Sunday, November18, 2018 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Taylors Island, MD

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
10/6/2018 Colors of tide XTide graphs changed to emphasize that they were upgraded. See next note. Comments welcome.
10/4/2018 I have fixed XTide and updated the harmonic files. There were some name changes so you might have to click EDIT to find the new station name.

Sunrise 6:49AMSunset 4:49PM Sunday November 18, 2018 11:14 AM EST (16:14 UTC) Moonrise 2:39PMMoonset 1:46AM Illumination 81% Phase: Waxing Gibbous; Moon at 11 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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ANZ533 Chesapeake Bay From North Beach To Drum Point- 936 Am Est Sun Nov 18 2018
Rest of today..SE winds 5 kt. Waves less than 1 ft.
Tonight..S winds 5 kt. Waves less than 1 ft.
Mon..SW winds 5 kt. Waves less than 1 ft.
Mon night..S winds 5 kt. Waves less than 1 ft. A chance of showers.
Tue..NW winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts to 20 kt. Waves 2 ft.
Tue night..NW winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts to 20 kt. Waves 2 ft.
Wed..NW winds 10 to 15 kt. Waves 1 to 2 ft.
Thu..NE winds 10 to 15 kt. Waves 2 to 3 ft.
ANZ500 936 Am Est Sun Nov 18 2018
Synopsis for the tidal potomac and md portion of the chesapeake bay.. High pressure over the waters today will shift off the new england coast tonight. SEveral waves of low pressure and their associated fronts will move near the waters through the middle of next week. Small craft advisories may be required for portions of the waters Tuesday and Tuesday night, and again Wednesday night into Thursday.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Taylors Island, MD
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location: 38.47, -76.25     debug


Area Discussion for - Wakefield, VA
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Fxus61 kakq 181140
afdakq
area forecast discussion
national weather service wakefield va
640 am est Sun nov 18 2018

Synopsis
High pressure remains near the local area into Monday, maintaining
dry weather. A weak disturbance approaches the region late
Monday.

Near term until 6 pm this evening
As of 330 am est Sunday...

latest surface analysis shows high pressure centered just north of
the region. This area of high pressure will drift northeast early
this morning into this afternoon. Mostly clear skies across the
region this morning with only a few higher clouds. Patchy fog has
developed across the region, particularly across the piedmont, with
visbilities dropping below 3 sm at times. Expect fog to remain
patchy in nature and dissipate fairly quickly after sunrise this
morning. Expect another pleasant day with dry conditions, mostly
sunny skies, and slightly warmer temperatures compared to yesterday.

Temperatures will remain slightly below normal this afternoon,
climbing up into the mid to upper 50s (lower 60s across the se).

Light winds this afternoon, mainly out of the S se.

Short term 6 pm this evening through Tuesday night
As of 330 am est Sunday...

a weak coastal trough develops off the north carolina coast during
the day on Monday bringing a slight chance for rain showers across
the far SE during the day on Monday. Moisture appears to be fairly
limited with this system, thus have left pops generally at or below
20% for this period. A weak cold front approaches the region from
the NW later in the day on Monday into Tuesday. This feature will
bring the chance for a few additional showers across the north, but
expecting not much in the way of any QPF across the local area. Best
forcing remains off to the north of the region, so expect a mainly
dry frontal passage Tuesday morning into Tuesday afternoon. High
pressure builds back into the region by Tuesday night.

Monday will feature slightly warmer temperatures as the region will
be in southerly flow ahead of the next system, expect highs
generally in the lower 60s. Continued to stay on the warmer side of
guidance for Tuesday, with highs expected to make it up into the mid
50s NW to lower 60s se. Overnight lows will range from the upper 30s
to lower 40s away from the coast both Sunday night and Monday night.

Cooler and drier air works into the region Tuesday night which will
allow for lows to drop back into the 30s for much of the area.

Long term Wednesday through Saturday
As of 400 pm est Saturday...

the medium range period looks to be relatively quiet with dry wx and
below normal temperatures through fri, then becoming unsettled by
next Sat as low pressure moves NE from the gulf of mexico. Latest
suite of 12z 17 models are in good agreement that a strong upper
level trough moves ese from hudson bay canada on Wed to the canadian
maritimes by 12z fri. Strong cold sfc high pressure (>1035 mb) will
build SE from the upper great lakes to the NE states on
thanksgiving, before settling from eastern ny state new england to
the mid-atlc by fri. After a dry cool but seasonal day on Wed with
highs in the upper 40s to mid 50s, temperatures really trend colder
for thanksgiving day and Fri with highs only in the 40s for the most
part even with ample sunshine. Lows will be mainly in the 30s wed
night, but down into the 20s for most of the region for thanksgiving
night Fri morning. By late Fri fri night into sat, the nw
flow confluent zone aloft shifts E off the new england coast and sfc
high pressure retreats to the ne. GFS is slowest to bring moisture
into the local area for sat, the gem ECMWF being a little faster.

Have gone with high chance to low-end likely pops by Sat aftn for
the piedmont with chance elsewhere. Highs will show the typical
cad wedge pattern, eventually reaching into the upper 50s to the
lower 60s over NE nc far SE va, while holding in the upper 40s lower
50s nw.

Aviation 12z Sunday through Thursday
As of 640 am est Sunday...

any patchy fog will dissipate shortly after sunrise and all sites
becomeVFR. Another dry day is anticipated for today with
increasing high level clouds later today into tonight. Winds are
either light and variable or calm this morning and will
increase to around 5 to 10 knots and become SE later this
afternoon.

Outlook: weak area of low pressure tracks across the region
Monday night into Tuesday bringing more cloud cover and the
potential for a few rain showers.VFR conditions are once again
expected late Tuesday through at least Thursday as high
pressure builds across the region.

Marine
As of 330 am est Sunday...

high pressure is centered from the ERN great lakes into the
mid-atlantic early this morning. The wind is generally NE 5-10kt,
with 2-3ft seas and ~1ft waves in the bay. High pressure will slide
offshore later today into tonight, with the wind becoming SE later
today, then SW Sunday night into Monday with speeds less than 15kt.

A weak area low pressure tracks across the NRN mid-atlantic Monday
night into early Tuesday. A cold front then moves through the area
Tuesday, with the wind becoming NW 10-15kt 15-20kt NRN ocean, then n
by Tuesday night. A brief period of SCA conditions are possible with
this CAA surge. High pressure briefly builds into the region
Wednesday, then another cold front pushes across the coast Wednesday
night as strong high pressure builds N of the region. CAA is more
robust with this front and will bring the potential for a period of
sca conditions. High pressure lingers over new england later in the
week resulting in persistent onshore flow. Seas will initially be 2-
3ft, then potentially build to 3-4ft later Tuesday into Tuesday
night, before subsiding to 2-3ft Wednesday, and then 4-6ft Wednesday
night into Thursday.

Hydrology
As of 1245 am est Sunday...

cancelled flood warning for richmond westham. River flood
warnings remain in effect for mattoax on the appomattox, on the
meherrin and sebrell on the nottoway. See flsakq for more site-
specific information

Akq watches warnings advisories
Md... None.

Nc... None.

Va... None.

Marine... None.

Synopsis... Ajb mam
near term... Ajb
short term... Ajb
long term... Lkb
aviation... Ajb
marine... Ajz
hydrology...



Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
COVM2 - 8577018 - Cove Point LNG Pier, MD 9 mi45 min S 9.9 G 12 46°F 1028.9 hPa
44062 - Gooses Reef, MD 11 mi45 min 47°F 1028.7 hPa
CA2 - 8571892 - Cambridge, MD 12 mi45 min 48°F 48°F1028.3 hPa
SLIM2 - 8577330 - Solomons Island, MD 15 mi45 min SE 8 G 9.9 46°F 52°F1028.1 hPa
BISM2 - 8571421 - Bishops Head, MD 21 mi45 min E 6 G 8.9 47°F 47°F1028.6 hPa
PPTM2 - 8578240 - Piney Point, MD 28 mi51 min SSE 8 G 9.9
TPLM2 - Thomas Point, MD 31 mi75 min ESE 6 G 7 44°F 48°F1029.4 hPa (+0.0)33°F
44042 - Potomac, MD 31 mi45 min SE 7.8 G 9.7 47°F 1027.7 hPa
BSLM2 - Chesapeake Bay, MD 32 mi105 min Calm 37°F 1029 hPa35°F
LWTV2 - 8635750 - Lewisetta, VA 35 mi45 min ESE 6 G 7 47°F 47°F1028.1 hPa
44063 - Annapolis 36 mi39 min 44°F 1029 hPa
APAM2 - 8575512 - Annapolis, MD 37 mi45 min 45°F 1028.2 hPa
CPVM2 37 mi45 min 45°F 33°F
NCDV2 43 mi45 min SE 8 G 9.9 47°F 47°F1027.6 hPa
WASD2 - 8594900 - Washington, DC 49 mi45 min SW 1.9 G 2.9 46°F 46°F1028.6 hPa

Wind History for Cove Point LNG Pier, MD
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Cambridge-Dorchester Airport, MD13 mi95 minESE 710.00 miFair45°F35°F71%1028.8 hPa
Patuxent River, Naval Air Station, MD15 mi83 minESE 910.00 miPartly Cloudy50°F37°F63%1028.4 hPa
St Marys County Airport, MD19 mi92 minE 510.00 miFair45°F35°F71%1028.8 hPa
St. Inigoes, Webster Field, Naval Electronic Systems Engineering Activity, MD24 mi82 minE 610.00 miFair48°F37°F68%1028.1 hPa

Wind History from CGE (wind in knots)
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NW8NW8NW3CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmE3SE7
1 day agoNW9
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2 days agoN7N10NE11
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Tide / Current Tables for Smithville Road Bridge, Beaverdam Creek, Maryland
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Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.


Tide / Current Tables for Cove Point (1.1 mi. NE of), Maryland Current
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Cove Point (1.1 mi. NE of)
Click for Map
Sun -- 01:26 AM EST     -0.00 knots Slack
Sun -- 01:46 AM EST     Moonset
Sun -- 05:04 AM EST     -0.53 knots Max Ebb
Sun -- 06:50 AM EST     Sunrise
Sun -- 07:58 AM EST     0.00 knots Slack
Sun -- 11:02 AM EST     0.57 knots Max Flood
Sun -- 02:39 PM EST     Moonrise
Sun -- 02:45 PM EST     -0.00 knots Slack
Sun -- 04:50 PM EST     Sunset
Sun -- 05:51 PM EST     -0.48 knots Max Ebb
Sun -- 08:42 PM EST     0.00 knots Slack
Sun -- 11:16 PM EST     0.38 knots Max Flood
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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0.30.1-0.1-0.3-0.5-0.5-0.5-0.300.30.50.60.50.40.2-0.1-0.3-0.4-0.5-0.4-0.20.10.30.4

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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wmap_A
GOES Local Image of Mid-Atlantic    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
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Wind Forecast for Wakefield, VA (11,2,3,4)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Dover AFB, DE
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.