Wednesday, May22, 2019 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Taylors Island, MD

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
10/6/2018 Colors of tide XTide graphs changed to emphasize that they were upgraded. See next note. Comments welcome.
10/4/2018 I have fixed XTide and updated the harmonic files. There were some name changes so you might have to click EDIT to find the new station name.

Sunrise 5:45AMSunset 8:16PM Wednesday May 22, 2019 8:45 AM EDT (12:45 UTC) Moonrise 10:58PMMoonset 7:55AM Illumination 88% Phase: Waning Gibbous; Moon at 18 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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ANZ533 Chesapeake Bay From North Beach To Drum Point- 759 Am Edt Wed May 22 2019
Today..E winds 5 to 10 kt...becoming se late. Waves 1 ft.
Tonight..S winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 to 2 ft.
Thu..S winds 10 kt. Gusts up to 20 kt until late afternoon. Waves 2 ft. A chance of showers and tstms.
Thu night..SW winds 10 kt. Waves 1 ft. A chance of showers and tstms.
Fri..NW winds 10 kt with gusts to 20 kt. Waves 2 ft.
Fri night..NE winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft.
Sat..S winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 to 2 ft.
Sun..W winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft. A chance of showers through the night. Winds and waves higher and visibilities lower in and near tstms.
ANZ500 759 Am Edt Wed May 22 2019
Synopsis for the tidal potomac and md portion of the chesapeake bay.. High pressure will build overhead through tonight before moving offshore Wednesday. A warm front will approach the waters Wednesday night before passing through Thursday. A cold front will stall out near the waters late this week. A small craft advisory may be needed for portions of the waters late Wednesday night through Friday.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Taylors Island, MD
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location: 38.47, -76.25     debug


Area Discussion for - Wakefield, VA
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Fxus61 kakq 221055
afdakq
area forecast discussion
national weather service wakefield va
655 am edt Wed may 22 2019

Synopsis
High pressure settles immediately off the coast today into
tonight. This area of high pressure then shifts well off the
southeast coast Thursday into Thursday night as low pressure
passes north of the region.

Near term through tonight
As of 655 am edt Wednesday...

1025mb high pressure is centered near the qb on border early
this morning, and extends swd through the ERN great lakes and
into the mid-atlantic. Sunny and pleasant early this morning
with temperatures ranging from the upper 40s low 50s N and w, to
the low mid 50s over interior SE va NE nc, with readings in the
low 60s along the coastlines of ERN va NE nc. High pressure
will gradually shift toward a position immediately off the mid-
atlantic coast by this aftn. Mostly sunny and seasonal today,
with high temperatures ranging from the low mid 70s over the ern
shore (upper 60s immediate md atlantic coast) and coastal se
va NE nc, to the upper 70s around 80f well inland. A calm to
light NE wind this morning, will become SE this aftn. High
pressure remains near the coast tonight. Mostly clear much of
tonight, with an increase in mid and high clouds NW later
tonight. Low temperatures range from the mid 50s over the
interior ERN shore and interior SE va NE nc, to the upper
50s around 60f elsewhere.

Short term Thursday through Friday
As of 400 am edt Wednesday...

the mid upper level ridge axis will push offshore Thursday
morning as a shortwave trough tracks through ERN great lakes.

Meanwhile, the low-level flow will become sw, which will bring a
change in the airmass. High temperatures are forecast to reach
the mid 80s to around 90f across most of the area, with low 80s
for much of the ERN shore and coastal SE va NE nc, and upper 70s
at the immediate atlantic coast of the ERN shore. The
aforementioned shortwave trough will push across pa and nj
Thursday aftn and evening. This is expected to trigger
convection N of the region in a zone of 40-50kt 500mb flow and
35-45kt 700mb flow. Some tstms could move off the higher terrain
into the NW piedmont later Thursday aftn, and then tstms could
push into the NRN neck and md ERN shore by Thursday evening.

Forecast pops remain ~30% form the NW piedmont to the md ern
shore, bordered by 20% for much of the area, and less than 15%
far SRN va NE nc. SPC has continued a marginal risk for severe
tstms, and this is conditional on activity actually reaching the
local area.

The upper level ridge amplifies and builds back N Friday. Dry Friday
with high temperatures rising into the low 90s W of the bay, with
80s closer to the coast, after morning lows in the mid 60s to around
70f.

Long term Friday night through Tuesday
As of 250 pm edt Tuesday...

summerlike temperatures remaining above normal through the
extended forecast period as hi pres aloft remains centered ssw
of the fa INVOF central gulf states. Meanwhile... An anomalous
deep trough aloft will continue to largely remain out over the
wrn conus. Sfc warm front lifts N through the fa Fri night into
sat then W W flow aloft through the mid-atlantic ne
conus... That front will become hung up just N of the fa into
early next week. While isold convection possible both sat-sun
afternoons... Higher pops will be Mon afternoon as the trough
aloft sharpens through new england and a sfc cold front pushes
across the local area. Drying out cooling off tue.

Lows Fri night in the l-m60s N to the m-u60s se. Highs Sat in
the l-m80s E to the l90s w. Lows Sat night in the u60s-around
70f. Highs Sun in the 80s at the coast... L-m90s elsewhere. Lows
sun night in the u60s-around 70f. Highs Mon in the 80s E to the
l90s inland. Highs Tue from the u70s-l80s E to the m80s inland.

Aviation 12z Wednesday through Sunday
As of 655 am edt Wednesday...

high pressure remains centered N of the region as of 11z.

Mostly sunny early this morning with a 5-8kt NE wind
developing. High pressure gradually slides off the coast today
into tonight. The wind will become sse 5-10kt at ric sby this
aftn, and ese 5-10kt and phf orf ecg under a mostly sunny sky.

By tonight, a light SE wind will become SW under a mostly clear
sky.

There is a 20-30% chc of showers tstms (primarily ric-sby)
later Thursday aftn evening as a trough slides across the region
in NW flow aloft. Dry conditions are expected Friday through the
weekend as weak high pressure prevails over the region.

Marine
As of 415 am edt Wednesday...

high pressure will build into and over the area during today,
then slides off the coast tonight into thu. Expect nne winds
5-15 kt thru this morning, then become E or SE 5-10 kt this aftn
into this evening. Winds become sse 5-15 kt tonight, then ssw
winds increase to 10-20 kt Thu into Thu night in advance of the
next cold front. Seas could build to 5 ft over the NRN three
coastal zns Thu evening into Thu night, but have held off on any
sca headlines for snow. Winds will then turn nnw behind the
front on fri, but still remain below SCA levels. For this
weekend, E then SE winds around 10 kt expected on Sat and wsw
winds 5-15 kt on sun.

Climate
* avg date of 1st 90f (1981-2010 climatology):
* site avg 2019 value
* richmond: may 13th (sun 5 19)
* norfolk: may 16th (sun 5 19)
* salisbury: may 27th (none so far)
* eliz city: may 18th (sat 5 18)
* number of days of 90f+ in may:
* site avg most
* richmond: 2 days 11 days (1962)
* norfolk: 2 days 13 days (1880)
* salisbury: 1 day 7 days (1991)
* eliz city: 2 days 9 days (1944 & 1941)

Equipment
As of 410 am edt Wednesday...

kakq 88d down ufn. Awaiting parts to possibly arrive Thu or fri.

Akq watches warnings advisories
Md... None.

Nc... None.

Va... None.

Marine... None.

Synopsis... Ajz lkb
near term... Ajz
short term... Ajz lkb
long term... Alb
aviation... Ajz
marine... Jdm tmg
climate... Akq
equipment... Akq


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
COVM2 - 8577018 - Cove Point LNG Pier, MD 9 mi46 min ENE 8.9 G 11 62°F 1025.2 hPa (+2.1)
44062 - Gooses Reef, MD 11 mi40 min NE 12 G 14 63°F 1025.1 hPa
CA2 - 8571892 - Cambridge, MD 12 mi46 min 62°F 70°F1024.3 hPa (+2.1)
SLIM2 - 8577330 - Solomons Island, MD 15 mi46 min NE 5.1 G 8 63°F 68°F1024 hPa (+2.0)
BISM2 - 8571421 - Bishops Head, MD 21 mi46 min NE 9.9 G 13 63°F 69°F1024.4 hPa (+2.1)
PPTM2 - 8578240 - Piney Point, MD 28 mi46 min E 4.1 G 6
44042 - Potomac, MD 31 mi28 min ENE 14 G 16 65°F 68°F1023.8 hPa
TPLM2 - Thomas Point, MD 31 mi46 min NNE 11 G 12 62°F 66°F1025.6 hPa (+2.2)39°F
LWTV2 - 8635750 - Lewisetta, VA 35 mi46 min E 13 G 15 65°F 69°F1024.3 hPa (+2.2)
44063 - Annapolis 36 mi40 min E 9.7 G 12 64°F 67°F1024.8 hPa
APAM2 - 8575512 - Annapolis, MD 37 mi46 min 68°F 1024.3 hPa (+2.1)
CPVM2 37 mi46 min 64°F 40°F
NCDV2 43 mi46 min NE 1 G 4.1 64°F 71°F1024 hPa (+2.4)
WASD2 - 8594900 - Washington, DC 49 mi46 min Calm G 4.1 64°F 69°F1025.1 hPa (+2.0)

Wind History for Cove Point LNG Pier, MD
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Cambridge-Dorchester Airport, MD13 mi61 minNNE 410.00 miFair61°F44°F55%1024.4 hPa
Patuxent River, Naval Air Station, MD15 mi54 minNE 1010.00 miPartly Cloudy64°F44°F48%1024.4 hPa
St Marys County Airport, MD19 mi64 minENE 310.00 miFair59°F46°F63%1025.1 hPa
St. Inigoes, Webster Field, Naval Electronic Systems Engineering Activity, MD24 mi53 minNE 610.00 miFair66°F46°F49%1024 hPa

Wind History from CGE (wind in knots)
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Last 24hr------------------------------------------------
1 day ago------------------------------------------------
2 days ago------------------------------------------------

Tide / Current Tables for Smithville Road Bridge, Beaverdam Creek, Maryland
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Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.


Tide / Current Tables for Cove Point (1.1 mi. NE of), Maryland Current
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Cove Point (1.1 mi. NE of)
Click for Map
Wed -- 02:11 AM EDT     0.00 knots Slack
Wed -- 05:38 AM EDT     0.76 knots Max Flood
Wed -- 05:48 AM EDT     Sunrise
Wed -- 08:55 AM EDT     Moonset
Wed -- 09:14 AM EDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Wed -- 12:50 PM EDT     -0.75 knots Max Ebb
Wed -- 04:18 PM EDT     0.00 knots Slack
Wed -- 06:41 PM EDT     0.36 knots Max Flood
Wed -- 08:15 PM EDT     Sunset
Wed -- 09:47 PM EDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Wed -- 11:57 PM EDT     Moonrise
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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-0.4-0.3-0.10.30.50.70.70.60.40.1-0.2-0.5-0.7-0.7-0.6-0.4-0.10.20.30.40.30.1-0-0.2

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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GOES Local Image of Mid-Atlantic    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
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Wind Forecast for Wakefield, VA (8,2,3,4)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Dover AFB, DE
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.