Marine Weather and Tides
6/25/2017 - NOAA is having a major issue that impact the 7 day forecast load times. Many users are reporting problems. The issue has been reported.
5/23/2017 - Worked with NOAA again to speed up the 7 day forecast load times. Thanks to them for being responsive.
5/19/2016 - There were issues with the 3 day airport observation history. I switched to another data source. Let me know if you see any issues with the data feeds.
|Sunrise 7:10AM||Sunset 4:37PM||Friday December 15, 2017 9:08 AM EST (14:08 UTC)||Moonrise 5:32AM||Moonset 4:14PM||Illumination 8%|
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|ANZ452 Coastal Waters From Little Egg Inlet To Great Egg Inlet Nj Out 20 Nm- Coastal Waters From Great Egg Inlet To Cape May Nj Out 20 Nm- 613 Am Est Fri Dec 15 2017 |
.gale watch in effect from late tonight through Saturday morning...
Today..E winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming ne 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt late. Seas around 3 ft early this morning, then 2 ft or less. Mainly in N swell with a dominant period of 6 seconds. A chance of rain with a slight chance of snow early this afternoon. Rain with snow likely late.
Tonight..NW winds 15 to 20 kt, becoming W 20 to 25 kt after midnight. Gusts up to 35 kt. Seas 3 to 4 ft. Mainly in N swell with a dominant period of 5 seconds. Rain and snow likely early in the evening, then a chance of rain and snow late in the evening.
Sat..W winds 20 to 25 kt with gusts up to 35 kt. Seas 3 to 4 ft. Mainly in nw swell with a dominant period of 5 seconds.
Sat night..W winds 15 to 20 kt with gusts up to 30 kt, becoming nw 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 25 kt in the late evening and early morning, then becoming N 5 to 10 kt late. Seas 3 to 4 ft. Mainly in sw swell with a dominant period of 5 seconds.
Sun..NE winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming S in the afternoon. Seas around 3 ft in the morning, then 2 ft or less.
Sun night..SW winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less, then around 3 ft after midnight.
Mon..W winds around 10 kt. Seas around 3 ft in the morning, then 2 ft or less.
Mon night..SW winds around 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less.
Tue..SW winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 4 ft.
Tue night..W winds 15 to 20 kt, increasing to 20 to 25 kt after midnight. Seas 3 to 5 ft.
|ANZ400 613 Am Est Fri Dec 15 2017 |
Synopsis for the coastal waters from sandy hook nj to fenwick island de and for delaware bay.. A surface low will move from the carolinas early this morning to offshore the mid-atlantic tonight. High pressure will build into southeast canada, allowing a backdoor cold front to move into or through the area Saturday night and Sunday. This front will then stall before lifting northward as a warm front Sunday night and Monday. A cold front will progress through the region around the middle of next week. Another system may affect the area near the close of next week.
7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Port Republic, NJHourly EDIT Help
Area Discussion for - Philadelphia/Mount Holly, PA  (on/off)  Help NOTE: mouseover dotted underlined text for definition
|Fxus61 kphi 151112|
area forecast discussion
national weather service mount holly nj
612 am est Fri dec 15 2017
A surface low will move from the carolinas early this morning to
offshore the mid-atlantic tonight. High pressure will build into
southeast canada, allowing a backdoor cold front to move into or
through the area Saturday night and Sunday. This front will then
stall before lifting northward as a warm front Sunday night and
Monday. A cold front will progress through the region around the
middle of next week. Another system may affect the area near the
close of next week.
Near term until 6 pm this evening
The biggest weather story for our area today is the potential for
snow through the afternoon.
Changes from the previous forecast: based on the latest high
resolution model runs, adjusted the pops primarily west of the
i95 corridor up as it looks like the snow could continue further
west than previously forecast. However, the further west from
the coast, the drier the boundary layer, so still expect snow
totals near or below one inch. Therefore, no plans to expand or
change the winter weather advisory at this time.
Synoptic and mesoscale pattern: in the mid and upper levels, a
positively-tilted short wave trough will be propagating east through
the day at the same time that the low over northwestern mexico
transitions to a cutoff low. At the surface, a low currently over
the carolinas, will lift northeast as it deepens and intensifies (in
response to the approaching mid and upper level trough). At this
point there doesn't appear to be a strong signal for significant
mesoscale banding as the jet in the upper level is off set
significantly to the north from the mid level jet. Additionally, the
theta E ridge and MAX frontogenesis on the north side of the
surface low look to stay well off shore of our region.
Locations: it generally looks like the favored area will still be
along and southeast of the interstate 95 corridor. There will likely
be a sharp drop off in snow along or northwest of 95, but given the
potential timing, have erred on the side of caution with including
delaware and philadelphia counties in the winter weather
Precipitation type: mostly snow except along coastal delaware. Some
models indicate that there may not be ice crystals in the clouds to
start the event, but given the satellite trends, it looks like
seeder-feeder high clouds should arrive over our region well before
precipitation begins, leading to a negligible freezing rain threat.
Along the delaware coast, the center of the surface low is expected
to get close enough to the coast to result in a rain snow mix and
periods of all rain.
Temperatures: with the exception of coastal delaware, most of the
area will see high temperatures near or below freezing, which is
about 10 to 15 degrees below normal.
Short term 6 pm this evening through 6 am Saturday
The previously mentioned surface low quickly lifts away from our
region, with snow ending from southwest to northeast. A surface high
is expected to build over the southeastern u.S. As a result
over our region, low and mid level northwesterly flow will
increase. However, through the overnight hours, it does not look
like a favorable fetch for lake effect snow to reach the
southern poconos, so have kept the region dry after midnight.
Temperatures should be higher than what we saw this morning,
thanks to lingering cloud cover. Lows are expected to be in the
teens and 20s across the region.
Long term Saturday through Thursday
The large-scale pattern in the long term will change somewhat
with fairly zonal flow across much of the eastern u.S. Next
week. However, the flow will remain progressive, with numerous
systems passing near or through the region during the period.
This weekend's forecast is a little tricky in a few respects.
Though two surface highs will build into eastern north america
(one in southeast canada and the other in the southeastern
u.S.), a deformation axis will form in between, with onshore
flow equatorward of the canada high allowing for a backdoor cold
front to move into the mid-atlantic Saturday and Saturday night.
The differences among the models are rather pronounced, with
statistical guidance varying between the warmer Saturday cooler
Sunday (ecs) and vice versa (met mav). The warm look of the ecs
on Saturday looks questionable given the antecedent cold near-
surface air and potential for additional snow cover in portions
of the area. Furthermore, the low levels will feature warm-air
advection as a weakening midlevel perturbation rapidly
progresses to the mid-atlantic by Sunday night. Nevertheless,
the source region of the surface flow on Sunday will likely be
onshore, and this makes me hesitant to go with considerably
warmer values this day. I went on the low side of consensus
both days, especially Saturday (with residual effects of snow
cover and heights that do not rise significantly until dark).
With backdoor cold fronts, there is always a worry of
fog stratus, which is not readily apparent in much of the
guidance. The pattern is not overly favorable, with the surface
high a bit west of where it needs to be for more favorable (and
stronger) onshore flow.
Then there is the matter of a northern-stream perturbation
moving through new england on Saturday, which may generate
enough lift (with favorable northwesterly low-level fetch) to
bring some snow showers to the poconos. The 00z ECMWF even
suggests this could spread east-southeast into the lehigh valley
and northern new jersey. For now, kept the pops confined to
mainly carbon, monroe, and sussex (nj) counties with the caveat
that these may need expansion southeastward should the ECMWF be
on to something.
The aforementioned weak perturbation moving into the region
Sunday night may generate some light rain or snow in the area,
especially north of the mason-dixon line. The models are
uniformly unimpressed with the system, which is unsurprising
given its weakening phase. One thing to watch will be its track,
though, which is a little uncertain given the influence of a
northern-stream kicker and the always unknown position of the
backdoor front (typically farther south than progged this far
out). With a slightly southward track (one reason the ECMWF is
colder on Sunday), the isentropically-generated lift precip on
Sunday night spreads over more of the area. Meanwhile, the gfs
looks rather sparse save for areas north of i-78. Plenty of
uncertainty here, so kept fairly low broad pops. The 00z cmc,
notably, is more in agreement with the ecmwf.
A surface low develops and moves through southeast canada Monday
night and Tuesday, but models generally keep the strongest lift
north of the region. The 00z GFS looks suspiciously wet so far
south of the system, though it is noticeably deeper with the
attendant trough. There also appears to be more phasing with a|
southern-stream perturbation near the gulf coast. There is a lot
of uncertainty here, given that the southern-stream perturbation
stems from a trailing upper low in the southwest, and the
evolution of these systems is generally of low predictability.
At 18z Tuesday, the 00z ECMWF has two distinct southern-stream
vorticity maxima in association with the southwest upper low,
whereas the GFS has a single (stronger) entity (with typical
long-range timing errors, too), with the disparities between
the two giving me little confidence forecasts will remain like
they are now. With all of this said, I do not have a lot of
confidence to change the forecast from what I inherited until
model agreement improves. Main changes were to bring in a
distinct dry period on Monday (after the first perturbation
passes) and keep low pops in Tuesday with this second system.
Qpf impacts from both of these systems look low minor at this
There should be a distinct warming trend Monday and Tuesday
given the midlevel ridging that develops in advance of the
canada surface low. Temperatures on Tuesday could be around ten
degrees above seasonal averages.
Another deep trough enters the western u.S. Near the end of next
week, which should regenerate zonal flow or even slight ridging
east of the rockies during this period. This will bring a
period of dry and seasonable weather (cooling after frontal
passage midweek, with warm advection returning thereafter). A
potentially strong surface low looks to develop in the central
plains during this period and will move east or northeast via a
strong southwesterly jet streak. The models are all over the
place with effects to the mid-atlantic, with potential for
plenty of warm-sector precip near the end of the week (gfs) or
frontolysis limiting the precipitation generated in our area
(ecmwf) or a frontal wave developing and generating a low that
crosses much closer to the area (cmc).
At this point, kept Wednesday and Thursday fairly dry, but
there may be another chance for some precip near the end of the
Aviation 11z Friday through Tuesday
The following discussion is for kphl, kpne, kttn, kabe, krdg, kilg,
kmiv, kacy and surrounding areas.
Today... StartingVFR through much of the morning, but MVFR ceilings
are expected to move in around 18z. In addition, snow is expected,
primarily along and east of the delaware valley which will result in
MVFR, and localized ifr, visibility. Confidence is moderate on both
flight categories and timing.
Tonight... Conditions should improve back toVFR between 00 and 03z.
Northwesterly wind gusts up to 20 kt will be possible at kacy. For
the rest of the TAF sites, northwesterly winds will generally be
near or below 10 kt.
Saturday: generallyVFR, with snow showers possible in the poconos
and vicinity. West winds 10 to 15 kts with gusts around 20 kts or
so. High confidence.
Saturday night: generallyVFR with light and variable winds. There
is a low chance of sub-vfr CIGS vsbys if stronger onshore flow
develops. Medium confidence.
Sunday: generallyVFR, with increasing cloudiness late. Light east
or southeast winds. Medium confidence.
Sunday night and Monday: generallyVFR, though brief sub-vfr
conditions are possible with light rain or snow, especially north of
phl. Light winds generally transitioning from southeast to southwest
during the period. Low confidence.
Monday night and Tuesday: sub-vfr conditions possible, with
scattered showers during the period, especially on Tuesday. Winds
primarily between south and west at 5 to 15 kts. Medium
Today... Winds and seas should stay below small craft advisory
Tonight... Northwesterly winds will increase, primarily after
midnight. On the atlantic coastal waters, wind gusts right around
gale force are possible, but still uncertain. Therefore, have issued
a gale watch for these locations. On the delaware bay, small craft
advisory conditions are likely.
Saturday: westerly gales possible in the morning, with advisory-
level winds likely during the afternoon. Fair weather.
Saturday night: residual advisory-level northwest winds in the
evening will diminish overnight. Seas below criteria. Fair weather.
Sunday and Sunday night: no headlines anticipated. There may be some
light rain off the new jersey coast, with potential for some
Monday and Monday night: no headlines anticipated. Mainly fair
weather, but there could be some showers off the new jersey coast at
times during the period.
Tuesday: southwest winds increasing to near or above advisory levels
by afternoon, with seas also building. A chance of showers and
attendant visibility restrictions.
Phi watches warnings advisories
Pa... Winter weather advisory from 1 pm this afternoon to 9 pm est
this evening for paz070-071.
Nj... Winter weather advisory from 1 pm this afternoon to 9 pm est
this evening for njz016>027.
De... Winter weather advisory from 1 pm this afternoon to 9 pm est
this evening for dez001>003.
Md... Winter weather advisory from 1 pm this afternoon to 9 pm est
this evening for mdz008-012-015-020.
Marine... Gale watch from late tonight through Saturday morning for
Small craft advisory from 1 am to 6 pm est Saturday for anz430-
near term... Johnson
short term... Johnson
long term... Cms
aviation... Cms johnson
marine... Cms johnson
Weather Reporting StationsEDIT (on/off)  Help NOTE: Click on distance to see the station location on a map
|Stations||Dist||Age||Wind||Air Temp||Water Temp||Waves||Pressure||DewPt|
|JCRN4 - Jacques Cousteau Reserve, NJ||1 mi||98 min||Calm||21°F||1020 hPa||16°F|
|ACYN4 - 8534720 - Atlantic City, NJ||14 mi||50 min||26°F||43°F||1020.3 hPa|
|44091||40 mi||68 min||49°F||2 ft|
|NBLP1 - 8548989 - Newbold, PA||43 mi||50 min||WNW 2.9 G 4.1||24°F||36°F||1020.5 hPa|
|BDRN4 - 8539094 - Burlington, Delaware River, NJ||43 mi||92 min||SW 1.9 G 2.9||23°F||38°F||1019.7 hPa|
|BDSP1||44 mi||50 min||25°F||42°F||1019.9 hPa|
|PHBP1 - 8545240 - Philadelphia, PA||45 mi||50 min||26°F||41°F||1019.6 hPa|
|CMAN4 - 8536110 - Cape May, NJ||48 mi||50 min||NE 4.1 G 5.1||26°F||41°F||1019.5 hPa|
Wind History for Burlington, Delaware River, NJ(wind in knots) EDIT (on/off)  Help
Airport ReportsEDIT (on/off)  Help Click EDIT to display multiple airports
|Atlantic City, Atlantic City International Airport, NJ||9 mi||74 min||N 0||10.00 mi||Mostly Cloudy||23°F||17°F||78%||1020.1 hPa|
Wind History from ACY (wind in knots)
|1 day ago|
|2 days ago|
EDIT RT Ports Option Weekend mode (on/off) (on/off)  Help One Week of Data
|Cramers Boatyard |
Click for Map
Fri -- 01:21 AM EST -0.05 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 04:31 AM EST Moonrise
Fri -- 07:02 AM EST 3.27 feet High Tide
Fri -- 07:11 AM EST Sunrise
Fri -- 01:56 PM EST -0.03 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 03:14 PM EST Moonset
Fri -- 04:34 PM EST Sunset
Fri -- 07:21 PM EST 2.75 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
EDIT (on/off)  Help One Week of Data
|Barnegat Inlet |
Click for Map
Fri -- 02:02 AM EST 0.00 knots Slack
Fri -- 04:30 AM EST Moonrise
Fri -- 04:42 AM EST 2.23 knots Max Flood
Fri -- 07:10 AM EST Sunrise
Fri -- 08:14 AM EST -0.00 knots Slack
Fri -- 11:49 AM EST -2.57 knots Max Ebb
Fri -- 02:53 PM EST 0.00 knots Slack
Fri -- 03:12 PM EST Moonset
Fri -- 04:32 PM EST Sunset
Fri -- 05:13 PM EST 1.75 knots Max Flood
Fri -- 08:28 PM EST -0.00 knots Slack
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Weather Map and Satellite Images(on/off)  Help
|Weather Map ||IR Satellite Image from GEOS|
GOES Local Image of Mid-Atlantic EDIT
Wind Forecast for Philadelphia/Mount Holly, PA (9,2,3,4)(on/off)  Help
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