Sunday, May26, 2019 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Hamilton, OH

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
10/6/2018 Colors of tide XTide graphs changed to emphasize that they were upgraded. See next note. Comments welcome.
10/4/2018 I have fixed XTide and updated the harmonic files. There were some name changes so you might have to click EDIT to find the new station name.

Sunrise 6:14AMSunset 8:55PM Sunday May 26, 2019 10:59 PM EDT (02:59 UTC) Moonrise 1:29AMMoonset 12:12PM Illumination 44% Phase: Third Quarter Moon; Moon at 23 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Hamilton, OH
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location: 39.4, -84.57     debug


Area Discussion for - Wilmington, OH
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Fxus61 kiln 270232
afdiln
area forecast discussion
national weather service wilmington oh
1032 pm edt Sun may 26 2019

Synopsis
A frontal boundary will briefly stall out near the ohio river by
Monday morning. The front will lift back north as a warm front on
memorial day, keeping a chance of showers and thunderstorms in
the forecast. Warm and humid conditions and unsettled weather
will be the rule into the upcoming week with a chance of
thunderstorms each day.

Near term until 6 am Monday morning
A diffuse frontal boundary will settle near or south of the ohio
river by Monday morning. The loss of instability, forcing, and
upper support, should allow any lingering shower storm across
our southern cwfa to dissipate by early morning.

The big question later tonight will be the formation of stratus
and or fog. The signal is there from various models. However,
confidence in coverage and severity (i.E. Outside river valleys)
of fog is still low at this time. Have placed patchy fog in the
forecast for mainly locations across the southern half of the
cwfa.

Overnight low temperatures to range from the upper 50s far north
to the lower 60s elsewhere.

Short term 6 am Monday morning through Monday night
Another mid level shortwave to track through the ohio valley
with the front lifting back north as a warm front Monday
afternoon. Moderate instability develops late in the day across
the west as the warm front begins to pivot north. Severe storms
will again be possible in this region. Mondays highs to range
from the upper 70s north to mid 80s south.

Mid level ridge builds into the region Monday night with the
front pushing north of the region into the great lakes. Storm
chances will diminish across the south but will keep a slight
chance across the far north. Expect mild lows Monday night in
the mid and upper 60s.

Long term Tuesday through Sunday
An active weather pattern will continue through the coming
week.

The ohio valley will remain on the northern periphery of a mid-
level ridge through Thursday, with occasional chances for storms
expected as disturbances move eastward through the flow. As
this occurs, a surface frontal boundary is expected to remain
somewhere in the area, though generally favored to be just north
of the iln cwa, keeping the region within an area of warm and
moist conditions. As it appears right now, this boundary should
almost certainly be north of the area on Tuesday, leading to the
cwa being largely warm sectored and capped, and unlikely to be
a source of convective development. Nonetheless, there are some
indications that convection developing closer to the front may
propagate southward into the forecast area during the
afternoon evening, warranting some 20-30 pops north of
interstate 70. Tuesday should also be the warmest day of the
extended period, with highs in the mid 80s to lower 90s. As the
front oscillates slightly southward on Wednesday, and a
shortwave approaches from the west, temperatures should moderate
slightly -- but chances for storms will also increase.

A more pronounced shortwave is expected to move into the area
on Thursday, along with a further southward progression of the
surface boundary. This will lead to what appears to be the
greatest chance for precipitation during peak diurnal timing.

Beyond Thursday, there are timing differences in the models
regarding the progression of a secondary trough moving across
the great lakes -- the 00z ecmwf, for example, is a little more
amplified and slower with its eastward motion. Thus, there is
much less certainty with the precipitation forecast for Friday
and beyond. This is especially true heading into the weekend,
when flow will set up in more of a pseudo-zonal orientation,
with quicker shortwaves that are very hard to time out.

Temperatures from Thursday through the weekend should be
slightly cooler than earlier in the week, but generally still
near to slightly above normal.

Aviation 03z Monday through Friday
Scattered showers and thunderstorms will continue to wane this
evening as instability decreases and embedded disturbance moves
away to the east from our area. Thereafter, a weak cold front
will sag slowly south toward the ohio river where it will
briefly stall out toward 12z. With recent rainfall and light
winds, there will be the potential for stratus and or fog to
develop across the much of the terminals. Kcmh klck may be on
the edge of this potential and have the best conditions here,
while ifr lifr and even vlifr may develop (especially river
valley fog) at other locations.

On Monday, stratus and or fog will lift with diurnal heating
into a sct-bkn cumulus deck. Old front boundary is forecast to
lift northeast as a warm front during the day. Increasing
instability and perhaps an embedded disturbance in the zonal
flow aloft will bring a chance of showers and thunderstorms
during the afternoon and evening. Have only placed a vcsh at the
terminals at this time given low confidence low coverage. Winds
will veer to the south once the warm front passes by.

Outlook... Thunderstorms possible Monday night, then again
Wednesday and Thursday.

Iln watches warnings advisories
Oh... None.

Ky... None.

In... None.

Synopsis... Ar sites hickman
near term... Hickman
short term... Ar
long term... Hatzos
aviation... Hickman


Weather Reporting Stations
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Butler County Regional Airport, OH4 mi66 minNNW 310.00 miPartly Cloudy71°F66°F87%1016.6 hPa
Hook Field Municipal Airport, OH13 mi64 minN 310.00 miMostly Cloudy69°F67°F92%1017.3 hPa
Cincinnati, Cincinnati Municipal Airport Lunken Field, OH22 mi66 minSE 39.00 miMostly Cloudy69°F66°F93%1016.5 hPa
Dayton, Dayton-Wright Brothers Airport, OH23 mi66 minN 710.00 miA Few Clouds74°F63°F69%1016.1 hPa

Wind History from HAO (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmSW3CalmNW7CalmE3CalmW6W6W5NW9
G20
SW6SW7W11
G17
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W4CalmNW3NW3
1 day agoCalmCalmCalmCalmE3CalmCalmCalmE3CalmW7SW45SW7
G15
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G22
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G15
NW5CalmCalmCalmCalmCalm
2 days agoCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalm4CalmCalmSW6W7W8NW6W13W6SW4SW3S3CalmCalm

Tide / Current Tables for
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Tide / Current Tables for
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Weather Map and Satellite Images
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wmap_A
GOES Local Image of Midwest    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
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Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Wilmington, OH (22,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Wilmington, OH
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.