Wednesday, March29, 2017 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Port Tobacco Village, MD

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
5/19/2016 - There were issues with the 3 day airport observation history. I switched to another data source. Let me know if you see any issues with the data feeds.
3/12/2015 - Added section for Gulf current for users in the GMZ marine zones.
This was requested by a user. If you have requests, please let me know.

Sunrise 6:55AMSunset 7:31PM Wednesday March 29, 2017 5:06 AM EDT (09:06 UTC) Moonrise 7:09AMMoonset 8:27PM Illumination 4% Phase: Waxing Crescent; Moon at 2 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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ANZ536 Tidal Potomac From Indian Head To Cobb Island- 431 Am Edt Wed Mar 29 2017
.small craft advisory in effect through this afternoon...
Rest of the overnight..N winds 10 kt. Waves 1 ft. A slight chance of showers.
Today..N winds 5 to 10 kt with gusts to 20 kt. Waves 1 ft.
Tonight..N winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft.
Thu..E winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft.
Thu night..SE winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft. Rain likely.
Fri..SE winds 5 kt. Waves less than 1 ft. Rain with a chance of tstms.
Fri night..W winds around 5 kt. Waves 1 ft. Showers likely.
Sat..N winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft. Showers likely in the morning.
Sun..SE winds around 5 kt. Waves 1 ft. Winds and waves higher and visibilities lower in and near tstms.
ANZ500 431 Am Edt Wed Mar 29 2017
Synopsis for the tidal potomac and md portion of the chesapeake bay.. High pressure will build overhead through tonight before moving offshore Thursday. Low pressure will approach the waters Friday before passing through Friday night. High pressure will build over the waters during the weekend. Small craft advisories are possible Thursday night through Saturday.

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Port Tobacco Village, MD
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location: 38.44, -77.11     debug


Area Discussion for - Baltimore, MD/Washington
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Fxus61 klwx 290736
afdlwx
area forecast discussion
national weather service baltimore md/washington dc
336 am edt Wed mar 29 2017

Synopsis
High pressure will build overhead through tonight before moving
off the coast Thursday. Low pressure will pass through the area
Thursday night through Friday night and the cold front
associated with the low will pass through Saturday. High
pressure will return for Sunday before low pressure possibly
impacts the area Monday and Tuesday of next week.

Near term /through 6 pm this evening/
Ridge of high pressure will build into the region through the day
today behind the departing frontal system that brought the showers
and thunderstorms yesterday. There are still plenty of low clouds
and even some patchy fog and drizzle out there early this morning,
but as cool and dry air advection take hold, marked clearing is
expected to develop by mid to late morning. Overall a nice early
spring day with a northerly breeze from about 5 to 15 mph
gusting up to 20 mph. Highs 60-70f.

Short term /6 pm this evening through Friday night/
As ridge builds from central canada and into the northeastern
states, we'll see it wedge down the eastern us coastline tonight and
through Thursday, promoting northeasterly flow and cooler
temperatures. Main surge of this appears to occur overnight tonight
with shift to northeast winds and noticeable drop/gradient of 925mb
temperatures. Therefore while tonight will start mostly clear for
most locations, developing easterly flow may lead to the development
of a stratus deck of clouds, especially along the easterly upslope
favored locations across the highlands and blue ridge. Could even
see some light rain or drizzle develop towards morning in those
locations. Lows tonight 35-42f.

Cad will more or less remain in place in the low levels Thursday. At
the same time, low pressure system will be ejecting out of the
plains with warm/moist air advection. This will lead to clouds and
perhaps some showers by later in the day across western areas,
although the best forcing on Thursday will remain to the northwest.

Highs Thursday will remain in the 50s under the clouds/easterly
flow.

Warm and moist air advection continues Thursday night and with that
we'll see increasing chances for rain showers. Lows mainly in the
40s. Model guidance in good agreement that the low pressure system
will track east-northeastward from near st. Louis Thursday evening
to ohio by Friday afternoon, before redeveloping near the delmarva
late Friday and Friday night. Thus, most widespread coverage of rain
expected from Friday and into the first half of Friday night. We'll
also have to monitor how far north the warm sector can make it
Friday afternoon. Latest GFS indicates it may approach portions of
central va and southern md, so have introduced a chance of tstorms
there Friday afternoon. Highs on Friday 50-60f. Showers will
continue Friday night, but gradually begin to taper off as the low
pulls away.

Long term /Saturday through Tuesday/
Low pressure will move away from the area Saturday... But a weak
cold front associated with the low will pass through during the
afternoon and evening hours. A few showers cannot be ruled
out... But much of the time should turn out dry due to a
northwest flow and subsidence behind the departing low.

High pressure will build overhead for later Saturday night
through Sunday... Bringing dry and cool conditions.

High pressure will move offshore Monday and low pressure may
impact the area Monday night and Tuesday with unsettled
conditions possible.

Aviation /07z Wednesday through Sunday/
Lingering MVFR in some stratus early this morning will give way to
vfr and clearing skies by mid to late morning as drier air works
into the region.VFR will continue through this afternoon and
through at least the first half of tonight. Northerly winds from 5-
10 knots with gusts 15-18 knots expected through today.

Winds will turn northeasterly later tonight, and east-southeasterly
on Thursday. This will help usher in additional clouds, although
ceilings still expected to remainVFR. Highest chances for some MVFR
ceilings will be at cho and mrb.

Greater chances for sub-vfr conditions will occur Thursday night
through Friday night with widespread rainfall. Ifr conditions
likely.

A northwest flow will allow for cigs/vsbys to improve Saturday
behind departing low pressure... But a few showers cannot be
ruled out. High pressure will build overhead for Saturday night
through Sunday.

Marine
Light northerly flow to start the morning will increase during
the morning hours as northerly flow strengthens, and a small
craft advisory GOES into effect at 6 am for all of the waters.

Gusts will then taper off later this afternoon and SCA expires
at 6 pm for some of the waters. A second surge of northeasterly
winds is expected later tonight, and a SCA will continue for the
chesapeake bay and lower tidal potomac until 6 am Thursday.

Sub-sca winds then expected Thursday, with next potential for
increasing winds on Thursday night/Friday ahead of our next
system, especially across our southern waters.

Low pressure will move away from the waters Saturday and
northwest flow will develop. A small craft advisory may be
needed for portions of the waters during this time. High
pressure will build overhead Saturday night into Sunday before
moving offshore Monday.

Tides/coastal flooding
Low pressure will pass through the area Friday night. An
onshore flow will develop ahead of the low and this will cause
elevated water levels Friday into Friday night. Minor tidal
flooding near high tide is possible during this time.

Lwx watches/warnings/advisories
Dc... None.

Md... None.

Va... None.

Wv... None.

Marine... Small craft advisory until 6 am edt Thursday for anz530>534-
537-539>541-543.

Small craft advisory until 6 pm edt this evening for anz535-
536-538-542.

Synopsis... Bjl
near term... Mm
short term... Mm
long term... Bjl
aviation... Bjl/mm
marine... Bjl/mm
tides/coastal flooding... Bjl


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
NCDV2 9 mi54 min NW 6 G 8 60°F 50°F1015 hPa
WASD2 - 8594900 - Washington, DC 30 mi48 min N 5.1 G 8.9 60°F 52°F1015.2 hPa
BSLM2 - Chesapeake Bay, MD 32 mi156 min NNW 1.9 59°F 1015 hPa53°F
SLIM2 - 8577330 - Solomons Island, MD 36 mi48 min N 2.9 G 5.1 56°F 48°F
PPTM2 - 8578240 - Piney Point, MD 37 mi48 min N 8.9 G 9.9
44062 - Gooses Reef, MD 38 mi36 min NNE 3.9 G 3.9 50°F 1016 hPa
COVM2 - 8577018 - Cove Point LNG Pier, MD 39 mi48 min N 8.9 G 8.9 52°F 1015.8 hPa
LWTV2 - 8635750 - Lewisetta, VA 46 mi48 min N 6 G 8 56°F 51°F1014.8 hPa
TPLM2 - Thomas Point, MD 48 mi66 min N 4.1 G 5.1 55°F 47°F53°F

Wind History for Washington, DC
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Quantico Marine Corps Airfield - Turner Field, VA11 mi10 minNE 810.00 miOvercast59°F55°F90%1016.2 hPa
Stafford, Stafford Regional Airport, VA19 mi11 minNE 410.00 miOvercast58°F55°F93%1016.9 hPa
Fort Belvoir, VA20 mi68 minNNW 410.00 miOvercast58°F55°F88%1016.2 hPa
Fredericksburg, Shannon Airport, VA22 mi31 minN 510.00 miOvercast61°F55°F83%1015.6 hPa

Wind History from NYG (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrS5SW9S8W12SW7S8SW7W8NE75NE11S3CalmNW3SW3NW3NW7N7N10N8N7N5N10NE8
1 day agoE3NE4SE3CalmSE3SW5S3CalmSE5S7SW8S4S6SW6SW7SW7SW7S8SW7SW5SW6SW5SW7S11
2 days agoE10E9E8E7E8E6E7NE8NE9E9SE7E6E8E6E7E6E6NE5E6E6E4NE3NE3E5

Tide / Current Tables for Goose Bay, Port Tobacco River, Potomac River, Maryland
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Goose Bay
Click for Map
Wed -- 05:18 AM EDT     1.89 feet High Tide
Wed -- 06:57 AM EDT     Sunrise
Wed -- 08:08 AM EDT     Moonrise
Wed -- 12:04 PM EDT     -0.04 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 05:50 PM EDT     1.73 feet High Tide
Wed -- 07:29 PM EDT     Sunset
Wed -- 09:26 PM EDT     Moonset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
00.30.81.31.71.91.81.51.10.70.40.1-00.10.40.91.41.71.71.51.20.80.40.1

Tide / Current Tables for Maryland Point Light, Potomac River, Maryland
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Maryland Point Light
Click for Map
Wed -- 12:47 AM EDT     0.01 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 06:26 AM EDT     1.41 feet High Tide
Wed -- 06:58 AM EDT     Sunrise
Wed -- 08:09 AM EDT     Moonrise
Wed -- 01:27 PM EDT     -0.03 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 06:58 PM EDT     1.29 feet High Tide
Wed -- 07:29 PM EDT     Sunset
Wed -- 09:27 PM EDT     Moonset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
0.100.10.50.91.21.41.41.20.90.60.30.1-0-00.20.611.21.31.20.90.60.4

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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Weather Map
wmap_A
IR Satellite Image from GEOS
east_satellite

GOES Local Image of Mid-Atlantic    EDIT
Geos

Wind Forecast for Baltimore, MD/Washington (5,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Sterling, VA
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.