Saturday, March23, 2019 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Ship Bottom, NJ

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
10/6/2018 Colors of tide XTide graphs changed to emphasize that they were upgraded. See next note. Comments welcome.
10/4/2018 I have fixed XTide and updated the harmonic files. There were some name changes so you might have to click EDIT to find the new station name.

Sunrise 6:54AMSunset 7:13PM Saturday March 23, 2019 5:01 PM EDT (21:01 UTC) Moonrise 10:24PMMoonset 8:45AM Illumination 91% Phase: Waning Gibbous; Moon at 18 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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ANZ451 Expires:201903240715;;808969 Fzus51 Kphi 231921 Cwfphi Coastal Waters Forecast National Weather Service Mount Holly Nj 321 Pm Edt Sat Mar 23 2019 Sandy Hook Nj To Fenwick Island De To 20 Nm Offshore And Delaware Bay Anz450-451-240715- Coastal Waters From Sandy Hook To Manasquan Inlet Nj Out 20 Nm- Coastal Waters From Manasquan Inlet To Little Egg Inlet Nj Out 20 Nm- 321 Pm Edt Sat Mar 23 2019
.gale warning in effect until 6 pm edt this evening...
Tonight..NW winds 15 to 20 kt with gusts up to 30 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. SWell mainly from the ne with a dominant period of 11 seconds.
Sun..SW winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt. Seas around 3 ft early in the morning, then 2 ft or less, then around 3 ft late in the morning, then 2 ft or less, then around 3 ft late. SWell mainly from the E with a dominant period of 10 seconds.
Sun night..SW winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 25 kt, diminishing to 5 to 10 kt late. Seas 3 to 4 ft. SWell mainly from the se with a dominant period of 10 seconds.
Mon..W winds around 5 kt, becoming nw 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt late in the morning, then becoming ne 5 to 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas 3 to 4 ft. SWell mainly from the S with a dominant period of 6 seconds. A chance of rain in the morning, then rain likely in the afternoon.
Mon night..NE winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt, increasing to 15 to 20 kt with gusts up to 30 kt after midnight. Seas 3 to 4 ft. Rain likely in the evening.
Tue..NE winds 15 to 20 kt, diminishing to 10 to 15 kt in the afternoon. Gusts up to 30 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft.
Tue night..NE winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 25 kt. Seas 3 to 4 ft.
Wed..NE winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 25 kt. Seas 3 to 4 ft.
Wed night..E winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt, diminishing to 5 to 10 kt after midnight. Seas 3 to 4 ft.
Thu..E winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 3 to 4 ft.
Thu night..E winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 3 to 4 ft.
ANZ400 321 Pm Edt Sat Mar 23 2019
Synopsis for the coastal waters from sandy hook nj to fenwick island de and for delaware bay.. High pressure will slide to the south and east of the area on Sunday. A low pressure system will track to the north of the area dropping a cold front through the region Sunday night into Monday. Another low develops along this boundary and crosses to the south of the area Monday night into Tuesday. High pressure then builds into the region on Tuesday and then remains in control of the weather through the remainder of the week. Another system may affect the area over the weekend.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Ship Bottom , NJ
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location: 39.65, -74.2     debug


Area Discussion for - Philadelphia/Mount Holly, PA
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Fxus61 kphi 231924
afdphi
area forecast discussion
national weather service mount holly nj
324 pm edt Sat mar 23 2019

Synopsis
High pressure will slide to the south and east of the area on
Sunday. A low pressure system will track to the north of the area
dropping a cold front through the region Sunday night into Monday.

Another low develops along this boundary and crosses to the south of
the area Monday night into Tuesday. High pressure then builds into
the region on Tuesday and then remains in control of the weather
through the remainder of the week. Another system may affect the
area over the weekend.

Near term until 6 am Sunday morning
High pressure stretching from the ohio valley southeast to the
coastal section of the carolinas will move southeast overnight. As
the gradient between this system and strong low pressure over the
canadian maritimes continues to relax, wind gusts will diminish,
leaving sustained winds in the 8 to 12 mph range. With dewpoint
depression values between 10 to 15 degrees, very dry air and light
winds will result in ideal radiational cooling conditions, with
expected lows in the low to mid 20s north and upper 20s to low 30s
south, which is 5 to 10 degrees below normal for this time of year.

Short term 6 am Sunday morning through 6 pm Sunday
As high pressure slips off the carolina coast, the combination of a
developing southwesterly flow at the surface and zonal flow aloft,
will bring warmer temperatures to the region. Expect highs in the
low 50s in the north, and low 60s in the south, which is 5 degrees
or so above normal for this time of year. Westerly winds in the 5 to
10 mph range will become southwesterly as the day wears on. Skies
will be mostly sunny in the morning, with increasing cloudiness
during the afternoon ahead of the next system heading this way.

Long term Sunday night through Saturday
Sunday night through Monday... A cold front will drop through our
area Sunday night into Monday morning. Not a lot of moisture
available with the frontal passage but some showers will be possible
as the front makes its way into the area. An area of low pressure
develops along this frontal boundary and will travel along it as the
front pushes to the south and east. The low remains centered to the
south of the region as it makes its way towards the coast. This
second low has more moisture associated with it and we should see
some showers move across our southern areas through Monday and
Monday night. While the precipitation will end from northwest to
southeast, colder and drier air will filter into the region. If the
precip doesn't cut off before the colder air arrives, then we may
see some mixing with snow before the precip fully ends. But with the
drier air moving in fairly quickly (which is what the guidance
continues to show) the precipitation will largely be confined to the
southern portions of the forecast area as we move through Monday
afternoon and into Monday night.

Tuesday through Friday... Any lingering precipitation over delmarva
should end early on Tuesday as dry air moves into the area. High
pressure will build in from the west on Tuesday. The high settles
just to the northeast of our area and remains there through the
week. We should have dry conditions through the week and generally
light winds, which should result in good radiational cooling at
night. High temperatures will start off on the cool side (in the
40s) but as we go through the week, they will moderate quite a bit
and be pretty warm (into the 50s 60s) by the time we reach the
weekend.

Saturday... The next low pressure system is slated to move through
the region over the weekend. With warm temperatures expected when
the precipitation arrives, anticipate that we will have an all rain
event. Precipitation in advance of the main system will start to
arrive early Saturday and then gradually spread across the forecast
area.

Aviation 19z Saturday through Thursday
The following discussion is for kphl, kpne, kttn, kabe, krdg, kilg,
kmiv, kacy and surrounding areas.

Tonight...VFR under a clear sky. While a few west to northwest wind
gusts between 20 and 25 knots are possible early, winds are expected
to subside to 10 knots or less overnight.

Sunday...VFR with west winds 5 to 10 knots, becoming southwest
during the afternoon.

Outlook...

Sunday night... MainlyVFR conditions expected. Increasing cloudiness
overnight with showers possible towards daybreak. West to southwest
winds around 10 knots or less.

Monday... MainlyVFR conditions expected with MVFR possible in
showers. Northerly winds around 10 knots.

Tuesday and Wednesday...VFR conditions expected. North to northeast
winds around 10 knots on Tuesday, becoming east to southeast
around 10 knots or less on Wednesday.

Marine
Strong west to northwesterly winds from 25-30 knots through the
remainder of the afternoon, though these will slowly subside into
the overnight hours. Gusts of up to 35 knots will be possible
through 22z, dropping to 25-30 knots by 00z. However, a few
localized higher gusts will be possible, especially across the
northern zones through the overnight. Winds have relaxed below gale
criteria from great egg inlet southward, thus allowed the gale
warning to expire early at 20z for these areas. Will keep the gale
warning up until expiration at 22z for areas to the north.

A SCA has been issued in place of the gale warning for the southern
zones , and will continue through 09z Sunday morning. Winds gusts
between 20 and 25 knots will be possible. Will likely add the
northern zones to this SCA after the gale expires. Seas of 3 to 5
feet.

Sunday and Sunday night... Winds turning southerly while dropping
below SCA criteria at 10-15 knots. Waves 2 to 4 feet.

Outlook
Monday and Monday night... Sub SCA conditions with westerly winds
turning north to northeasterly as a cold front drops southward.

Waves near 1 to 3 feet during the day, but building to 2 to 4 feet
through the overnight Monday.

Tuesday and Tuesday night... Winds approaching SCA criteria out of
the north at 20 to 25 knots, with gusts of 25 to 30 knots,
especially for the southern zones. Waves building to 3 to 5 feet.

Wednesday through Thursday... Winds remain below SCA criteria and
northeasterly winds from 10 to 15 knots. Seas, however, remain on
the high side, possibly at SCA levels, from 3 to 5 feet for the
southern zones Wednesday. Waves should drop to 2 to 4 feet by
Thursday morning though.

Phi watches warnings advisories
Pa... None.

Nj... None.

De... None.

Md... None.

Marine... Small craft advisory until 4 am edt Sunday for anz430-431-
452>455.

Gale warning until 6 pm edt this evening for anz450-451.

Synopsis... Meola
near term... Miketta
short term... Miketta
long term... Meola
aviation... Meola miketta
marine... Davis


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
JCRN4 - Jacques Cousteau Reserve, NJ 16 mi92 min W 11 50°F 1015 hPa17°F
ACYN4 - 8534720 - Atlantic City, NJ 23 mi32 min 51°F 43°F1016.1 hPa
44091 24 mi32 min 42°F5 ft
NBLP1 - 8548989 - Newbold, PA 45 mi32 min NNW 15 G 22 50°F 44°F1016.3 hPa
BDRN4 - 8539094 - Burlington, Delaware River, NJ 46 mi86 min WNW 15 G 25 47°F 44°F1015.5 hPa

Wind History for Newbold, PA
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Miller Air Park, NJ20 mi66 minNW 17 G 2310.00 miFair50°F16°F26%1015.3 hPa
Atlantic City, Atlantic City International Airport, NJ24 mi68 minNW 21 G 3310.00 miFair and Breezy52°F17°F25%1015.4 hPa

Wind History from MJX (wind in knots)
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1 day agoE10
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S74N6N7NW6NW12NW16
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2 days agoSE6SE5CalmCalmCalmE3E4CalmE4SE4SE5E5SE6SE6E3E6NE5E7E7
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Tide / Current Tables for Manahawkin Creek, Manahawkin Bay, New Jersey
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Manahawkin Creek
Click for Map
Sat -- 12:58 AM EDT     1.62 feet High Tide
Sat -- 06:55 AM EDT     Sunrise
Sat -- 08:20 AM EDT     -0.25 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 08:45 AM EDT     Moonset
Sat -- 01:19 PM EDT     1.48 feet High Tide
Sat -- 07:11 PM EDT     Sunset
Sat -- 08:39 PM EDT     -0.20 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 10:24 PM EDT     Moonrise
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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1.51.61.51.30.90.50.2-0.1-0.2-0.20.30.81.21.51.41.310.60.30-0.2-0.20.10.6

Tide / Current Tables for Barnegat Inlet, Barnegat Bay, New Jersey Current
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Barnegat Inlet
Click for Map
Sat -- 12:40 AM EDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Sat -- 04:23 AM EDT     -3.38 knots Max Ebb
Sat -- 06:55 AM EDT     Sunrise
Sat -- 07:12 AM EDT     0.01 knots Slack
Sat -- 08:44 AM EDT     Moonset
Sat -- 09:48 AM EDT     3.06 knots Max Flood
Sat -- 01:04 PM EDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Sat -- 04:47 PM EDT     -3.16 knots Max Ebb
Sat -- 07:11 PM EDT     Sunset
Sat -- 07:32 PM EDT     0.01 knots Slack
Sat -- 10:10 PM EDT     3.06 knots Max Flood
Sat -- 10:24 PM EDT     Moonrise
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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0.9-0.4-1.6-2.6-3.3-3.2-2-0.41.42.732.41.30.1-1.1-2.1-2.9-3.1-2.4-0.90.82.332.7

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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GOES Local Image of Mid-Atlantic    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
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Wind Forecast for Philadelphia/Mount Holly, PA (17,4,5,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Philadelphia, PA
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.