Tuesday, May21, 2019 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Baltimore, OH

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
10/6/2018 Colors of tide XTide graphs changed to emphasize that they were upgraded. See next note. Comments welcome.
10/4/2018 I have fixed XTide and updated the harmonic files. There were some name changes so you might have to click EDIT to find the new station name.

Sunrise 6:09AMSunset 8:45PM Tuesday May 21, 2019 6:31 PM EDT (22:31 UTC) Moonrise 10:38PMMoonset 7:26AM Illumination 91% Phase: Waning Gibbous; Moon at 18 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Baltimore, OH
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location: 39.88, -82.65     debug


Area Discussion for - Wilmington, OH
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Fxus61 kiln 211958
afdiln
area forecast discussion
national weather service wilmington oh
358 pm edt Tue may 21 2019

Synopsis
A weak cold front will dissipate over the region on Wednesday,
bringing a threat of showers and possibly some thunderstorm
activity. Southerly flow will bring in more moisture and warm
air to the region ahead of the next cold front on Thursday,
which will offer the next threat of active weather to the
region. High pressure will briefly build in on Friday and Friday
night.

Near term until 6 am Wednesday morning
Abundant cloud cover will continue to stream over the region
from the west and northwest, with east winds 5-10 mph remaining
at this speed, turning southeast overnight and then south
towards daybreak.

Temperatures will start cool in the northwest this evening and
experience a slow drop overnight, just a handful of degrees off
of current readings in the upper 50s. Elsewhere, temperatures in
the mid to upper 60s will see a larger drop given thinner cloud
cover, into the mid to upper 50s.

Short term 6 am Wednesday morning through Wednesday night
South winds will increase ahead of a cold front and turn
southwest by the afternoon. Showers are expected though a very
dry airmass will probably limit the areal extent of showers and
how much rain actually reaches the ground. The thunderstorm
threat is probably over-exaggerated tomorrow, but given daytime
heating, just change the shower activity over to thunderstorms
with elevated storms becoming more likely.

These storms will lose any kick after the Sun sets and changed
to just showers for the overnight period.

Highs Wednesday will top out from around 80 in the northwest to
the middle and upper 80s in the south and southeast. Overnight
lows will be fairly uniform in the mid 60s with a continued
southwest flow.

Long term Thursday through Monday
Active weather pattern through the long term period with a
front oscillating through the area.

Highly amplified mid level flow with a low over the west and a
strong ridge over the southeast. Shortwave tracking through the
great lakes will allow an e-w oriented front to drop south into
the ohio valley Thursday Thursday night. Moderate instability
will fuel the development of storms along and ahead of this
front as it pushes into the ohio valley. Favorable effective
shear will support the potential for severe weather Thursday
aftn evening. In the warm sector - temperatures look 10 to 15
degrees above normal with highs Thursday from the lower 80s
north to the upper 80s south.

Mid level ridge builds over the area with the front lifting
back north as a warm front Friday. With lack of upper support
will continue to limit pops to only a slight chance. Warm
temperatures to continue with Fridays highs generally in the mid
and upper 80s.

Chances for thunderstorms will continue this weekend around the
periphery of the mid level ridge. The best chance looks to be
across iln S northern counties Saturday closer to the frontal
boundary. A better threat for storms looks focused Sunday as the
front sags back south into the ohio valley. Warm temperatures
to continue with high temperatures Sat from the lower 80s north
to the upper 80s south and from near 80 north to the mid 80s
south Sunday.

Model solutions in general agreement with the front near ohio
river Monday lifting back north Tuesday. This boundary will keep
a low pop chance for storms in the forecast. Temperatures look
to be slightly cooler Monday with highs from the upper 70s north
to the lower 80s south. Readings on Tuesday are expect to top
out between 80 and 85.

Aviation 19z Tuesday through Sunday
Vfr conditions will prevail as high clouds remain over the ohio
valley through the forecast period. Some fewer clouds are
expected southeast of the i-71 corridor under the upper ridge,
but this will not impact the sensible weather at the surface at
all. East winds will turn southeast and then south later
tomorrow. These east winds will remain around 8-10kt overnight
and inhibit any fog development regardless of whether the high
clouds clear or remain overcast.

Showers may push into dayton by the end of the TAF period, but
will be working against a dry lower atmosphere and are not
considered a likely occurrence at this time, probably just a
lower of the higher cloud base, but still remainingVFR.

Outlook... Thunderstorms possible later Wednesday through
Thursday, and again Saturday.

Iln watches warnings advisories
Oh... None.

Ky... None.

In... None.

Synopsis... Franks
near term... Franks
short term... Franks
long term... Ar
aviation... Franks


Weather Reporting Stations
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Lancaster, Fairfield County Airport, OH9 mi38 minENE 910.00 miMostly Cloudy63°F44°F50%1019.2 hPa
Newark, Newark Heath Airport, OH14 mi37 minENE 1010.00 miOvercast63°F43°F48%1019.5 hPa
Rickenbacker Air National Guard Base, OH15 mi56 minE 1110.00 miMostly Cloudy63°F40°F44%1019 hPa
John Glenn Columbus International Airport, OH15 mi40 minENE 710.00 miMostly Cloudy63°F41°F45%1019.1 hPa

Wind History from LHQ (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrNW13
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NW7NW5NW6NW4N3N3N3N3N3CalmN5NE7NE10NE14E9E12E11
G15
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1 day agoSW9W13
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W12W11SW7S6SW5SW8SW7SW8W7W7W11W11
G18
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2 days agoS7S6S4NW4CalmSE3CalmCalmSE3SE3S3S5S7S7S7S12SW9
G17
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G20
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G24
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G26
SW14
G31
SW7SW13
G20

Tide / Current Tables for
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Tide / Current Tables for
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Weather Map and Satellite Images
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GOES Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
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Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Wilmington, OH (18,4,5,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Wilmington, OH
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.