Monday, March25, 2019

Marine Weather and Tides
Sharon Springs, KS

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
10/6/2018 Colors of tide XTide graphs changed to emphasize that they were upgraded. See next note. Comments welcome.
10/4/2018 I have fixed XTide and updated the harmonic files. There were some name changes so you might have to click EDIT to find the new station name.

Sunrise 7:37AMSunset 8:01PM Monday March 25, 2019 12:40 AM CDT (05:40 UTC) Moonrise 12:00AMMoonset 9:53AM Illumination 82% Phase: Waning Gibbous; Moon at 19 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Sharon Springs, KS
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location: 38.89, -101.75     debug

Area Discussion for - Goodland, KS
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Fxus63 kgld 250000
area forecast discussion
national weather service goodland ks
600 pm mdt Sun mar 24 2019

Short term (this evening through Monday night)
issued at 228 pm mdt Sun mar 24 2019
forecast issues will be chance coverage of precipitation into Monday
afternoon and what if any fog there will be tonight and again Monday
night. Satellite continuing to show an amplified from the pacific
into north america. As far as mid and upper levels are concerned
models started out well.

Tonight Monday... Where the models had trouble today was not enough
cloud cover and too warm of temperatures. Currently clouds are
slowly lifting moving to the east. However clouds should quickly
fill in near and after sunset due to light upslope flow bringing
back the most low level air mass and lift from incoming complex but
shortwave trough from the west.

As shown yesterday the system and precipitation comes through in
parts and different times. The initial system will affect the far
west central and southern portions of the area. This system rather
strong per PV analysis. This is going in a little further south.

Another shortwave embedded in the overall upper trough starts
affect the rest of the area from mid evening into the overnight

Finally the very strong northern portion of the system starts coming
through later tonight into tomorrow morning. The models are in good
agreement on this system and are much stronger than yesterday.

Models shows very favorable theta-e lapse rates, near zero or
slightly negative over the entire area through most of this period.

Consensus of model output would support highest chances of
precipitation most of the precipitation in the northern and southern
sections. Due to the most sunshine and models showing some low
amounts of cape, the western portions of the area could have
thunderstorms in the evening.

There was patchy light fog across portions of the area this morning.

Prior to after precipitation, high resolution guidance is showing
the possibility of fog developing. So will probably have a patchy
fog mention from later tonight into early tomorrow morning. Also
winds behind the system on Monday may get stronger than what I have
in there due to some decent subsidence. Clouds should linger through
the day due to downslope winds not making it across the entire
area. So to the blend and lowered its maxes slightly.

Monday night... There will be a light southerly return flow across
most of the area during the night. Expecting a the air to become
moist enough to at least get some stratus. Some indications of fog
developing but not completely sold on that so will keep fog out for

Long term (Monday night through Sunday)
issued at 254 pm mdt Sun mar 24 2019
Tuesday, high pressure will increase bringing in warmer and drier
conditions. Residents can expect daily highs up to the mid 60s to
lower 70s Tuesday afternoon, and upper 70s to lower 80s on

Wednesday, rh values will drop into the upper teens, and as the
ridge move east, we give way to a tightening pressure gradient
building in over our area. This will translate to faster wind
speeds at the surface potentially 20-25 mph with higher gusts.

These breezy conditions, in combination with low rh values, could
allow us to see some fire weather warning criteria being met come
Wednesday afternoon.

Wednesday night, there is a small chance of showers and
thunderstorms as a shortwave moves across the easternmost portion
of our cwa. But, Wednesday night's shortwave is just a precursor
of a more active weather pattern to come.

Our next frontal system will move across the area come Thursday
night. Guidance has come into better alignment today favoring a
closed low system over an open wave pattern. This isn't the best
news for us. Although the system is day 5, this could develop
into a major storm system (given which model you believe in,) but
for current consistency stake, went with superblend and left just
a rain to snow transition lasting through Saturday evening.

Expecting some strong winds with this event as well. But at this
time, not ready to commit to strong messaging as things can still
change quite a bit in the next 2 days. Come Saturday night into
Sunday morning, we will finally have a break briefly, with some
chances of showers and storms Sunday afternoon.

Aviation (for the 00z tafs through 00z Monday evening)
issued at 538 pm mdt Sun mar 24 2019
isolated to scattered rain showers will move across the central
high plains region tonight through Monday morning. As these
showers move across the gld TAF site, conditions will go fromVFR
to MVFR between 12-18z and return toVFR after 18z as the showers
pass to the east. Mck will have more lower clouds with a
transition to MVFR after 10z with a drop to ifr between 11-17z
with showers moving through. As showers end, conditions will
become MVFR after 17z and continue to improve toVFR after 22z.

Gld watches warnings advisories
Ks... None.

Co... None.

Ne... None.

Short term... Buller
long term... Ev
aviation... Lockhart

Weather Reporting Stations
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Goodland, Renner Field, KS34 mi48 minN 07.00 miFair32°F30°F96%1024.2 hPa

Wind History from GLD (wind in knots)
Last 24hrNW8NW10W7NW8W9NW11NW9NW6NW7NW9N10N4N8N6N7N5N7NE8NE10NE12NE4E4E3Calm
1 day agoSE20SE19SE12SE11S8SE8SE8SE6E7E7NE6N7N8W16NW12NW13NW12NW13NW10NW13NW13NW14NW11NW8
2 days agoS9SE9S8S13S10S11SE12--SE11S16SE14SE17S23

Tide / Current Tables for
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Tide / Current Tables for
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Weather Map and Satellite Images
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GOES Local Image of CentralPlains    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Goodland, KS (1,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Goodland, KS
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The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.