Monday, May27, 2019 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Point Pleasant Beach, NJ

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
10/6/2018 Colors of tide XTide graphs changed to emphasize that they were upgraded. See next note. Comments welcome.
10/4/2018 I have fixed XTide and updated the harmonic files. There were some name changes so you might have to click EDIT to find the new station name.

Sunrise 5:30AMSunset 8:16PM Monday May 27, 2019 1:45 AM EDT (05:45 UTC) Moonrise 2:16AMMoonset 1:26PM Illumination 42% Phase: Third Quarter Moon; Moon at 23 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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ANZ450 Coastal Waters From Sandy Hook To Manasquan Inlet Nj Out 20 Nm- Coastal Waters From Manasquan Inlet To Little Egg Inlet Nj Out 20 Nm- 1236 Am Edt Mon May 27 2019
Rest of tonight..W winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming nw late. Seas around 3 ft. SWell mainly from the se with a dominant period of 10 seconds. A slight chance of showers.
Mon..NE winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming E late. Seas 2 ft or less. SWell mainly from the E with a dominant period of 10 seconds.
Mon night..SW winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming se late. Seas 2 ft or less, then around 3 ft late. SWell mainly from the E with a dominant period of 10 seconds.
Tue..E winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming se 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt in the late morning and afternoon. Seas 3 to 4 ft. SWell mainly from the E with a dominant period of 9 seconds. Showers likely until late afternoon, then a chance of showers late.
Tue night..SE winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt, becoming S 5 to 10 kt after midnight. Seas 3 to 4 ft. A chance of showers.
Wed..NE winds around 5 kt, becoming S in the afternoon. Seas 3 to 4 ft. A chance of showers in the morning.
Wed night..SW winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt. Seas around 3 ft. A chance of showers.
Thu..SW winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt. Seas around 3 ft. A chance of showers in the afternoon.
Thu night..SW winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt. Seas 3 to 4 ft. A chance of showers.
Fri..W winds around 10 kt with gusts up to 20 kt. Seas 3 to 4 ft. A chance of showers in the morning.
Fri night..W winds 5 to 10 kt with gusts up to 20 kt, becoming nw after midnight. Seas around 3 ft.
ANZ400 1236 Am Edt Mon May 27 2019
Synopsis for the coastal waters from sandy hook nj to fenwick island de and for delaware bay.. A cold front will cross our region overnight, then high pressure builds to our north Monday and Monday night. This high builds offshore early Tuesday, while a warm front lifts across our area. This front may stall through Wednesday while a couple of low pressure systems move eastward along it. This front then lifts to our north Wednesday night, before a couple of cold front move across the area later Thursday into Friday.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Point Pleasant Beach , NJ
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location: 40.1, -74.04     debug


Area Discussion for - Philadelphia/Mount Holly, PA
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Fxus61 kphi 270431
afdphi
area forecast discussion
national weather service mount holly nj
1231 am edt Mon may 27 2019

Synopsis
A cold front will cross our region overnight, then high pressure
builds to our north Monday and Monday night. This high builds
offshore early Tuesday, while a warm front lifts across our area.

This front may stall through Wednesday while a couple of low
pressure systems move eastward along it. This front then lifts to
our north Wednesday night, before a couple of cold front move across
the area later Thursday into Friday.

Near term until 6 am this morning
The severe thunderstorm watch has been canceled. The only
remaining activity is offshore de SRN nj with a few smw's until
100 am. Scattered showers elsewhere are diminishing. A cold
front will continue to move through the southern areas
overnight.

Once the cold front clears the area, some drier air will begin
to advect in from the northwest. Plenty of mid to high level
clouds streaming across the area this evening, some of which is
convective cloud debris, will thin out late tonight behind the
cold front.

Short term 6 am this morning through 6 pm Tuesday
Memorial day should be a pleasant day for much of the region.

The only possible exception is portions of delmarva. If the
front stalls over this area, showers and storms could linger in
delmarva through the day. Although there is still some
uncertainty, so I stayed close to the previous forecast, it is
worth noting that some of the 12z models show this front
clearing much further south, leaving the entire region dry.

Temperatures behind the front will be 5 to 10 degrees lower
than Sunday, with highs mostly in the 70s and lower 80s. Despite
the northwesterly flow, a sea breeze could develop later in the
day, cooling coastal areas further.

Long term Tuesday night through Monday
An unsettle pattern continues for much of the upcoming week
into the weekend, with several rounds of showers and
thunderstorms.

Monday night will start out fairly quiet as high pressure
builds to our north. Very late in the night, the high pressure
begins to lose any grip it has on our area as a frontal boundary
begins to lift northward, and as a short wave vorticity impulse
moves into the area, scattered showers and thunderstorms may
develop late Monday night into early Tuesday morning.

As we go into Tuesday, the front lifting toward the area is
forecast to slow down and may stall out across the region later
Tuesday, into Tuesday night, and into Wednesday as well as
several waves of low pressure move along the boundary. As
multiple rounds of short waves vorticity impulses aloft move
across the area within the northwest-west flow aloft, showers
and thunderstorms will continue in the forecast Tuesday-
Wednesday, although it will not rain the entire time. The higher
probabilities will be tied to the passages of the short waves.

As we move into Wednesday night, the frontal boundary is
expected to lift to our north, and precipitation chances will
lower through Wednesday night, although not be zero as there
will remain unsettled conditions with an additional short
wave vorticity impulse affect the area.

On Thursday and Friday, a couple of frontal boundaries are
forecast to move across the area. The front on Thursday
currently looks to be the stronger of the two, and has a better
chance of showers and thunderstorms to be associated with it.

Thursday also has higher pw values at 1.5-2.0 for some areas, so
it will have a higher threat for heavy rainfall, although pw
values remain over an inch into Friday.

Dry weather may return for early Saturday as high pressure
briefly builds across the northeast and into our area. However,
showers may begin to develop during the afternoon as return flow
develops and a short wave moves across the area. Also, another
cold front is currently forecast to move toward the area on
Sunday, which could bring another round of showers and
thunderstorms to the area.

Temperatures through most of the extended period are forecast
to be above normal, with Tuesday possibly being the coolest day
and below or near normal.

Aviation 06z Monday through Friday
The following discussion is for kphl, kpne, kttn, kabe, krdg, kilg,
kmiv, kacy and surrounding areas.

Overnight... .Scattered showers SE thru 06z.VFR for the most
part overnight. Patchy fog possible where rains fell earlier.

May have to add some into the 6z tafs.

Monday...VFR. North winds 5-10 knots, becoming locally west and
southwest later in the afternoon. A sea breeze at acy and miv will
result in a wind shift to east to southeast.

Outlook...

Monday night... GenerallyVFR condition expected, although
clouds increase and lower late in the night with a chance of
showers. Winds become northeast 5-10 knots overnight.

Tuesday-Tuesday night... MVFR ceilings may develop early Tuesday
as a warm front lifts across the area and continue into the
night. Chance of showers and thunderstorms during the period.

East to northeast winds Tuesday and Tuesday evening, become
southeast Tuesday night.

Wednesday-Wednesday night... MVFR conditions possible early,
then lifting toVFR during the morning. Showers and
thunderstorms remain possible, especially Wednesday afternoon
and evening. Winds shift to southwest early and may gust 15-20
knots during the day.

Thursday-Thursday night... GenerallyVFR, except lower
conditions possible with showers and thunderstorms Thursday
afternoon and night. Southwest winds may gust 15-20 knots during
the day Thursday.

Friday... GenerallyVFR, except lower conditions possible with
showers and thunderstorms during the day. Southwest winds may
gust 20-25 knots during the day.

Marine
Winds and seas are expected to remain below small craft advisory
criteria through memorial day. Some thunderstorms with gusty winds
will be possible this evening mainly south of atlantic city.

Outlook...

Monday night-Friday... Conditions expected to remain below
advisory levels through the period, although winds may gust
around 20 knots at times. There is a chance of showers and
thunderstorms each day, which could produce locally higher winds
and waves should they occur.

Rip currents...

the risk for the formation of dangerous rip currents increases to
moderate on Monday. A long period swell (around 10 seconds) combined
with some increase in the wind as it turns onshore, enhancing a sea
breeze some, is expected to result in an elevated rip current risk
on memorial day especially in the afternoon.

Phi watches warnings advisories
Pa... None.

Nj... None.

De... None.

Md... None.

Marine... None.

Synopsis... Robertson
near term... Gorse po
short term... Johnson
long term... Robertson
aviation... Gorse robertson po
marine... Gorse johnson robertson


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
SDHN4 - 8531680 - Sandy Hook, NJ 25 mi27 min NW 14 G 16 68°F 64°F1013 hPa
44065 - Entrance to New York Harbor 26 mi25 min WNW 9.7 G 9.7 65°F 61°F1011.2 hPa63°F
44091 26 mi15 min 61°F3 ft
BGNN4 - 8519483 - Bergen Point West Reach, NJ 38 mi33 min 71°F 63°F1012 hPa
MHRN6 38 mi27 min NNW 9.9 G 13
NBLP1 - 8548989 - Newbold, PA 38 mi33 min NNW 5.1 G 6 71°F 67°F1012.7 hPa
ROBN4 - 8530973 - Robins Reef, NJ 39 mi27 min NNW 7 G 11 73°F 1011.7 hPa
BATN6 - 8518750 - The Battery, NY 42 mi27 min 72°F 59°F1011.8 hPa
BDRN4 - 8539094 - Burlington, Delaware River, NJ 44 mi69 min WNW 1 G 5.1 72°F 67°F1012.2 hPa
JCRN4 - Jacques Cousteau Reserve, NJ 45 mi75 min WSW 2.9 69°F 1013 hPa63°F
44025 - LONG ISLAND 33 NM South of Islip, NY 48 mi55 min W 7.8 G 7.8 64°F 60°F4 ft1011 hPa (-0.3)

Wind History for Sandy Hook, NJ
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Belmar-Farmingdale, NJ7 mi49 minWNW 810.00 miPartly Cloudy72°F66°F82%1012.2 hPa
Lakehurst Naval Air Station, NJ15 mi1.8 hrsNW 6 miMostly Cloudy73°F68°F84%1011.5 hPa
Miller Air Park, NJ18 mi49 minWNW 510.00 miOvercast73°F66°F81%1012.6 hPa

Wind History from BLM (wind in knots)
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Tide / Current Tables for Manasquan Inlet, USCG Station, New Jersey
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Manasquan Inlet
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Mon -- 02:15 AM EDT     Moonrise
Mon -- 02:39 AM EDT     3.77 feet High Tide
Mon -- 05:31 AM EDT     Sunrise
Mon -- 08:58 AM EDT     0.75 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 01:25 PM EDT     Moonset
Mon -- 03:21 PM EDT     3.64 feet High Tide
Mon -- 08:15 PM EDT     Sunset
Mon -- 09:28 PM EDT     1.19 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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2.83.33.73.73.42.61.91.30.90.711.52.22.83.33.63.53.12.51.91.51.21.21.6

Tide / Current Tables for Barnegat Inlet, Barnegat Bay, New Jersey Current
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Barnegat Inlet
Click for Map
Mon -- 02:00 AM EDT     1.53 knots Max Flood
Mon -- 02:15 AM EDT     Moonrise
Mon -- 05:10 AM EDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Mon -- 05:33 AM EDT     Sunrise
Mon -- 09:19 AM EDT     -1.81 knots Max Ebb
Mon -- 12:13 PM EDT     0.00 knots Slack
Mon -- 01:26 PM EDT     Moonset
Mon -- 02:38 PM EDT     1.30 knots Max Flood
Mon -- 05:50 PM EDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Mon -- 08:14 PM EDT     Sunset
Mon -- 09:44 PM EDT     -1.56 knots Max Ebb
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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0.61.21.51.30.70.1-0.5-1-1.5-1.8-1.7-1-0.20.61.21.30.90.5-0.1-0.6-1-1.4-1.5-1.1

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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GOES Local Image of Mid-Atlantic    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
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Wind Forecast for Philadelphia/Mount Holly, PA (1,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Philadelphia, PA
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.