Sunday, March26, 2017 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Church Creek, MD

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
5/19/2016 - There were issues with the 3 day airport observation history. I switched to another data source. Let me know if you see any issues with the data feeds.
3/12/2015 - Added section for Gulf current for users in the GMZ marine zones.
This was requested by a user. If you have requests, please let me know.

Sunrise 6:55AMSunset 7:24PM Sunday March 26, 2017 1:29 AM EDT (05:29 UTC) Moonrise 5:14AMMoonset 4:56PM Illumination 2% Phase: Waning Crescent; Moon at 28 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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ANZ541 Choptank River To Cambridge Md And The Little Choptank River- 1031 Pm Edt Sat Mar 25 2017
.small craft advisory in effect from 3 am edt Sunday through Sunday evening...
Rest of tonight..E winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts to 20 kt. Waves 1 to 2 ft.
Sun..E winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts to 20 kt. Waves 1 to 2 ft. Patchy drizzle.
Sun night..SE winds 10 kt with gusts to 20 kt. Waves 1 ft. A chance of rain with patchy drizzle.
Mon..S winds 10 kt. Waves 1 ft. A chance of showers.
Mon night..S winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft. A chance of showers.
Tue..S winds 5 kt. Waves less than 1 ft. A chance of showers and tstms.
Tue night..SW winds 5 to 10 kt...becoming nw after midnight. Waves 1 ft. A chance of showers.
Wed..N winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft. A chance of showers in the morning.
Thu..N winds 5 to 10 kt...becoming se. Waves 1 ft. A chance of showers through the night. Winds and waves higher and visibilities lower in and near tstms.
ANZ500 1031 Pm Edt Sat Mar 25 2017
Synopsis for the tidal potomac and md portion of the chesapeake bay.. High pressure will remain over bermuda through today. A backdoor cold front will pass through the area tonight before returning north as a warm front Monday. A cold front is expected to cross the chesapeake bay region Tuesday night. Small craft advisories are likely Sunday night through Monday. Another small craft advisory is possible Wednesday behind the cold front.

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Church Creek, MD
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location: 38.5, -76.17     debug


Area Discussion for - Wakefield, VA
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Fxus61 kakq 260148
afdakq
area forecast discussion
national weather service wakefield va
948 pm edt Sat mar 25 2017

Synopsis
High pressure remains offshore the southeast coast through
Monday. A weak frontal boundary drops south to the delmarva
Sunday morning before lifting back to the north Sunday night
and Monday. A cold front crosses the region late Tuesday through
Tuesday night.

Near term /through Sunday/
The current surface analysis shows 1036mb high pressure centered
over qb and ridging swd through the hudson valley across nj into
the NRN delmarva, with another high centered well off the
southeast coast. A backdoor cold front is located between these
high pressure systems near the md/de border. High clouds
continue to stream overhead with mostly cloudy conditions
across the region. Temperatures ahead of the front are in the
60s, with low 50s in the wake of the front. 4mb/3hr pressure
rises from the SRN new england coast into nj are nudging the
backdoor front to the s, which should push through the lower md
ern shore late this evening, and then settle over the NRN neck
overnight.

Remaining dry overnight ahead of low pres lifting ene from the
mid ms valley into the oh valley. Onshore flow in the wake of
the backdoor front could result in increasing low clouds across
the ERN shore. Elsewhere, a S wind will prevail under mainly
bkn-ovc cirrus farther s. Lows m-u40s on the ERN shore to the
l-m50s elsewhere. Will have mention of patchy fog late (after 5
am) though not anticipating dense fog.

Weakening low pres (sfc-aloft) will continue to track NE the
great lakes sun-sun night... Pushing a weak low level boundary
into/across the fa. Only slgt forcing aloft w/ this
system... Which will likely limit pcpn coverage. Did raise sky
cover to mostly cloudy/cloudy ERN shore and partly-mostly cloudy
elsewhere. Upper level shortwave brushes NW zones late and will
have a 20-30% pops mainly confined to the NW after 21z. Highs
sun to show a strong gradient with temperatures likely stuck in
the 50s in low clouds over the md eastern shore, with l-m70s
inland (in va/ne nc).

Short term /Sunday night through Tuesday/
Lows Sun night in the u40s- around 50f on the ERN shore to the
l-m50s elsewhere, with mainly dry conds and partly cloudy skies.

Initial system lifts into/through new england mon... Leaving fa
w/ continued mild/warm conditions as hi pres (sfc-aloft) remains
invof SE CONUS coast. Vrb clouds Mon w/ pops mainly AOB 20%,
though will have a small area of 30% pops across the far n
through midday. Highs should warm a few degrees compared to
Sunday, into the mid-upper 70s over much of va and interior
northeast nc to the upper 60s to lower 70s near the coast and
over the eastern shore. Upper level ridging to keep it mainly
dry and continued warm Mon night with lows in the 50s. Upper
level trough pushes into the area on Tue as a sfc cold front
passes by late. Continued warm with highs well into the 70s to
near 80 f if rain holds off. There will be a higher chance for
showers and aftn tstms. Will continue with 40-50% pops for now
given some continued timing differences between the gfs/gefs
and slightly slower ecmwf.

Long term /Tuesday night through Saturday/
Low pressure and assoc cold front will be pushing acrs the
region and off the coast Tue night into early Wed morning,
maintaining slgt chc or chc of showers. Dry wx expected for wed
thru most of thu, as high pressure builds in fm the n. Chance
for more showers and possible tstms then Thu night into at
least the first part of sat, as low pressure and another assoc
cold front approaches and moves acrs the region.

Highs in the mid 60s to lower 70s wed, in the mid 50s to mid 60s
thu and fri, and in the 60s to lower 70s sat. Lows in the mid
40s to lower 50s Tue night, in the lower to mid 40s Wed night
and Thu night, and in the mid 40s to lower 50s Fri night.

Aviation /02z Sunday through Thursday/
Vfr conditions over the entire area early this evening. A
stationary front over southern md this evening will move
farther south later tonight. MVFR/ifr ceilings are expected to
develop as the front moves into central va by Sun morning. Winds
will shift to n-ne behind the front and allow for lower ceilings
over eastern portions of the area.

MVFR and potentially ifr conditions will be possible early Sunday
morning, mainly after 10z, at ric/sby due to patchy fog/low
ceilings. Conditions should improve by late Sunday morning besides
sby where low ceilings may linger into Sunday afternoon. A few
showers will be possible by the end of the forecast period.

Outlook: unsettled weather conditions will persist across the region
through mid-week. Sub-vfr conditions will be possible late overnight
and into the early morning hours primarily due to low ceilings.

Scattered showers and thunderstorms will also be possible late
Sunday night into Monday and once again late Tuesday into Wednesday.

Periods of reduced aviation conditions will be possible during times
of precipitation.

Marine
No headlines in the short term tonight thru mon. Late this aftn,
high pressure was cntrd well off the mid atlc coast. While low
pressure was over missouri, with a frontal boundary extending
ewrd acrs the oh valley and pa, then off the nj coast. The
frontal boundary will drop down thru the lower md ERN shore for
late tonight thru sun, before lifting back north of that area
sun night into early Mon morning, as the low lifts NE into the
great lakes. Another low pressure area and assoc cold front will
then track fm the SRN plains ene and acrs the region Mon into
early Wed morning. Other than winds turning to the E or SE for
late tonight thru sun, expect SW or S winds 15 kt or less this
evening thru tue.

As low pressure moves out to sea late Tue night thru wed
morning, winds will turn to the NW then N arnd 10 kt or less.

High pressure will build in fm the N for Wed night and thu, with
ne winds 15 kt or less.

Akq watches/warnings/advisories
Md... None.

Nc... None.

Va... None.

Marine... None.

Synopsis... Lkb
near term... Lkb/ajz
short term... Alb/lkb
long term... Tmg
aviation... Ajb/jef
marine... Tmg


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
CA2 - 8571892 - Cambridge, MD 7 mi42 min ENE 13 G 18 48°F 49°F1023.7 hPa
COVM2 - 8577018 - Cove Point LNG Pier, MD 13 mi42 min ENE 1.9 G 6 50°F 1024.2 hPa
44062 - Gooses Reef, MD 14 mi30 min ENE 5.8 G 7.8 49°F 46°F1 ft1024.7 hPa (+1.8)
SLIM2 - 8577330 - Solomons Island, MD 19 mi48 min ENE 8 G 11 56°F 46°F
BISM2 - 8571421 - Bishops Head, MD 21 mi42 min NNE 9.9 G 12 51°F 52°F1023.7 hPa
TPLM2 - Thomas Point, MD 31 mi30 min ENE 15 G 16 50°F 45°F42°F
PPTM2 - 8578240 - Piney Point, MD 32 mi42 min ENE 8 G 8.9
44042 - Potomac, MD 33 mi30 min SE 3.9 G 5.8 52°F 46°F1021.9 hPa (-0.0)
BSLM2 - Chesapeake Bay, MD 34 mi120 min NE 5.1 60°F 1023 hPa48°F
CPVM2 36 mi42 min 51°F 44°F
APAM2 - 8575512 - Annapolis, MD 37 mi42 min 52°F 1024.6 hPa
LWTV2 - 8635750 - Lewisetta, VA 38 mi42 min SW 4.1 G 5.1 64°F 49°F1022.2 hPa
NCDV2 48 mi42 min ESE 2.9 G 2.9 57°F 53°F1021.7 hPa
TCBM2 - 8573364 - Tolchester Beach, MD 49 mi42 min E 7 G 11 51°F 48°F1025.4 hPa

Wind History for Cambridge, MD
(wind in knots)    EDIT      (on/off)   Help
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Cambridge-Dorchester Airport, MD8 mi50 minENE 9 G 1410.00 miFair48°F44°F87%1024.4 hPa
Patuxent River, Naval Air Station, MD19 mi38 minE 710.00 miMostly Cloudy54°F51°F90%1023.4 hPa
Easton / Newman Field, MD22 mi30 minE 10 G 1710.00 miPartly Cloudy49°F41°F73%1026.1 hPa
St Marys County Airport, MD24 mi49 minE 310.00 miMostly Cloudy55°F48°F77%1023.7 hPa

Wind History from CGE (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrS7
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S7S6S7S6S43565SW633SW6S5CalmS4SE6S5SE5NE8E6
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1 day agoSE4SE6S4S10S85
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2 days agoN8N5NE4
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NE6N66N5N4
G10
N11NW4CalmSE5SE3SE4CalmCalmSE5SE6

Tide / Current Tables for Woolford, Church Creek, Little Choptank River, Maryland
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Woolford
Click for Map
Sun -- 02:34 AM EDT     1.56 feet High Tide
Sun -- 06:13 AM EDT     Moonrise
Sun -- 06:58 AM EDT     Sunrise
Sun -- 09:29 AM EDT     0.01 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 03:10 PM EDT     1.64 feet High Tide
Sun -- 05:56 PM EDT     Moonset
Sun -- 07:22 PM EDT     Sunset
Sun -- 09:59 PM EDT     0.19 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
0.91.31.51.51.41.10.80.50.2000.30.71.11.51.61.61.41.10.80.50.30.20.3

Tide / Current Tables for Cove Point (1.1 mi. NE of), Maryland Current
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Cove Point (1.1 mi. NE of)
Click for Map
Sun -- 02:14 AM EDT     0.53 knots Max Flood
Sun -- 05:28 AM EDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Sun -- 06:14 AM EDT     Moonrise
Sun -- 06:59 AM EDT     Sunrise
Sun -- 08:45 AM EDT     -0.55 knots Max Ebb
Sun -- 11:32 AM EDT     0.00 knots Slack
Sun -- 02:29 PM EDT     0.62 knots Max Flood
Sun -- 05:48 PM EDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Sun -- 05:57 PM EDT     Moonset
Sun -- 07:23 PM EDT     Sunset
Sun -- 09:08 PM EDT     -0.62 knots Max Ebb
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
0.20.40.50.50.30.1-0.1-0.4-0.5-0.5-0.4-0.20.20.40.60.60.50.2-0.1-0.3-0.5-0.6-0.6-0.3

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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Weather Map
wmap_A
IR Satellite Image from GEOS
east_satellite

GOES Local Image of Mid-Atlantic    EDIT
Geos

Wind Forecast for Wakefield, VA (1,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Dover AFB, DE
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.