Monday, July23, 2018 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Fishing Creek, MD

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
7/21/2018 Trying to make page Mobile Friendly

Sunrise 5:56AMSunset 8:21PM Monday July 23, 2018 11:33 AM EDT (15:33 UTC) Moonrise 4:10PMMoonset 1:40AM Illumination 81% Phase: Waxing Gibbous; Moon at 11 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
    EDIT      (on/off)   Help
ANZ534 Chesapeake Bay From Drum Point To Smith Point- 1032 Am Edt Mon Jul 23 2018
.small craft advisory in effect through Tuesday afternoon...
Rest of today..SE winds 20 kt with gusts to 30 kt. Waves 4 ft. A chance of tstms. A chance of showers late this morning, then showers likely this afternoon. Vsby 1 nm or less.
Tonight..SE winds 15 to 20 kt with gusts to 30 kt. Waves 4 ft. Showers likely with scattered tstms. Vsby 1 nm or less.
Tue..SE winds 15 to 20 kt with gusts to 30 kt. Waves 4 ft. Showers likely with a chance of tstms. Vsby 1 nm or less.
Tue night..S winds 15 to 20 kt with gusts to 30 kt. Waves 4 ft. Showers with a chance of tstms.
Wed..S winds 15 to 20 kt with gusts to 30 kt. Waves 4 ft. Showers with a chance of tstms.
Wed night..S winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts to 30 kt. Waves 4 ft. Showers likely with a chance of tstms.
Thu..SW winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 2 to 3 ft... Subsiding to 1 ft. A chance of showers and tstms.
Fri..SW winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 2 ft. A chance of showers and tstms. Winds and waves higher and visibilities lower in and near tstms.
ANZ500 1032 Am Edt Mon Jul 23 2018
Synopsis for the tidal potomac and md portion of the chesapeake bay.. Low pressure will approach from the west today and stall just to our west early to mid-week. Small craft advisory conditions are possible Tuesday night through Wednesday.

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Fishing Creek CDP, MD
   Hourly   EDIT   Help
location: 38.27, -76.23     debug


Area Discussion for - Baltimore, MD/Washington
      (on/off)   Help   NOTE: mouseover dotted underlined text for definition
Fxus61 klwx 231420
afdlwx
area forecast discussion
national weather service baltimore md washington dc
1020 am edt Mon jul 23 2018

Synopsis
A broad and slow moving low pressure system over the southeast
will influence the mid atlantic through the middle of the week.

A pair of cold fronts will move through the area during the
second half of the week.

Near term through tonight
Digging upper low across the southeast and westward expansion of
the subtropical ridge will allow for deep moisture plume
sitting offshore to retrograde today and establish itself over
our area particularly along the i-95 corridor. Model signals
then shift the focus west into the central blue ridge as mid-
level winds intensify.

The 12z lwx RAOB is saturated (as can be expected) with precip
water greater than 2 inches. Flow unidirectional south, which
will support training storms. Expect efficient rainfall
production since warm cloud layer deep. Flash flood watches in
effect this afternoon and evening from i-81 corridor to the bay.

Regional radar indicates a lull in rainfall through the midday,
and have backed off on near term pops. However, a stream of
moisture resides from southeast virginia down the outer banks.

There is enough instability available that, if there is a break
in the activity (as is being realized), new showers and
thunderstorms may be able to generate. Specific timing placement
of these storms problematic. Forecast grids are intentionally
broad. However, a wet microburst could be realized.

Short term Tuesday through Wednesday night
Things get worse on Tue as moisture plume moves a bit more
inland and aims at washington dc. Model signal is stronger for
heavy rainfall with showers t-storms falling over saturated
soils. Coordination with neighboring wfos was not to issue the
flood watch for multiple days, but obviously the riks of flash
flooding will be extremely high. Wpc day ero has moderate risk
for almost the entire area.

Deep moisture plume will start shifting a bit more east on wed
with flooding threat diminishing somewhat for western areas but
remaining very high for eastern areas wed. Mid-level drying will
start taking place late Wed night with convection and risk of
flooding likely decreasing substantially after midnight wed
night.

Long term Thursday through Sunday
By Thursday, the stubborn upper level trough that will influence our
weather much of this week should finally shear out and lift
northeastward. That will leave our area in the wake of the
weakening upper trough and ahead of a potent upper level low
centered just to the north of lake superior. Weak subsidence in the
wake of the departing upper trough could keep us dry for a change on
Thursday. The 00z deterministic GFS and euro both keep us dry
on Thursday. However, a few members of each respective ensemble
produce some precipitation. With a warm airmass in place and
dewpoints in the 60s, an afternoon shower or storm can't be entirely
ruled out. However, the trend on Thursday seems to be in favor of
drier weather.

On Friday, the aforementioned upper low will continue to progress to
the east across southern canada. This trough will drive a weak
surface cold front toward our area from the north. The best forcing
for ascent associated with the upper low looks to stay north of our
area. However, both the GFS and euro hint that a few storms may be
possible along and just ahead of the front. The trough has an
extensive wind field associated with it, with decent mid-upper level
flow extending down to our latitude. Currently models show around
1000 j kg of MLCAPE with 35-40 kt of 0-6 km shear Friday afternoon.

Although coverage of storms looks to be low, those parameters
suggest that if storms were to form, they could show some
organization.

Beyond Friday, model guidance begins to diverge. Temperatures should
be a few degrees cooler for the weekend in the wake of the front.

However, the front won't entirely clear low level moisture (and it's
associated convective potential) out of the area. Both the eps and
gefs have precipitation producing members Saturday and Sunday, but
there doesn't to be a clear solution in either the deterministic or
ensemble guidance.

Aviation 14z Monday through Friday
Widespread showers t-storms expected today into Wed with
training convection likely. That said, it won't be raining the
whole time. A bit of a lull ongoing this midday. New showers and
thunderstorms anticipated to develop this afternoon evening.

Specific timing placement problematic, so tafs do not contain
details. However, several round of brief local AOB ifr
anticipated.

Same pattern continue through wed, with the same end result:
plan for periods of AOB ifr, but no the whole time. Do not can
confidence in specifically which hours will won't have flight
restrictions. Conditions begin to improve late Wed night.

Marine
Sca conditions likely through Wed night. Mariners can expect
higher winds and waves near thunderstorms.

Hydrology
Repeated rounds of showers and thunderstorms through the first
half of the week will lead to increasingly susceptible
conditions for not only flash flooding but eventually some river
flooding. Solis already saturated, so it won't take much to
realize flood concerns. Flash flood watches and river related
products will likely be extended through wed, and those with
sensitive interests will want to start making plans.

Tides coastal flooding
Gusty southerly flow will continue to lead to elevated water
levels for the next several days. Multiple coastal flood
advisories are in effect through Tue morning. Coastal flood
watch issued for annapolis for the Tue morning high tide. The
overnight high tides will be favored. Daily fluctuations are
proving difficult to pinpoint though, so adjustments to the
forecast are likely.

Lwx watches warnings advisories
Dc... Flash flood watch through late tonight for dcz001.

Coastal flood advisory until 9 am edt Tuesday for dcz001.

Md... Flash flood watch through late tonight for mdz003>006-011-013-
014-016>018-503>508.

Coastal flood advisory until 4 am edt Tuesday for mdz017.

Coastal flood advisory until 11 am edt this morning for mdz508.

Coastal flood watch from late tonight through Tuesday morning
for mdz014.

Coastal flood advisory until 1 am edt Tuesday for mdz014.

Coastal flood advisory until 10 am edt Tuesday for mdz011.

Va... Flash flood watch through late tonight for vaz025>031-036>040-
050>057-501-502-505>508.

Wv... Flash flood watch through late tonight for wvz051>053.

Marine... Small craft advisory until 6 pm edt Tuesday for anz531>534-537-
539>543.

Small craft advisory until 8 pm edt this evening for anz530-
535-536-538.

Small craft advisory from noon to 6 pm edt Tuesday for anz530-
535-536-538.

Synopsis... Lfr
near term... Hts lfr
short term... Lfr
long term... Kjp
aviation... Hts lfr kjp
marine... Lfr kjp
hydrology... Hts lfr
tides coastal flooding... Lfr


Weather Reporting Stations
   EDIT       (on/off)   Help   NOTE: Click on distance to see the station location on a map
Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
BISM2 - 8571421 - Bishops Head, MD 11 mi34 min ESE 13 G 17 77°F 82°F1016.1 hPa (+1.3)
COVM2 - 8577018 - Cove Point LNG Pier, MD 12 mi34 min S 22 G 27 77°F 1016 hPa (+0.9)
SLIM2 - 8577330 - Solomons Island, MD 12 mi34 min SSE 13 G 17 78°F 80°F1015.2 hPa (+1.0)
44042 - Potomac, MD 17 mi34 min S 18 G 21 77°F 80°F3 ft1014.4 hPa (+1.0)
PPTM2 - 8578240 - Piney Point, MD 19 mi40 min S 16 G 19
44062 - Gooses Reef, MD 22 mi34 min SSE 19 G 25 79°F 1 ft1015.2 hPa (+0.3)
LWTV2 - 8635750 - Lewisetta, VA 23 mi40 min S 11 G 14 76°F 78°F1015.1 hPa
CA2 - 8571892 - Cambridge, MD 23 mi34 min 80°F 80°F1016.8 hPa (+0.8)
NCDV2 43 mi34 min ESE 17 G 19 78°F 77°F1013.7 hPa (+0.9)
BSLM2 - Chesapeake Bay, MD 43 mi124 min SE 5.1 70°F 1014 hPa67°F
TPLM2 - Thomas Point, MD 45 mi34 min SSE 11 G 13 78°F 78°F1016.4 hPa (+1.2)75°F
44058 - Stingray Point, VA 49 mi34 min S 18 G 21 78°F 80°F3 ft1014.8 hPa (+1.3)

Wind History for Bishops Head, MD
(wind in knots)    EDIT      (on/off)   Help
12
PM
1
PM
2
PM
3
PM
4
PM
5
PM
6
PM
7
PM
8
PM
9
PM
10
PM
11
PM
12
AM
1
AM
2
AM
3
AM
4
AM
5
AM
6
AM
7
AM
8
AM
9
AM
10
AM
11
AM
Last
24hr
SE15
SE17
SE18
G22
SE17
SE16
SE17
S13
G17
SE14
SE13
SE17
SE18
SE18
SE20
SE19
SE17
SE16
SE20
G25
SE14
G20
SE17
SE20
G26
SE22
SE19
G24
SE15
G21
SE13
G17
1 day
ago
NE7
G12
NE14
G18
E12
G16
SE18
G22
E16
G20
E17
G21
E17
G22
NE18
NE18
G23
NE18
NE11
G15
E7
SW23
SW24
SW23
G28
SW19
G25
SW17
SW11
G14
W6
S6
SE6
SE10
SE11
G14
SE16
G20
2 days
ago
E6
E4
G7
SE3
G6
S6
SE11
SE11
SE12
G15
SE15
G19
SE16
E15
E14
G17
E14
E14
E11
G15
E10
G14
E10
G13
E10
E13
G16
E12
G15
NE11
G15
NE12
G16
NE14
G17
NE8
G12
NE10
G15

Airport Reports
    EDIT      (on/off)   Help   Click EDIT to display multiple airports
AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Patuxent River, Naval Air Station, MD9 mi1.7 hrsSE 15 G 2210.00 miOvercast79°F73°F82%1014.3 hPa
St. Inigoes, Webster Field, Naval Electronic Systems Engineering Activity, MD14 mi41 minSE 6 G 1410.00 miLight Rain77°F73°F88%1014.8 hPa
St Marys County Airport, MD17 mi57 minSE 10 G 16 miPartly Cloudy79°F71°F79%1015.6 hPa
Cambridge-Dorchester Airport, MD21 mi59 minSE 13 G 1810.00 miA Few Clouds81°F73°F79%1015.9 hPa

Wind History from NHK (wind in knots)
12
PM
1
PM
2
PM
3
PM
4
PM
5
PM
6
PM
7
PM
8
PM
9
PM
10
PM
11
PM
12
AM
1
AM
2
AM
3
AM
4
AM
5
AM
6
AM
7
AM
8
AM
9
AM
10
AM
11
AM
Last 24hrSE9
G17
SE15SE15
G24
SE13
G22
SE11
G18
SE10SE14
G21
--SE3SE10SE12
G18
SE10
G18
SE8
G18
SE10SE8SE9S9SE9S7SE7S11SE12
G19
SE15
G22
S11
G21
1 day agoNE14NE11NE9E15SE12
G20
E17
G24
--E14
G21
NE13
G19
NE10
G18
NE11NW7--W9--W11SW7--CalmS3S3SE5--S6
2 days agoSE10E9SE9SE7SE6SE10SE8SE7SE9
G18
SE10
G20
SE12SE11
G18
SE11SE10
G19
SE10--CalmE11E12E10
G19
E6E10E13NE9

Tide / Current Tables for Hooper Island Light, Chesapeake Bay, Maryland
   EDIT   RT Ports Option   Weekend mode (on/off)   (on/off)   Help   One Week of Data
Hooper Island Light
Click for Map
Mon -- 02:40 AM EDT     Moonset
Mon -- 05:59 AM EDT     Sunrise
Mon -- 06:32 AM EDT     0.89 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 11:10 AM EDT     1.59 feet High Tide
Mon -- 05:02 PM EDT     0.51 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 05:10 PM EDT     Moonrise
Mon -- 08:22 PM EDT     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
2.62.42.11.81.41.10.90.91.11.31.51.61.51.31.10.80.60.50.60.81.21.72.12.5

Tide / Current Tables for Cove Point (1.1 mi. NE of), Maryland Current
   EDIT      (on/off)   Help   One Week of Data
Cove Point (1.1 mi. NE of)
Click for Map
Mon -- 02:40 AM EDT     Moonset
Mon -- 03:47 AM EDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Mon -- 06:00 AM EDT     Sunrise
Mon -- 07:00 AM EDT     -0.64 knots Max Ebb
Mon -- 10:26 AM EDT     0.00 knots Slack
Mon -- 12:38 PM EDT     0.26 knots Max Flood
Mon -- 03:18 PM EDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Mon -- 05:10 PM EDT     Moonrise
Mon -- 06:40 PM EDT     -0.45 knots Max Ebb
Mon -- 08:23 PM EDT     Sunset
Mon -- 09:11 PM EDT     0.00 knots Slack
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
0.70.70.50.2-0.1-0.3-0.6-0.6-0.6-0.4-0.10.10.20.30.20-0.1-0.3-0.4-0.4-0.3-0.10.30.5

Weather Map and Satellite Images
       (on/off)   HelpWeather Map
wmap_A
GOES Local Image of Mid-Atlantic    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
target = "new">Link to Loop



Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Baltimore, MD/Washington (11,2,3,4)
      (on/off)   Help

Ground Weather Radar Station Dover AFB, DE
   (on/off)   Help
weather_mapweather_map weather_map

Ad by Google

Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.