Friday, January19, 2018 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Kilmarnock, VA

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
6/25/2017 - NOAA is having a major issue that impact the 7 day forecast load times. Many users are reporting problems. The issue has been reported.
5/23/2017 - Worked with NOAA again to speed up the 7 day forecast load times. Thanks to them for being responsive.
5/19/2016 - There were issues with the 3 day airport observation history. I switched to another data source. Let me know if you see any issues with the data feeds.

Sunrise 7:14AMSunset 5:18PM Friday January 19, 2018 12:46 AM EST (05:46 UTC) Moonrise 8:50AMMoonset 7:48PM Illumination 6% Phase: Waxing Crescent; Moon at 2 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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ANZ630 Chesapeake Bay From Smith Point To Windmill Point Va- 1229 Am Est Fri Jan 19 2018
Rest of tonight..W winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 foot.
Fri..SW winds 5 kt. Waves 1 foot.
Fri night..SW winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 foot.
Sat..SW winds 10 kt. Waves 1 foot.
Sat night..W winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 foot.
Sun..N winds 5 kt early in the morning...becoming light and variable, then becoming S 5 to 10 kt in the afternoon. Waves 1 foot.
Sun night..S winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 foot.
Mon..S winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 to 2 ft.
Mon night..S winds 10 to 15 kt. Waves around 2 ft. A chance of showers in the evening, then showers likely after midnight.
Tue..SW winds 10 to 15 kt. Waves 1 to 2 ft. A chance of showers in the morning.
Tue night..W winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 foot.
ANZ600 1229 Am Est Fri Jan 19 2018
Synopsis for fenwick island de to currituck beach light nc out 20 nautical miles including virginia portion of the chesapeake bay currituck sound and portions of the james, york, and rappahannock rivers.. High pressure slowly builds over the waters into the weekend.

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Kilmarnock, VA
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location: 37.73, -76.3     debug


Area Discussion for - Wakefield, VA
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Fxus61 kakq 182330
afdakq
area forecast discussion
national weather service wakefield va
630 pm est Thu jan 18 2018

Synopsis
High pressure settles across the deep south through the weekend.

A cold front crosses the region Monday night into Tuesday morning.

Near term until 6 am Friday morning
High pressure across the deep south provides skc conditions.

Sw winds below 10 kts keeps airmass somewhat mixed. Another
cold night ahead as lows drop into the upr teens to mid 20s.

Any snow or standing water will likely freeze tonight.

Short term 6 am Friday morning through Sunday
Sfc high pressure will dominate the weather Fri thru sun. An
initial piece of the high slides eastward to off the SE coast
fri thru sat, with a second piece of high pressure building
over the mid atlc region during Sun after an upper level trough
tracks south of the area and off the SE coast late Sat night
into sun. Expect a sunny sky for Fri and sat, and partly to
mostly sunny sky on sun. Highs on Fri will mainly be in the
upper 40s to lower 50s. Lows Fri night will range from the mid
20 to around 30. The airmass will continue to modify Sat and sun
with highs ranging fm the mid 50s to near 60 inland piedmont,
and in the lower to mid 50s for the ERN shore and coastal se
va NE nc. Lows Sat night 30 to 35.

Long term Sunday night through Thursday
Models remain in generally good agreement wrt the pattern for
the extended forecast period. Anticipated milder spell of wx
will continue into the middle of next week as transition of mjo
through phase 4 toward phase 5. Sfc hi pres and upper level
ridging near the E coast will gradually weaken into mon. By
late mon... Storm system tracking into the WRN great lakes will
push its trailing cold front into the mtns. That front will make
progress across the local area Mon night-early Tue W potential
shras (though 00z 18 ECMWF remains a tad slower than 12z 18 gfs
attm). Will carry 60-70% pops during that time frame.

Drying clearing out and a bit cooler (returning closer to
seasonal levels) for Tue afternoon-thu.

Lows Sun night mainly 35-40f. Highs Mon in the l-m50s on the
ern shore to the u50s-l60s elsewhere. Lows Mon night mainly in
the l-m40s. Highs Tue in the l50s on the ERN shore to the
55-60f elsewhere. Lows Tue night in the l-m30s. Highs Wed in
the m-u40s on the ERN shore to the u40s-m50s elsewhere. Lows wed
night from the u20s NW to the m30s se. Highs ranging through the
40s.

Aviation 00z Friday through Tuesday
Vfr conditions continue through the forecast period as high
pressure settles in across the deep south. Skc with SW winds
aob 10 kts.

Outlook: dry wx andVFR conditions will continue thru the weekend
as high pressure dominates. Next chance for showers (rain) and
possible flight restrictions will arrive later Mon mon night.

Marine
Sfc lo pres now well E of the coast this afternoon. Winds slowly
becoming W while waning as CAA has ended. Will be hanging onto
sca on the ocean into this eve as seas are slow to drop blo 5
ft. Sfc hi pres settles over the waters tonight... And persists
through the weekend allowing for sub-sca conditions. S winds
begin to pick up Mon ahead of cold front approaching from the w.

That front (accompanied by shras) crosses waters early tue.

Climate
Norfolk top five snow totals for the month of january
(2018 currently sits at #4)
14.2 1966
13.8 1955
13.7 1893
12.8 2018***
12.7 1940

Akq watches warnings advisories
Md... None.

Nc... None.

Va... None.

Marine... Small craft advisory until 10 pm est this evening for anz658.

Synopsis... Mpr
near term... Mpr
short term... Tmg
long term... Alb
aviation... Mpr
marine... Alb mas
climate... Akq


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
44058 - Stingray Point, VA 11 mi36 min WNW 5.8 G 7.8 33°F 1024 hPa
RPLV2 - 8632837 - Rappahannock Light, VA 20 mi46 min W 8 G 8.9 1021.8 hPa (+0.9)
LWTV2 - 8635750 - Lewisetta, VA 20 mi46 min SW 1.9 G 2.9 30°F 31°F1021.2 hPa (+1.4)
44042 - Potomac, MD 21 mi36 min NW 3.9 G 3.9 33°F 1020.6 hPa
YRSV2 - Chesapeake Bay,VA 31 mi76 min Calm 30°F 1022 hPa17°F
PPTM2 - 8578240 - Piney Point, MD 31 mi46 min SW 1.9 G 2.9
YKRV2 - 8637611 - York River East Rear Range Light, VA 33 mi46 min W 8 G 9.9 34°F 1022.1 hPa (+0.8)
WAHV2 - 8631044 - Wachapreague, VA 34 mi46 min W 5.1 G 7 31°F 32°F1021.3 hPa (+1.0)
YKTV2 - 8637689 - Yorktown, VA 36 mi46 min W 5.1 G 7 33°F 34°F1021.3 hPa (+0.7)
44072 37 mi36 min W 7.8 G 9.7 33°F
BISM2 - 8571421 - Bishops Head, MD 37 mi46 min SSW 8 G 9.9 32°F 31°F1021.2 hPa (+1.1)
SLIM2 - 8577330 - Solomons Island, MD 42 mi46 min SSW 1 G 1.9 32°F 34°F1020.7 hPa (+1.2)
KPTV2 - 8632200 - Kiptopeke, VA 42 mi46 min W 8.9 G 11 35°F
COVM2 - 8577018 - Cove Point LNG Pier, MD 47 mi46 min W 12 G 13 37°F 1021.4 hPa (+1.2)

Wind History for Rappahannock Light, VA
(wind in knots)    EDIT      (on/off)   Help
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
West Point, Middle Peninsula Regional Airport, VA29 mi51 minN 010.00 miFair25°F18°F79%1022.3 hPa

Wind History from FYJ (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrNW9
G15
N8NW9
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G14
CalmW5W5CalmNW4W7W7NW7W6W8SW5SW8SW6SW8SW5SW3CalmSW3CalmCalm
1 day agoCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmNW4N5N6N7N7
G17
N9
G15
N6N5NW6N4N4N7N5N4NW7N9
G14
N6N8N9
G15
2 days agoCalmCalmCalmCalmN3CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmSW3W3CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalm

Tide / Current Tables for Dividing Creek, Chesapeake Bay, Virginia
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Dividing Creek
Click for Map
Fri -- 12:48 AM EST     0.95 feet High Tide
Fri -- 06:46 AM EST     -0.03 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 07:17 AM EST     Sunrise
Fri -- 08:50 AM EST     Moonrise
Fri -- 01:04 PM EST     1.13 feet High Tide
Fri -- 05:14 PM EST     Sunset
Fri -- 07:28 PM EST     -0.03 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 07:48 PM EST     Moonset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
0.90.90.90.70.40.20-00.10.30.60.91.11.11.10.90.60.30.1-0-00.10.40.6

Tide / Current Tables for Fleet Point, Chesapeake Bay, Virginia
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Fleet Point
Click for Map
Fri -- 01:09 AM EST     0.86 feet High Tide
Fri -- 07:17 AM EST     -0.05 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 07:17 AM EST     Sunrise
Fri -- 08:50 AM EST     Moonrise
Fri -- 01:26 PM EST     1.04 feet High Tide
Fri -- 05:14 PM EST     Sunset
Fri -- 07:47 PM EST     Moonset
Fri -- 07:55 PM EST     -0.05 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
0.80.90.80.70.50.30.1-0-00.10.40.60.9110.90.70.40.20-000.20.4

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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Weather Map
wmap_A
IR Satellite Image from GEOS
east_satellite

GOES Local Image of Mid-Atlantic    EDIT
Geos

Wind Forecast for Wakefield, VA (0,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Wakefield, VA
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.