Thursday, June20, 2019 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Nanticoke, MD

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6/2/2019. Many thanks to a user for reporting an error on one of the Edit pages. The switch to PHP 7.2 caused many pages that previously worked to quit working. I fixed many but I still depend on users to report ones I missed. Please report errors HERE or send an email to me at L-36.com. Allen

Sunrise 5:37AMSunset 8:30PM Thursday June 20, 2019 7:37 PM EDT (23:37 UTC) Moonrise 10:15PMMoonset 7:33AM Illumination 88% Phase: Waning Gibbous; Moon at 18 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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ANZ543 Tangier Sound And The Inland Waters Surrounding Bloodsworth Island- 438 Pm Edt Thu Jun 20 2019
.small craft advisory in effect through Friday afternoon...
Rest of this afternoon..SW winds 15 kt with gusts to 25 kt. Waves 2 ft. Scattered showers and tstms.
Tonight..W winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts to 25 kt. Waves 2 ft. A chance of showers.
Fri..NW winds 15 to 20 kt with gusts to 30 kt. Waves 3 ft.
Fri night..NW winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts to 20 kt. Waves 2 ft.
Sat..NW winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts to 20 kt. Waves 1 to 2 ft.
Sat night..W winds around 5 kt. Waves 1 ft or less.
Sun..S winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft.
Mon..S winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 to 2 ft. A chance of showers through the night. Winds and waves higher and visibilities lower in and near tstms.
ANZ500 438 Pm Edt Thu Jun 20 2019
Synopsis for the tidal potomac and md portion of the chesapeake bay.. Low pressure tracking to the northwest will sweep a cold front through the area late this afternoon and tonight. High pressure nudging southward from canada will dominate over the waters through the weekend. A warm front will then cross the waters Monday.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Nanticoke, MD
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location: 38.26, -75.88     debug


Area Discussion for - Wakefield, VA
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Fxus61 kakq 201949
afdakq
area forecast discussion
national weather service wakefield va
349 pm edt Thu jun 20 2019

Synopsis
A strong cold front pushes through the local area this evening.

High pressure will build into the area on Friday and settle
across the region on Saturday. A warm front lifts back north
Saturday night into Sunday, as high pressure becomes anchored
along the southeast coast.

Near term until 6 am Friday morning
As of 345 pm edt Thursday...

have extended the severe TSTM watch to include all of (far) se
va and NE nc (until 02z 21). Area of tstms continues to move e
invof va-nc border (north central nc-south central
va)... Expected to track E the next couple of hours in area of
best instability (aligned w-e INVOF the va-nc border). Damaging
wind gusts to 60-70 mph the main threat attm. Right now... Only
isold to possibly sct tstms expected elswhere.

Previous discussion:
fa remains under the influence of deep layered wsw flow. Dew
points have come down a few degs f since this morning in
diffluent low level flow. Isold-sct tstms beginning to develop
wsw of the fa attm. Decent upper level S W progressing E into
central ky this afternoon. Best diffluence aloft W that feature
approaching from the W likely to be from far SRN va on s... W a
second area of enhanced forcing nne of the fa associated w
exiting weak S w. Severe TSTM watch is up until 02z21 for all of
central SRN va and interior NE nc (could be extended NE and to
the coast later on). Enhanced svr risk remains for all of SE va
and NE nc (as well as south central va)... Slgt risk elsewhere.

Limiting factor may be the deep layered wsw winds (aiding in
downsloping) and ongoing diffluent low level flow (potentially
leading to a split in convection over the heart of the fa).

Behind the front tonight will see a wind shift to the wnw and
the chances for rain will quickly diminish from 01-06z 21 w-e
(as conditions clear out). Lows in the 60s to l70s.

Short term 6 am Friday morning through Sunday
As of 205 pm edt Thursday...

the upper trough will progress E and a secondary S W is progged
to brush at least or NE zones between 12-15z 21. The models
have been trying to show a wrap around moisture band impacting
the lower md eastern shore early fri. For now will have vrb
clouds and pops blo 20%. Otw... Sfc hi pres builds in providing
cooler and drier conditions Fri and Fri night. Wnw winds will be
gusty to 25-30 mph in Fri afternoon. Highs in the l-m80s N to
the m-u80s S (dew points falling into the u50s-l60s by aftn).

Fri night should be the coolest night, although some high
clouds could limit cooling some across the SW portions of the
cwa. Lows will avg 60-65f with some u50s over the nnw.

Sat still has some uncertainty as the wnw flow aloft could push
some upstream convection through the region. Isold sct
convection could clip far wsw areas in the afternoon evening.

Otw... Dry and comfy W a partly cloudy sky over south central
va and interior NE nc W a mostly sunny sky elsewhere. Highs in
the l80s, W dew points mostly in the 50s (l60s over the sw
zones). Warm front fcst to lift NE Sat night through sun. Mainly
partly cloudy W lows in the 60s Sat night and highs in the 80s
sun. Will have a 20-30% pop mainly confined to over the piedmont
sat night... And for all but the NE portions of the fa sun
(afternoon).

Long term Sunday night through Thursday
As of 105 pm edt Thursday...

a fairly typical early summer wx pattern is expected through the
extended forecast period. A weak trough (sfc-aloft) will be
sandwiched between hi pres stretch INVOF the SE CONUS coast and
over the four corners region in the SW conus. Pops to generally
remain AOB 20-30% (diurnal) each day.

Lows Sun night 65-70f. Highs Mon in the u80s-around 90f at the
coast to the l-m90s inland. Lows Mon night in the u60s W to
l-m70s e. Highs Tue in the u80s-l90s at the coast to the m90s
inland. Lows Tue night in the u60s-m70s. Highs Wed mainly
85-90f... L90s inland. Highs Thu mainly 85-90f.

Aviation 20z Thursday through Tuesday
As of 100 pm edt Thursday...

continuedVFR conditions this afternoon W sct-bkn CU and wsw
winds gusty to 20-25kt. Sct shras tstms are expected during the
late afternoon early evening hours as the cold front moves
across the region. Tstms will have the potential to be companied
by strong gusty winds and brief restricted vsbys... Namely from
21z 20-01z 21. Winds shift to the wnw andVFR conditions (late)
tonight and fri. Breezy again during the day fri. Dry withVFR
conditions Fri sat. Isold sct convection possible again
sun Mon Tue afternoons evenings.

Marine
As of 235 pm edt Thursday...

scas remain in effect from this evening into Fri aftn. Winds this
afternooon have already inceased to 15-20 kt with gusts up to 25 kt.

A line if thunderstorms will likely move into our coastal water
(best chance for thunderstorms will be the southern bay rivers and
southern ocean). Winds may decrease slightly as a cold front will
approach the area from the west during this evening, before crossing
the waters tonight into early Fri morning. SW winds will increase
later this evening tonight, reaching 15-25 kt this evening early
tonight. Once the cold front moves through very late tonight early
fri morning, winds will become wnw 15-25 kt with gusts up to 30 kt
(especially for the ches bay and northern ocean zones). NW winds
will diminish Fri aftn into Fri night, as low pressure moves quickly
off to the ne. High pressure and generally benign conditions then
return for the weekend. Seas will peak at 3-5 ft this evening into
early Fri aftn, with waves on the ches bay reaching 3-4 ft.

Akq watches warnings advisories
Md... None.

Nc... None.

Va... None.

Marine... Small craft advisory from 4 am to 1 pm edt Friday for
anz635>637.

Small craft advisory from 8 pm this evening to 4 pm edt Friday
for anz630>632-634.

Small craft advisory from 8 pm this evening to 1 pm edt Friday
for anz633-638.

Small craft advisory from 2 am to 1 pm edt Friday for anz654.

Small craft advisory until 1 pm edt Friday for anz656-658.

Small craft advisory from 2 am to 6 pm edt Friday for anz650-
652.

Synopsis... Lkb
near term... Alb
short term... Alb lkb
long term... Alb
aviation... Alb lkb
marine... Cp


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
BISM2 - 8571421 - Bishops Head, MD 9 mi55 min WSW 9.9 G 12 84°F 83°F999.8 hPa
CA2 - 8571892 - Cambridge, MD 24 mi55 min 87°F 79°F999.1 hPa
44042 - Potomac, MD 29 mi31 min SW 9.7 G 9.7 82°F 79°F998.9 hPa
COVM2 - 8577018 - Cove Point LNG Pier, MD 29 mi49 min WSW 11 G 14 85°F 999.9 hPa
SLIM2 - 8577330 - Solomons Island, MD 31 mi49 min WSW 11 G 13 84°F 76°F998.8 hPa
LWTV2 - 8635750 - Lewisetta, VA 36 mi55 min WSW 8.9 G 11 86°F 74°F999.7 hPa
PPTM2 - 8578240 - Piney Point, MD 36 mi50 min W 9.9 G 13
OCIM2 - 8570283 - Ocean City Inlet, MD 42 mi55 min WSW 11 G 16 86°F 76°F1000.6 hPa
44089 45 mi37 min 73°F3 ft
WAHV2 - 8631044 - Wachapreague, VA 46 mi49 min WSW 5.1 G 8.9 999.8 hPa

Wind History for Bishops Head, MD
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Salisbury, Salisbury-Ocean City Wicomico County Regional Airport, MD21 mi43 minSW 710.00 miA Few Clouds86°F72°F63%999.5 hPa
Cambridge-Dorchester Airport, MD21 mi52 minSW 410.00 miFair86°F69°F59%999.3 hPa

Wind History from CGE (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrS5S8S9S6S6S4S4CalmS5S5S5S66
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1 day agoCalmNW6SE3CalmCalmCalmCalm3CalmCalmS3CalmS5S74S53
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Tide / Current Tables for Roaring Point, Nanticoke River, Chesapeake Bay, Maryland
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Roaring Point
Click for Map
Thu -- 04:44 AM EDT     2.55 feet High Tide
Thu -- 05:40 AM EDT     Sunrise
Thu -- 08:33 AM EDT     Moonset
Thu -- 11:42 AM EDT     0.07 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 05:09 PM EDT     2.13 feet High Tide
Thu -- 08:30 PM EDT     Sunset
Thu -- 11:14 PM EDT     Moonrise
Thu -- 11:36 PM EDT     0.18 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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0.30.81.52.12.52.52.421.40.90.40.10.10.40.91.41.92.121.81.30.90.50.2

Tide / Current Tables for Salisbury, Maryland (2 miles below) Current
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Salisbury
Click for Map
Thu -- 12:01 AM EDT     0.00 knots Slack
Thu -- 03:04 AM EDT     0.77 knots Max Flood
Thu -- 05:38 AM EDT     Sunrise
Thu -- 06:30 AM EDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Thu -- 08:31 AM EDT     Moonset
Thu -- 09:40 AM EDT     -0.79 knots Max Ebb
Thu -- 01:25 PM EDT     0.00 knots Slack
Thu -- 03:37 PM EDT     0.37 knots Max Flood
Thu -- 06:08 PM EDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Thu -- 08:29 PM EDT     Sunset
Thu -- 09:22 PM EDT     -0.75 knots Max Ebb
Thu -- 11:13 PM EDT     Moonrise
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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-00.40.70.80.70.50.2-0.2-0.6-0.8-0.8-0.7-0.4-0.10.20.30.40.20-0.3-0.6-0.7-0.7-0.6

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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GOES Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
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Wind Forecast for Wakefield, VA (19,4,5,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Dover AFB, DE
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.