Sunday, May26, 2019 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Absecon, NJ

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
10/6/2018 Colors of tide XTide graphs changed to emphasize that they were upgraded. See next note. Comments welcome.
10/4/2018 I have fixed XTide and updated the harmonic files. There were some name changes so you might have to click EDIT to find the new station name.

Sunrise 5:34AMSunset 8:15PM Sunday May 26, 2019 4:12 PM EDT (20:12 UTC) Moonrise 1:47AMMoonset 12:30PM Illumination 47% Phase: Third Quarter Moon; Moon at 22 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
    EDIT      (on/off)   Help
ANZ452 Coastal Waters From Little Egg Inlet To Great Egg Inlet Nj Out 20 Nm- Coastal Waters From Great Egg Inlet To Cape May Nj Out 20 Nm- 319 Pm Edt Sun May 26 2019
Tonight..SW winds 10 to 15 kt, diminishing to 5 to 10 kt late this evening and early morning, then becoming nw late. Seas around 3 ft. SWell mainly from the E with a dominant period of 11 seconds. A chance of showers. A chance of tstms, mainly this evening.
Mon..E winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas around 3 ft early in the morning, then 2 ft or less, then around 3 ft in the late morning and afternoon. SWell mainly from the E with a dominant period of 10 seconds.
Mon night..SE winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming S in the late evening and overnight. Seas around 3 ft early in the evening, then 2 ft or less, then around 3 ft late. SWell mainly from the E with a dominant period of 10 seconds.
Tue..SE winds 5 to 10 kt, increasing to 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas 3 to 4 ft. SWell mainly from the E with a dominant period of 10 seconds. A chance of showers.
Tue night..S winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt, becoming sw 5 to 10 kt after midnight. Seas 3 to 4 ft. A chance of showers.
Wed..W winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming S in the afternoon. Seas 3 to 4 ft.
Wed night..SW winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt. Seas around 3 ft. A chance of showers.
Thu..SW winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt. Seas around 3 ft.
Thu night..SW winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt. Seas 3 to 4 ft. A chance of showers.
Fri..W winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt. Seas 3 to 4 ft. A chance of showers in the morning.
Fri night..NW winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming N after midnight. Seas around 3 ft. A chance of showers. Winds and seas higher in and near tstms.
ANZ400 319 Pm Edt Sun May 26 2019
Synopsis for the coastal waters from sandy hook nj to fenwick island de and for delaware bay.. A cold front will continue to push to our south overnight, then high pressure builds to our north Monday and Monday night. This high builds offshore to or northeast on early Tuesday, while a frontal boundary lifts across our area. This front may stall through Wednesday while a couple of low pressure systems move eastward along the boundary. This front lifts to our north Wednesday night, before a couple of cold front move across the area later Thursday into Friday.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Absecon, NJ
   Hourly   EDIT   Help
location: 39.42, -74.5     debug


Area Discussion for - Philadelphia/Mount Holly, PA
      (on/off)   Help   NOTE: mouseover dotted underlined text for definition
Fxus61 kphi 261917
afdphi
area forecast discussion
national weather service mount holly nj
317 pm edt Sun may 26 2019

Synopsis
A cold front will continue to push to our south overnight, then
high pressure builds to our north Monday and Monday night. This
high builds offshore to or northeast on early Tuesday, while a
frontal boundary lifts across our area. This front may stall
through Wednesday while a couple of low pressure systems move
eastward along the boundary. This front lifts to our north
Wednesday night, before a couple of cold front move across the
area later Thursday into Friday.

Near term until 6 am Monday morning
Convection continues over central pa. So far, the storms
haven't shown a persistent severe threat. Part of this could be
due to the fact that anvils are spreading out in the direction
of travel of the storms, which is causing the air immediately
downstream of the storms to be slightly cooler. Also, it looks
likely that the dry air in the mid levels is still in place, as
evidenced by the surface dewpoints decreasing as the mixing
layer increases. Further, the convective temp on the 12z iad
sounding was above 90, so we still have a few decrees to go to
erode the cap.

None the less, still expect the risk of severe storms to
increase as we head into the late afternoon, especially as the
front approaches our region. Therefore, have kept a mention of
severe storms in the forecast, and will continue to monitor the
radar trends. It still looks like the highest risk is from
philadelphia southward, where MLCAPE values could get close to
1000 j kg. Additionally, bulk shear values (almost entirely
speed shear) will be near 40 kts.

The primary hazard looks to be damaging winds (possible both
due to stronger winds mixing down, and some downburst potential
with mid level dry air entrainment). It looks like the hail
threat may be more limited than previously expected as the cape
profile is mostly below the hail growth region. I still can't
rule it out though, so will continue to mention in the hwo.

Still looks like the tornado threat is negligible as there is
very little shear within the boundary layer.

Storms should shift south through the evening. By midnight,
storms should be mostly confined to delmarva. The severe threat
should also end by midnight as well as the low level inversion
develops behind the cold front.

For the rest of the region, drier air should start to filter in
behind the cold front late this evening, leading to clearing
conditions. Depending on how quickly the front arrives,
temperatures could drop into the 50s, but more likely, low level
moisture will keep temperatures from dropping below 60 for much
of the area.

Short term 6 am Monday morning through 6 pm Monday
Memorial day should be a pleasant day for much of the region.

The only possible exception is portions of delmarva. If the
front stalls over this area, showers and storms could linger in
delmarva through the day. Although there is still some
uncertainty, so I stayed close to the previous forecast, it is
worth noting that some of the 12z models show this front
clearing much further south, leaving the entire region dry.

Temperatures behind the front will be 5 to 10 degrees lower
than Sunday, with highs mostly in the 70s and lower 80s. Despite
the northwesterly flow, a sea breeze could develop later in the
day, cooling coastal areas further.

Long term Monday night through Sunday
An unsettle pattern continues for much of the upcoming week
into the weekend, with several rounds of showers and
thunderstorms.

Monday night will start out fairly quiet as high pressure
builds to our north. Very late in the night, the high pressure
begins to lose any grip it has on our area as a frontal boundary
begins to lift northward, and as a short wave vorticity impulse
moves into the area, scattered showers and thunderstorms may
develop late Monday night into early Tuesday morning.

As we go into Tuesday, the front lifting toward the area is
forecast to slow down and may stall out across the region later
Tuesday, into Tuesday night, and into Wednesday as well as
several waves of low pressure move along the boundary. As
multiple rounds of short waves vorticity impulses aloft move
across the area within the northwest-west flow aloft, showers
and thunderstorms will continue in the forecast Tuesday-
Wednesday, although it will not rain the entire time. The higher
probabilities will be tied to the passages of the short waves.

As we move into Wednesday night, the frontal boundary is
expected to lift to our north, and precipitation chances will
lower through Wednesday night, although not be zero as there
will remain unsettled conditions with an additional short
wave vorticity impulse affect the area.

On Thursday and Friday, a couple of frontal boundaries are
forecast to move across the area. The front on Thursday
currently looks to be the stronger of the two, and has a better
chance of showers and thunderstorms to be associated with it.

Thursday also has higher pw values at 1.5-2.0 for some areas, so
it will have a higher threat for heavy rainfall, although pw
values remain over an inch into Friday.

Dry weather may return for early Saturday as high pressure
briefly builds across the northeast and into our area. However,
showers may begin to develop during the afternoon as return flow
develops and a short wave moves across the area. Also, another
cold front is currently forecast to move toward the area on
Sunday, which could bring another round of showers and
thunderstorms to the area.

Temperatures through most of the extended period are forecast
to be above normal, with Tuesday possibly being the coolest day
and below or near normal.

Aviation 19z Sunday through Friday
The following discussion is for kphl, kpne, kttn, kabe, krdg, kilg,
kmiv, kacy and surrounding areas.

Today...VFR conditions are expected to continue through 18z.

After 18z, there is a chance for tsra across the region. Any
storms will be capable of variable and gusty winds, and possibly
some hail. At this point, have a tempo group to include the
threat with the first potential round of storms, but additional
rounds of storms will be possible continuing into the tonight
period. Winds will generally be from the west around 10 kts with
occasional gusts to 15-20kts.

Tonight... Showers thunderstorms will continue to be possible
through 06z. Once storms move south of the TAF sites, expectVFR
conditions for the remainder of the night. Winds shifting more
northerly overnight, but speeds should stay near or below 10 kt.

Monday...VFR conditions are expected with northerly light winds
through the day. The one exception is that a sea breeze could
develop after 18z which could shift winds at kacy and kmiv to
southeasterly.

Outlook...

Monday night... GenerallyVFR condition expected, although
clouds increase and lower late in the night with a chance of
showers. Winds become northeast 5-10 knots overnight.

Tuesday-Tuesday night... MVFR ceilings may develop early Tuesday
as a warm front lifts across the area and continue into the
night. Chance of showers and thunderstorms during the period.

East to northeast winds Tuesday and Tuesday evening, become
southeast Tuesday night.

Wednesday-Wednesday night... MVFR conditions possible early,
then lifting toVFR during the morning. Showers and
thunderstorms remain possible, especially Wednesday afternoon
and evening. Winds shift to southwest early and may gust 15-20
knots during the day.

Thursday-Thursday night... GenerallyVFR, except lower
conditions possible with showers and thunderstorms Thursday
afternoon and night. Southwest winds may gust 15-20 knots during
the day Thursday.

Friday... GenerallyVFR, except lower conditions possible with
showers and thunderstorms during the day. Southwest winds may
gust 20-25 knots during the day.

Marine
Winds and seas are expected to remain below small craft
advisory conditions through memorial day. Thunderstorms with
gusty erratic winds will be possible through this evening.

Outlook...

Monday night-Friday... Conditions expected to remain below
advisory levels through the period, although winds may gust
around 20 knots at times. There is a chance of showers and
thunderstorms each day, which could produce locally higher winds
and waves should they occur.

Rip currents...

the risk for the formation of dangerous rip currents is low
through this evening. An increasing long period swell may
increase the risk to moderate on memorial day.

Phi watches warnings advisories
Pa... None.

Nj... None.

De... None.

Md... None.

Marine... None.

Synopsis... Robertson
near term... Johnson
short term... Johnson
long term... Robertson
aviation... Johnson robertson
marine... Johnson robertson


Weather Reporting Stations
   EDIT       (on/off)   Help   NOTE: Click on distance to see the station location on a map
Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
ACYN4 - 8534720 - Atlantic City, NJ 6 mi43 min 73°F 59°F1013.8 hPa
JCRN4 - Jacques Cousteau Reserve, NJ 8 mi103 min W 2.9 80°F 1014 hPa57°F
CMAN4 - 8536110 - Cape May, NJ 40 mi43 min SW 2.9 G 4.1 79°F 66°F1013.7 hPa
BRND1 - 8555889 - Brandywine Shoal Light, DE 44 mi61 min 1014.6 hPa
44091 46 mi43 min 62°F3 ft
SJSN4 - 8537121 - Ship John Shoal, NJ 47 mi61 min S 8.9 G 9.9 75°F 71°F1013.8 hPa
BDSP1 49 mi43 min 85°F 70°F1012.8 hPa
PHBP1 - 8545240 - Philadelphia, PA 49 mi43 min 88°F 67°F1012.2 hPa

Wind History for Cape May, NJ
(wind in knots)    EDIT      (on/off)   Help
5
PM
6
PM
7
PM
8
PM
9
PM
10
PM
11
PM
12
AM
1
AM
2
AM
3
AM
4
AM
5
AM
6
AM
7
AM
8
AM
9
AM
10
AM
11
AM
12
PM
1
PM
2
PM
3
PM
4
PM
Last
24hr
E13
G16
SE12
G15
SE9
G13
SE8
SE8
G13
SE8
G11
SE9
G13
SE7
G14
SE10
G15
SE1
G5
SE6
SE4
S5
SW5
G8
W4
W5
W4
NW5
NW8
NW4
G7
W4
W4
SW3
SW2
1 day
ago
NW16
NW4
G10
NW9
NW6
G9
NW3
G6
N2
E6
G9
E2
NE2
NE5
NE6
G10
E8
G11
E9
E5
E10
E9
G15
E10
G13
E11
G14
E12
E9
G15
E10
G15
E10
G15
E11
G16
SE16
2 days
ago
S12
G16
SW11
G15
SW8
G11
SW8
G12
S5
G8
S7
G10
SW13
SW14
W14
W10
NW9
G12
W9
G12
NW9
G14
NW15
G20
NW15
G19
NW16
G20
NW13
G17
NW4
G11
NW8
G13
NW5
G12
NW16
G21
NW14
G18

Airport Reports
    EDIT      (on/off)   Help   Click EDIT to display multiple airports
AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Atlantic City, Atlantic City International Airport, NJ5 mi19 minWNW 910.00 miFair86°F62°F45%1012.6 hPa

Wind History from ACY (wind in knots)
5
PM
6
PM
7
PM
8
PM
9
PM
10
PM
11
PM
12
AM
1
AM
2
AM
3
AM
4
AM
5
AM
6
AM
7
AM
8
AM
9
AM
10
AM
11
AM
12
PM
1
PM
2
PM
3
PM
4
PM
Last 24hrS11S11S9S10
G15
S9S8
G20
S9S8S8SW7SW9SW10SW5SW3W6W8W7W9W10NW9NW10NW8W7W9
1 day agoNW15
G24
NW14
G24
NW12
G19
N5N5N7NE9N5NE6N5E9SE7SE8SE5SE6SE10S9S8S9SE10SE96
G17
SE9
G18
SE12
2 days agoSW7S8S6SW8SW11
G19
SW9SW10SW9
G17
W11
G19
W9
G17
W7W9W10W11
G19
NW11NW15
G23
NW20
G27
NW18
G27
NW21
G29
NW20
G28
NW23
G30
NW21
G33
NW20
G30
NW19
G28

Tide / Current Tables for Absecon, Absecon Creek, U.S. Hwy. 30 bridge, New Jersey
   EDIT   Weekend mode (on/off)   (on/off)   Help   One Week of Data
Absecon
Click for Map
Sun -- 01:46 AM EDT     Moonrise
Sun -- 03:01 AM EDT     3.81 feet High Tide
Sun -- 05:36 AM EDT     Sunrise
Sun -- 09:36 AM EDT     0.72 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 12:31 PM EDT     Moonset
Sun -- 12:34 PM EDT     Last Quarter
Sun -- 03:42 PM EDT     3.48 feet High Tide
Sun -- 08:14 PM EDT     Sunset
Sun -- 09:58 PM EDT     1.23 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

12
am
1
am
2
am
3
am
4
am
5
am
6
am
7
am
8
am
9
am
10
am
11
am
12
pm
1
pm
2
pm
3
pm
4
pm
5
pm
6
pm
7
pm
8
pm
9
pm
10
pm
11
pm
2.63.23.63.83.632.21.61.10.80.81.11.82.433.43.53.12.621.61.41.21.4

Tide / Current Tables for Ventnor City, ocean pier, New Jersey
   EDIT      (on/off)   Help   One Week of Data
Ventnor City
Click for Map
Sun -- 01:32 AM EDT     3.99 feet High Tide
Sun -- 01:46 AM EDT     Moonrise
Sun -- 05:36 AM EDT     Sunrise
Sun -- 07:53 AM EDT     0.76 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 12:31 PM EDT     Moonset
Sun -- 12:34 PM EDT     Last Quarter
Sun -- 02:13 PM EDT     3.64 feet High Tide
Sun -- 08:14 PM EDT     Sunset
Sun -- 08:15 PM EDT     1.29 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

12
am
1
am
2
am
3
am
4
am
5
am
6
am
7
am
8
am
9
am
10
am
11
am
12
pm
1
pm
2
pm
3
pm
4
pm
5
pm
6
pm
7
pm
8
pm
9
pm
10
pm
11
pm
3.63.93.93.52.71.91.30.90.811.62.32.93.43.63.532.31.91.51.31.41.82.5

Weather Map and Satellite Images
       (on/off)   HelpWeather Map
wmap_A
GOES Local Image of Mid-Atlantic    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop



Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Philadelphia/Mount Holly, PA (16,3,4,5)
      (on/off)   Help

Ground Weather Radar Station Philadelphia, PA
   (on/off)   Help
weather_mapweather_map weather_map

Ad by Google

Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.