 hPa (-1.0)
44042 - Potomac, MD 29 mi40 min SSW 5.8 G 5.8 78°F 1015.3 hPa
YKTV2 - 8637689 - Yorktown, VA 30 mi50 min WSW 6 G 8 82°F 71°F1016.6 hPa (-0.9)
YKRV2 - 8637611 - York River East Rear Range Light, VA 30 mi50 min WSW 9.9 G 12 79°F 1017.6 hPa (-0.8)
RPLV2 - 8632837 - Rappahannock Light, VA 31 mi50 min S 11 G 11 1017.6 hPa (-1.0)
PPTM2 - 8578240 - Piney Point, MD 34 mi50 min W 4.1 G 5.1
44072 35 mi40 min WSW 7.8 G 9.7 78°F
KPTV2 - 8632200 - Kiptopeke, VA 46 mi50 min W 5.1 G 6 70°F
WAHV2 - 8631044 - Wachapreague, VA 47 mi50 min SW 6 G 12 83°F 77°F1016.9 hPa (-1.0)
SLIM2 - 8577330 - Solomons Island, MD 47 mi50 min SW 9.9 G 13 81°F 68°F1015.5 hPa (-1.1)
DOMV2 - 8638511 - Dominion Terminal Association, VA 48 mi50 min WSW 8.9 G 9.9 82°F 1017.7 hPa (-1.0)
WDSV2 - 8638614 - Willoughby Deguassing , VA 49 mi50 min WSW 11 G 11
BISM2 - 8571421 - Bishops Head, MD 49 mi50 min SSW 8.9 G 9.9 79°F 80°F1016.6 hPa (-0.9)

Wind History for Lewisetta, VA
(wind in knots)    EDIT      (on/off)   Help
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SW5
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1 day
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E21
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NW2
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SE7
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G23
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G22
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E21

Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
West Point, Middle Peninsula Regional Airport, VA13 mi55 minSW 610.00 miFair84°F68°F61%1016.9 hPa
Tappahannock-Essex County Airport, VA22 mi55 minS 610.00 miPartly Cloudy86°F71°F63%1016.6 hPa

Wind History from FYJ (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrS6S9S9
G15
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G14
S7SW10
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SW7SW9SW8SW6SW8SW8SW3S5
1 day agoNE11
G15
E11NE10
G14
E9
G14
E7E7E6E7E6CalmCalmE3CalmS5S7S6S6S6SW7
G14
S4S5S3S3S6
2 days agoSE5E3CalmCalmE3E3E3E4SE5E3E3E5CalmE3SE5S3S4CalmS3N6NE6E10NE10
G14
NE8

Tide / Current Tables for Urbanna, Rappahannock River, Virginia
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Urbanna
Click for Map
Sun -- 12:37 AM EDT     Moonset
Sun -- 04:22 AM EDT     1.73 feet High Tide
Sun -- 05:52 AM EDT     Sunrise
Sun -- 11:04 AM EDT     Moonrise
Sun -- 11:11 AM EDT     -0.03 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 04:56 PM EDT     1.47 feet High Tide
Sun -- 08:13 PM EDT     Sunset
Sun -- 11:20 PM EDT     0.01 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
0.30.71.21.51.71.71.51.20.80.40.1-000.30.71.11.41.51.41.10.80.50.20

Tide / Current Tables for Orchard Point, Rappahannock River, Virginia
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Orchard Point
Click for Map
Sun -- 12:37 AM EDT     Moonset
Sun -- 04:05 AM EDT     1.73 feet High Tide
Sun -- 05:52 AM EDT     Sunrise
Sun -- 10:55 AM EDT     -0.04 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 11:03 AM EDT     Moonrise
Sun -- 04:41 PM EDT     1.46 feet High Tide
Sun -- 08:12 PM EDT     Sunset
Sun -- 11:04 PM EDT     0.01 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
0.40.81.31.61.71.61.410.60.30-00.10.40.81.21.41.51.310.70.40.10

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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wmap_A
GOES Local Image of Mid-Atlantic    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
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Wind Forecast for Wakefield, VA (17,4,5,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Wakefield, VA
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.