Sunday, May20, 2018 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Pastoria, VA

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
3/3/2018 - There is a new GOES Satellite for the east coast that required rewriting that part of the code. Please report any issues.
6/25/2017 - NOAA is having a major issue that impact the 7 day forecast load times. Many users are reporting problems. The issue has been reported.
5/23/2017 - Worked with NOAA again to speed up the 7 day forecast load times. Thanks to them for being responsive.

Sunrise 5:44AMSunset 8:12PM Sunday May 20, 2018 1:44 PM EDT (17:44 UTC) Moonrise 10:00AMMoonset 12:00AM Illumination 33% Phase: Waxing Crescent; Moon at 6 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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ANZ652 Coastal Waters From Chincoteague To Parramore Island Va Out 20 Nm- 1229 Pm Edt Sun May 20 2018
.small craft advisory in effect until 10 pm edt this evening...
This afternoon..SW winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 4 to 5 ft with a dominant period of 8 seconds.
Tonight..SW winds 10 to 15 kt, becoming W 5 to 10 kt late. Seas 4 to 5 ft with a dominant period of 8 seconds, subsiding to 3 to 4 ft. A chance of showers.
Mon..NW winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming ne in the late morning and afternoon. Seas 3 to 4 ft. Mainly se swell with a dominant period of 8 seconds.
Mon night..E winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft. Mainly se swell with a dominant period of 8 seconds. A chance of showers. A chance of tstms after midnight.
Tue..S winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft. A chance of tstms in the morning. A chance of showers.
Tue night..SW winds 10 kt. Seas around 2 ft, building to 3 to 4 ft in the late evening and overnight. A chance of showers.
Wed..SW winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas around 3 ft. A chance of showers in the morning.
Wed night..SW winds 5 kt, becoming nw after midnight. Seas around 2 ft.
Thu..N winds 10 kt, becoming ne in the afternoon. Seas 2 to 3 ft.
Thu night..E winds 10 kt, becoming S after midnight. Seas around 2 ft. Winds and seas higher in and near tstms.
ANZ600 1229 Pm Edt Sun May 20 2018
Synopsis for fenwick island de to currituck beach light nc out 20 nautical miles including virginia portion of the chesapeake bay currituck sound and portions of the james, york, and rappahannock rivers.. High pressure will remain well offshore through today. The next frontal boundary drops south over the waters late Sunday night and Monday, then dissipates on Tuesday. A cold front is expected to pass through Wednesday night.

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Pastoria, VA
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location: 37.71, -75.57     debug


Area Discussion for - Wakefield, VA
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Fxus61 kakq 201419
afdakq
area forecast discussion
national weather service wakefield va
1019 am edt Sun may 20 2018

Synopsis
Somewhat drier air will prevail this afternoon before another
round of increasing moisture returns Monday through Wednesday. A
period of dry weather looks promising by Thursday and Friday.

Near term until 6 pm this evening
As of 1015 am edt Sunday...

the widespread ra of the past few days has ended. SW flow has
taken over and will continue through this afternoon... Resulting
in a drier day (at least wrt pops). Expecting vrb clouds-partly
sunny conditions... Have gone W a bit lower pops (to 15-30%) for
this afternoon as heating will be the main trigger. By this
eve... A slight uptick in pops possible INVOF sfc trough over nnw
portions of the fa and INVOF lingering moisture axis in SE va-
ne nc. SW winds will average 10-20 mph... Bit gusty at times to
25 mph. Highs in the m-u80s... Even around 80f at the beaches.

Short term 6 pm this evening through Tuesday
As of 1015 am edt Sunday...

but by the evening high res models are suggesting a secondary
area of showers tstms develops moves in from the wnw and have
20-30% pops moving through all areas. Partly mostly cloudy
tonight with lows mainly from the mid 60s to around 70 f.

On mon, will see some weak onshore NE flow develop for awhile
along the coast, but by aftn as the flow aloft shifts from the
w to the wsw... Expecting increasing moisture ahead of the next
approaching systems from the S and w. Partly sunny- mostly
cloudy W pops by afternoon rising to 30-50% inland in the
afternoon... 10-30% toward the ERN shore. SPC has marginal risk
svr now staying off to the NW of the local area. Highs in the
70s at the coast to the low- mid 80s inland.

Warm front pulls N of the region Mon night (w possible sct
shras-tstms)... And will have 40-60% pops all areas. Sfc high
pres off the SE CONUS coast remains in control tue. Low pres and
its accompanying cold front tracks through the midwest- oh
valley tue. Vrb clouds- partly sunny Tue W mainly diurnal pops
(20-40%) (tue) ahead of that system, but pops have been
increased later in the day W decent feed of moisture and lift
noted by latest nam GFS 00z runs. Lows Mon night in the low 60s
on the lower md ERN shore to the m-u60s elsewhere. Highs tue
from the m-u70s at the coast to 80-85f inland.

Long term Tuesday night through Saturday
As of 240 pm edt Saturday...

a respite from the wet wx pattern suggested by most extended
models for mid-late in the upcoming week. Just enough of a nw
flow aloft suggests that drying will take place after Wed and
last into next weekend. Lo pres passing by N of the region tue
night-wed will push a cold front (possibly accompanied by
shras tstms) E and S of the local area. Hi pres is then expected
to build into the region for thu-fri. By next sat... A return
flow from the ssw to set up potentially resulting in increasing
moisture gradual rise in pops.

Lows Tue night in the m-u60s. Highs Wed in the 70s-around 80f
at the coast to the m80s inland. Lows Wed night in the l-m60s.

Highs Thu from the u70s-m80s. Lows Thu night mainly 60-65f.

Highs Fri 80-85f... 70s at the immediate coast. Highs Sat in the
m-u80s inland... U70s-l80s at the coast.

Aviation 14z Sunday through Thursday
As of 800 am edt Sunday...

still some isolated scattered showers that may affect SE sites
through about 14 15z this morning, otherwise mainly MVFR cigs
early will lift scatter out toVFR conditions prior to noon most
areas. A SW of 8-12 kt is expected, with occasional gusts to
20kt possible. There is a 20-30% chc of showers tstms this aftn,
mainly towards the SE va NE nc coast. Another area of scattered
showers isolated tstms will be possible as a weak frontal
boundary drops through tonight. Still not really expecting
anything widespread but some brief flight restrictions will be
possible mainly from 00-06z N to 06-12z south. Could also see
some CIGS lowering towards sunrise on Mon but confidence in
that scenario is rather low at this time.

A chc of aftn evening showers tstms will continue Monday through
Wednesday. A moist airmass will remain over the region and a
potential will exist for patchy early morning fog and or
stratus. High pressure may build in from the N by Thursday.

Marine
As of 415 am edt Sunday...

ssw winds were mainly 10-15 kt with a few gusts to 20 kt early
this morning acrs the waters. Winds will become SW later this
morning into this aftn at 5-15 kt. Seas will be 3-4 ft, except
4-5 ft north of parramore island into this evening, where a sca
remains in effect. Waves 1-3 ft this morning, then 1-2 ft by
tonight. Another frontal boundary will drop into at least northern
portions of the area late tonight into Mon morning, but NE or e
winds will remain around 10 kt or less over the northern waters.

Thus, am expecting seas to remain between 2-4 ft on mon, with
waves fm 1-2 ft. The frontal boundary lifts back north of the
region Mon night into Tue morning, with winds becoming S 5-15 kt
during tue. SW winds 5-15 kt expected late Tue night into wed
morning. A cold front then drops through the region Wed night
into Thu morning, with winds turning northerly.

Hydrology
As of 530 am edt Sunday...

flood warnings have been cancelled for bremo bluff on the james
river, and rawlings on the nottoway river. Flood warnings continue
for the james and appomattox river basins. Warnings also continue
for the meherrin and nottoway rivers (at stony creek), as well
as portions of the chowan basin. Additional flood warnings
continue for the chickahominy, south anna and mattaponi rivers,
as well as the pocomoke river in md. See flwakq or flsakq for
more details.

Tides coastal flooding
As of 415 am edt Sunday...

a coastal flood advisory will remain in effect until 9 am for
areas adjacent to the potomac river on the northern neck, and
also for the chesapeake bay side of the lower md eastern shore
until 11 am for this morning's high tide cycle. Water levels
will run 1-1.5 ft above normal, resulting in minor tidal
flooding at lewisetta, bishops head and cambridge.

Climate
As of 200 am edt Sunday...

* ric monthly rainfall total through 5 19 is now 8.84" (already
ranks as 5th wettest may on record). (precipitation records
date back to 1880)
* sby monthly rainfall total through 5 19 is now 8.51" (already
ranks as 3rd wettest may on record). (precipitation records
date back to 1906)

Akq watches warnings advisories
Md... Coastal flood advisory until 11 am edt this morning for
mdz021>023.

Nc... None.

Va... None.

Marine... Small craft advisory until 10 pm edt this evening for anz650-
652.

Synopsis... Alb lkb
near term... Alb
short term... Alb lkb
long term... Alb
aviation... Lkb
marine... Tmg
hydrology...

tides coastal flooding...

climate...



Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
WAHV2 - 8631044 - Wachapreague, VA 9 mi45 min SW 12 G 16 78°F 71°F1018.2 hPa (-0.6)
44089 13 mi45 min 60°F4 ft
RPLV2 - 8632837 - Rappahannock Light, VA 26 mi45 min SSW 16 G 18 1018.9 hPa (-0.6)
44058 - Stingray Point, VA 38 mi35 min WSW 12 G 14 75°F 1022.7 hPa
BISM2 - 8571421 - Bishops Head, MD 43 mi45 min SSW 8.9 G 13 76°F 73°F1017.9 hPa (-0.6)
KPTV2 - 8632200 - Kiptopeke, VA 44 mi45 min WSW 7 G 8 70°F
44042 - Potomac, MD 46 mi35 min WSW 7.8 G 7.8 76°F 1016.7 hPa

Wind History for Rappahannock Light, VA
(wind in knots)    EDIT      (on/off)   Help
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Melfa / Accomack Airport, VA11 mi50 minSW 14 G 2010.00 miOvercast80°F70°F74%1018.3 hPa
Wallops Flight Facility Airport, VA17 mi51 minSW 9 G 2110.00 miPartly Cloudy82°F71°F69%1017.6 hPa

Wind History from MFV (wind in knots)
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1 day agoNE13NE16E15
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2 days agoSW4S3SE9S4S8SE5E3E3E3E4E3CalmE4E3E3E4E3SE4CalmCalmS6S8E5E9

Tide / Current Tables for Metompkin Inlet, Virginia
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Metompkin Inlet
Click for Map
Sun -- 12:33 AM EDT     Moonset
Sun -- 12:46 AM EDT     4.46 feet High Tide
Sun -- 05:48 AM EDT     Sunrise
Sun -- 07:04 AM EDT     -0.13 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 10:59 AM EDT     Moonrise
Sun -- 01:37 PM EDT     3.83 feet High Tide
Sun -- 07:12 PM EDT     0.31 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 08:09 PM EDT     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
4.34.443.11.90.90.2-0.10.10.81.72.63.33.73.83.22.31.40.70.30.51.122.9

Tide / Current Tables for Wachapreague Inlet (inside), Virginia
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Wachapreague Inlet (inside)
Click for Map
Sun -- 12:24 AM EDT     4.97 feet High Tide
Sun -- 12:33 AM EDT     Moonset
Sun -- 05:49 AM EDT     Sunrise
Sun -- 07:00 AM EDT     -0.16 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 11:00 AM EDT     Moonrise
Sun -- 12:54 PM EDT     3.64 feet High Tide
Sun -- 07:03 PM EDT     -0.01 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 08:09 PM EDT     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
4.94.94.23.32.21.10.2-0.20.10.81.72.73.43.63.32.71.91.10.3-00.3123.1

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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GOES Local Image of Mid-Atlantic    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
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Wind Forecast for Wakefield, VA (13,3,4,5)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Dover AFB, DE
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.