Friday, July21, 2017

Marine Weather and Tides
Worthington, OH

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
6/25/2017 - NOAA is having a major issue that impact the 7 day forecast load times. Many users are reporting problems. The issue has been reported.
5/23/2017 - Worked with NOAA again to speed up the 7 day forecast load times. Thanks to them for being responsive.
5/19/2016 - There were issues with the 3 day airport observation history. I switched to another data source. Let me know if you see any issues with the data feeds.

Sunrise 6:20AMSunset 8:57PM Friday July 21, 2017 6:51 PM EDT (22:51 UTC) Moonrise 3:28AMMoonset 6:20PM Illumination 3% Phase: Waning Crescent; Moon at 28 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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LEZ144 Lake Erie Nearshore Waters From Maumee Bay To Reno Beach Oh- Lake Erie Nearshore Waters From Reno Beach To The Islands Oh- Lake Erie Nearshore Waters From The Islands To Vermilion Oh- 905 Am Edt Fri Jul 21 2017
This afternoon..North winds 10 knots or less becoming east. Mostly cloudy late this morning...then becoming mostly Sunny. Waves 1 foot or less.
Tonight..East winds 10 knots or less becoming south. A chance of showers and Thunderstorms overnight. Waves 1 foot or less.
Saturday..South winds 5 to 10 knots becoming southwest. Showers and Thunderstorms likely. Waves 1 foot or less.
Saturday night..Southwest winds 5 to 10 knots becoming west. Showers and Thunderstorms likely in the evening...then a chance of showers and Thunderstorms overnight. Waves 1 foot or less. Winds and waves higher in and near Thunderstorms. SEe lake erie open lakes forecast for Sunday through Tuesday. The water temperature off toledo is 76 cleveland 72 degrees and off erie 77 degrees.
LEZ144 Expires:201707212015;;594696 FZUS51 KCLE 211305 NSHCLE Nearshore Marine Forecast National Weather Service Cleveland OH 905 AM EDT Fri Jul 21 2017 For waters within five nautical miles of shore Waves are the significant wave height - the average of the highest 1/3 of the wave spectrum. Occasional wave height is the average of the highest 1/10 of the wave spectrum. LEZ142>144-212015-

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Worthington, OH
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location: 40.1, -83.02     debug

Area Discussion for - Wilmington, OH
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Fxus61 kiln 212003
area forecast discussion
national weather service wilmington oh
403 pm edt Fri jul 21 2017

Multiple disturbances are expected to bring several rounds of
showers and thunderstorms to the region through the weekend and
into early Monday. High pressure and dry conditions are then
expected for Tuesday. More disturbances in northwesterly flow
aloft will cross the region later in the week.

Near term until 6 am Saturday morning
Apparent temperatures were expected to remain at or over 100 in
the southwest, which had me extend the current advisory into the
overnight hours as the eastern portion of it drops off later

Upstream thunderstorm complex west of indianapolis and a shower
complex underneath the MCV northeast of indy will work into the
cwa later this afternoon into this evening. Expect convection to
be possible almost anywhere this evening but with a higher
propensity southwest of a richmond lebanon georgetown line.

Overnight should see convection from this evening waning, but
another upper level disturbance will ride southeast in the mean
flow and cross northern ohio. Storms from this will primarily
affect the i-70 corridor and northward, with isolated activity
possible elsewhere late overnight.

Confidence in the occurrence and or placement of these storm
clusters is low. Forecast will be dynamically updated as storms
fire and a better timing and areal extent of them are able to be
extrapolated in both time and space. With this being said,
forecast is probably too low on pops overnight in the northern
cwa where it was limited to chance category.

Short term 6 am Saturday morning through Saturday night
Saturday had me bring another tier of counties into the heat
advisory fold as unusually warm dewpoints solidly in the middle
70s combine with temperatures in the low 90s to push apparent
temperatures over the 100 degree mark.

Storms that are present in the morning should be focused north
of and along the i-70 corridor, but a few models are indicating
some isolated activity popping south of it just before daybreak.

The outflow boundary that lays out along the i-70 corridor later
in the day is expected to be a focus for a second round of
development, given an added boost by a continued feed of moist
and unstable air on southerly winds. Storms will fire along a
w-e oriented line and then move south in the evening.

Any storm in the next few days will have a higher potential for
damaging winds and especially very heavy rainfall. The tornado
and large hail threat appear to be negligible at this moment in

Storms will weaken and diminish as they move south to the ohio
river on Saturday night. Dewpoints will remain in the middle 70s
until the airmass changes beyond the short term period.

Long term Sunday through Friday
A weak trof boundary is forecast to push through the region on
Sunday. This feature may be entering our far eastern southeast
zones by peak heating which would bring the highest pops to these
locations. All in all, just have slight chance chance of
showers storms. SPC has a slight risk for severe storms. There could
be an isolated severe during the afternoon due to diurnal heating.

For the period Sunday night into Monday night, mid level trough will
dig southeast across the great lakes eastern canada. As this occurs,
a cold front will move slowly southeast through our region. With the
lack of strong low level forcing and upper level support, the
chances for showers storms appears low and should affect our
eastern southern zones in the afternoon on Monday. Skies should
become at least partly cloudy Monday night as high pressure builds
into the region from the north with a drying and stabilizing air

High pressure should remain over the region through at least Tuesday
into Tuesday night with dry weather expected.

As the high moves east on Wednesday, return flow and increasing
moisture may lead to a small chance of showers and thunderstorms.

Models indicate that the next frontal boundary to affect our region
will be during the Thursday Friday time frame. Differences are seen
in the timing, so a broad brush forecast has been used with a chance
of showers and thunderstorms.

Temperatures will cool back down to more july normals Tuesday
through Friday.

Aviation 20z Friday through Wednesday
Vfr conditions will prevail over the CWA with the exception of
cmh lck where earlier rains and increased llvl moisture will
combine with light winds and a potentially clearing sky tonight
for fog development towards daybreak.

Models are indicating that a MCS will be passing north of the
cwa early Saturday tomorrow morning, with some showers affecting
all but cvg luk during this time. Positioning of the expected
rain and timing is in high question, and any low CIGS in central
ohio will be scoured out by storms when and if they occur.

Southwest winds will pick up tomorrow morning with gusts to 20kt
expected during the day.

Scattered convection is not out of the question for this late
afternoon and evening, but is not going to be forecast until the
potential source region becomes apparent.

Outlook... Thunderstorms will be possible at times through

Iln watches warnings advisories
Oh... Heat advisory until 7 pm edt Saturday for ohz077-078.

Heat advisory until 7 pm edt this evening for ohz079>082-088.

Heat advisory from 1 pm to 7 pm edt Saturday for ohz070-071.

Ky... Heat advisory until 7 pm edt Saturday for kyz089>096.

Heat advisory until 7 pm edt this evening for kyz097>100.

In... Heat advisory until 7 pm edt Saturday for inz073>075-080.

Heat advisory from 1 pm to 7 pm edt Saturday for inz066.

Synopsis... Franks
near term... Franks
short term... Franks
long term... Hickman
aviation... Franks

Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
OWXO1 - Old Woman Creek, OH 92 mi67 min N 2.9 82°F 1015 hPa74°F
HHLO1 - Huron Light, OH 93 mi52 min NNE 6 G 7 80°F 1013.9 hPa (-0.3)

Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Columbus, Ohio State University Airport, OH3 mi59 minWSW 510.00 miFair83°F75°F77%1014.2 hPa
Port Columbus International Airport, OH10 mi61 minWSW 510.00 miPartly Cloudy83°F73°F72%1014 hPa
Columbus, Bolton Field Airport, OH15 mi57 minW 510.00 miClear82°F71°F70%1015.6 hPa
Rickenbacker Air National Guard Base, OH19 mi57 minSW 510.00 miFair82°F72°F72%1014.9 hPa
Marysville Union County Airport, OH20 mi58 minWNW 610.00 miPartly Cloudy83°F73°F72%1015.6 hPa

Wind History from OSU (wind in knots)
Last 24hrW10W7W6CalmS3S4S5S4SW6W4W6CalmW4W6NW6W19
1 day agoNW12W9W6W4W4CalmCalmW3W4SW3SW4SW5S4SW6SW5W9SW10W14
2 days agoSW8SW6SW4S3CalmS3CalmCalmS5CalmCalmCalmCalmW3SW3W4W7SW7W74SW6S3W5W8

Tide / Current Tables for
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Tide / Current Tables for
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Weather Map and Satellite Images
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Weather Map
IR Satellite Image from GEOS

GOES Local Image of Mid-Atlantic    EDIT

Wind Forecast for Wilmington, OH (18,4,5,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Wilmington, OH
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The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.