Sunday, May28, 2017 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Fairmount, MD

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
5/23/2017 - Worked with NOAA again to speed up the 7 day forecast load times. Thanks to them for being responsive.
5/19/2016 - There were issues with the 3 day airport observation history. I switched to another data source. Let me know if you see any issues with the data feeds.

Sunrise 5:40AMSunset 8:19PM Sunday May 28, 2017 8:12 PM EDT (00:12 UTC) Moonrise 7:42AMMoonset 10:20PM Illumination 12% Phase: Waxing Crescent; Moon at 3 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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ANZ543 Tangier Sound And The Inland Waters Surrounding Bloodsworth Island- 732 Pm Edt Sun May 28 2017
Tonight..SE winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft. Isolated tstms. Widespread showers. Vsby 1 nm or less.
Mon..W winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft. A chance of showers.
Mon night..SE winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft or less.
Tue..SE winds 5 kt. Waves less than 1 ft. A chance of showers.
Tue night..SW winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft. A chance of showers.
Wed..W winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft.
Wed night..W winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft. A chance of showers.
Thu..SW winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 to 2 ft.
Fri..SW winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 2 to 3 ft. A chance of showers. Winds and waves higher and visibilities lower in and near tstms.
ANZ500 732 Pm Edt Sun May 28 2017
Synopsis for the tidal potomac and md portion of the chesapeake bay.. A stationary front will remain south of the waters until a cold front moves into the area Monday. Weak high pressure can be expected Tuesday, followed by another weak front Wednesday. High pressure will return Thursday.

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Fairmount, MD
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location: 38.11, -75.84     debug


Area Discussion for - Wakefield, VA
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Fxus61 kakq 290000
afdakq
area forecast discussion
national weather service wakefield va
800 pm edt Sun may 28 2017

Synopsis
A frontal boundary will linger near the virginia north carolina
border tonight. A cold front approaches from the northwest on
memorial day and stalls north of the region into Tuesday.

Near term until 6 am Monday morning
Current analysis indicating surface low pressure over the great
lakes, extending SE into the local area with some weak surface
low pressure reflection along the coast of southeast va and
northeast nc. Shortwave energy aloft has pushed well offshore
over past few hrs and airmass is only marginally unstable
(greater instability resides across southern nc and sc). While
pops have been raised a little, to likely through around 02z
across the NW with another area of high chance (40-50%) into
south central and southside va, the threat for any strong tstms
appears very unlikely now. May see a few isolated tstms this
evening but decided to update the hwo to remove the mention of
strong severe tstms. Near term models and hrrr reflectivity suggest
the showers diminish in coverage later tonight with just
variable cloudiness and genly dry conditions overnight. Low
levels are already rather saturated and winds will be light
enough to support patchy fg and or low stratus overnight as
well. Lows ranging through the 60s.

Short term 6 am Monday morning through Wednesday
A cold front will be crossing the mountains Mon morning... Then
continue E Mon afternoon. Models continue to show drying over
most of the area... W the instability moisture axis shifting se
into far SE va-ne nc... Where additional shras tstms are
possible in the afternoon evening. Partly sunny on memorial day
with highs in the l-m80s N to the m-u80s S (70s along the
atlantic beaches of the eastern shore).

12z 28 guidance continues to show that the cold front becomes
aligned parallel to wsw flow aloft... Stalling immediately N of
the region to perhaps pushing into the md ERN shore. The chc for
aftn evening shras tstms will diminish tue... Though will
continue W 20-40% pops in far SRN and SE va NE nc. Highs
tue from the u70s-l80s at the coast to the m80s inland... After
morning lows ranging through the 60s.

Little change in conditions Tue night-wed. Upper level trough
to sharpen into the ERN conus... Though a strong enough trigger
for widespread convective development (esp wed) ill-defined.

Maintaining pops (15-25%) in far SE va-ne nc... Mainly wed
afternoon. Lows Tue night in the 60s. Highs Wed in the u70s-
l80s.

Long term Wednesday night through Sunday
The long term period beginning Wednesday night will start off mainly
dry with high pressure over the mid atlantic states Thursday. The
high will merge with the bermuda high pressure ridge. This will
promote a slight warming trend and an increase of moisture. A
frontal boundary will settle over northern portions of the mid
atlantic states and help to trigger scattered mainly afternoon and
evening thunderstorms over the region.

High temperatures will range from 80 to 85 but slightly cooler at
the beaches. Lows of 60 to 65 Thursday and Friday mornings warm to
the mid to upper 60s Saturday and Sunday mornings.

Aviation 00z Monday through Friday
Most of the strongest showers and thunderstorms have ended
across the CWA but some scattered light showers remain to the
west. These showers are not expected to be significant and will
likely end after midnight as the airmass continues to become
more stable. A weak frontal boundary continues to lie just
south of the va nc border and has been the focus for most of
the showers tstms that have occurred today. Some stratus and fog
will occur over the region bringing MVFR ifr conditions during
the overnight. Expect sby to have the worst of the fog stratus
conditions. Ric phf orf also expected to have some fog and
visibilities issues overnight with light NE flow. Guidance seems
favorable for ecg with mostly NW wind.

Outlook... MostlyVFR conditions expected Monday with a slight
chance of some afternoon evening showers tstms. There will be a
chance for thunderstorms southeast portions Tuesday. Otherwise
mainly dry weather is forecast through Thursday with only a
stray shower or thunderstorm possible. The chance for afternoon
and evening thunderstorms increase on Friday mainly in southern
virginia and northeast north carolina. Patchy fog or stratus
will be possible each morning within a few hours of sunrise.

Marine
Late this aftn, weak low pressure was near the SE va NE nc
border. That low will move ene and out to sea tonight thru mon.

A weak cold front will push acrs the area during mon, then
washes out over the carolinas during tue. Another weak cold
front slides acrs the region Tue night into Wed morning, with
yet another cold front moving thru the waters Wed night. High
pressure will build over the waters then out to sea Thu into
fri. Winds waves seas will remain below SCA criteria thru the
period. Variable direction winds will be 15 kt or less, with
waves 1 to 2 ft and seas 2 to 4 ft.

Akq watches warnings advisories
Md... None.

Nc... None.

Va... None.

Marine... None.

Synopsis... Ajz alb
near term... Lkb
short term... Ajz alb
long term... Lsa
aviation... Jef lsa
marine... Tmg


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
BISM2 - 8571421 - Bishops Head, MD 13 mi43 min ENE 6 G 8.9 67°F 71°F1010.1 hPa
44042 - Potomac, MD 27 mi33 min E 5.8 G 7.8 68°F 1008.7 hPa
LWTV2 - 8635750 - Lewisetta, VA 34 mi43 min E 6 G 7 68°F 71°F1009.6 hPa
CA2 - 8571892 - Cambridge, MD 34 mi43 min 66°F 71°F
COVM2 - 8577018 - Cove Point LNG Pier, MD 35 mi43 min E 8.9 G 11 67°F 1010.4 hPa
SLIM2 - 8577330 - Solomons Island, MD 36 mi43 min E 8 G 9.9 68°F 69°F
WAHV2 - 8631044 - Wachapreague, VA 36 mi43 min NE 2.9 G 5.1 66°F 71°F1008.8 hPa
44089 36 mi43 min 63°F3 ft
PPTM2 - 8578240 - Piney Point, MD 37 mi43 min ESE 6 G 7
RPLV2 - 8632837 - Rappahannock Light, VA 41 mi43 min NW 5.1 G 5.1 1010 hPa
44062 - Gooses Reef, MD 43 mi33 min ENE 7.8 G 9.7 67°F 1010.7 hPa
44058 - Stingray Point, VA 44 mi33 min N 3.9 G 5.8 68°F 1009.4 hPa

Wind History for Bishops Head, MD
(wind in knots)    EDIT      (on/off)   Help
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Wallops Flight Facility Airport, VA23 mi19 minNE 810.00 miOvercast65°F64°F100%1008.8 hPa
Salisbury, Salisbury-Ocean City Wicomico County Regional Airport, MD24 mi19 minENE 510.00 miOvercast64°F64°F100%1009.8 hPa

Wind History from WAL (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrE7E6E6E7E6E10E6E5E5E5E8E10E7E9E11E10E10E7E9E7E5E7E7NE8
1 day agoNW4NW3SW3NW4NW4W3W4W4NW4W3CalmCalm4E5SE6SE8SE10S8SE9SE8SE8E6SE6SE7
2 days agoSW6SW5SW11
G22
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Tide / Current Tables for Teague Creek, Manokin River, Chesapeake Bay, Maryland
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Teague Creek
Click for Map
Sun -- 04:12 AM EDT     2.82 feet High Tide
Sun -- 05:43 AM EDT     Sunrise
Sun -- 08:42 AM EDT     Moonrise
Sun -- 11:04 AM EDT     -0.34 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 04:43 PM EDT     2.31 feet High Tide
Sun -- 08:18 PM EDT     Sunset
Sun -- 11:07 PM EDT     -0.26 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 11:20 PM EDT     Moonset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
0.31.11.92.52.82.72.31.710.3-0.2-0.3-0.20.41.11.82.22.32.11.610.4-0.1-0.3

Tide / Current Tables for Salisbury, Maryland (2 miles below) Current
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Salisbury
Click for Map
Sun -- 02:35 AM EDT     1.11 knots Max Flood
Sun -- 05:42 AM EDT     Sunrise
Sun -- 06:13 AM EDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Sun -- 08:41 AM EDT     Moonrise
Sun -- 09:25 AM EDT     -1.19 knots Max Ebb
Sun -- 12:47 PM EDT     0.00 knots Slack
Sun -- 03:15 PM EDT     0.71 knots Max Flood
Sun -- 06:09 PM EDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Sun -- 08:17 PM EDT     Sunset
Sun -- 09:23 PM EDT     -1.14 knots Max Ebb
Sun -- 11:19 PM EDT     Moonset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
0.30.81.11.10.90.60.1-0.4-0.9-1.2-1.1-0.9-0.40.10.50.70.60.40.1-0.4-0.9-1.1-1.1-0.8

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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Weather Map
wmap_A
IR Satellite Image from GEOS
east_satellite

GOES Local Image of Mid-Atlantic    EDIT
Geos

Wind Forecast for Wakefield, VA (20,4,5,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Dover AFB, DE
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.