Wednesday, October18, 2017 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Roseland, CA

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
6/25/2017 - NOAA is having a major issue that impact the 7 day forecast load times. Many users are reporting problems. The issue has been reported.
5/23/2017 - Worked with NOAA again to speed up the 7 day forecast load times. Thanks to them for being responsive.
5/19/2016 - There were issues with the 3 day airport observation history. I switched to another data source. Let me know if you see any issues with the data feeds.

Sunrise 7:22AMSunset 6:28PM Wednesday October 18, 2017 4:59 PM PDT (23:59 UTC) Moonrise 5:10AMMoonset 5:20PM Illumination 2% Phase: Waning Crescent; Moon at 28 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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PZZ540 Point Arena To Point Reyes To 10 Nm- 223 Pm Pdt Wed Oct 18 2017
.small craft advisory in effect from Thursday evening through Friday morning...
Tonight..NW winds 10 to 20 kt. Wind waves 2 to 4 ft. Mixed swell nw 4 to 5 ft at 11 seconds and sw 3 ft at 16 seconds. Patchy fog after midnight.
Thu..S winds 5 to 15 kt. Wind waves 1 to 3 ft. Mixed swell nw 4 to 6 ft at 10 seconds and sw 3 ft at 15 seconds. Patchy fog in the morning. Slight chance of rain in the morning, then chance of rain in the afternoon.
Thu night..W winds 5 to 15 kt. Wind waves 1 to 3 ft. NW swell 5 to 7 ft at 19 seconds...increasing to 13 to 16 ft at 18 seconds after midnight. SWell S 3 ft. Rain in the evening.
Fri..NW winds 5 to 15 kt. Wind waves 1 to 3 ft. W swell 14 to 17 ft at 18 seconds. Slight chance of showers in the morning.
Fri night..NW winds 10 to 20 kt. Wind waves 2 to 4 ft. NW swell 12 to 15 ft at 16 seconds.
Sat..NW winds 5 to 15 kt. Wind waves 1 to 3 ft. NW swell 9 to 12 ft.
Sun..NW winds 10 to 20 kt. Wind waves 2 to 4 ft. W swell 8 to 10 ft.
Mon..NW winds 10 to 20 kt. Wind waves 2 to 4 ft. NW swell 8 to 10 ft.
PZZ500 223 Pm Pdt Wed Oct 18 2017
Synopsis for the central california coast and bays including the Monterey bay..Greater farallones...and cordell bank national marine sanctuaries... Stratus currently covering most of the coastal waters this afternoon. Winds will increase over the bays late this afternoon and this evening. A cold front will move over the area late tomorrow bringing chances of light rain across the coastal waters. Late Thursday into Friday a large northwesterly swell train will move into the region creating hazardous sea conditions.

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Roseland, CA
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location: 38.43, -122.71     debug


Area Discussion for - San Francisco/Monterey Bay Area, CA
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Fxus66 kmtr 182056
afdmtr
area forecast discussion
national weather service san francisco bay area
156 pm pdt Wed oct 18 2017

Synopsis A cold front remains on track to push trough the
region on Thursday bringing our first widespread rainfall event
and cooler temperatures. Look for the greatest rainfall to be
along the coastal ranges and in the north bay Thursday afternoon
through early Friday morning. Along with cooler temperatures,
breezy onshore winds can be expected through Friday. Dry
conditions return along with a warming trend through the weekend
with temperatures warming well above seasonal averages early next
week.

Discussion As of 01:55 pm pdt Wednesday... In the short-term,
have lowered temperatures slightly through the remainder of the
afternoon as the marine layer across the region is sitting at
around 1000 feet in depth. This allowed for low clouds to hang on
through the morning for many locations with the cloud deck
currently hugging the coastline. Look for low clouds to push back
inland overnight with patchy fog along the coast and locally into
the sonoma valley.

The much anticipated cold front remains on track to push through the
region Thursday into early Friday morning. With this, light
precipitation is forecast to spread into the north bay as early as
late Thursday morning through the early afternoon. The rain is then
expected to increase in coverage and intensity by Thursday afternoon
before spreading southward through the evening down into the santa
cruz mountains. Rainfall will then move across the central coast
late Thursday night into early Friday morning, generally before
sunrise. Have increased rainfall amounts over the north bay,
especially in the coastal ranges and inland mountains based off of
the latest short-rage, high resolution models. Cannot rule out some
of these higher locations picking up between 0.25" to 0.50" with
isolated amounts nearing 0.75" with pwat values forecast to range
from 1.00" to 1.25". Meanwhile, north bay valley locations can
expect generally between 0.10" to 0.20" of rainfall from this
system. Heading southward, portions of the santa cruz mountains can
expect between 0.10" to 0.25" with isolated amounts upwards of
0.33". Lesser amounts are forecast along the big sur coast at
generally less than 0.25". Inland valley locations outside of the
north bay can expect amounts generally around or less than 0.10"
with your typically dry spots such as the santa clara and salinas
vallies receiving just a few hundredths of an inch or less.

Along with the rainfall, temperatures will turn cooler with
afternoon readings only in the 60s for much of the northern two-
thirds of the region on Thursday. Onshore winds will also become
breezy at times, yet widespread strong winds are not likely with
this frontal passage. Showers may also linger over the central coast
into Friday morning as cold air advection sets up in wake of the
frontal passage. By Friday afternoon, region-wide temperatures are
only likely to warm into the 60s with on going breezy onshore winds
and any lingering rain showers diminishing.

High pressure will then develop in wake of the exiting trough
heading into the weekend with a slight warming trend and a return to
dry weather conditions. The ridge will strengthen to our south over
southern california through the first part of next week and allow
for additional warming. By Monday and Tuesday, forecast models are
showing 500 mb heights of around 595 dam over the region. Thus, look
for afternoon temperatures both days to be in the 80s for most
inland ares with middle upper 70s near the coast and in the city of
san francisco. Cannot even rule out a few of the warmer inland
spots reaching the 90 degree mark by Tuesday. This pattern would
also support dry weather conditions heading into the middle part of
next week as well.

Aviation As of 10:38 am pdt Thursday... For 18z tafs.

Widespread stratus along the immediate coast, but is beginning to
retreat from bay area terminals. Stratus over the san francisco
bay is beginning to dissipate with ksfo having gone sct just
recently. Can also see stratus eroding over kmry and ksns. Once
all the stratus clears over land this morning expectingVFR vis
and CIGS through this evening. Wildfires are still burning across
parts of the area, but conditions have improved. There's still a
chance that hz or fu could temporarily reduce visibilities to MVFR
for TAF sites in the vicinity of the fires. Current model
guidance indicates an early return of widespread stratus tonight.

Onshore flow this afternoon with winds 10 to 15 kt possibly
gusting to just over 20 kt at ksfo.

Vicinity of ksfo... Stratus retreating away from the terminal.VFR
conditions to prevail today with possible periods of MVFR
conditions due to hz from the wildfires. Stratus is expected to
return early tonight although exact timing is uncertain, later
clearing is also expected for tomorrow. West to northwest winds
this afternoon 10 to 15 kt possibly gusting to 20 kt.

Sfo bridge approach... Stratus is currently burning off and
visibility as improving. Once stratus clears expect similar
conditions to the terminal.

Monterey bay terminals... Lifr to ifr conditions currently, but
stratus is burning off. Expecting clearing shortly.VFR
conditions to prevail once stratus has cleared. Some hz or fu may
reduce vis to MVFR at times due to the wildfire in the santa cruz
mountains. Ifr CIGS due to stratus and fog are likely to return
early this evening.

Fire weather As of 3:35 am pdt Wednesday... Relative humidity
values have been increasing in the valleys and along the lower
coastal slopes as light onshore flow begins to develop. However,
the airmass in the hills above 1000 feet remains relatively warm
and very dry. Poor humidity recoveries are occurring in the hills
this morning. Fortunately, winds will remain light. More
widespread cooling will take place today as onshore winds increase
in the afternoon. This will result in better humidity recoveries
tonight into Thursday morning and more significant cooling by
Thursday. A weak early season weather system is forecast to bring
light rain to the north bay from Thursday afternoon through
Thursday evening and to much of the rest of the district on
Thursday night. The models have been trending drier with this
system. Latest forecast rainfall amounts for Thursday and Thursday
night range from a tenth to a quarter of an inch across northwest
sonoma county and northern marin county, and generally less than
a tenth of an inch in all other areas. Rainfall is expected to end
by Friday.

A warming trend will begin over the upcoming weekend as a high
pressure ridge begins to build over california. This ridge will
strengthen into early next week and result in warm and dry
conditions districtwide on Monday and Tuesday.

Marine As of 09:07 am pdt Wednesday... Areas of fog this
morning across the coastal waters and into the bays. Winds will
increase over the bays this afternoon into tonight. A cold front
will move across the waters late tomorrow bringing chances of
light rain. A moderate to long period mixed northwesterly and
southerly swell has arrived with buoys reporting periods of 17 to
18 seconds across the waters. Late Thursday into Friday a large
northwesterly swell train will move across he area. This large
swell will create hazardous conditions.

Mtr watches warnings advisories
Tngt Sca... Pt pinos to pt piedras blancas 0-10 nm
sca... Sf bay until 4 am
public forecast: rgass
aviation: as
marine: as
fire weather: sims
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Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
PRYC1 - 9415020 - Point Reyes, CA 33 mi41 min WNW 11 G 16 56°F1017.1 hPa
46013 - Bodega Bay - 48NM North Northwest of San Francisco, CA 34 mi29 min WNW 16 G 21 53°F 53°F1017.5 hPa53°F
DPXC1 - 9415141 - Davis Point, San Pablo Bay, CA 35 mi41 min WSW 8 G 12 64°F 1014.8 hPa
RCMC1 - 9414863 - Richmond, CA 38 mi41 min S 7 G 8 59°F 60°F1015.7 hPa
SFXC1 - San Francisco Bay Reserve, CA 40 mi74 min WNW 7 74°F 1014 hPa42°F
TIBC1 - Tiburon Pier, San Francisco Bay, CA 40 mi62 min NNE 4.1 61°F 1016 hPa
PPXC1 - 9414847 - Richmond (Point Potrero), CA 41 mi41 min SSW 9.9 G 13 57°F 1016.1 hPa
MZXC1 - 9415102 - Martinez-Amorco CA 41 mi41 min NW 12 G 14 69°F 63°F1015 hPa44°F
PCOC1 - 9415144 - Port Chicago, CA 44 mi41 min W 14 G 16 70°F 63°F1014.5 hPa
46237 - San Francisco Bar, CA (142) 45 mi59 min 55°F5 ft
FTPC1 - 9414290 - San Francisco, CA 45 mi41 min W 12 G 21 52°F 57°F1016.6 hPa
PXSC1 46 mi41 min 55°F 51°F
PXOC1 - 9414311 - San Francisco (Pier 1), CA 47 mi41 min W 8 G 14 54°F 1015.3 hPa
OKXC1 - 9414776 - Oakland (Berth 34), CA 47 mi41 min W 9.9 G 12 56°F 1016.3 hPa
46026 - SAN FRANCISCO - 18NM West of San Francisco, CA 47 mi69 min NW 14 G 18 52°F 55°F5 ft1017.2 hPa (-1.4)
OBXC1 47 mi41 min 56°F 51°F
OMHC1 - 9414769 - Oakland Middle Harbor Met, CA 48 mi41 min W 8.9 G 11
LNDC1 49 mi41 min WSW 8 G 9.9 58°F 1016.3 hPa

Wind History for Point Reyes, CA
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Santa Rosa, Santa Rosa Sonoma County Airport, CA8 mi66 minS 118.00 miSmoke67°F42°F41%1014.4 hPa
Petaluma Municipal Airport, CA13 mi64 minNW 8 G 1710.00 miFair61°F48°F63%1016.3 hPa
Novato / Gnoss Field, CA21 mi84 minN 1110.00 miFair73°F48°F41%1015.6 hPa

Wind History from STS (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrS8S7SE7S5CalmCalmS3CalmCalmS3CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmSW4CalmS4S5S10S11
1 day agoS3SW3CalmS3CalmNW5NW4W4CalmW3CalmNW3NW4CalmNW3N4NW3CalmNW33S33S6S8
2 days agoS6SE5S4CalmNW3CalmN5NW6NW6NW4CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmS3CalmS3S4S5

Tide / Current Tables for Upper drawbridge, Petaluma River, San Pablo Bay, California
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Upper drawbridge
Click for Map
Wed -- 01:18 AM PDT     6.26 feet High Tide
Wed -- 06:09 AM PDT     Moonrise
Wed -- 07:22 AM PDT     Sunrise
Wed -- 07:50 AM PDT     0.65 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 01:41 PM PDT     6.86 feet High Tide
Wed -- 06:19 PM PDT     Moonset
Wed -- 06:27 PM PDT     Sunset
Wed -- 08:25 PM PDT     0.37 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
5.56.26.15.44.22.81.60.90.71.22.545.56.66.86.35.13.62.110.40.51.42.8

Tide / Current Tables for Lakeville, Petaluma River, San Pablo Bay, California
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Lakeville
Click for Map
Wed -- 01:06 AM PDT     6.05 feet High Tide
Wed -- 06:08 AM PDT     Moonrise
Wed -- 07:22 AM PDT     Sunrise
Wed -- 07:41 AM PDT     0.65 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 01:28 PM PDT     6.63 feet High Tide
Wed -- 06:19 PM PDT     Moonset
Wed -- 06:27 PM PDT     Sunset
Wed -- 08:17 PM PDT     0.37 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
5.56.15.853.82.51.40.80.71.42.64.25.66.56.55.94.73.31.90.90.40.61.63

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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Weather Map
wmap_P
IR Satellite Image from GEOS
west_satellite

GOES Local Image of CentralWestCoast    EDIT
Geos

Wind Forecast for San Francisco/Monterey Bay Area, CA (19,4,5,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Sacramento, CA
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.