Saturday, April29, 2017 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Leisure Village East, NJ

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
5/19/2016 - There were issues with the 3 day airport observation history. I switched to another data source. Let me know if you see any issues with the data feeds.
3/12/2015 - Added section for Gulf current for users in the GMZ marine zones.
This was requested by a user. If you have requests, please let me know.

Sunrise 5:55AMSunset 7:51PM Saturday April 29, 2017 11:17 PM EDT (03:17 UTC) Moonrise 8:47AMMoonset 11:35PM Illumination 17% Phase: Waxing Crescent; Moon at 4 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
    EDIT      (on/off)   Help
ANZ450 Coastal Waters From Sandy Hook To Manasquan Inlet Nj Out 20 Nm- Coastal Waters From Manasquan Inlet To Little Egg Inlet Nj Out 20 Nm- 932 Pm Edt Sat Apr 29 2017
Overnight..NW winds 5 to 10 kt...becoming N 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 4 ft. Mainly in S swell with a dominant period of 7 seconds. Isolated showers late.
Sun..E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 4 ft. Mainly in S swell with a dominant period of 7 seconds. Isolated showers early in the morning...then scattered sprinkles late in the morning.
Sun night..E winds 15 to 20 kt with isolated gusts up to 25 kt... Becoming se 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt late in the evening...then becoming S 5 to 10 kt after midnight...increasing to 10 to 15 kt late. Seas 3 to 4 ft. Mainly in se swell with a dominant period of 7 seconds. A chance of drizzle after midnight. Patchy fog after midnight with vsby 1 nm or less.
Mon..S winds 10 to 15 kt...increasing to 15 to 20 kt late. Seas 4 to 6 ft. Mainly in E swell with a dominant period of 6 seconds. Patchy fog early in the morning. A chance of drizzle early in the morning. A chance of showers and tstms late. Vsby 1 nm or less early in the morning.
Mon night..S winds 20 to 25 kt with gusts up to 30 kt. Seas 5 to 8 ft. Showers likely with a chance of tstms.
Tue..SW winds 15 to 20 kt with gusts up to 25 kt. Seas 4 to 7 ft. Showers likely with a chance of tstms in the morning.
Tue night..W winds around 15 kt with gusts up to 25 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft.
Wed..W winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft.
Wed night..W winds 10 to 15 kt...becoming nw around 5 kt after midnight. Seas 2 to 4 ft.
Thu..E winds 5 to 10 kt...becoming se 10 to 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas 2 to 3 ft. A chance of showers.
Thu night..E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft... Building to 4 to 6 ft after midnight. Showers likely. Winds and seas higher in and near tstms.
ANZ400 932 Pm Edt Sat Apr 29 2017
Synopsis for the coastal waters from sandy hook nj to fenwick island de and for delaware bay.. A cold front across the delmarva will slide south then stall before returning northward into our area as a warm front Sunday night. Low pressure and its associated fronts move toward the middle atlantic states later Monday and Monday night. High pressure will build in for the middle of next week. Another low will affect our area towards the end of next week.

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Leisure Village East, NJ
   Hourly   EDIT   Help
location: 40.03, -74.11     debug


Area Discussion for - Philadelphia/Mount Holly, PA
      (on/off)   Help   NOTE: mouseover dotted underlined text for definition
Fxus61 kphi 300058
afdphi
area forecast discussion
national weather service mount holly nj
858 pm edt Sat apr 29 2017

Synopsis
A cold front across the DELMARVA will slide south then stall
before returning northward into our area as a warm front Sunday
night. Low pressure and its associated fronts move toward the
middle atlantic states later Monday and Monday night. High
pressure will build in for the middle of next week. Another low
will affect our area towards the end of next week.

Near term /until 6 am Sunday morning/
930 pm estf: expecting the sfc convergence to increase during
the night in the high pwat air along the front across the
delmarva and expect showers to develop, possibly heavy with
maybe isolated thunder.

Otherwise, a wind shift to the north and northeast will move
from north to south overnight as part two of the cold front
works southward. Low temperatures were mostly a mos/continuity
blend and the downward trend was delayed a little.

Max temps for acy phl Sunday may be occuring at 1 am.

Short term /6 am Sunday morning through 6 pm Sunday/
The 630 pm Saturday update added chance of sprinkles to much of
the area Sunday morning and the 930 pm raised pops slightly and
called it isolated showers or scattered sprinkles. The
reasoning... Some of the models are producing QPF and while there
is a generally ely bl flow, there is WAA above the inversion
(above 900mb) and small sign of a lobe of instability moving
newd during the morning that also gives a deep vertical 2 hr
wide spike in rh. I wanted to put the uncertainty of a shower in
the fcst for Sunday morning.

The weather will be rather different Sunday compared to today
(Saturday) in the wake of a cold front. This front is expected
to clear our entire area before stalling in a west to east
orientation. An upper-level ridge axis should be moving across
our area, allowing surface high pressure to build to our north
and east. This will allow for a northeast low-level flow which
should become east and then southeast with time. This will allow
for a much cooler airmass to be over our area, enhanced by the
flow off the colder ocean waters.

While there may be areas of stratocumulus, the cloud bases may lower
especially in the afternoon as the flow turns more east and
southeast resulting in some increase in the moisture. Overall
though, there should be a fair amount of cloudiness across the
region during the day.

High temperatures were a mos/continuity blend, then some tweaks were
made mostly along the coast.

Long term /Sunday night through Saturday/
A weak ridge of high pressure will be across the area during the
start of the long range. It will remain in place through Monday
before moving to the east. Dry weather is expected Sunday night,
then clouds will increase Monday along with the chances for a few
showers across the n/w areas Monday afternoon. Temperatures will be
above normal with highs Monday in the low 80s over SRN nj and
delmarva while highs will be in the mid/upper 70s across the n/w
areas.

A low pressure system across the upper great lakes Monday morning
will move NE across southern canada through Wednesday. A strong cold
front will move across the middle atlantic Mon night and into early
tue. There appears to be a decent chc for showers and tstms with
this front, so only small changes to the already high pops were made
today. We have categorical pops n/w and high likely s/e. It could be
a 1/4 to 1/2 inch rain producer, higher in tstms. On Tuesday, the
front will be east of the area, but the lingering upper low aloft
will lead us to keep the chc for some showers into the early
afternoon. High temps Tue will still be a little above normal s/e
but by wed, readings will be close to normal for early may.

A short period for far weather wed/wed night with an area of high
pressure across the area. Another low will approach Thu and will
again bring decent chc for showers and sct tstms (delmarva) for the
end of next week. We have some likely pops for many areas thu/thu
night and chc pops for fri/sat. Temperatures will be near or
below normal towards the end of the week.

Aviation /01z Sunday through Thursday/
The following discussion is for kphl, kpne, kttn, kabe, krdg, kilg,
kmiv, kacy and surrounding areas.

Tonight...VFR with a few clouds near 5000 feet and cirrus on top.

A broken deck of clouds near 5000 ft will form... Develop newd
into the TAF sites toward 09z/30 and there may be a few showers
vcnty kilg. Winds northwest then shifting northeast after 06z/30.

Gusts generally under 18 kt. Please see tafs for the details.

Sunday...VFR ceilings may lower to MVFR through the day, however
confidence is below avg on timing any lowering to MVFR cigs.

Chance of a morning sprinkle or shower (waa- elevated instability)
northeast winds around 10 knots, becoming east and southeast in
the afternoon.

Outlook...

Sunday night-Monday morning... Ifr conds in st/fog and possible
drizzle in light moist maritime easterly flow north of a
warm front.

Mon afternoon... MostlyVFR expected.

Mon night thru tue... Restrictions with showers especially mon
night.

Tue night thru Wed night... MostlyVFR. Patchy morning fog
psbl.

Thu... Restrictions possible with showers.

Marine
A cold front has sort of stalled from the vicinity of CAPE may
nj westward to the northern part of chesapeake bay, there will
be a reinforcing of the front from the northeast toward 12z and
hat will force it further to the southwest during the day Sunday.

There could be a northeast to east wind surge Sunday especially
across the northern coastal waters zones, however for now, gusts
are below 25 knots. The duration of this does not look long
enough and therefore kept seas 4 feet or less.

Outlook...

sun night thru Mon morning... Sub-sca conditions with patchy fog
and possibly some drizzle.

Monday afternoon thru Tue night... SCA expected. Showers with
sct tstms.

Tue night... SCA on the ocean and sub-sca across del bay. Fair.

Wed thru thu... Sub-sca. Fair thru Wed night then sct showers
thu.

Climate
Rer for the new record high temperature at georgetown, de... 91
at 241pm was issued. Atlantic city was 1 shy (91). Atlantic
city doesn't normally reach 90 until june 11 although the long
term statistical database may be skewed to cooler temperatures
closer to the coast. The earliest 90 degree day at atlantic city
occurred april 7, 2010.

**record or number 2 warmest april on record**
presuming our forecast temps these last 30 hrs of april are
accurate, we are assured of a top 2 warmest april on record in
much of our forecast area. Sunday temps determine record or
not.

Just below: april projected within the top april average temps,
the normal for april and the period of record (por).

This includes todays (29th) high and low temperatures through 4
pm.

Sundays MAX temps may occur at 1 am and the min temps Sunday
evening.

Phl normal 54.0 por 1874
59.5 2017 projected warmest ever: still could slip .2 degrees.

59.4 1994
58.5 1921
58.4 2010
57.9 1941
abe normal 49.9 por 1922
56.8 projecting record and almost cant miss a record.

56.4 1941
54.7 1994
acy normal 51.7 por 1874
57.6 projecting record and almost cant miss.

56.3 2010
56.1 2011

Equipment
We are aware of the dov dewpoints being excessively high the
past two days and even far too high this evening.

Phi watches/warnings/advisories
Pa... None.

Nj... None.

De... None.

Md... None.

Marine... None.

Synopsis... Drag/o'hara
near term... Drag 859
short term... Drag 859
long term... O'hara
aviation... Drag/o'hara 859
marine... Drag/gorse/o'hara 859
climate... 859
equipment... 859


Weather Reporting Stations
   EDIT       (on/off)   Help   NOTE: Click on distance to see the station location on a map
Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
44091 25 mi48 min 56°F4 ft
SDHN4 - 8531680 - Sandy Hook, NJ 31 mi48 min N 7 G 11 71°F 58°F1017.9 hPa
44065 - Entrance to New York Harbor 32 mi88 min WNW 5.8 G 7.8 63°F 53°F3 ft1018 hPa (+2.4)56°F
NBLP1 - 8548989 - Newbold, PA 35 mi48 min NNE 2.9 G 8.9 75°F 64°F1019 hPa
JCRN4 - Jacques Cousteau Reserve, NJ 39 mi48 min SSW 2.9 69°F 1018 hPa62°F
BDRN4 - 8539094 - Burlington, Delaware River, NJ 40 mi48 min W 1 G 1.9 71°F 61°F1018.2 hPa
MHRN6 42 mi48 min NW 12 G 16
BGNN4 - 8519483 - Bergen Point West Reach, NJ 42 mi48 min 70°F 56°F1018.8 hPa
ROBN4 - 8530973 - Robins Reef, NJ 43 mi48 min NNW 9.9 G 13 74°F 1019.1 hPa
BATN6 - 8518750 - The Battery, NY 47 mi48 min 74°F 53°F1018.5 hPa
ACYN4 - 8534720 - Atlantic City, NJ 49 mi48 min 53°F1018.4 hPa

Wind History for Sandy Hook, NJ
(wind in knots)    EDIT      (on/off)   Help
11
PM
12
AM
1
AM
2
AM
3
AM
4
AM
5
AM
6
AM
7
AM
8
AM
9
AM
10
AM
-12
PM
12
PM
1
PM
2
PM
3
PM
4
PM
5
PM
6
PM
7
PM
8
PM
9
PM
10
PM
Last
24hr
SW7
SW11
SW10
SW6
W7
NE4
E9
SE2
SW7
S9
S7
W7
G11
W11
G14
W13
W12
W10
W15
G19
W12
G15
NW16
W9
NW7
NW7
NW8
G11
1 day
ago
E4
G7
NE5
E5
E5
NE2
NE3
NE3
S3
S3
--
W4
W3
--
S4
SE3
S6
S12
G15
S7
G10
SE4
SE6
SW5
W11
S3
SW4
2 days
ago
W3
S1
W3
W4
NW3
--
S3
SE2
S2
S3
SE3
S5
SE7
G10
S10
SE11
G15
SE10
G13
SE12
G16
SE15
G20
SE11
G14
SE9
G12
SE10
SE9
G15
SE6
G9
SE6

Airport Reports
    EDIT      (on/off)   Help   Click EDIT to display multiple airports
AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Belmar-Farmingdale, NJ10 mi22 minNNW 710.00 miFair74°F61°F64%1019.4 hPa
Lakehurst Naval Air Station, NJ11 mi78 minN 010.00 miFair0°F0°F%1017.9 hPa
Miller Air Park, NJ12 mi22 minN 010.00 miFair67°F61°F81%1019.4 hPa

Wind History from BLM (wind in knots)
12
AM
1
AM
2
AM
3
AM
4
AM
5
AM
6
AM
7
AM
8
AM
9
AM
10
AM
11
AM
12
PM
1
PM
2
PM
3
PM
4
PM
5
PM
6
PM
7
PM
8
PM
9
PM
10
PM
11
PM
Last 24hrS6SW5S4SW4W3SE4N5CalmS6S6W8W12
G19
W9W9
G14
W12W17
G20
W15
G25
W18
G25
W14
G19
W8W5W3NW6N7
1 day agoNE3E3S3S3SW5S6CalmSW5W4W6W10W7NW10SW85SW13
G17
S7W11SW6W7SW4S4S6S7
2 days agoSW3W3CalmSW3SW3S3S3S3SE3SE4SE3E7SE7SE6SE10SE12
G17
SE9
G15
SE9SE8SE8SE6SE3SE5SE4

Tide / Current Tables for Kettle Creek, Green Island, Barnegat Bay, New Jersey
   EDIT   RT Ports Option   Weekend mode (on/off)   (on/off)   Help   One Week of Data
Kettle Creek
Click for Map
Sat -- 02:46 AM EDT     0.50 feet High Tide
Sat -- 05:58 AM EDT     Sunrise
Sat -- 08:47 AM EDT     Moonrise
Sat -- 09:45 AM EDT     -0.06 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 03:27 PM EDT     0.42 feet High Tide
Sat -- 07:49 PM EDT     Sunset
Sat -- 09:49 PM EDT     -0.03 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 11:34 PM EDT     Moonset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
0.30.40.50.50.50.40.20.10-0-0.100.10.30.40.40.40.40.30.20.1-0-00

Tide / Current Tables for Barnegat Inlet, Barnegat Bay, New Jersey Current
   EDIT      (on/off)   Help   One Week of Data
Barnegat Inlet
Click for Map
Sat -- 01:01 AM EDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Sat -- 05:01 AM EDT     -3.58 knots Max Ebb
Sat -- 05:59 AM EDT     Sunrise
Sat -- 07:51 AM EDT     0.01 knots Slack
Sat -- 08:48 AM EDT     Moonrise
Sat -- 10:22 AM EDT     2.98 knots Max Flood
Sat -- 01:30 PM EDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Sat -- 05:15 PM EDT     -2.98 knots Max Ebb
Sat -- 07:49 PM EDT     Sunset
Sat -- 07:49 PM EDT     0.01 knots Slack
Sat -- 10:35 PM EDT     3.39 knots Max Flood
Sat -- 11:33 PM EDT     Moonset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
1.40-1.3-2.3-3.2-3.6-3.1-1.60.31.92.92.81.80.6-0.6-1.7-2.5-2.9-2.7-1.50.323.23.3

Weather Map and Satellite Images
       (on/off)   Help
Weather Map
wmap_A
IR Satellite Image from GEOS
east_satellite

GOES Local Image of Mid-Atlantic    EDIT
Geos

Wind Forecast for Philadelphia/Mount Holly, PA (23,6,7,8)
      (on/off)   Help

Ground Weather Radar Station Philadelphia, PA
   (on/off)   Help
weather_mapweather_map weather_map

Ad by Google

Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.