Saturday, July22, 2017 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
South Lake Tahoe, CA

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
6/25/2017 - NOAA is having a major issue that impact the 7 day forecast load times. Many users are reporting problems. The issue has been reported.
5/23/2017 - Worked with NOAA again to speed up the 7 day forecast load times. Thanks to them for being responsive.
5/19/2016 - There were issues with the 3 day airport observation history. I switched to another data source. Let me know if you see any issues with the data feeds.

Sunrise 5:51AMSunset 8:20PM Saturday July 22, 2017 1:49 PM PDT (20:49 UTC) Moonrise 4:07AMMoonset 6:49PM Illumination 1% Phase: Waning Crescent; Moon at 29 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near South Lake Tahoe, CA
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location: 38.91, -120.01     debug


Area Discussion for - Reno, NV
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Fxus65 krev 222034
afdrev
area forecast discussion
national weather service reno nv
134 pm pdt Sat jul 22 2017

Synopsis
Areas of haze from the detwiler fire could return this weekend,
mainly in the sierra mountains and along the sierra front range.

Thunderstorms are expected to develop each afternoon Sunday
through Tuesday or Wednesday. Some of the thunderstorms on Sunday
will be on the drier side, before more moisture arrives Monday
and Tuesday with wetting rains and localized flash flooding
possible.

Short term
The short term forecast remains on track with chances for high-
based thunderstorms tomorrow afternoon as a pacific low pressure
approaches the ca coast. This approaching low will lead to
increasingly moist southerly flow along with steep upper-level
lapse rates around 8.0 c km tomorrow afternoon evening.

Thunderstorm motions 10-20 mph, high cloud bases, and smallish
rain cores are expected with most storms. Thus, lightning strikes
outside of rain cores are likely to start new fires and
thunderstorm outflows could produce gusts in the 45-60 mph range.

A red flag warning for the east sierra and western nv is in effect
for Sunday afternoon evening. See the fire discussion below for
additional details.

The detwiler fire west of yosemite park is not burning as actively
today and downwind air quality has improved. Smoke trajectory
models indicate some light haze could move back into the sierra
this evening, possibly settling into sierra front range valleys
tonight, but this haze should be much less thick than earlier in
the week.

For Monday, moisture continues to increase over the sierra and
western nv, although drier storms could still be possible north
of susanville. Storm-depth shear and upper forcing will also
increase as impulses move from south to north while the upper low
moves inland over northern ca. These conditions are likely to
create stronger, wetter storms Monday compared to Sunday. Flash
flooding is a possibility, especially on recently burned areas
including along i-80 between sparks and fernley (the earthstone
burn scar).

High resolution models suggest lassen peak convergence may be an
active zone of thunderstorm initiation across lassen county Monday
afternoon.

Low pressure remains centered along the northern ca coast on
Tuesday, bringing another series of upper level impulses through
northern ca nv Tuesday afternoon. This will expand thunderstorm
coverage and even bring some organization to the thunderstorms as
a diffluent zone moves overhead. Thunderstorms on Tuesday could
include threats of flash flooding, small hail, damaging winds, and
localized heavy rainfall. With precipitable water values expected
around 1 inch, much of the thunderstorm development could depend
on breaks in the clouds. If skies become overcast too early in the
day, thunderstorms won't be as strong and coverage could be less.

Jcm

Long term Wednesday through Sunday...

low pressure lifts out of the area on Wednesday, with drier
southwest flow returning to the region. However, there could be
enough lingering moisture for isolated, weaker showers or
thunderstorms. Typical breezy afternoon winds will return with
temperatures cooling off a bit to near average mid week.

Temperatures will start to increase again by the end of the week
as the ridge strengthens. A weak moisture surge could begin
Saturday, with showers and thunderstorms possibly returning on
Sunday. Jcm

Aviation
Vfr conditions today with areas of haze possibly returning from
fires in california. Typical breezy west winds expected this
evening with gusts up to 20kts.

Thunderstorm potential increases Sunday through Tuesday with
scattered showers and storms possible each afternoon and evening.

The usual threats of gusty outflow winds, small hail and locally
heavy rains will apply. Jcm

Fire weather
Hot and dry conditions today will give way to increasing moisture
through Tuesday. Mid and high level moisture will increase
tonight with lower level moisture lagging a bit. Thunderstorms are
expected to begin tomorrow and continue into Tuesday and possibly
Wednesday.

With the moisture more limited at lower levels tomorrow, the red
flag warnings look good. Hot conditions with one more day of low
rh will keep fuels susceptible to new starts, especially those
outside of rain cores. The storms will start dry and begin to
transition to wetter storms by evening. Still, ignition efficiency
is likely to be high with numerous new starts likely. Outflow gusts
to 50 mph, and possibly 60 mph in the deserts will be capable of
rapidly spreading new starts.

Monday will see a transition to wetter storms for most of the area
with localized flash flooding becoming possible, especially over
recent burn scars. The question is up north where the models are now
slower to increase the moisture. In fact, they show drying Monday
over Sunday. This looks unreasonable as moisture typically pools
south of the deformation zone. All areas will be south of the area
of deformation so expect moisture to increase all areas. Tuesday
will see moisture increase even further with very wet storms as pwat
nears 1 inch. Wallmann

Rev watches warnings advisories
Nv... Red flag warning from 3 pm Sunday to midnight pdt Sunday night
nvz450-453-458.

Red flag warning from 1 pm to 9 pm pdt Sunday nvz459.

Ca... Red flag warning from 3 pm Sunday to midnight pdt Sunday night
caz270>272-278.

Red flag warning from 1 pm to 9 pm pdt Sunday caz273.

For more information from the national weather service visit...

http: weather.Gov reno


Weather Reporting Stations
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
South Lake Tahoe, Lake Tahoe Airport, CA1 mi56 minNNE 710.00 miFair79°F45°F30%1017.9 hPa
Carson City Airport, NV24 mi54 minE 710.00 miFair91°F24°F9%1020.3 hPa

Wind History from TVL (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrNE8NE10N8NE8S75CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmS4CalmS3CalmS33S4CalmE3NE43NE7NE7
1 day agoNE10CalmS10S10
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5S6S6SW3S63S4S4S4S4S4S4S4S4S4S3NE5NE5NE6NE7
2 days ago45S10
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S12S6CalmS4S4CalmCalmCalmCalmS3S3SW3S3CalmS3CalmNE5NE6NE9Calm

Tide / Current Tables for Sacramento, Sacramento River, California
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Sacramento
Click for MapNote: These data apply only during low river stages.

Sat -- 01:32 AM PDT     0.77 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 05:14 AM PDT     Moonrise
Sat -- 05:57 AM PDT     3.57 feet High Tide
Sat -- 05:59 AM PDT     Sunrise
Sat -- 03:13 PM PDT     -0.22 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 07:54 PM PDT     Moonset
Sat -- 07:59 PM PDT     2.61 feet High Tide
Sat -- 08:25 PM PDT     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
10.80.81.42.43.33.63.43.12.621.40.80.3-0-0.2-00.71.62.32.62.52.11.7

Tide / Current Tables for Sacramento #4, Sacramento River, California
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Sacramento #4
Click for Map
Sat -- 01:31 AM PDT     0.77 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 05:14 AM PDT     Moonrise
Sat -- 05:57 AM PDT     3.57 feet High Tide
Sat -- 05:59 AM PDT     Sunrise
Sat -- 03:14 PM PDT     -0.23 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 07:54 PM PDT     Moonset
Sat -- 07:59 PM PDT     2.61 feet High Tide
Sat -- 08:25 PM PDT     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
10.80.81.42.43.33.63.43.12.621.40.80.3-0-0.2-00.71.62.32.62.52.11.7

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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Weather Map
wmap_P
IR Satellite Image from GEOS
west_satellite

GOES Local Image of CentralWestCoast    EDIT
Geos

Wind Forecast for Reno, NV (16,3,4,5)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Reno, NV
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.