Saturday, May25, 2019 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Brielle, NJ

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
10/6/2018 Colors of tide XTide graphs changed to emphasize that they were upgraded. See next note. Comments welcome.
10/4/2018 I have fixed XTide and updated the harmonic files. There were some name changes so you might have to click EDIT to find the new station name.

Sunrise 5:31AMSunset 8:15PM Saturday May 25, 2019 11:21 PM EDT (03:21 UTC) Moonrise 1:14AMMoonset 11:30AM Illumination 54% Phase: Third Quarter Moon; Moon at 22 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
    EDIT      (on/off)   Help
ANZ450 Coastal Waters From Sandy Hook To Manasquan Inlet Nj Out 20 Nm- Coastal Waters From Manasquan Inlet To Little Egg Inlet Nj Out 20 Nm- 925 Pm Edt Sat May 25 2019
Overnight..S winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt. Seas 3 to 4 ft. SWell mainly from the S with a dominant period of 5 seconds. Scattered showers and tstms.
Sun..SW winds 10 to 15 kt, diminishing to 5 to 10 kt in the late morning and afternoon. Seas 3 to 4 ft. SWell mainly from the S with a dominant period of 5 seconds. A chance of showers and tstms late.
Sun night..W winds around 10 kt, becoming N after midnight. Seas 3 to 4 ft. SWell mainly from the se with a dominant period of 9 seconds. A chance of showers and tstms in the evening.
Mon..NE winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming E in the afternoon. Seas around 3 ft early in the morning, then 2 ft or less, then around 3 ft early in the afternoon, then 2 ft or less. SWell mainly from the E with a dominant period of 10 seconds.
Mon night..S winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less, then around 3 ft after midnight.
Tue..S winds 5 to 10 kt, increasing to 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 25 kt in the afternoon. Seas 3 to 4 ft. A chance of showers and tstms.
Tue night..SW winds 10 to 15 kt. Gusts up to 20 kt in the evening. Seas 3 to 4 ft. A chance of showers and tstms in the evening.
Wed..SW winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming se in the afternoon. Seas around 3 ft.
Wed night..S winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas around 3 ft. A chance of showers and tstms.
Thu..SW winds 10 to 15 kt. Gusts up to 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas 3 to 4 ft. A chance of showers and tstms in the afternoon.
Thu night..W winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 4 ft. A chance of showers and tstms. Winds and seas higher in and near tstms.
ANZ400 925 Pm Edt Sat May 25 2019
Synopsis for the coastal waters from sandy hook nj to fenwick island de and for delaware bay.. A warm front will continue to lift through the area as high pressure moves further offshore. A chance for rain showers and Thunderstorms returns as a cold front passes through the region tomorrow afternoon and evening. A rather unsettled pattern through next week as a series of disturbances travel across the great lakes into the northeast with warm weather otherwise prevailing.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Brielle borough, NJ
   Hourly   EDIT   Help
location: 40.1, -74.06     debug


Area Discussion for - Philadelphia/Mount Holly, PA
      (on/off)   Help   NOTE: mouseover dotted underlined text for definition
Fxus61 kphi 260130
afdphi
area forecast discussion
national weather service mount holly nj
930 pm edt Sat may 25 2019

Synopsis
A warm front will continue to lift through the area as high
pressure moves further offshore. A chance for rain showers and
thunderstorms returns as a cold front passes through the region
tomorrow afternoon and evening. A rather unsettled pattern
through next week as a series of disturbances travel across the
great lakes into the northeast with warm weather otherwise
prevailing.

Near term until 6 am Sunday morning
Showers and thunderstorms extended from central pennsylvania
down into west virginia around 9:30 pm. A mid level impulse
associated with the precipitation will continue to work its way
eastward, along with a surface warm front. The mid level feature
is expected to pass over our region between about midnight and
3:00 am with the warm front passing closer to dawn.

We are anticipating an increasing potential for showers and
scattered thunderstorms with most of the precipitation that
falls in our region occurring between about 11:00 pm and 4:00
am. Any linger showers and thunderstorms should be off the coast
by 5:00 am.

The mid level impulse should keep the showers and thunderstorms
somewhat intact by the time they reach our forecast area, even
with the loss of daytime heating. However, the relatively stable
conditions in our region should help to weaken the showers and
thunderstorms a bit.

A south wind around 5 to 10 mph this evening is forecast to
become southwest to west late tonight. Low temperatures are
expected to favor the 60s.

Short term 6 am Sunday morning through 6 pm Sunday
Tomorrow could be the warmest day of the year so far for much
of the area. With the warm, moist air mass in place,
temperatures near 90 will be possible for the delaware valley
and coastal plains. Further west, highs will only be a few
degrees lower in the upper 80s.

Unsurprisingly, with this airmass in place, there is a chance
for thunderstorms across the region. A trough will set up, and
remain over our region through the day. Confluence along this
trough could serve as the focus for convective initiation.

Additionally, if we do have low clouds overnight, differential
heating boundaries could develop Sunday morning as the low
clouds erode. Initially the mid levels (from 800 to 600 mb) will
be quite dry which should limit convective initiation, at least
initially. Many models are depicting little, if any, qpf,
because of a combination of the potential for a cap into late
afternoon, and the fact that there is limited synoptic scale
lift until much later when the cold front approaches. Given that
much of the lift may come with mesoscale features (which would
not be picked up by the coarser resolution models), forecast
pops are higher than most guidance, with a general 30 to 40
percent across the region.

If thunderstorms develop during the afternoon, there will be a
marginal risk for severe storms, especially in DELMARVA which
should have more unstable air in place. If any storms become
severe, the primary hazard would be damaging winds, as wind
shear in the lowest km will be too low for much of a tornado
threat, and the very warm boundary layer could limit the hail
threat.

Long term Sunday night through Saturday
Overview:
the all-too-familiar pattern continues, at least to start the
upcoming week featuring a stubborn longwave trough over the
western u.S. And a ridge across the southeast. A series of
shortwave troughs will circumnavigate the ridge to our south
over the beginning portion of the week, bringing several chances
for showers and thunderstorms. Again, placement and strength of
convection over the plains will have an influence on the exact
placement of the quasi-stationary front that looks to set itself
up over and just to the north of our cwa. In other news, warm
and humid weather looks to arrive just in time for the
unofficial start to the summer season. By Thursday, there are
signs that the pattern may begin to break as a shortwave trough
begins to amplify a developing longwave trough across eastern
canada.

Dailies:
a weak impulse moves across the region along the stalled front
on Monday, bringing the chance for some showers and
thunderstorms in the morning. Seasonable with highs near 80.

Tuesday, a stronger shortwave trough and surface low moves
along the front just to our north, thus a higher likelihood of
showers and thunderstorms. Similar temperatures to Monday.

The front remains draped across the northern half of the cwa
Wednesday, thus there is a continued chance for showers and
thunderstorms, especially for the lehigh valley, southern
poconos, and NW nj. Highs will be noticeably warmer, perhaps the
warmest this year with many places topping out near or just
above 90, with the exception of areas remaining in precipitation
across the northern portion of the cwa.

Another warm day Thursday as the front looks to remain north of
most of the area, but another shortwave trough and surface low
look to push a cold front across the great lakes and into the
mid-atlantic, thus ending our possible two-day spell in the 90s.

Another round of showers and thunderstorms will be possible as
the cold front moves through the region. There is the chance a
few of these could be on the stronger side, so will need to
monitor this as the week progresses. Highs may be a few degrees
cooler depending on cloud and precipitation coverage.

Slightly cooler weather returns to close out the week on Friday
and Saturday as the cold front moves offshore. Highs look to
sit near 80 with just a slight chance for a few scattered
showers and thunderstorms.

Aviation 02z Sunday through Thursday
The following discussion is for kphl, kpne, kttn, kabe, krdg,
kilg, kmiv, kacy and surrounding areas.

Overnight... MainlyVFR through about 03z. Showers and scattered
thunderstorms between about 03z and 08z will produce MVFR ifr
conditions at some locations. Lingering MVFR conditions are
expected after 08z. South wind around 8 to 12 knots becoming
southwest 4 to 8 knots.

Sunday... Lingering MVFR conditions through about 12z, otherwise
vfr with scattered clouds. There is a chance of afternoon
showers and thunderstorms but their timing and potential
coverage is a low confidence forecast. They will not be
mentioned in the taf. West wind increasing to 8 to 12 knots with
gusts around 20 knots.

Outlook...

Monday...VFR expected with light and variable winds trending a
northerly direction.

Tuesday... GenerallyVFR, though cig and vsby restriction
possible with showers and thunderstorms. Southerly winds 10 to
15 knots with gusts to 15 knots possible.

Wednesday... GenerallyVFR, more cig and vsby restrictions are
possible with scattered showers and thunderstorms, especially to
the north. Southwesterly winds 5 to 10 knots turning more
southerly with gusts to 15 knots possible.

Thursday...VFR with restrictions to MVFR or even ifr with
scattered showers and thunderstorms. Winds out of the southwest
5 to 10 knots, with gusts to 20 knots possible.

Marine
Winds and seas are expected to remain below small craft
advisory criteria tonight and Sunday. Southerly gusts above 20
kt are possible especially on the southern atlantic coastal
waters late tonight.

Outlook...

Monday through Wednesday... Sub SCA conditions expected with
south to southwesterly winds 10 to 15 knots. A few gusts to 20
knots possible, especially across the northern atlantic zones
Tuesday afternoon. Seas 2 to 4 feet.

Thursday... SCA conditions possible with seas 3 to 5 feet. Winds
10 to 15 knots with gusts to 18 knots possible.

Rip currents...

the risk for the formation of dangerous rip currents is low
through this evening. The low risk may continue into the day
tomorrow.

Phi watches warnings advisories
Pa... None.

Nj... None.

De... None.

Md... None.

Marine... None.

Synopsis... Davis
near term... Iovino
short term... Johnson
long term... Davis
aviation... Davis iovino
marine... Davis johnson


Weather Reporting Stations
   EDIT       (on/off)   Help   NOTE: Click on distance to see the station location on a map
Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
SDHN4 - 8531680 - Sandy Hook, NJ 26 mi33 min S 13 G 16 61°F 66°F1020.1 hPa
44065 - Entrance to New York Harbor 27 mi31 min S 16 G 19 59°F 59°F4 ft1019 hPa55°F
44091 27 mi51 min 59°F3 ft
NBLP1 - 8548989 - Newbold, PA 37 mi39 min SW 5.1 G 8 62°F 67°F1019.1 hPa
BGNN4 - 8519483 - Bergen Point West Reach, NJ 38 mi39 min 62°F 62°F1018.6 hPa
MHRN6 38 mi33 min S 8 G 12
ROBN4 - 8530973 - Robins Reef, NJ 38 mi33 min S 12 G 16 60°F 1018.6 hPa
BATN6 - 8518750 - The Battery, NY 42 mi39 min 60°F 59°F1019.3 hPa
BDRN4 - 8539094 - Burlington, Delaware River, NJ 43 mi45 min SSW 8 G 11 63°F 66°F1018.3 hPa
JCRN4 - Jacques Cousteau Reserve, NJ 45 mi51 min SSE 6 60°F 1019 hPa55°F
44025 - LONG ISLAND 33 NM South of Islip, NY 49 mi31 min S 16 G 18 59°F 57°F3 ft1019.3 hPa (-1.3)

Wind History for Sandy Hook, NJ
(wind in knots)    EDIT      (on/off)   Help
12
AM
1
AM
2
AM
3
AM
4
AM
5
AM
6
AM
7
AM
8
AM
9
AM
10
AM
11
AM
12
PM
1
PM
2
PM
3
PM
4
PM
5
PM
6
PM
7
PM
8
PM
9
PM
10
PM
11
PM
Last
24hr
N7
G11
NW5
N4
G8
SE8
G13
SE10
G15
SE5
G8
SE8
S8
G11
S7
S9
S9
S9
G12
SE12
G16
SE16
S18
G22
SE16
G21
S21
S18
G23
S14
G18
S15
S15
G21
S17
G21
S18
S10
G15
1 day
ago
SW21
G28
W19
W16
W16
W13
W13
G18
W13
G16
NW13
NW15
NW17
G23
NW18
NW21
NW20
NW20
G25
NW16
G26
NW15
G22
NW16
G20
N13
G19
NW15
G19
N13
G16
N11
G17
N9
G13
N7
G12
N7
G10
2 days
ago
SW12
G15
SW13
SW9
SW9
SW11
W5
--
SW6
S12
SW10
G13
SW5
S11
SW10
G13
SW11
G15
SW10
SW17
SW15
SW6
G10
S7
S11
S6
SW2
SW8
SW16

Airport Reports
    EDIT      (on/off)   Help   Click EDIT to display multiple airports
AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Belmar-Farmingdale, NJ7 mi25 minS 610.00 miPartly Cloudy61°F53°F75%1019.1 hPa
Lakehurst Naval Air Station, NJ14 mi81 minS 7 G 16 miMostly Cloudy62°F54°F75%1018.5 hPa
Miller Air Park, NJ17 mi25 minS 810.00 miMostly Cloudy61°F55°F81%1019.6 hPa

Wind History from BLM (wind in knots)
12
AM
1
AM
2
AM
3
AM
4
AM
5
AM
6
AM
7
AM
8
AM
9
AM
10
AM
11
AM
12
PM
1
PM
2
PM
3
PM
4
PM
5
PM
6
PM
7
PM
8
PM
9
PM
10
PM
11
PM
Last 24hrNW6NW5N6SE6SE5SE4SE4SE3S6SE7SE8S7S7SE12SE11
G17
SE9
G17
SE11
G19
SE11S12
G18
SE9S9S8S7
G16
S6
1 day agoSW9
G19
SW10W9W9W7W5W13W17
G24
W18
G25
W14
G20
NW19
G28
NW14
G23
W20
G31
NW20
G29
W22
G29
NW19
G27
NW17
G29
NW18
G26
NW15
G22
N11
G17
N9N7N8NW8
2 days agoSW5S6SW5S4S5SW6CalmSW4NE4SE5S9S7S7S11S14
G18
S11S113SE4SE6S3SW5SW8SW8

Tide / Current Tables for Brielle, Route 35 bridge, Manasquan River, New Jersey
   EDIT   Weekend mode (on/off)   (on/off)   Help   One Week of Data
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.


Tide / Current Tables for Barnegat Inlet, Barnegat Bay, New Jersey Current
   EDIT      (on/off)   Help   One Week of Data
Barnegat Inlet
Click for Map
Sat -- 12:14 AM EDT     1.80 knots Max Flood
Sat -- 01:13 AM EDT     Moonrise
Sat -- 03:21 AM EDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Sat -- 05:34 AM EDT     Sunrise
Sat -- 07:37 AM EDT     -1.91 knots Max Ebb
Sat -- 10:35 AM EDT     0.00 knots Slack
Sat -- 11:31 AM EDT     Moonset
Sat -- 12:56 PM EDT     1.25 knots Max Flood
Sat -- 03:50 PM EDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Sat -- 07:52 PM EDT     -1.40 knots Max Ebb
Sat -- 08:13 PM EDT     Sunset
Sat -- 10:15 PM EDT     0.00 knots Slack
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

12
am
1
am
2
am
3
am
4
am
5
am
6
am
7
am
8
am
9
am
10
am
11
am
12
pm
1
pm
2
pm
3
pm
4
pm
5
pm
6
pm
7
pm
8
pm
9
pm
10
pm
11
pm
1.81.610.3-0.5-1-1.5-1.8-1.9-1.3-0.50.311.210.5-0.1-0.6-1-1.3-1.4-1-0.20.6

Weather Map and Satellite Images
       (on/off)   HelpWeather Map
wmap_A
GOES Local Image of Mid-Atlantic    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop



Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Philadelphia/Mount Holly, PA (23,6,7,8)
      (on/off)   Help

Ground Weather Radar Station Philadelphia, PA
   (on/off)   Help
weather_mapweather_map weather_map

Ad by Google

Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.