Wednesday, August16, 2017 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Ventnor City, NJ

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
6/25/2017 - NOAA is having a major issue that impact the 7 day forecast load times. Many users are reporting problems. The issue has been reported.
5/23/2017 - Worked with NOAA again to speed up the 7 day forecast load times. Thanks to them for being responsive.
5/19/2016 - There were issues with the 3 day airport observation history. I switched to another data source. Let me know if you see any issues with the data feeds.

Sunrise 6:11AMSunset 7:52PM Wednesday August 16, 2017 11:22 AM EDT (15:22 UTC) Moonrise 12:51AMMoonset 3:18PM Illumination 31% Phase: Waning Crescent; Moon at 24 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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This is a Weather Statement Zone, please check the Date to see if it has expired
ANZ470 705 Pm Edt Wed Aug 2 2017
.strong Thunderstorms over the waters... The areas affected include... Coastal waters from little egg inlet to great egg inlet nj out 20 nm... Coastal waters from manasquan inlet to little egg inlet nj out 20 nm... Coastal waters from sandy hook to manasquan inlet nj out 20 nm... Waters from manasquan inlet nj to little egg inlet nj out 20 to 40 nm... Waters from sandy hook nj to manasquan inlet nj out 20 to 40 nm... At 653 pm edt...doppler radar indicated strong Thunderstorms... Capable of producing winds to around 30 knots. These Thunderstorms were located along a line extending from axel carlson reef to garden state south reef to great egg inlet...moving east at 10 knots. Locations impacted include... SEa girt reef...atlantic city...little egg reef... Atlantic city reef...ship bottom...great egg inlet... Barnegat light reef...garden state south reef...axel carlson reef... Harvey cedars...great egg reef...lavallette...beach haven... Barnegat light...north beach haven...garden state north reef... Shark river reef...point pleasant beach... Little egg inlet and seaside park. Precautionary/preparedness actions... Mariners can expect gusty winds to around 30 knots...locally higher waves...and lightning strikes. Boaters should seek safe harbor immediately until these storms pass. Occasional lightning is occurring with these storms. If caught on the open water stay below deck if possible...keep away from ungrounded metal objects. && lat...lon 3952 7369 3918 7425 3930 7459 3961 7421 4017 7403 4013 7354 3999 7342
ANZ400 910 Am Edt Wed Aug 16 2017
Synopsis for the coastal waters from sandy hook nj to fenwick island de and for delaware bay.. High pressure will build across the region today before moving offshore on Thursday. A warm front will lift northward towards the area late Thursday and then moves through the area on Friday. A cold front will approach from the west on Friday, pushing through the region Friday night through Saturday. High pressure returns for Sunday through Tuesday.

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Ventnor City, NJ
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location: 38.51, -73.33     debug


Area Discussion for - Philadelphia/Mount Holly, PA
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Fxus61 kphi 161317
afdphi
area forecast discussion
national weather service mount holly nj
917 am edt Wed aug 16 2017

Synopsis
High pressure will build across the region today before moving
offshore on Thursday. A warm front will lift northward towards the
area late Thursday and then moves through the area on Friday. A cold
front will approach from the west on Friday, pushing through the
region Friday night through Saturday. High pressure returns for
Sunday through Tuesday.

Near term until 6 pm this evening
High pressure builds in from the west today. Morning sunshine
will give way to diurnally driven afternoon scattered to broken
clouds.

Light northwest wind trends west during the afternoon with sea
breezes along the coast.

With a weak wind shift (drier dewpoints) developing across our
area very late this afternoon near or north of i78... Its not
impossible to see a sprinkle in parts of E central or SE pa and
central or S nj toward sunset. Hrrrx and nssl WRF have it.

Blended pops and review of ki suggest not forecasting a sprinkle
in nj or de but instead leave it for the southern part of de.

Forecast basis was a 50 50 blend of the 00z 16 GFS nam mos
guidance.

Max temps a couple of degrees above normal.

High risk for dangerous rc formation continues per the 13
second 4-5 ft SE swell from gert, washing ashore.

Short term 6 pm this evening through 6 am Thursday
Again, its not impossible to see isolated sprinkles vcnty
philly to acy at 00z down into S de but not lasting long.

Otherwise becoming mostly clear.

The wind shift progresses southward to near phl by 12z Thursday.

Light north-northeast wind to its north and and light south to
southwest to its south.

Cooler and much more comfortable i78 northward, though short
lived.

Patchy fog probably forms toward dawn Thursday, but not nearly
to the extent we see it this morning and not expecting a dense
fog advy situation.

Forecast basis was a 50 50 blend of the 00z 16 GFS nam mos
guidance.

Long term Thursday through Tuesday
High pressure will start to slide offshore on Thursday with a warm
front developing across virginia. The warm front will push northward
on Thursday and will start to move into our area late Thursday,
pushing through the region on Friday. Showers and thunderstorms will
start to develop just north of and along the warm front on Thursday
afternoon and evening and then will overspread the region Thursday
night and Friday as a warmer and moister airmass moves into the mid-
atlantic.

A cold front will approach the region from the west on Friday,
crossing the region late Friday through Saturday. Another round of
showers and thunderstorms are expected as the front moves through
our area. Good shear and forcing across the area means some
storms may be strong, possibly severe, and with pwats running
high again, heavy rain will also be a threat. SPC has a marginal
risk for severe storms just to our west at this time.

Some cooler air should arrive behind the front but it isn't all
that cool or dry so little relief is expected. A shortwave will
cross through the region on Saturday keeping the chance for
showers and thunderstorms throughout Saturday evening. As the
wave pushes to the east, the showers thunderstorms will decrease
in coverage and drier air will start to move in.

High pressure will build in for Sunday and a period of relatively
nice weather should continue for the start of the week with the high
shifting offshore on Monday. Another frontal system will approach
the region for Tuesday Wednesday with another chance for showers and
thunderstorms.

Aviation 13z Wednesday through Sunday
The following discussion is for kphl, kpne, kttn, kabe, krdg,
kilg, kmiv, kacy and surrounding areas.

Remaining ifr MVFR stratus fog dissipates by 14z. ThenVFR sct-
bkn clouds AOA 4000 ft develop midday with a west-northwest
wind trending west to southwest late in the afternoon except sea
breezes developing vcnty kacy. Isolated light showers possible
se pa to S nj after 21z. I think the NAM tsec is best for fcstg
low lvl rh changes. Narre has completely missed the dense fog in
our area, yet unexpectedly to me has a stratus deck lingering
to around 15z.

Tonight... After any isolated light showers vcnty kilg kphl kacy
southward end by 01z, aVFR night with a wind shift progressing
southward to near kphl by 12z thu. Winds turn light north-northeast
north of the boundary and are light south to southwest to its
south.

Patchy ifr fog stratus may form in the nj and DELMARVA countryside
between 07z-10z 17, but not nearly to the extent of what we see saw
this morning.

Outlook:
Thursday... MainlyVFR conditions expected. Sub-vfr conditions in
afternoon evening showers and thunderstorms. Fog possible early
Thursday morning and again late Thursday night.

Friday... Fog possible early morning. Sub-vfr conditions in showers
and thunderstorms.

Saturday... MVFR conditions expected scattered showers and
thunderstorms possible. Improving conditions late.

Sunday... MainlyVFR conditions expected.

Marine
Seas are around 5 feet at the buoys off the nj de coast as
hurricane gert heads enewd well offshore toward the north
central atlc. Longer period swell from gert is reaching the
buoys (generally 12-13 seconds) and will continue this morning
then easing slowly this afternoon and evening. Small craft
advisory for seas continues.

Light northwest flow this morning becomes southeast to south
sea breezes during this afternoon. A wind shift back to
northerly should develop for the nj coastal waters late
Wednesday night.

Some fog may develop near the coast and near delaware bay early
today, with visibility restrictions possible. However, this fog
should dissipate rapidly after sunrise with a nice day expected,
save for the aforementioned higher seas.

Outlook...

Thursday thru Sunday... Sub-small craft advisory conditions
expected on the area waters through Sunday. Some gusts around
20-25 knots are possible Friday afternoon and evening. Showers
and thunderstorms possible late Thursday through Saturday, with
locally higher seas and winds.

Rip currents...

a high risk for the development of dangerous rip currents is
in effect today. Long period swells from hurricane gert will
continue to impact the coasts of delaware and new jersey.

Swim only in the presence of lifeguards where safety prevails
and if beaches are closed... Respect the decisions of the local
officials. Do we need a reminder? There have been numerous
drowning fatalities this year along the nj coast, and most of
those at unguarded beaches.

Phi watches warnings advisories
Pa... None.

Nj... High rip current risk until 9 pm edt this evening for njz014-
024>026.

De... High rip current risk until 9 pm edt this evening for dez004.

Md... None.

Marine... Small craft advisory for hazardous seas until 2 pm edt this
afternoon for anz450>455.

Synopsis... Meola
near term... Drag mps
short term... Drag
long term... Meola
aviation... Drag meola
marine... Drag meola


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
44009 - DELAWARE BAY 26 NM Southeast of Cape May, NJ 73 mi93 min NW 12 G 14 75°F 76°F3 ft1015.6 hPa (+1.1)73°F
ACYN4 - 8534720 - Atlantic City, NJ 82 mi53 min 79°F 75°F1015.4 hPa

Wind History for Cape May, NJ
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Wildwood, Cape May County Airport, NJ90 mi28 minWNW 88.00 miMostly Cloudy78°F72°F82%1016 hPa

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Last 24hr--------------------------E4NE3CalmNE3CalmCalmN3CalmNW3NW6W6
1 day agoE4SE6S7SE5SE4SE6SE7SE7SE5CalmE4E3SE4SE5S3SE5S4CalmCalmSE3CalmCalm----
2 days agoNW6NW7W8W9W8W7W7W5W3--CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmNE4NE4

Tide / Current Tables for Waretown, Barnegat Bay, New Jersey
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Waretown
Click for Map
Wed -- 12:09 AM EDT     0.08 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 12:54 AM EDT     Moonrise
Wed -- 05:37 AM EDT     0.55 feet High Tide
Wed -- 06:11 AM EDT     Sunrise
Wed -- 12:16 PM EDT     0.05 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 03:22 PM EDT     Moonset
Wed -- 06:13 PM EDT     0.66 feet High Tide
Wed -- 07:49 PM EDT     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
0.10.10.20.30.50.50.50.50.40.30.20.100.10.20.30.50.60.70.60.60.40.30.2

Tide / Current Tables for Atlantic City, Atlantic Ocean, New Jersey
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Atlantic City
Click for Map
Wed -- 12:54 AM EDT     Moonrise
Wed -- 02:37 AM EDT     3.87 feet High Tide
Wed -- 06:11 AM EDT     Sunrise
Wed -- 08:46 AM EDT     0.25 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 03:18 PM EDT     4.79 feet High Tide
Wed -- 03:24 PM EDT     Moonset
Wed -- 07:51 PM EDT     Sunset
Wed -- 09:52 PM EDT     0.47 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
2.73.43.83.83.52.81.810.40.30.71.52.73.74.44.84.74.13.32.21.30.70.50.8

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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Weather Map
wmap_A
IR Satellite Image from GEOS
east_satellite

GOES Local Image of Mid-Atlantic    EDIT
Geos

Wind Forecast for Philadelphia/Mount Holly, PA (11,2,3,4)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Philadelphia, PA
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.