Wednesday, January23, 2019

Marine Weather and Tides
Highland Holiday, OH

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
10/6/2018 Colors of tide XTide graphs changed to emphasize that they were upgraded. See next note. Comments welcome.
10/4/2018 I have fixed XTide and updated the harmonic files. There were some name changes so you might have to click EDIT to find the new station name.

Sunrise 7:44AMSunset 5:43PM Wednesday January 23, 2019 5:05 PM EST (22:05 UTC) Moonrise 8:57PMMoonset 9:43AM Illumination 91% Phase: Waning Gibbous; Moon at 18 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Highland Holiday, OH
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location: 39.21, -83.45     debug

Area Discussion for - Wilmington, OH
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Fxus61 kiln 232024
area forecast discussion
national weather service wilmington oh
324 pm est Wed jan 23 2019

A cold front will move east across the great lakes and ohio
valley tonight. Dry weather will return on Thursday, along with
colder temperatures. An arctic cold front will push through the
region Thursday night into Friday morning, bringing even colder
temperatures, brisk winds, and a chance of flurries.

Near term until 6 am Thursday morning
As low pressure moves northeast into canada overnight, a cold
front will move east across the great lakes and ohio valley. A
mid level trough lagging behind the front, combined with upper
divergence from the right rear quad of an upper level jet, will
allow pcpn to linger longer behind the front before tapering off
west to east overnight. As colder air filters in, the rain will
change to a brief period of snow before ending. A very brief
period of freezing rain or sleet may also be observed. Snow
accumulations will remain generally less than an inch.

Additionally, any moderate rain combined with snow melt may
result in some minor flooding. Lows will range from the lower
20s west to the upper 20s east.

Short term 6 am Thursday morning through Friday
We will have a dry, colder day on Thursday in the wake of the
cold front. CAA stratocumulus can be expected, keeping highs in
the upper 20s to the lower 30s.

For Thursday night into Friday, an arctic cold front will push
east through the area. Moisture is shallow and dynamics are
weak. However, given decent CAA and the shallow moisture clouds
intersecting the favorable dendritic growth zone, will have to
place a chance of flurries in the forecast. Winds will increase
behind the front between it and high pressure to the west. It
will be brisk with much colder temperatures expected. Lows
Thursday night will range from single digits west to the mid
teens east. Winds and temperatures will likely result in sub
zero wind chill values, with the coldest readings slated for our
western and northern cwfa. Will likely need a wind chill
advisory at some point for these locations. Highs on Friday will
struggle to warm, but should range from around 10 north to near
20 along and south of the ohio river.

Long term Friday night through Wednesday
The extended period begins with a surface high pressure ridge over
the region. Extended models are still swinging an embedded vort max
through the broad trof over the great lakes Friday night. Due to the
subtleness of this feature the models are having a hard timing
coming to a consensus on the speed and placement of the snow with
it. Brought in some chance pops after midnight and kept accumulation
less than in inch. Highs on Saturday will range from the lower 20s
in the north to the lower 30s south.

The first system pulls east Saturday night, but with a deep cut off
low north of the great lakes, the models bring a series of weather
systems across the region Sunday into next week. System number two
is expected Sunday, followed by a better organized sfc low Monday
night into Tuesday. For Sunday another embedded S W swings through
the region bringing some light snow. The counties around the ohio
river could see a rain snow mix.

For the bigger system Monday night into Tuesday, a low pressure
swings through the ohio valley or great lakes. As expected models
are showing varied tracks and timing of the low. Southern sections
could again see rain mix with the snow on Monday, or rain could be
the dominant ptype.

Behind this system, another shot of arctic air will affect the
region for the middle of next week.

Aviation 20z Wednesday through Monday
Low pressure will move northeast across lower michigan for the
remainder of the afternoon. A strong low level jet will continue
a good moisture supply ahead of the low and its attendant cold
front front across the terminals. Ceilings will lower into the
ifr category with visibilities fluctuating between MVFR ifr in
light to moderate rain. Non-convective llws will continue until
the core of the low level jet moves off to the northeast.

For tonight, the cold front will move east across the region
this evening. A mid level trough axis aloft, combined with upper
level jet energy, will continue precipitation behind the front
for a period. As colder air filters in, rain will change to a
rain snow mix, then to snow before ending. Ifr conditions can be
expected with the precipitation, followed by MVFR ifr ceilings

On Thursday, a weak surface ridge will build into the region.

Low level moisture will remain with ceilings likely lifting into
the MVFR category during the day.

Outlook... MVFR ceilings may continue into the first part of
Friday. MVFR conditions are possible Saturday and Sunday.

MVFR ifr conditions possible Monday.

Iln watches warnings advisories
Oh... None.

Ky... None.

In... None.

Synopsis... Hickman
near term... Hickman
short term... Hickman
long term... Sites
aviation... Hickman

Weather Reporting Stations
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Wilmington, Airborne Airpark Airport, OH24 mi2.2 hrsSSW 1710.00 miLight Rain48°F46°F93%1007.2 hPa

Wind History from ILN (wind in knots)
Last 24hrS12S13S12S11S16
2 days agoN16N13NW5NW6NW5W5CalmN3NW4NW4NW3CalmCalmNW4N4N4N3NE5CalmCalmCalmCalmE3E5

Tide / Current Tables for
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Tide / Current Tables for
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Weather Map and Satellite Images
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GOES Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
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Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Wilmington, OH (17,4,5,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Wilmington, OH
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The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.