Tuesday, August21, 2018 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Crisfield, MD

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Sunrise 6:21AMSunset 7:48PM Tuesday August 21, 2018 10:02 PM EDT (02:02 UTC) Moonrise 3:48PMMoonset 1:01AM Illumination 81% Phase: Waxing Gibbous; Moon at 11 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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ANZ543 Tangier Sound And The Inland Waters Surrounding Bloodsworth Island- 926 Pm Edt Tue Aug 21 2018
.small craft advisory in effect through Wednesday morning...
.small craft advisory in effect from Wednesday evening through late Wednesday night...
Rest of tonight..SW winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts to 20 kt. Waves 2 ft. Scattered showers with isolated tstms late this evening, then a slight chance of showers.
Wed..W winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts to 20 kt. Waves 1 to 2 ft. A chance of showers.
Wed night..NW winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts to 20 kt. Waves 1 ft. A chance of showers.
Thu..N winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts to 20 kt. Waves 2 ft.
Thu night..N winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft.
Fri..NE winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft or less.
Fri night..SE winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft.
Sat..S winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 to 2 ft.
Sun..S winds 10 to 15 kt. Waves 1 to 2 ft. Winds and waves higher and visibilities lower in and near tstms.
ANZ500 926 Pm Edt Tue Aug 21 2018
Synopsis for the tidal potomac and md portion of the chesapeake bay.. A warm front will lift northward through this evening, followed by a cold front late tonight into Wednesday. A strong area high pressure will then take hold through week's end.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Crisfield, MD
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location: 37.98, -75.86     debug


Area Discussion for - Wakefield, VA
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Fxus61 kakq 220159
afdakq
area forecast discussion
national weather service wakefield va
959 pm edt Tue aug 21 2018

Synopsis
A warm front will lift north of the local area this evening. A cold
front will cross the region Wednesday into Wednesday night. Dry
and pleasant weather is expected Thursday through
Saturday... Then becoming warmer and more humid for Sunday
through Tuesday.

Near term until 6 am Wednesday morning
As of 1000 pm edt Tuesday...

a warm front has pushed N of the region late this evening, with
most of the convection now N of the area or offshore. Some
additional showers and perhaps a TSTM will drift into the
piedmont late this evening and some additional showers tstms
overnight in NE nc near the albemarle sound. Pops in these
locations are 20-30%, and AOB 20% elsewhere overnight. Partly to
mostly cloudy, warm, and humid with lows in the low mid 70s.

Short term 6 am Wednesday morning through Friday
As of 320 pm edt Tuesday...

latest models continue to support that there is a (significant)
wx change on the way... But not until thu. A
secondary... Stronger cold front approach cross the local area
wed as trough aloft sharpens into the ERN conus. After a
period of only about 20% pops Wed morning... Will have pops back
to 40-60% Wed afternoon evening with that second cold front
crossing the local area. Partly-mostly sunny Wed morning... Then
becoming partly mostly cloudy in the afternoon. Highs m80s W to
u80s e.

Substantial drying wx expected by Thu on N winds (which become
gusty for a period by Thu morning). Dew points to drop into the
50s N and central areas... L60s SE on thu. Will hang onto slight
chc pops early Thu right near the coast then there may be isold
convection near the albemarle sound Thu afternoon. Mostly
sunny... Except partly sunny SE va-ne nc Thu W highs in the
l80s. Pleasant and dry cool Thu night with lows 55-60f inland
to the m60s SE va NE nc coast. Mostly sunny Fri with highs
80-85 f.

Long term Friday night through Tuesday
As of 305 pm edt Monday...

dry pleasant wx expected to continue Fri night sat... Then
becoming warmer for sun-tue. A trough aloft crossing the area
sun (as the warmer air spreads into the region) may kick off
isold sct shras tstms. After that... Strong hi pres sfc-aloft
sets up from the SRN plains to the SE CONUS through early next
week.

Lows Fri night in the u50s in the far W to around 70f along the
coast in SE va-ne nc. Highs Sat in the l80s at the coast to the
m80s inland. Lows Sat night in the m-u60s... Except the l70s
along the coast in SE va- NE nc. Highs Sun in the m80s E to the
u80s w. Lows Sun night in the u60s-l70s. Highs Mon in the u80s
at the coast to around 90f inland. Lows Mon night in the l-m70s.

Highs Tue in the l-m90s... Except the 80s at the immediate
coast.

Aviation 02z Wednesday through Sunday
As of 800 pm edt Tuesday...

the bulk of the showers and thunderstorms will continue to move off
to the northeast, with the majority of the showers coming to an end
by 02z. A stray shower or storm cannot be ruled out, especially at
ecg, through the night. Due to the moist airmass, stratus may try to
develop later tonight at locations that received rainfall
earlier today. There is still uncertainty on the extent of any
stratus development, so mainly left it out of the forecast for
the time being.

A cold front approaches the region during the day on Wednesday
before crossing the region late Wednesday. Scattered showers and
thunderstorms will likely develop Wednesday afternoon along and ahead
of the frontal boundary.

Outlook: high pressure builds back into the region late Wednesday
into Thursday allowing for mainlyVFR conditions into the weekend.

Marine
As of 430 pm edt Tuesday...

a warm front has been making progress northward through water
this afternoon and at 4 pm is locate near the potomac river and
stretches eastward across the DELMARVA peninsula between melfa
and wallops island. The models show that the front should
continue to the north and clear the region between 00z and 3z
wed. This will put the region in the warm sector as a cold front
is making progress through the appalachian mountains this
evening. As the pressure gradient tightens overnight expect the
south to southwest winds to increase to 15 to 20 kt over the
waters which will kick waves up to 2 to 4 ft on the bay and 4 to
6 ft over the coastal waters. The initial cold front should
slide through the waters around 12z - 15z. This will help reduce
the chance for showers and tstorms and reduce the winds below
sca levels. For now have left the SCA headlines for tonight into
Wednesday although the seas may stay up near 5 ft through wed
afternoon in the northern coastal zones.

A secondary cold front will sweep through the region on wed
evening and behind this front will be a shot of cooler and drier
air. Expect a surge of northerly winds that should reach sca
levels with winds of 15 to 25 kt Wednesday night. High pressure
will then quickly build over the region on Thursday, helping to
calm the winds and seas. This high will settle over the region
through Friday before sliding off the coast on Saturday and
allowing a light south to southwest flow to return for the
weekend.

Tides coastal flooding
Tides will average 1.0-1.5ft above normal during high tide late
this evening through the early overnight early morning for the
nrn neck along the tidal potomac and dorchester, md along the
bay. A coastal flood advisory is in effect for dorchester and a
statement is in effect for northumberland westmoreland.

Akq watches warnings advisories
Md... Coastal flood advisory until 4 am edt Wednesday for mdz021.

Nc... None.

Va... None.

Marine... Small craft advisory until noon edt Wednesday for anz630>636-
638-650-652-654-656-658.

Synopsis... Alb lkb
near term... Ajz alb
short term... Alb lkb
long term... Alb
aviation... Ajb
marine... Ess
tides coastal flooding... Akq


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
BISM2 - 8571421 - Bishops Head, MD 19 mi32 min S 15 G 18 79°F 83°F1012.3 hPa
44042 - Potomac, MD 25 mi32 min SSW 14 G 16 78°F 1011.2 hPa
WAHV2 - 8631044 - Wachapreague, VA 27 mi32 min SSW 11 G 15 78°F 81°F1012.8 hPa
RPLV2 - 8632837 - Rappahannock Light, VA 32 mi32 min S 16 G 18 1013.3 hPa
44089 32 mi62 min 74°F4 ft
LWTV2 - 8635750 - Lewisetta, VA 32 mi32 min SSW 8.9 G 11 78°F 81°F1011.6 hPa
44058 - Stingray Point, VA 35 mi32 min SW 14 G 18 79°F 1012.5 hPa
PPTM2 - 8578240 - Piney Point, MD 37 mi38 min SSW 9.9 G 9.9
SLIM2 - 8577330 - Solomons Island, MD 39 mi32 min S 8 G 8.9 77°F 82°F1011.5 hPa
COVM2 - 8577018 - Cove Point LNG Pier, MD 40 mi32 min SSW 13 G 15 78°F 1012.1 hPa
CA2 - 8571892 - Cambridge, MD 43 mi32 min 75°F 83°F1012.4 hPa
OCIM2 - 8570283 - Ocean City Inlet, MD 47 mi32 min SSW 13 G 17 76°F 75°F1013.1 hPa
44062 - Gooses Reef, MD 49 mi32 min SW 12 G 16 79°F 1012.1 hPa

Wind History for Bishops Head, MD
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Wallops Flight Facility Airport, VA21 mi68 minSSW 126.00 miLight Rain Fog/Mist77°F75°F94%1012.6 hPa
Melfa / Accomack Airport, VA23 mi67 minSSW 710.00 miPartly Cloudy76°F74°F96%1012.9 hPa

Wind History from WAL (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrE9E7E6E7--E9E7E8E5E6E9E10E11E14
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1 day agoN8N7N7N3N66N3N5N7NW5N5E11E7E11E10E13E14NE14NE15NE14NE16NE13E12E8
2 days agoW15
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W3SW4SW3SW5SW5SW3W4W4NW3W7W55NW665NW6W9NW11NW4NE10NE10NE12
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Tide / Current Tables for Crisfield, Little Annemessex River, Chesapeake Bay, Maryland
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Crisfield
Click for Map
Tue -- 02:01 AM EDT     Moonset
Tue -- 04:22 AM EDT     0.61 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 06:23 AM EDT     Sunrise
Tue -- 10:02 AM EDT     1.69 feet High Tide
Tue -- 04:10 PM EDT     0.57 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 04:47 PM EDT     Moonrise
Tue -- 07:48 PM EDT     Sunset
Tue -- 10:29 PM EDT     2.11 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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1.71.310.70.60.60.81.11.41.61.71.61.51.20.90.70.60.60.91.21.61.92.12.1

Tide / Current Tables for Long Point, Big Annemessex River, Chesapeake Bay, Maryland
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Long Point
Click for Map
Tue -- 02:01 AM EDT     Moonset
Tue -- 05:13 AM EDT     0.50 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 06:23 AM EDT     Sunrise
Tue -- 10:44 AM EDT     1.82 feet High Tide
Tue -- 04:47 PM EDT     Moonrise
Tue -- 05:02 PM EDT     0.47 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 07:48 PM EDT     Sunset
Tue -- 11:11 PM EDT     2.28 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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21.71.30.90.60.50.60.81.21.61.81.81.71.51.10.80.60.50.60.91.31.82.12.3

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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wmap_A
GOES Local Image of Mid-Atlantic    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
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Wind Forecast for Wakefield, VA (22,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Dover AFB, DE
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