Friday, May24, 2019 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Dover Beaches North, NJ

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
10/6/2018 Colors of tide XTide graphs changed to emphasize that they were upgraded. See next note. Comments welcome.
10/4/2018 I have fixed XTide and updated the harmonic files. There were some name changes so you might have to click EDIT to find the new station name.

Sunrise 5:32AMSunset 8:14PM Friday May 24, 2019 6:58 PM EDT (22:58 UTC) Moonrise 12:36AMMoonset 10:32AM Illumination 66% Phase: Waning Gibbous; Moon at 21 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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ANZ450 Coastal Waters From Sandy Hook To Manasquan Inlet Nj Out 20 Nm- Coastal Waters From Manasquan Inlet To Little Egg Inlet Nj Out 20 Nm- 328 Pm Edt Fri May 24 2019
Tonight..N winds 10 to 15 kt, becoming E with gusts up to 20 kt after midnight. Seas around 3 ft this evening, then 2 ft or less. SWell mainly from the se with a dominant period of 4 seconds.
Sat..S winds 5 to 10 kt, increasing to 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt late. Seas 2 ft or less, then around 3 ft early in the afternoon. SWell mainly from the E with a dominant period of 6 seconds.
Sat night..SW winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt. Seas 2 ft or less, then 3 to 4 ft early in the evening. SWell mainly from the E with a dominant period of 9 seconds. A chance of showers.
Sun..SW winds 10 to 15 kt. Gusts up to 20 kt in the morning. Seas 3 to 4 ft. SWell mainly from the E with a dominant period of 10 seconds in the morning. A chance of showers early in the morning.
Sun night..W winds around 10 kt, becoming nw after midnight. Seas 3 to 4 ft. A chance of showers.
Mon..N winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming E in the afternoon. Seas around 3 ft in the morning, then 2 ft or less.
Mon night..S winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less.
Tue..S winds 5 to 10 kt, increasing to 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas 3 to 4 ft.
Tue night..SW winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt. Seas 3 to 4 ft.
Wed..S winds 10 to 15 kt. Gusts up to 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas 3 to 4 ft.
Wed night..SW winds 15 to 20 kt with gusts up to 25 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. A chance of showers.
ANZ400 328 Pm Edt Fri May 24 2019
Synopsis for the coastal waters from sandy hook nj to fenwick island de and for delaware bay.. High pressure will continue building from the great lakes and persist through Saturday. A weak cold front and associated low pressure will pass across and north of the region into Sunday then weak high pressure returns through the beginning of next week. Low pressure will pass across the great lakes through the middle of the week likely pushing another cold front into our region by late week.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Dover Beaches North, NJ
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location: 40.01, -74.1     debug


Area Discussion for - Philadelphia/Mount Holly, PA
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Fxus61 kphi 241928
afdphi
area forecast discussion
national weather service mount holly nj
328 pm edt Fri may 24 2019

Synopsis
High pressure will continue building from the great lakes and
persist through Saturday. A weak cold front and associated low
pressure will pass across and north of the region into Sunday then
weak high pressure returns through the beginning of next week. Low
pressure will pass across the great lakes through the middle of the
week likely pushing another cold front into our region by late week.

Near term until 6 am Saturday morning
Winds will continue to diminish through the evening as the pressure
gradient decreases in response to the low lifting further away from
the region. Overnight, the surface high will build south over the
region. Consequently, we'll see winds shift from northwesterly to
northeasterly to southeasterly. This shift in the wind direction
could limit radiational cooling somewhat. As a result, expect lows
mostly in the 50s (except in the higher terrain of the poconos where
lows in the upper 40s are possible.

Short term 6 am Saturday morning through 6 pm Saturday
The surface high will be over our region for much of the day on
Saturday before shifting off shore by late afternoon. Meanwhile, a
low will be progressing east into the great lakes region.

Low level southerly flow is expected as our region will be
sandwiched in between these two systems through the day. While this
often promotes warm air advection, it will be working against
persistent low and mid level clouds that could limit heating. As a a
result, went with a consensus blend of short range models - with
highs mostly in the 70s across the region.

At this point, it looks like the front will be late enough that we
likely won't see many storms in the region during the afternoon
hours.

Long term Saturday night through Friday
For the long term, upper ridging will remain the story through the
medium range with an upper trough approaching late next week. A
series of shortwave troughs will cross through this semi-
persistent ridging with a round of showers or thunderstorms
likely accompanying each one. The timing of this convection
will be quite challenging to determine at this range. With that
said, it looks like there will be two distinct rounds of
showers and storms overnight Saturday night into early Sunday
morning. The first will be associated with a decaying MCS to our
north and west Saturday night and the second looks to affect
the area Sunday evening and into the overnight. Beyond the
weekend, generally kept slight chance to chance pops in the
forecast through the middle of next week do to uncertainty in
timing. With the upper ridging in place, temperatures through
the period will remain generally above normal with widespread
highs into the 80s and lows in the 60s and low 70s. Sunday and
Wednesday will be the warmest days. Highs Wednesday are likely
to make a run at 90 degrees, especially across DELMARVA and the
i-95 corridor. Dewpoints will be in the 60s so it will be a bit
sticky through much of the period. To make a long story short,
the sensible weather will be quite typical for late spring to
early summer.

Aviation 19z Friday through Wednesday
The following discussion is for kphl, kpne, kttn, kabe, krdg,
kilg, kmiv, kacy and surrounding areas.

Tonight...VFR conditions are expected. Northwesterly winds will drop
off early this evening and begin to slowly shift to northeasterly,
and eventually southeasterly by early Saturday morning.

Saturday...VFR conditions are likely to continue through the day.

There is a chance that showers and thunderstorms could progress as
far east as krdg and kabe by late Saturday afternoon. If this were
to happen, brief MVFR conditions are possible. Southerly winds 5 to
15 kt are expected.

Outlook...

Saturday night through Sunday night... MostlyVFR. Scattered showers
and thunderstorms possible Saturday night and late Sunday, which may
briefly lower conditions.

Monday through Tuesday...VFR expected. Isolated showers or
thunderstorms possible.

Marine
Winds and seas are expected to remain below small craft advisory
criteria tonight and Saturday.

Outlook...

conditions are forecast to remain below SCA criteria through the
entire period. Generally fair weather is expected through the middle
to end of next week, however isolated to scattered showers and
storms will be possible Saturday night and Sunday night which may be
accompanied by locally gusty winds and seas. Chances for showers and
storms will return by mid-week.

Rip currents...

there is a moderate risk for the formation of dangerous rip currents
on the new jersey shore and delaware beaches through this evening.

On Saturday, the forecast risk for the formation of dangerous rip
currents is low.

Phi watches warnings advisories
Pa... None.

Nj... None.

De... None.

Md... None.

Marine... None.

Synopsis... Staarmann
near term... Johnson
short term... Johnson
long term... Staarmann
aviation... Johnson staarmann
marine... Johnson staarmann


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
44091 24 mi58 min 59°F4 ft
SDHN4 - 8531680 - Sandy Hook, NJ 32 mi58 min NNW 15 G 19 71°F 64°F1017.5 hPa (+2.5)
44065 - Entrance to New York Harbor 33 mi48 min NW 12 G 16 64°F 59°F1015.7 hPa54°F
NBLP1 - 8548989 - Newbold, PA 36 mi58 min N 8 G 16 79°F 65°F1016.4 hPa (+1.4)
JCRN4 - Jacques Cousteau Reserve, NJ 38 mi88 min NW 6 76°F 1015 hPa48°F
BDRN4 - 8539094 - Burlington, Delaware River, NJ 41 mi82 min N 8 G 18 78°F 65°F1015.3 hPa
BGNN4 - 8519483 - Bergen Point West Reach, NJ 44 mi64 min 71°F 65°F1016.2 hPa
MHRN6 44 mi58 min NNW 21 G 24
ROBN4 - 8530973 - Robins Reef, NJ 45 mi58 min NNW 18 G 28 71°F 1015.5 hPa (+1.9)
ACYN4 - 8534720 - Atlantic City, NJ 48 mi58 min 81°F 56°F1015.9 hPa (+1.4)
BATN6 - 8518750 - The Battery, NY 48 mi58 min 73°F 60°F1016 hPa (+2.1)

Wind History for Sandy Hook, NJ
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Lakehurst Naval Air Station, NJ12 mi2 hrsNW 14 G 23 miFair78°F52°F40%1014.5 hPa
Belmar-Farmingdale, NJ12 mi62 minNW 15 G 2210.00 miFair76°F51°F42%1015.8 hPa
Miller Air Park, NJ12 mi62 minNNW 14 G 1810.00 miFair77°F52°F42%1016.1 hPa

Wind History from BLM (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrSE6S3SW5SW8SW8SW9
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1 day agoSE6S5S5S6S6SW5S6SW5S4S5SW6CalmSW4NE4SE5S9S7S7S11S14
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2 days agoNW12NW9NW6NW8NW9NW8NW8NW6W6NW5W4W6W5NW8NW8NW8653NE5W6CalmSE7SE7

Tide / Current Tables for Kettle Creek, Green Island, Barnegat Bay, New Jersey
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Kettle Creek
Click for Map
Fri -- 12:36 AM EDT     Moonrise
Fri -- 04:47 AM EDT     0.40 feet High Tide
Fri -- 05:34 AM EDT     Sunrise
Fri -- 10:32 AM EDT     Moonset
Fri -- 11:26 AM EDT     0.04 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 05:28 PM EDT     0.33 feet High Tide
Fri -- 08:12 PM EDT     Sunset
Fri -- 11:29 PM EDT     0.10 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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0.10.20.30.30.40.40.40.30.20.10.100.10.10.20.20.30.30.30.30.20.20.10.1

Tide / Current Tables for Barnegat Inlet, Barnegat Bay, New Jersey Current
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Barnegat Inlet
Click for Map
Fri -- 12:35 AM EDT     Moonrise
Fri -- 02:35 AM EDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Fri -- 05:34 AM EDT     Sunrise
Fri -- 06:48 AM EDT     -2.09 knots Max Ebb
Fri -- 09:46 AM EDT     0.00 knots Slack
Fri -- 10:33 AM EDT     Moonset
Fri -- 12:06 PM EDT     1.38 knots Max Flood
Fri -- 03:00 PM EDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Fri -- 06:59 PM EDT     -1.48 knots Max Ebb
Fri -- 08:12 PM EDT     Sunset
Fri -- 09:21 PM EDT     0.00 knots Slack
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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1.91.30.5-0.3-1-1.5-1.9-2.1-1.6-0.70.211.41.20.60-0.6-1-1.3-1.5-1.2-0.30.61.4

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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wmap_A
GOES Local Image of Mid-Atlantic    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
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Wind Forecast for Philadelphia/Mount Holly, PA (18,4,5,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Philadelphia, PA
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.