Sunday, May26, 2019 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Ocean Beach, NY

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
10/6/2018 Colors of tide XTide graphs changed to emphasize that they were upgraded. See next note. Comments welcome.
10/4/2018 I have fixed XTide and updated the harmonic files. There were some name changes so you might have to click EDIT to find the new station name.

Sunrise 5:24AMSunset 8:13PM Sunday May 26, 2019 11:15 PM EDT (03:15 UTC) Moonrise 1:41AMMoonset 12:22PM Illumination 43% Phase: Third Quarter Moon; Moon at 23 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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ANZ370 Expires:201905260545;;471539 fzus71 kokx 260445 mwsokx marine weather statement national weather service new york ny 1245 am edt Sun may 26 2019 anz350-353-370-373-375-260545- 1245 am edt Sun may 26 2019 a marine weather statement has been issued for the following areas... The open waters 20 to 40 nm southeast of sandy hook nj to south of fire island inlet ny... Fire island inlet to Montauk point ny out 40 nm... At 1243 am edt, doppler radar indicated scattered Thunderstorms moving east at 40 knots. Precautionary/preparedness actions... Mariners can expect brief heavy downpours, locally higher waves, and lightning strikes. Boaters should seek safe harbor immediately until these storms pass. && lat...lon 4046 7144 4035 7175 4018 7232 4004 7341 4029 7325 4029 7323 4032 7323 4064 7302 4106 7187 4075 7160 4047 7139
ANZ300 855 Pm Edt Sun May 26 2019
Synopsis for the long island waters and new york harbor.. A cold front will move across tonight, followed by weak high pressure on Monday. A warm front will approach late Monday night into Tuesday, and remain just south into Wednesday night as weak low pressure moves along the front just south of long island. The front may lift through on Thursday, followed by a cold frontal approach Thursday night. This front may linger into Friday.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Ocean Beach, NY
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location: 40, -72.73     debug


Area Discussion for - New York City/Upton, NY
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Fxus61 kokx 270206
afdokx
area forecast discussion
national weather service new york ny
1006 pm edt Sun may 26 2019

Synopsis
A cold front will move across tonight. Weak high pressure will
then build in for memorial day. A warm front approaching late
Monday night into Tuesday will remain just south into Wednesday
night as weak low pressure moves along the front just south of
long island. The front may lift through on Thursday, followed by
a cold frontal approach Thursday night. This front may linger
into Friday, then weak high pressure may build in later Friday
into Saturday before a series of weak disturbances approach and
pass through later in the weekend.

Near term until 6 am Monday morning
Cold front draped across the mid hudson valley into northern pa
will move through tonight. Before it does, so, showers and
possibly a stray TSTM over NE pa will move in from the west. As
far as near term mesoscale models, the fv3-nssl had a good
handle on this if a touch slow too far north, so brought this
activity across tonight. Severe wx not expected as occurred with
isolated storms in parts of orange county, and from eastern
passaic SE through bergen into the upper reaches of nyc.

Short term 6 am Monday morning through Monday night
A nearly steady height trend in the mid levels will be
accompanied by weak high pressure building in from the north
and west.

For Monday, the drying trend continues with dewpoints about 5-10
degrees lower than the previous day. The northerly flow will help
promote these drier conditions. The winds will be weak so eventual
sea breeze circulations will likely occur during the afternoon hours.

Expecting a cooler day Monday with backing of winds from low to mid
levels and the several degrees cooler 850mb temperatures which
will be mixed down with daytime heating. A consensus of MOS was
utilized for the high temperature forecast, ranging mostly in
the mid to upper 70s.

The weak high will be moving northeast of the region Monday
night with a slight decrease in the height field in the mid
levels. There will be a warm front that will approach the region
late Monday night. Winds will be light and variable and clouds
for the first half of the night will be few to scattered
coverage before becoming more broken coverage overnight into
early Tuesday. There will be enough radiational cooling to make
for a relatively cooler night than the previous night, with
forecast lows ranging from mostly 50 to 60 degrees.

Long term Tuesday through Sunday
Have made only minor changes to the previous forecast based on
model trends over the past 24 hours. Much of this week should
feature quasi-zonal flow aloft, with flat ridging to the south,
and a series of passing shortwave troughs along with a nearby
sfc warm front bringing inclement wx at times. The first of
these, with an approaching warm front on tue, will feature cool
conditions with highs only from the mid 50s to mid 60s, and
periods of showers, possibly elevated thunder as well Tue night.

This front should remain to the south through at least wed
night, and there are signs it may only lift through part of the
area on Thu per gfs, making the temperature forecast east of nyc
rather uncertain (60s vs 70s). A cold front should follow late
thu, and the trend calls for slower timing, which if it pans out
could limit potential for strong to severe tstms.

Forecast details become murkier going forward from Fri into the
weekend. GFS continues to lag the cold front behind on fri, so have
mentioned chance of showers and possibly a TSTM for the daytime hrs.

Dry wx seems likely to follow for Fri night into at most of Sat via
weak passing high pressure, but then with a broad upper longwave
trough setting up over eastern north america and continued train of
shortwave disturbances passing through it, have slight chance pop
for late day Sat int Sunday morning, and higher chances late Sunday
into Sunday night. Above normal temps appear to be the rule in this
time frame per MOS guidance.

Aviation 02z Monday through Friday
A cold front passes tonight with high pressure returning on
Monday.

A few light showers are possible around the city terminals
through 04z with otherwiseVFR conditions through the taf
period.

W-sw winds 10 kt or less will continue until the cold front
passage at around 04z with NW winds expected overnight. Some
outlying terminals could go light and variable overnight. Winds
veer to the N and NE early Monday morning and then remain
northerly into Monday afternoon under 10 kt. S-se seabreezes are
expected for south coastal terminals in the afternoon. Winds
diminish Monday evening.

Outlook for 00z Tuesday through Friday
Monday night Vfr.

Tuesday MVFR or lower in likely showers. E gusts to 20 kt
possible near the coast.

Wednesday-Friday Chance of MVFR or lower in
showers thunderstorms, mainly in the afternoon and evening each
day.

Marine
The pressure gradient is expected to remain relatively weak
through Monday night with conditions staying below SCA criteria.

Wind gusts are expected to remain near or below 20 kt. Ocean
seas are forecast to stay between 2 to 4 ft through tonight and
then between 2 to 3 ft Monday through Monday night. Non-ocean
waters are forecast to be around 1 ft or less through the short
term through Monday night.

Still expecting quiet conds with respect to prevailing
winds seas through the longer term. Tstms may also pose a hazard
at times during mid week, especially on thu.

Hydrology
Rainfall from late Mon night into Tue night should average from
1 2 to 3 4 inch. Up to another half inch may be possible late
day Thu into Fri morning.

Equipment
Nyc NOAA weather radio station kwo35 (162.55 mhz) remains off
the air.

Okx watches warnings advisories
Ct... None.

Ny... None.

Nj... None.

Marine... None.

Synopsis... Goodman jm
near term... Goodman jm
short term... Jm
long term... Goodman
aviation... Ds
marine... Goodman jm
hydrology... Jc goodman
equipment...



Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
44066 27 mi25 min WSW 9.7 G 14 61°F 56°F4 ft1012.5 hPa59°F
44025 - LONG ISLAND 33 NM South of Islip, NY 29 mi25 min WSW 9.7 G 9.7 64°F 60°F3 ft1011.3 hPa (-0.5)
44065 - Entrance to New York Harbor 58 mi25 min SW 7.8 G 9.7 64°F 61°F3 ft1011.8 hPa62°F
44017 - 23 Nautical Miles Southwest of Montauk Point, NY 60 mi35 min SW 9.7 G 12 60°F 56°F1010.7 hPa57°F

Wind History for Sandy Hook, NJ
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Shirley, Brookhaven Airport, NY57 mi79 minWNW 610.00 miFair73°F60°F64%1010.8 hPa

Wind History from HWV (wind in knots)
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Tide / Current Tables for Point o' Woods, Long Island, New York
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Point o' Woods
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Sun -- 01:43 AM EDT     Moonrise
Sun -- 04:29 AM EDT     0.68 feet High Tide
Sun -- 05:27 AM EDT     Sunrise
Sun -- 11:05 AM EDT     0.13 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 12:23 PM EDT     Moonset
Sun -- 12:34 PM EDT     Last Quarter
Sun -- 05:10 PM EDT     0.62 feet High Tide
Sun -- 08:12 PM EDT     Sunset
Sun -- 11:27 PM EDT     0.22 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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Tide / Current Tables for Fire Island Radiobeacon, Long Island, New York
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Fire Island Radiobeacon
Click for Map
Sun -- 01:43 AM EDT     Moonrise
Sun -- 02:48 AM EDT     0.68 feet High Tide
Sun -- 05:27 AM EDT     Sunrise
Sun -- 09:52 AM EDT     0.13 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 12:23 PM EDT     Moonset
Sun -- 12:34 PM EDT     Last Quarter
Sun -- 03:29 PM EDT     0.62 feet High Tide
Sun -- 08:12 PM EDT     Sunset
Sun -- 10:14 PM EDT     0.22 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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Weather Map and Satellite Images
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wmap_A
GOES Local Image of Mid-Atlantic    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
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Wind Forecast for New York City/Upton, NY (23,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Upton, NY
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.