Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Manchester, CA
March 28, 2024 10:26 PM PDT (05:26 UTC) Change Location
Sunrise 7:00 AM Sunset 7:34 PM Moonrise 10:20 PM Moonset 7:32 AM |
PZZ540 Coastal Waters From Point Arena To Point Reyes California Out To 10 Nm- 830 Pm Pdt Thu Mar 28 2024
.small craft advisory in effect through Friday evening - .
Tonight - SW winds 5 to 10 knots - .becoming S after midnight. Wind waves 1 ft. W swell 11 to 13 ft at 13 seconds. Rain.
Fri - SE winds 15 to 25 knots with gusts up to 40 knots. Wind waves 3 to 4 ft. W swell 9 to 11 ft at 13 seconds. Rain.
Fri night - E winds 15 to 25 knots with gusts up to 35 knots. Wind waves 4 to 5 ft. W swell 7 to 8 ft at 12 seconds. Showers and a slight chance of Thunderstorms.
Sat - NE winds 10 to 15 knots. Wind waves 2 to 3 ft. W swell 7 to 9 ft at 12 seconds. A chance of showers.
Sat night - N winds 5 to 10 knots. Wind waves 3 to 4 ft. W swell 5 to 7 ft at 12 seconds.
Sun - NW winds 15 to 20 knots with gusts up to 30 knots. Wind waves 3 to 4 ft. NW swell 6 to 8 ft at 11 seconds.
Sun night - N winds 10 to 20 knots with gusts up to 30 knots. Wind waves 4 to 5 ft. NW swell 6 to 8 ft at 11 seconds.
Mon - NW winds 5 to 10 knots. Wind waves 3 to 4 ft. NW swell 4 to 6 ft.
Tue - NW winds 10 to 15 knots. Wind waves 2 to 3 ft. NW swell 4 to 5 ft.
winds and seas higher in and near tstms.
winds and seas higher in and near tstms.
PZZ500 830 Pm Pdt Thu Mar 28 2024
Synopsis for the central california coast and bays including the Monterey bay - Greater farallones - .and cordell bank national marine sanctuaries - .
a brief break in the rain will continue into the overnight period before light to moderate precipitation returns early Friday morning. Gentle to moderate northwesterly breezes continue tonight before moderate to strong southwesterly winds develop ahead of the incoming low pressure system. Gale force gusts will become more likely, particularly across the southernmost marine zones Friday into Saturday, with isolated gale force gusts possible across the northernmost zones. Thunderstorm chances are highest (25 to 30 percent chance) over the coastal waters on Friday with a 15 to 25 percent chance on Saturday. Wave heights will continue to build through the early work week before starting to diminish.
a brief break in the rain will continue into the overnight period before light to moderate precipitation returns early Friday morning. Gentle to moderate northwesterly breezes continue tonight before moderate to strong southwesterly winds develop ahead of the incoming low pressure system. Gale force gusts will become more likely, particularly across the southernmost marine zones Friday into Saturday, with isolated gale force gusts possible across the northernmost zones. Thunderstorm chances are highest (25 to 30 percent chance) over the coastal waters on Friday with a 15 to 25 percent chance on Saturday. Wave heights will continue to build through the early work week before starting to diminish.
Area Discussion for - Eureka, CA
  (hide/show)  HelpNOTE: mouseover dotted underlined text for definition
FXUS66 KEKA 282225 AFDEKA
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION National Weather Service Eureka CA 325 PM PDT Thu Mar 28 2024
SYNOPSIS
Showers activity will continue to wind down this afternoon and evening. A second round of wind and gusty showers will hit the southern half of the area on Friday with cool and clearing conditions through the weekend.
DISCUSSION
Post-frontal scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms continue moving east-northeast across the area this afternoon, especially over areas farther north of Mendocino County. Snowfall amounts as of 3500 feet have been very light feet on highway 36 this afternoon. Showers activity are expected to wind down late this afternoon and evening.
IR satellite imagery depicts an amplifying upper level trough/deepening cutoff low stalled over the NEPAC this afternoon, while a secondary and stronger Pacific Storm rotate around the cutoff. This secondary low system will continue to move southward and quickly strengthen as approaches the California Coast Friday afternoon, absorbing the current cutoff low. Showers will begin to increase in coverage Friday morning becoming stratiform precipitation Friday afternoon along the warm sector of the low. Moderate to locally heavy periods of rainfall is forecast for the southern portion of the CWA Friday afternoon and evening. While light precipitation is expected for the rest of the forecast area. Additional rainfall ranging from 0.3 to 1 inch is most likely from this system, with heavier amounts farther southern portion of Mendocino and Lake County. Wind turning east through the event will generally focus rain along higher terrain and rain shadow lower elevation areas such as Clear Lake itself.
Increasing east-southeast winds are expected Friday afternoon and evening, mainly focused over Mendocino and Lake counties. Gusts from 30 to around 40 mph are are expected over the coastal headland and exposed ridges as result. However, with the easterly winds may aid in funneling gusty winds in Lake County.
The National Blend of Models (NBM) 90-95th percentile (high end)
indicates gusts around 45mph in Lake County, with strongest winds over the higher elevation. Continued evaluation is needed for Wind Advisory criteria. /ZVS
LONG TERM
(FROM PREVIOUS DISCUSSION) Cold air will advect alongside the low as it travels south, brining chilly nights in the 40s through the weekend. That said, stubbornly cloudy skies will inhibit widespread frost and valley fog formation until at least Sunday morning, when the coldest and clearest conditions are most likely. As the low moves east, it will help enhance the pressure gradient with high pressure building over the east Pacific. This will allow for strong northerly wind right along shore and just offshore Sunday into early next week. Thanks to the wind's consistency, NBM already show high confidence in northerly wind gusts of 25 to 35 mph hitting shore Sunday. That said, generally stable conditions and weak winds aloft (associated with the high pressure) will most likely inhibit any wind advisory level gusts (45 mph).
Model ensembles show high confidence (80%) of at least a couple days of high pressure dominated warm and clear days early next week with strong onshore flow in exposed areas. There is much more divergence by mid next week, however. Most (80%) of cluster ensemble members show a trough moving onshore sometime between next Wednesday and Friday, but the exact strength and impact of the trough varies widely. Only about 30% of ensemble members show the trough produce impactful rain and wind. (more than 1 inch and gusts over 45 mph)
/JHW
AVIATION
Post-frontal, on-going showers have continued to have lingering impacts at the Taf sites today. CEC to experience gusty surface winds today plus VCTS in the mid-late morning. Cig/Vis generally remained VFR. ACV continued with breezy winds and occasional bouts of MVFR from mid-late morning. UKI, through early afternoon, remained a little "Topsy-Turvy" as numerous showers moved across the terminal. Conditions briefly dropped into IFR. Basically, shower activity will taper through the evening...especially north of Cape Mendocino. Offshore, another low pressure system, and associated frontal boundaries, will dip south and have a greater impact over Mendocino and UKI Friday morning; lowering Cig/Vis can be expected with substantial precipitation. /TA
MARINE
A steep mid-period swell peaked this afternoon around 15 feet at 14 to 15 seconds. Combined with southerly wind wave energy, significant wave heights reached 18-19 feet. Winds and seas will diminish overnight before a shortwave drives a progressive surface low south along the CA coast. The trajectory of this low will dictate the enhancement and orientation of winds heading into the weekend. Winds will turn southeasterly and increase in the southern waters early Friday afternoon, likely generating a brief period of gale gusts in the outer waters. Winds will gradually turn to the east/northeast Friday night into Saturday as the low dips south of Point Arena, with wave heights persisting at 8-10 feet throughout. A tightening pressure gradient between the northeast quadrant of the low and an offshore ridge building into the waters will gradually generate increasing northerly winds on Saturday. Saturday night into Sunday holds the greatest chance of gale or potentially storm force gusts, beginning in the northern waters and extending south. Wind waves are expected to respond quickly with wave heights 15-17 feet possible early Sunday morning. Winds and seas will likely remain elevated through the weekend before a reprieve to start next week.
EKA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
CA...
None.
NORTHWEST CALIFORNIA COASTAL WATERS...
Small Craft Advisory until 9 PM PDT Friday for PZZ450-470- 475.
Small Craft Advisory until 3 PM PDT Friday for PZZ455.
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION National Weather Service Eureka CA 325 PM PDT Thu Mar 28 2024
SYNOPSIS
Showers activity will continue to wind down this afternoon and evening. A second round of wind and gusty showers will hit the southern half of the area on Friday with cool and clearing conditions through the weekend.
DISCUSSION
Post-frontal scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms continue moving east-northeast across the area this afternoon, especially over areas farther north of Mendocino County. Snowfall amounts as of 3500 feet have been very light feet on highway 36 this afternoon. Showers activity are expected to wind down late this afternoon and evening.
IR satellite imagery depicts an amplifying upper level trough/deepening cutoff low stalled over the NEPAC this afternoon, while a secondary and stronger Pacific Storm rotate around the cutoff. This secondary low system will continue to move southward and quickly strengthen as approaches the California Coast Friday afternoon, absorbing the current cutoff low. Showers will begin to increase in coverage Friday morning becoming stratiform precipitation Friday afternoon along the warm sector of the low. Moderate to locally heavy periods of rainfall is forecast for the southern portion of the CWA Friday afternoon and evening. While light precipitation is expected for the rest of the forecast area. Additional rainfall ranging from 0.3 to 1 inch is most likely from this system, with heavier amounts farther southern portion of Mendocino and Lake County. Wind turning east through the event will generally focus rain along higher terrain and rain shadow lower elevation areas such as Clear Lake itself.
Increasing east-southeast winds are expected Friday afternoon and evening, mainly focused over Mendocino and Lake counties. Gusts from 30 to around 40 mph are are expected over the coastal headland and exposed ridges as result. However, with the easterly winds may aid in funneling gusty winds in Lake County.
The National Blend of Models (NBM) 90-95th percentile (high end)
indicates gusts around 45mph in Lake County, with strongest winds over the higher elevation. Continued evaluation is needed for Wind Advisory criteria. /ZVS
LONG TERM
(FROM PREVIOUS DISCUSSION) Cold air will advect alongside the low as it travels south, brining chilly nights in the 40s through the weekend. That said, stubbornly cloudy skies will inhibit widespread frost and valley fog formation until at least Sunday morning, when the coldest and clearest conditions are most likely. As the low moves east, it will help enhance the pressure gradient with high pressure building over the east Pacific. This will allow for strong northerly wind right along shore and just offshore Sunday into early next week. Thanks to the wind's consistency, NBM already show high confidence in northerly wind gusts of 25 to 35 mph hitting shore Sunday. That said, generally stable conditions and weak winds aloft (associated with the high pressure) will most likely inhibit any wind advisory level gusts (45 mph).
Model ensembles show high confidence (80%) of at least a couple days of high pressure dominated warm and clear days early next week with strong onshore flow in exposed areas. There is much more divergence by mid next week, however. Most (80%) of cluster ensemble members show a trough moving onshore sometime between next Wednesday and Friday, but the exact strength and impact of the trough varies widely. Only about 30% of ensemble members show the trough produce impactful rain and wind. (more than 1 inch and gusts over 45 mph)
/JHW
AVIATION
Post-frontal, on-going showers have continued to have lingering impacts at the Taf sites today. CEC to experience gusty surface winds today plus VCTS in the mid-late morning. Cig/Vis generally remained VFR. ACV continued with breezy winds and occasional bouts of MVFR from mid-late morning. UKI, through early afternoon, remained a little "Topsy-Turvy" as numerous showers moved across the terminal. Conditions briefly dropped into IFR. Basically, shower activity will taper through the evening...especially north of Cape Mendocino. Offshore, another low pressure system, and associated frontal boundaries, will dip south and have a greater impact over Mendocino and UKI Friday morning; lowering Cig/Vis can be expected with substantial precipitation. /TA
MARINE
A steep mid-period swell peaked this afternoon around 15 feet at 14 to 15 seconds. Combined with southerly wind wave energy, significant wave heights reached 18-19 feet. Winds and seas will diminish overnight before a shortwave drives a progressive surface low south along the CA coast. The trajectory of this low will dictate the enhancement and orientation of winds heading into the weekend. Winds will turn southeasterly and increase in the southern waters early Friday afternoon, likely generating a brief period of gale gusts in the outer waters. Winds will gradually turn to the east/northeast Friday night into Saturday as the low dips south of Point Arena, with wave heights persisting at 8-10 feet throughout. A tightening pressure gradient between the northeast quadrant of the low and an offshore ridge building into the waters will gradually generate increasing northerly winds on Saturday. Saturday night into Sunday holds the greatest chance of gale or potentially storm force gusts, beginning in the northern waters and extending south. Wind waves are expected to respond quickly with wave heights 15-17 feet possible early Sunday morning. Winds and seas will likely remain elevated through the weekend before a reprieve to start next week.
EKA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
CA...
None.
NORTHWEST CALIFORNIA COASTAL WATERS...
Small Craft Advisory until 9 PM PDT Friday for PZZ450-470- 475.
Small Craft Advisory until 3 PM PDT Friday for PZZ455.
Stations | Dist | Age | Wind | Air Temp | Water Temp | Waves | inHg | DewPt |
ANVC1 - 9416841 - Arena Cove, CA | 3 mi | 57 min | ESE 5.1G | 48°F | 51°F | 30.00 | ||
46014 - PT ARENA - 19NM North of Point Arena, CA | 23 mi | 47 min | S 7.8G | 53°F | 54°F | 29.98 | 46°F |
toggle option: (graph/table)
No data
Airport Reports
EDIT (hide/show)  Help Click EDIT to display multiple airports. Follow links for more data.Airport | Dist | Age | Wind kt | Vis | Sky | Weather | Temp | DewPt | RH | inHg |
Point Arena
Click for Map
Thu -- 12:59 AM PDT 5.41 feet High Tide
Thu -- 07:04 AM PDT Sunrise
Thu -- 07:47 AM PDT 0.25 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 08:32 AM PDT Moonset
Thu -- 02:12 PM PDT 4.07 feet High Tide
Thu -- 07:23 PM PDT 2.35 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 07:35 PM PDT Sunset
Thu -- 11:20 PM PDT Moonrise
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Click for Map
Thu -- 12:59 AM PDT 5.41 feet High Tide
Thu -- 07:04 AM PDT Sunrise
Thu -- 07:47 AM PDT 0.25 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 08:32 AM PDT Moonset
Thu -- 02:12 PM PDT 4.07 feet High Tide
Thu -- 07:23 PM PDT 2.35 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 07:35 PM PDT Sunset
Thu -- 11:20 PM PDT Moonrise
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Point Arena, California, Tide feet
12 am |
5.2 |
1 am |
5.4 |
2 am |
5.2 |
3 am |
4.4 |
4 am |
3.3 |
5 am |
2.1 |
6 am |
1.1 |
7 am |
0.4 |
8 am |
0.3 |
9 am |
0.6 |
10 am |
1.4 |
11 am |
2.3 |
12 pm |
3.1 |
1 pm |
3.8 |
2 pm |
4.1 |
3 pm |
4 |
4 pm |
3.6 |
5 pm |
3.1 |
6 pm |
2.6 |
7 pm |
2.4 |
8 pm |
2.4 |
9 pm |
2.8 |
10 pm |
3.5 |
11 pm |
4.3 |
Point Arena
Click for Map
Thu -- 01:51 AM PDT -0.00 knots Slack
Thu -- 05:14 AM PDT -1.19 knots Max Ebb
Thu -- 07:04 AM PDT Sunrise
Thu -- 08:32 AM PDT Moonset
Thu -- 08:52 AM PDT 0.00 knots Slack
Thu -- 11:52 AM PDT 0.84 knots Max Flood
Thu -- 03:15 PM PDT -0.00 knots Slack
Thu -- 05:41 PM PDT -0.67 knots Max Ebb
Thu -- 07:35 PM PDT Sunset
Thu -- 08:30 PM PDT 0.00 knots Slack
Thu -- 11:20 PM PDT Moonrise
Thu -- 11:40 PM PDT 0.62 knots Max Flood
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Click for Map
Thu -- 01:51 AM PDT -0.00 knots Slack
Thu -- 05:14 AM PDT -1.19 knots Max Ebb
Thu -- 07:04 AM PDT Sunrise
Thu -- 08:32 AM PDT Moonset
Thu -- 08:52 AM PDT 0.00 knots Slack
Thu -- 11:52 AM PDT 0.84 knots Max Flood
Thu -- 03:15 PM PDT -0.00 knots Slack
Thu -- 05:41 PM PDT -0.67 knots Max Ebb
Thu -- 07:35 PM PDT Sunset
Thu -- 08:30 PM PDT 0.00 knots Slack
Thu -- 11:20 PM PDT Moonrise
Thu -- 11:40 PM PDT 0.62 knots Max Flood
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Point Arena, California Current, knots
12 am |
0.6 |
1 am |
0.3 |
2 am |
-0.1 |
3 am |
-0.5 |
4 am |
-0.9 |
5 am |
-1.2 |
6 am |
-1.1 |
7 am |
-0.8 |
8 am |
-0.4 |
9 am |
0.1 |
10 am |
0.4 |
11 am |
0.7 |
12 pm |
0.8 |
1 pm |
0.7 |
2 pm |
0.4 |
3 pm |
0.1 |
4 pm |
-0.3 |
5 pm |
-0.6 |
6 pm |
-0.7 |
7 pm |
-0.5 |
8 pm |
-0.1 |
9 pm |
0.1 |
10 pm |
0.4 |
11 pm |
0.6 |
Sacramento, CA,
NOTICE: Some pages have affiliate links to Amazon. As an Amazon Associate, I earn from qualifying purchases. Please read website Cookie, Privacy, and Disclamers by clicking HERE. To contact me click HERE. For my YouTube page click HERE