Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Fairlee, MD
April 24, 2024 1:48 PM EDT (17:48 UTC) Change Location
 | Sunrise 6:12 AM Sunset 7:53 PM Moonrise 7:54 PM Moonset 5:22 AM |
ANZ530 Chesapeake Bay North Of Pooles Island- 433 Am Edt Wed Apr 24 2024
.small craft advisory in effect through late tonight - .
Rest of the overnight - SW winds 10 kt with gusts to 20 kt. Waves 1 ft. A chance of showers.
Today - W winds 10 to 15 kt - .becoming nw in the afternoon. Gusts up to 25 kt. Waves 1 to 2 ft. A chance of showers.
Tonight - N winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts to 20 kt. Waves 1 ft.
Thu - NE winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft.
Thu night - E winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft.
Fri - E winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft or less.
Fri night - SE winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft.
Sat - SE winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft.
Sun - SW winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft.
ANZ500 433 Am Edt Wed Apr 24 2024
Synopsis for the tidal potomac and md portion of the chesapeake bay -
a cold front will cross the area today. High pressure builds across the region for the end of the week. Small craft advisories will likely be needed through Thursday morning, and again for a brief period Friday afternoon and Saturday afternoon.
a cold front will cross the area today. High pressure builds across the region for the end of the week. Small craft advisories will likely be needed through Thursday morning, and again for a brief period Friday afternoon and Saturday afternoon.
Area Discussion for - Philadelphia/Mount Holly, PA
(hide/show) HelpNOTE: mouseover dotted underlined text for definition
FXUS61 KPHI 241325 AFDPHI
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ 925 AM EDT Wed Apr 24 2024
SYNOPSIS
A cold front will cross our region during today, then high pressure arrives from the Great Lakes later tonight and Thursday before shifting to our northeast and east during Friday. A warm front should lift north of our area later Saturday, then a cold front gradually approaches later Monday before moving across our area later Tuesday.
NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/
925 AM...Latest analysis depicts an approaching cold front as extending east to west across upstate NY into NW PA with low pressure over eastern Quebec.This front will make steady progress southeastward today, reaching our region this evening and clearing the area after midnight tonight. Ahead of the front there has been an initial surface trough that's come through with some cloud cover and a few sprinkles but this should be pushing off the coast through late morning. After the initial clouds break, we should warm up to within a few degrees of 70 across most of the region this afternoon, but there will be just enough instability ahead of the upper trough and surface front to promote some mainly isolated showers to develop during the afternoon. There could be just enough instability for a very isolated thunderstorm, mainly Lehigh Valley and Poconos/NW NJ.
For sure, shower coverage will be a bit higher in the Poconos compared to the rest of the region, but still scattered at best.
Despite the front not arriving until evening, winds for much of the day will already be shifting to west to northwest through midday behind the initial trough, with gusts increasing up to 20-25 mph. Overall, not a bad day, but not as nice as yesterday aside from yesterday's chilly morning.
Tonight, Canadian high pressure builds southward and reinforcing cool, dry air mass pushes southward. Think winds staying up and the dry air limit frost potential, but temps may still reach freezing in parts of northern NJ where growing season is active, so have maintained freeze watch there for the time being. Lows overall will be chilly, with 40s warmest spots, most areas 30s, and coldest locales 20s.
SHORT TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT/
An upper-level trough is forecast to be across the Northeast and Mid- Atlantic regions through Thursday night, then it shifts to our east to start Friday. Strong surface high pressure centered over the Great Lakes Thursday builds eastward through Thursday night, then shifts off the New England coast during Friday.
A notably colder and dry air mass will be in place Thursday despite a mainly sunny sky for most with high temperatures mostly in the 50s. An onshore wind will keep it even cooler along the coastal areas. As the center of surface high pressure slides to our north but extends over our area Thursday night, a cold night is forecast with little to no wind and a dry air mass. Much of the area will drop into the low to mid 30s with some potential for some locations getting a little colder. Areas of frost are probable, and frost and/or freeze headlines are quite possible.
After a cold start Friday morning, the surface flow should start to become more southeast to even south-southeast. This will still keep some marine influence across the area, however the air mass is forecast to start modifying and therefore high temperatures will be a bit higher compared to Thursday. It will still be cooler though closer to the coast given the onshore flow. Another chilly night Friday night, however as the air mass continues to moderate the temperatures should be mild enough to keep frost not a concern at this point.
LONG TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/
Summary...A significant warm-up probable over the weekend and early next week. Some shower chances later in the weekend and/or early next week.
Synoptic Overview...A building ridge arrives from the west as an upper-level trough lifts across the Plains and into the Midwest through Monday. As the influence of the upper-level trough gets closer late Monday and Tuesday, the ridge shifts to our east. The timing of this however is less certain as the upper-level trough in the Plains may become a closed low which tend to be slower moving (may be two separate systems). This will also have an impact on our precipitation chances Sunday through Tuesday. The overall pattern though continues to suggest that a much warmer air mass will overspread our region Sunday through early next week.
For Saturday...A building ridge starts to arrive from the west and this will initially keep a cool air mass across our region. However, some warm air advection starts as more of a southerly return flow starts initiates. In addition, a warm front should lift to our north later Saturday. While a few showers cannot be ruled out with this warm front, the probability looks to be on the low side at this point. Cloud cover should dominate the sky during at least a portion of Saturday due to some increasing warm air advection, some increase in moisture, plus ahead of and with the warm front. The timing of this warm front looks to be driven by a lead upper-level trough or closed low that lifts across the Midwest which also has a surface low with it. As we start to get into the warm sector, the clouds should clear from south to north especially at night.
For Sunday through Tuesday...As an upper-level trough continues to lift up across the Plains and Midwest, the downstream ridge axis slides across our region Sunday and Monday before shifting offshore into Tuesday. Surface low pressure tracks across the Great Lakes and into adjacent Canada Monday into Tuesday, and its associated cold front approaches our area Monday night. The actual cold front may not slide across our area until later Tuesday. The details however will depend on the timing and amplification of the trough. In addition, high pressure sliding east of Hudson Bay Canada Monday into Tuesday may send a cold front down across New England and closer to our area. While this front may settle into at least our northern areas Monday night into Tuesday, it should not get to far south given the continued southerly flow ahead of the aforementioned trough from the west. Plenty of warm air with increasing dew points are therefore currently forecast across the area, with high temperatures for much of the area in the 70s to even some low to mid 80s. The surface flow however looks more south or even southeast at times and this will keep it several degrees cooler at the coastal communities compared to farther inland. There is a chance for some showers and thunderstorms, especially Monday and Tuesday, however the probabilities look to be on the lower side as of now.
AVIATION /13Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/
The following discussion is for KPHL, KPNE, KTTN, KABE, KRDG, KILG, KMIV, KACY and surrounding areas...
Through Today...Mainly VFR. A brief period of MVFR conditions possible (10%) with some mainly isolated showers. 5% chance of a thunderstorm across northern terminals. Winds begin southwesterly around 10 knots and shift to west then northwest through the day. Gusts of 20-25 knots by the afternoon. High confidence on mainly VFR conditions.
Tonight...VFR. Winds NW 5-10 kts with gusts up to 20 kts early.
High confidence.
Outlook...
Thursday and Friday...VFR.
Saturday and Sunday...A period of near MVFR ceilings possible Saturday, otherwise mainly VFR.
MARINE
Winds diminish across the coastal waters through the morning, but remain gusty around 20 kts during the afternoon. Seas will continue to build, however, peaking around 5-7 feet this afternoon. These likely remain near 5 feet thru tonight, hence the SCA continues on the ocean zones through tonight.
Outlook...
Thursday...The Small Craft Advisory may need to be extended through much of the morning mainly for the Atlantic coastal waters, as the winds/seas diminish through about midday.
Friday through Sunday...The conditions are anticipated to be below Small Craft Advisory criteria.
PHI WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
PA...None.
NJ...Freeze Watch from late tonight through Thursday morning for NJZ001-007-008.
DE...None.
MD...None.
MARINE...Small Craft Advisory until 6 AM EDT Thursday for ANZ450>455.
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ 925 AM EDT Wed Apr 24 2024
SYNOPSIS
A cold front will cross our region during today, then high pressure arrives from the Great Lakes later tonight and Thursday before shifting to our northeast and east during Friday. A warm front should lift north of our area later Saturday, then a cold front gradually approaches later Monday before moving across our area later Tuesday.
NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/
925 AM...Latest analysis depicts an approaching cold front as extending east to west across upstate NY into NW PA with low pressure over eastern Quebec.This front will make steady progress southeastward today, reaching our region this evening and clearing the area after midnight tonight. Ahead of the front there has been an initial surface trough that's come through with some cloud cover and a few sprinkles but this should be pushing off the coast through late morning. After the initial clouds break, we should warm up to within a few degrees of 70 across most of the region this afternoon, but there will be just enough instability ahead of the upper trough and surface front to promote some mainly isolated showers to develop during the afternoon. There could be just enough instability for a very isolated thunderstorm, mainly Lehigh Valley and Poconos/NW NJ.
For sure, shower coverage will be a bit higher in the Poconos compared to the rest of the region, but still scattered at best.
Despite the front not arriving until evening, winds for much of the day will already be shifting to west to northwest through midday behind the initial trough, with gusts increasing up to 20-25 mph. Overall, not a bad day, but not as nice as yesterday aside from yesterday's chilly morning.
Tonight, Canadian high pressure builds southward and reinforcing cool, dry air mass pushes southward. Think winds staying up and the dry air limit frost potential, but temps may still reach freezing in parts of northern NJ where growing season is active, so have maintained freeze watch there for the time being. Lows overall will be chilly, with 40s warmest spots, most areas 30s, and coldest locales 20s.
SHORT TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT/
An upper-level trough is forecast to be across the Northeast and Mid- Atlantic regions through Thursday night, then it shifts to our east to start Friday. Strong surface high pressure centered over the Great Lakes Thursday builds eastward through Thursday night, then shifts off the New England coast during Friday.
A notably colder and dry air mass will be in place Thursday despite a mainly sunny sky for most with high temperatures mostly in the 50s. An onshore wind will keep it even cooler along the coastal areas. As the center of surface high pressure slides to our north but extends over our area Thursday night, a cold night is forecast with little to no wind and a dry air mass. Much of the area will drop into the low to mid 30s with some potential for some locations getting a little colder. Areas of frost are probable, and frost and/or freeze headlines are quite possible.
After a cold start Friday morning, the surface flow should start to become more southeast to even south-southeast. This will still keep some marine influence across the area, however the air mass is forecast to start modifying and therefore high temperatures will be a bit higher compared to Thursday. It will still be cooler though closer to the coast given the onshore flow. Another chilly night Friday night, however as the air mass continues to moderate the temperatures should be mild enough to keep frost not a concern at this point.
LONG TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/
Summary...A significant warm-up probable over the weekend and early next week. Some shower chances later in the weekend and/or early next week.
Synoptic Overview...A building ridge arrives from the west as an upper-level trough lifts across the Plains and into the Midwest through Monday. As the influence of the upper-level trough gets closer late Monday and Tuesday, the ridge shifts to our east. The timing of this however is less certain as the upper-level trough in the Plains may become a closed low which tend to be slower moving (may be two separate systems). This will also have an impact on our precipitation chances Sunday through Tuesday. The overall pattern though continues to suggest that a much warmer air mass will overspread our region Sunday through early next week.
For Saturday...A building ridge starts to arrive from the west and this will initially keep a cool air mass across our region. However, some warm air advection starts as more of a southerly return flow starts initiates. In addition, a warm front should lift to our north later Saturday. While a few showers cannot be ruled out with this warm front, the probability looks to be on the low side at this point. Cloud cover should dominate the sky during at least a portion of Saturday due to some increasing warm air advection, some increase in moisture, plus ahead of and with the warm front. The timing of this warm front looks to be driven by a lead upper-level trough or closed low that lifts across the Midwest which also has a surface low with it. As we start to get into the warm sector, the clouds should clear from south to north especially at night.
For Sunday through Tuesday...As an upper-level trough continues to lift up across the Plains and Midwest, the downstream ridge axis slides across our region Sunday and Monday before shifting offshore into Tuesday. Surface low pressure tracks across the Great Lakes and into adjacent Canada Monday into Tuesday, and its associated cold front approaches our area Monday night. The actual cold front may not slide across our area until later Tuesday. The details however will depend on the timing and amplification of the trough. In addition, high pressure sliding east of Hudson Bay Canada Monday into Tuesday may send a cold front down across New England and closer to our area. While this front may settle into at least our northern areas Monday night into Tuesday, it should not get to far south given the continued southerly flow ahead of the aforementioned trough from the west. Plenty of warm air with increasing dew points are therefore currently forecast across the area, with high temperatures for much of the area in the 70s to even some low to mid 80s. The surface flow however looks more south or even southeast at times and this will keep it several degrees cooler at the coastal communities compared to farther inland. There is a chance for some showers and thunderstorms, especially Monday and Tuesday, however the probabilities look to be on the lower side as of now.
AVIATION /13Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/
The following discussion is for KPHL, KPNE, KTTN, KABE, KRDG, KILG, KMIV, KACY and surrounding areas...
Through Today...Mainly VFR. A brief period of MVFR conditions possible (10%) with some mainly isolated showers. 5% chance of a thunderstorm across northern terminals. Winds begin southwesterly around 10 knots and shift to west then northwest through the day. Gusts of 20-25 knots by the afternoon. High confidence on mainly VFR conditions.
Tonight...VFR. Winds NW 5-10 kts with gusts up to 20 kts early.
High confidence.
Outlook...
Thursday and Friday...VFR.
Saturday and Sunday...A period of near MVFR ceilings possible Saturday, otherwise mainly VFR.
MARINE
Winds diminish across the coastal waters through the morning, but remain gusty around 20 kts during the afternoon. Seas will continue to build, however, peaking around 5-7 feet this afternoon. These likely remain near 5 feet thru tonight, hence the SCA continues on the ocean zones through tonight.
Outlook...
Thursday...The Small Craft Advisory may need to be extended through much of the morning mainly for the Atlantic coastal waters, as the winds/seas diminish through about midday.
Friday through Sunday...The conditions are anticipated to be below Small Craft Advisory criteria.
PHI WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
PA...None.
NJ...Freeze Watch from late tonight through Thursday morning for NJZ001-007-008.
DE...None.
MD...None.
MARINE...Small Craft Advisory until 6 AM EDT Thursday for ANZ450>455.
| Stations | Dist | Age | Wind | Air Temp | Water Temp | Waves | inHg | DewPt |
| TCBM2 - 8573364 - Tolchester Beach, MD | 6 mi | 49 min | W 9.9G | 65°F | 29.91 | |||
| 44043 - Patapsco, MD | 14 mi | 43 min | WNW 14G | 64°F | 60°F | 1 ft | ||
| CBCM2 | 19 mi | 49 min | WNW 12G | 67°F | 60°F | 29.88 | 44°F | |
| FSKM2 - 8574728 - Francis Scott Key Bridge, MD | 19 mi | 49 min | W 17G | 66°F | ||||
| BLTM2 - 8574680 - Baltimore, MD | 21 mi | 49 min | WNW 5.1G | 69°F | 60°F | |||
| CPVM2 | 23 mi | 49 min | 69°F | 43°F | ||||
| 44063 - Annapolis | 26 mi | 43 min | NW 14G | 65°F | 59°F | |||
| APAM2 - 8575512 - Annapolis, MD | 26 mi | 49 min | WNW 8.9G | 69°F | 64°F | 29.90 | ||
| CHCM2 - 8573927 - Chesapeake City, MD | 26 mi | 49 min | WSW 8.9G | 66°F | 60°F | 29.90 | ||
| TPLM2 - Thomas Point, MD | 30 mi | 49 min | W 11G | 67°F | 29.93 | |||
| DELD1 - 8551762 - Delaware City, DE | 38 mi | 49 min | NW 8G | 68°F | 29.88 | |||
| RDYD1 - 8551910 - Reedy Point, DE | 38 mi | 49 min | 69°F | 60°F | 29.86 | |||
| SJSN4 - 8537121 - Ship John Shoal, NJ | 43 mi | 49 min | NNW 4.1G | 64°F | 29.90 | |||
| BSLM2 - Chesapeake Bay, MD | 45 mi | 79 min | WNW 8 | 69°F | 29.92 | 44°F |
toggle option: (graph/table)
Airport Reports
EDIT (hide/show) Help Click EDIT to display multiple airports. Follow links for more data.| Airport | Dist | Age | Wind kt | Vis | Sky | Weather | Temp | DewPt | RH | inHg |
| KAPG PHILLIPS AAF,MD | 12 sm | 53 min | W 08G20 | 10 sm | Mostly Cloudy | 72°F | 45°F | 38% | 29.89 | |
| KMTN MARTIN STATE,MD | 12 sm | 54 min | W 15G20 | 10 sm | Partly Cloudy | 70°F | 41°F | 35% | 29.91 |
Worton Creek entrance
Click for Map
Wed -- 02:25 AM EDT 0.32 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 06:14 AM EDT Sunrise
Wed -- 06:21 AM EDT Moonset
Wed -- 08:59 AM EDT 2.01 feet High Tide
Wed -- 04:10 PM EDT 0.45 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 07:51 PM EDT Sunset
Wed -- 08:54 PM EDT Moonrise
Wed -- 09:12 PM EDT 1.26 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Click for Map
Wed -- 02:25 AM EDT 0.32 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 06:14 AM EDT Sunrise
Wed -- 06:21 AM EDT Moonset
Wed -- 08:59 AM EDT 2.01 feet High Tide
Wed -- 04:10 PM EDT 0.45 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 07:51 PM EDT Sunset
Wed -- 08:54 PM EDT Moonrise
Wed -- 09:12 PM EDT 1.26 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Worton Creek entrance, Maryland, Tide feet
| 12 am |
| 0.7 |
| 1 am |
| 0.5 |
| 2 am |
| 0.3 |
| 3 am |
| 0.3 |
| 4 am |
| 0.5 |
| 5 am |
| 0.9 |
| 6 am |
| 1.3 |
| 7 am |
| 1.6 |
| 8 am |
| 1.9 |
| 9 am |
| 2 |
| 10 am |
| 1.9 |
| 11 am |
| 1.7 |
| 12 pm |
| 1.4 |
| 1 pm |
| 1.1 |
| 2 pm |
| 0.8 |
| 3 pm |
| 0.5 |
| 4 pm |
| 0.4 |
| 5 pm |
| 0.5 |
| 6 pm |
| 0.7 |
| 7 pm |
| 0.9 |
| 8 pm |
| 1.1 |
| 9 pm |
| 1.3 |
| 10 pm |
| 1.2 |
| 11 pm |
| 1 |
Baltimore Harbor Approach
Click for Map
Wed -- 02:40 AM EDT 0.00 knots Slack
Wed -- 06:15 AM EDT Sunrise
Wed -- 06:18 AM EDT 1.04 knots Max Flood
Wed -- 06:23 AM EDT Moonset
Wed -- 09:43 AM EDT -0.00 knots Slack
Wed -- 01:00 PM EDT -0.96 knots Max Ebb
Wed -- 04:39 PM EDT 0.00 knots Slack
Wed -- 07:05 PM EDT 0.47 knots Max Flood
Wed -- 07:52 PM EDT Sunset
Wed -- 08:54 PM EDT Moonrise
Wed -- 09:39 PM EDT -0.00 knots Slack
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Click for Map
Wed -- 02:40 AM EDT 0.00 knots Slack
Wed -- 06:15 AM EDT Sunrise
Wed -- 06:18 AM EDT 1.04 knots Max Flood
Wed -- 06:23 AM EDT Moonset
Wed -- 09:43 AM EDT -0.00 knots Slack
Wed -- 01:00 PM EDT -0.96 knots Max Ebb
Wed -- 04:39 PM EDT 0.00 knots Slack
Wed -- 07:05 PM EDT 0.47 knots Max Flood
Wed -- 07:52 PM EDT Sunset
Wed -- 08:54 PM EDT Moonrise
Wed -- 09:39 PM EDT -0.00 knots Slack
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Baltimore Harbor Approach, Maryland Current, knots
| 12 am |
| -0.6 |
| 1 am |
| -0.5 |
| 2 am |
| -0.3 |
| 3 am |
| 0.1 |
| 4 am |
| 0.5 |
| 5 am |
| 0.9 |
| 6 am |
| 1 |
| 7 am |
| 1 |
| 8 am |
| 0.7 |
| 9 am |
| 0.3 |
| 10 am |
| -0.1 |
| 11 am |
| -0.6 |
| 12 pm |
| -0.9 |
| 1 pm |
| -1 |
| 2 pm |
| -0.9 |
| 3 pm |
| -0.6 |
| 4 pm |
| -0.2 |
| 5 pm |
| 0.1 |
| 6 pm |
| 0.4 |
| 7 pm |
| 0.5 |
| 8 pm |
| 0.4 |
| 9 pm |
| 0.2 |
| 10 pm |
| -0.1 |
| 11 pm |
| -0.4 |
Dover AFB, DE,
NOTICE: Some pages have affiliate links to Amazon. As an Amazon Associate, I earn from qualifying purchases. Please read website Cookie, Privacy, and Disclamers by clicking HERE. To contact me click HERE. For my YouTube page click HERE