Wednesday, August22, 2018 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Seaside Park, NJ

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7/21/2018 Trying to make page Mobile Friendly

Sunrise 6:14AMSunset 7:44PM Wednesday August 22, 2018 1:50 AM EDT (05:50 UTC) Moonrise 5:33PMMoonset 2:35AM Illumination 82% Phase: Waxing Gibbous; Moon at 11 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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ANZ451 Coastal Waters From Manasquan Inlet To Little Egg Inlet Nj Out 20 Nm- 1224 Am Edt Wed Aug 22 2018
.small craft advisory in effect until noon edt today...
Rest of tonight..S winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. SWell mainly from the E with a dominant period of 7 seconds. Showers and scattered tstms, then scattered showers and tstms late. Vsby 1 to 3 nm.
Wed..SW winds 15 to 20 kt, diminishing to 10 to 15 kt in the afternoon. Gusts up to 25 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft. SWell mainly from the S with a dominant period of 7 seconds. Scattered showers early in the morning. Scattered showers and tstms late.
Wed night..NW winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. SWell mainly from the S with a dominant period of 7 seconds.
Thu..N winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt. Seas 3 to 4 ft. SWell mainly from the S with a dominant period of 7 seconds.
Thu night..NW winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas around 3 ft.
Fri..N winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming se in the afternoon. Seas 2 ft or less.
Fri night..S winds around 5 kt. Seas 2 ft or less.
Sat..E winds around 5 kt, becoming S around 5 kt in the afternoon. Seas 2 ft or less.
Sat night..SW winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less.
Sun..SW winds around 5 kt. Seas 2 ft or less.
Sun night..S winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas around 3 ft in the evening, then 2 ft or less. Winds and seas higher in and near tstms.
ANZ400 1224 Am Edt Wed Aug 22 2018
Synopsis for the coastal waters from sandy hook nj to fenwick island de and for delaware bay.. A warm front is forecast to lift through our region overnight, then a cold front is expected to move slowly across our area on Wednesday. High pressure is anticipated to follow for Thursday and Friday. The main center of the high should move out to sea over the weekend but it is expected to continue influencing our weather into early next week.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Seaside Park borough, NJ
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location: 39.92, -74.08     debug


Area Discussion for - Philadelphia/Mount Holly, PA
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Fxus61 kphi 220435
afdphi
area forecast discussion
national weather service mount holly nj
1235 am edt Wed aug 22 2018

Synopsis
A warm front is forecast to lift through our region overnight,
then a cold front is expected to move slowly across our area on
Wednesday. High pressure is anticipated to follow for Thursday
and Friday. The main center of the high should move out to sea
over the weekend but it is expected to continue influencing our
weather into early next week.

Near term until 6 am Wednesday morning
As of 1230 am, a warm front continues to make northward
progress across the region with a wind shift to the south and
southwest with its passage. An organized area of convection
continues to lift across portions of eastern pa and northern nj
with excessive rainfall rates (2-3 inches per hour). Several
reports of flash flooding have been received. This area is
lifting more north now of the stronger instability, however
there appears to be an embedded meso-low which has enhanced the
ascent. Farther to the south and more in the warm sector, a
trailing line of lift is focusing convection across northeast md
and this will spread northeastward. The pops were adjusted
accordingly, and the bulk of the showers thunder are expected to
move out or dissipate by daybreak. The hourly temperature, dew
points and wind grids were adjusted based on the latest
observations and trends.

Short term 6 am Wednesday morning through 6 pm Wednesday
Low pressure will move northeast across quebec through the day
with its attendant cold front slowly moving south east across
the forecast area through the day. Also, the upper level trough
will be continuing to linger over the NE CONUS in the system's
wake. As a result, expect considerable cloud cover to persist
across the area with some scattered showers and storms possible.

Highs will generally be in the low to mid 80s except 70s across
the southern poconos. The main change through the day though
will be falling dew points as the front moves across. It will
start out quite muggy but by late day expect dew points in the
low to mid 60s... Much more comfortable in comparison!

Long term Wednesday night through Tuesday
A long wave mid level trough is forecast to be located over
eastern canada and the northeastern states on Wednesday night
and Thursday before it lifts northeastward and away from our
region. The mid level pattern is expected to flatten a bit over
the weekend before some ridging begins over the eastern states
early in the new week.

Surface high pressure is anticipated to be centered in the
middle mississippi river valley on Wednesday night. The high
will build eastward with its center forecast to pass through our
region on Friday before moving out to sea. Dry weather is
expected for Thursday and Friday with noticeably lower humidity
than we've been experiencing. Dew point readings should drop
into the 50s.

The surface high is expected to get absorbed into the large
high over the western north atlantic. The surface flow should
begin to favor the south and southwest resulting in an increase
in heat and humidity during the period from Saturday through
Tuesday. The anticipated rise in humidity levels may bring about
isolated showers and thunderstorms on Monday and Tuesday mainly
during the afternoon and early evening hours.

Daytime highs should favor the upper 70s and lower 80s on
Thursday and Friday, the 80s on Saturday and Sunday, and the
upper 80s and lower 90s on Monday and Tuesday. Overnight lows
should also increase gradually during the period, starting in
the 50s and 60s on Wednesday night and ending in the upper 60s
and lower 70s on Monday night.

Aviation 04z Wednesday through Sunday
The following discussion is for kphl, kpne, kttn, kabe, krdg,
kilg, kmiv, kacy and surrounding areas.

Overnight... Varying conditions fromVFR to MVFR ifr due to
showers and some thunderstorms with a northward shifting warm
front. The conditions should improve some especially late and
south of the warm front. The showers and storms are expected to
mostly end by 08z. Southeast winds 4-8 knots, becoming south
and southwest behind the warm front.

Wednesday... MVFR ifr conditions in the morning with conditions
improving to lowVFR by mid afternoon. Scattered showers and
a few thunderstorms with sub-vfr conditions possible as a cold
front shifts offshore. Southwest to west winds increase 10-15
knots with gusts to around 20 knots through the afternoon.

Winds will turn more to the northwest late.

Outlook...

Wednesday night and Thursday... MainlyVFR. Northwest wind 5 to
10 knots.

Thursday night through Saturday... MainlyVFR. Local late night
and early morning visibility restrictions are possible. Variable
wind 8 knots or less.

Saturday night and Sunday... MainlyVFR. Local late night and
early morning visibility restrictions are possible. Variable
wind 8 knots or less becoming southerly.

Marine
Winds seas increase with SCA conditions expected for over the
ocean waters for all zones except the far northern nj coast.

There will also be some showers and thunderstorms overnight.

For Wednesday, winds seas slowly come down with SW winds
shifting to west in the wake of a cold front. Conditions should
be below SCA levels by afternoon.

Outlook...

Wednesday night through Sunday... No marine headlines are
anticipated.

Rip currents...

there is a moderate risk for the development of dangerous rip
currents for the new jersey and delaware beaches for Wednesday.

Phi watches warnings advisories
Pa... None.

Nj... None.

De... None.

Md... None.

Marine... Small craft advisory until noon edt Wednesday for anz451>455.

Synopsis... Iovino
near term... Gorse
short term... Fitzsimmons
long term... Iovino
aviation... Fitzsimmons gorse iovino meola
marine... Fitzsimmons iovino


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
44091 19 mi81 min 74°F4 ft
JCRN4 - Jacques Cousteau Reserve, NJ 33 mi81 min S 4.1 66°F 1010 hPa66°F
44065 - Entrance to New York Harbor 37 mi31 min SE 14 G 18 73°F 70°F1009.4 hPa71°F
SDHN4 - 8531680 - Sandy Hook, NJ 38 mi33 min SE 11 G 18 73°F 76°F1010.9 hPa
NBLP1 - 8548989 - Newbold, PA 39 mi33 min S 5.1 G 8 74°F 71°F1009 hPa
BDRN4 - 8539094 - Burlington, Delaware River, NJ 43 mi75 min S 4.1 G 6 74°F 73°F1009.2 hPa
ACYN4 - 8534720 - Atlantic City, NJ 43 mi39 min 75°F 74°F1009.8 hPa

Wind History for Sandy Hook, NJ
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Miller Air Park, NJ11 mi55 minN 010.00 miA Few Clouds74°F73°F100%1010.2 hPa
Lakehurst Naval Air Station, NJ15 mi1.8 hrsno data miOvercast0°F0°F%0 hPa
Belmar-Farmingdale, NJ18 mi55 minESE 86.00 miHeavy Rain Fog/Mist73°F73°F100%1010.6 hPa

Wind History from MJX (wind in knots)
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Last 24hr--NE4CalmCalmCalmNE4E3E4E4E8E8E9
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1 day agoNE7NE6NE6N3N5N5NE6NE6E8NE9E7E8E6E7NE7E7
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2 days agoN4N6N6N5N3N9NE9NE13
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Tide / Current Tables for Seaside Park, Barnegat Bay, New Jersey
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Seaside Park
Click for Map
Wed -- 02:35 AM EDT     Moonset
Wed -- 03:53 AM EDT     0.06 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 06:14 AM EDT     Sunrise
Wed -- 09:23 AM EDT     0.33 feet High Tide
Wed -- 03:56 PM EDT     0.06 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 05:32 PM EDT     Moonrise
Wed -- 07:42 PM EDT     Sunset
Wed -- 09:47 PM EDT     0.41 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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0.30.20.10.10.10.10.20.20.30.30.30.30.20.20.10.10.10.10.20.30.30.40.40.4

Tide / Current Tables for Barnegat Inlet, Barnegat Bay, New Jersey Current
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Barnegat Inlet
Click for Map
Wed -- 02:36 AM EDT     Moonset
Wed -- 02:47 AM EDT     0.00 knots Slack
Wed -- 05:00 AM EDT     1.22 knots Max Flood
Wed -- 06:15 AM EDT     Sunrise
Wed -- 08:06 AM EDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Wed -- 11:44 AM EDT     -1.77 knots Max Ebb
Wed -- 02:21 PM EDT     0.00 knots Slack
Wed -- 05:08 PM EDT     1.89 knots Max Flood
Wed -- 05:32 PM EDT     Moonrise
Wed -- 07:42 PM EDT     Sunset
Wed -- 08:44 PM EDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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-2.1-1.6-0.70.211.210.60.1-0.5-1-1.6-1.7-1.2-0.30.61.51.91.71.20.5-0.2-0.9-1.6

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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wmap_A
GOES Local Image of Mid-Atlantic    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
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Wind Forecast for Philadelphia/Mount Holly, PA (1,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Philadelphia, PA
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.