Monday, June18, 2018

Marine Weather and Tides
Worthington, OH

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
5/20/2018 -- NOAA is having problems with the data feed that I use to draw the graphs. They are aware of the issue and working to resolve it. Sometimes changing the location by about a mile will give a correct graph. 3/3/2018 - There is a new GOES Satellite for the east coast that required rewriting that part of the code. Please report any issues.

Sunrise 6:01AMSunset 9:06PM Monday June 18, 2018 5:09 PM EDT (21:09 UTC) Moonrise 10:30AMMoonset 12:00AM Illumination 29% Phase: Waxing Crescent; Moon at 5 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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LEZ144 Lake Erie Nearshore Waters From The Islands To Vermilion Oh- Lake Erie Nearshore Waters From Vermilion To Avon Point Oh- Lake Erie Nearshore Waters From Avon Point To Willowick Oh- Lake Erie Nearshore Waters From Willowick To Geneva-on- The Lake Oh- 347 Am Edt Mon Jun 18 2018
Today..Southwest winds 10 to 15 knots becoming west. A slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms late. Waves 1 to 3 feet.
Tonight..West winds 5 to 15 knots becoming north. Showers and Thunderstorms likely. Waves 1 to 3 feet subsiding to 1 foot or less.
Tuesday..Northeast winds 5 to 15 knots. A chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the morning. Waves 1 to 3 feet.
Tuesday night..Northeast winds 5 to 15 knots. A chance of showers and Thunderstorms. Waves 1 to 3 feet. Winds and waves higher in and near Thunderstorms. SEe lake erie open lakes forecast for Wednesday through Friday. The water temperature off toledo is 71 degrees, off cleveland 66 degrees and off erie 64 degrees.
LEZ144 Expires:201806181430;;714400 FZUS51 KCLE 180747 NSHCLE Nearshore Marine Forecast National Weather Service Cleveland OH 347 AM EDT Mon Jun 18 2018 For waters within five nautical miles of shore Waves are the significant wave height - the average of the highest 1/3 of the wave spectrum. Occasional wave height is the average of the highest 1/10 of the wave spectrum. LEZ144>147-181430-

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Worthington, OH
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location: 40.1, -83.02     debug

Area Discussion for - Wilmington, OH
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Fxus61 kiln 181858
area forecast discussion
national weather service wilmington oh
258 pm edt Mon jun 18 2018

A cold front will drop down into the area on Tuesday and then
stall out across the region through the end of the week. This
will result in occasional chances for showers and thunderstorms
through the upcoming weekend.

Near term until 6 am Tuesday morning
A hot and humid airmass is in place across the region this
afternoon with temperatures in the lower 90s and dewpoints in
the upper 60s to lower 70s. This has led to some good
destabilization. Some spotty showers and thunderstorms have
tried to pop up, but with the ridge overhead and poor mid level
lapse rates, these storms have had a tough time sustaining
themselves so far. Would think the best chance for a little
better storm life would be across our north where the ridge is
slightly weaker and it looks like there may be a weak low level
convergent axis. That being said, will go ahead and allow for
some isolated thunderstorms across most of our area through the
remainder of the afternoon. These are mainly diurnally driven so
would expect any activity to quickly taper off late this
evening, leaving mainly clear skies overnight. Lows tonight will
generally be in the lower 70s.

Short term 6 am Tuesday morning through Tuesday night
The upper level ridge will begin to flatten out Tuesday into
Tuesday night as a frontal boundary sags down into our area
through the day. This will provide for a better focus for shower
and thunderstorm development as we once again destabilize
through the late morning and into the afternoon hours. Deep
layer shear will remain on the weaker side, with perhaps somewhat
better but still marginal lower level shear values. This should
help limit storm organization, but with the boundary in the
area and some decent instability, it will be tough to rule a
few strong to severe storms. Pws are also forecast to push up in
excess of 2 inches, so some storms will also be capable of
producing heavy downpours. The boundary will stall out through
the afternoon and then begin to lift back to the north Tuesday
night. Will therefore hang on to a chance of thunderstorms into
the night, with the best chances across the north.

Temperatures on Tuesday will be somewhat dependent on the
timing of the boundary and storm development. Will generally
range highs on Tuesday from the mid 80s in the north to around
90 across the south.

Long term Wednesday through Monday
Unsettled weather pattern is suggested by latest models showing a
zonal flow aloft containing several short waves, and featuring a
stronger upper system during the weekend.

Models continue to show a front lying parallel to the upper flow on
Wednesday, and with a few short waves interacting with the humid and
unstable airmass along the front, thunderstorms will be likely.

Storm organization and strength will be enhanced by rather potent
winds aloft, especially toward Wednesday evening. The likelihood for
strong storms is forecast to shift south on Thursday with the front.

For Friday and Saturday, an upper low tracking through the great
lakes will provide additional lift, winds, instability, and moisture
transport, continuing the likelihood for showers and thunderstorms.

Scattered thunderstorms are indicated for Sunday in a regime of
reduced forcing but lingering moisture.

Temperatures will exhibit a cooling trend compared to recent days,
with expected highs in the near normal low to mid 80s.

Aviation 19z Monday through Saturday
Isolated showers and a few thunderstorms have tried to pop up
in the last hour or so but so far they have had a tough time
maintaining themselves. With little in the way of forcing,
expect this trend to continue, with perhaps a bit more
sustainability across our north where the ridge is not quite as
strong. Will go ahead and allow for a vcsh to cover any early
threat at the central ohio TAF sites.

Diurnal CU will dissipate by this evening leaving mainly clear
skies overnight. Given the high dewpoints, this could result in
some areas of MVFR br later tonight into Tuesday morning. Will
go ahead and include some MVFR visibility restrictions at the
more favorable kluk. A boundary will sag down into the region
through the day on Tuesday. This will result in a better chance
of showers and thunderstorms through the afternoon hours,
possibility affecting the northern TAF sites at the tail end of
the TAF period.

Outlook... Showers and thunderstorms are possible at times
through Saturday.

Iln watches warnings advisories
Oh... Heat advisory until 8 pm edt this evening for ohz026-034-035-

Ky... Heat advisory until 8 pm edt this evening for kyz089>100.

In... Heat advisory until 8 pm edt this evening for inz050-058-059-

Synopsis... Jgl
near term... Jgl
short term... Jgl
long term... Coniglio
aviation... Jgl

Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
OWXO1 - Old Woman Creek, OH 92 mi84 min SW 2.9 91°F 1013 hPa72°F
HHLO1 - Huron Light, OH 93 mi69 min W 12 G 18 91°F 1012.2 hPa (-2.7)

Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Columbus, Ohio State University Airport, OH3 mi76 minWSW 1210.00 miPartly Cloudy92°F71°F51%1014.7 hPa
John Glenn Columbus International Airport, OH10 mi78 minSW 1210.00 miPartly Cloudy92°F69°F47%1014.8 hPa
Columbus, Bolton Field Airport, OH15 mi82 minSW 12 G 1910.00 miPartly Cloudy91°F71°F52%1016.6 hPa
Rickenbacker Air National Guard Base, OH19 mi74 minWSW 610.00 miFair89°F74°F61%1015.9 hPa
Marysville Union County Airport, OH20 mi74 minWSW 11 G 1910.00 miPartly Cloudy91°F70°F51%1015.9 hPa

Wind History from OSU (wind in knots)
Last 24hrSW6SW6SW7SW5S6S5S5S5S5S4CalmS3S4SW3SW3SW8W8W14
1 day agoSW5SW10NE6SE4N7CalmCalmCalmE3CalmCalmW3W5W5W5W6NW7W8
2 days agoE3NE5E3E3SE6CalmS5CalmCalmE4SE5SE3CalmE4S5S6SW6SW7S8SW8SW7SW10W10

Tide / Current Tables for
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Tide / Current Tables for
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Weather Map and Satellite Images
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GOES Local Image of Mid-Atlantic    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
target = "new">Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Wilmington, OH (17,4,5,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Wilmington, OH
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The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.