Wednesday, November22, 2017 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Worthington, OH

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
6/25/2017 - NOAA is having a major issue that impact the 7 day forecast load times. Many users are reporting problems. The issue has been reported.
5/23/2017 - Worked with NOAA again to speed up the 7 day forecast load times. Thanks to them for being responsive.
5/19/2016 - There were issues with the 3 day airport observation history. I switched to another data source. Let me know if you see any issues with the data feeds.

Sunrise 7:25AMSunset 5:12PM Wednesday November 22, 2017 6:06 AM EST (11:06 UTC) Moonrise 10:44AMMoonset 8:41PM Illumination 14% Phase: Waxing Crescent; Moon at 4 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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LEZ144 Lake Erie Nearshore Waters From Maumee Bay To Reno Beach Oh- Lake Erie Nearshore Waters From Reno Beach To The Islands Oh- Lake Erie Nearshore Waters From The Islands To Vermilion Oh- 911 Pm Est Tue Nov 21 2017
.small craft advisory in effect until 4 am est Wednesday...
Rest of tonight..West winds 15 to 25 knots becoming northwest and diminishing to 10 to 20 knots. A chance of rain or snow showers. Waves 3 to 5 feet subsiding to 2 to 4 feet. Waves occasionally around 6 feet.
Wednesday..Northwest winds 5 to 15 knots becoming west. Mostly Sunny. Waves 1 to 3 feet.
Wednesday night..West winds 5 to 15 knots becoming southwest. Partly cloudy in the evening, then becoming mostly cloudy. Waves 2 feet or less.
Thursday..Southwest winds 10 to 15 knots increasing to 15 to 20 knots. Mostly cloudy. Waves 2 feet or less. SEe lake erie open lakes forecast for Friday through Sunday. The water temperature off toledo is 42 degrees...off cleveland 50 degrees and off erie 46 degrees.
LEZ144 Expires:201711221015;;771964 FZUS51 KCLE 220211 NSHCLE Nearshore Marine Forecast National Weather Service Cleveland OH 911 PM EST Tue Nov 21 2017 For waters within five nautical miles of shore Waves are the significant wave height - the average of the highest 1/3 of the wave spectrum. Occasional wave height is the average of the highest 1/10 of the wave spectrum. LEZ142>144-221015-

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Worthington, OH
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location: 40.1, -83.02     debug


Area Discussion for - Wilmington, OH
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Fxus61 kiln 221022
afdiln
area forecast discussion
national weather service wilmington oh
522 am est Wed nov 22 2017

Synopsis
Behind a cold front, high pressure will begin to move into the ohio
valley today, bringing cool and dry conditions. Dry weather will
continue through the end of the week, as temperatures slowly
increase as the high moves off to the east.

Near term until 6 pm this evening
The surface cold front has cleared through the state of ohio,
and precipitation behind it (which included a brief change to
snow) has moved out of the iln forecast area. This sets up a
relatively simple weather pattern through today, with deep-layer
nw flow behind the mid-level shortwave (and in advance of a
surface high). This will keep a cold advection scenario in
place.

The only complication is the clouds forecast. As a band of
1500-3500 foot clouds behind the front exits the region to the
east, a larger area of stratocumulus is advecting in from the
north. Model solutions (including recent hrrr rap runs) suggest
that this moisture will begin to shunt east and break up over
the next several hours, but this may not occur as fast as the
model projections would indicate. Sky grids for the next 4-8
hours were edited to increase coverage in the northern sections
of the cwa.

No significant changes were made to the temperature forecast,
though it is worth noting that the GFS hrrr rap are notably
warmer than the nam, and (especially where sunnier conditions
are expected in the southern cwa) the slightly warmer numbers
(near 40 lower 40s) will be used. The northern half of the cwa
will likely remain in the middle to upper 30s.

Short term 6 pm this evening through 6 pm Thursday
By this evening, as surface high pressure moves into the region,
the gradient will relax and skies are expected to clear. There
is a weak wave in the flow aloft that will move into the region
by Thursday, actually leading to some warm advection at and
above 850mb. This will also lead to an increase in mid-level
clouds as a result (mainly 700mb and above) especially across
the northern sections of the forecast area.

Aside from these clouds, and a gradual switch to southwesterly
flow on Thursday, there is little to discuss for the rest of the
short term forecast period. The clear skies and light winds
should allow for min temps to drop into the middle 20s on
Thursday morning, followed by a slight increase in MAX temps
on Thursday as opposed to Wednesday -- values in the lower to
middle 40s.

Long term Thursday night through Tuesday
Surface high pressure will remain across the ohio valley Thursday
night, and will then move east on Friday. Little cloud cover is
expected through this period. The surface pressure gradient will
tighten some on Friday between the departing high and the approach
of cold front to our west. After a cold start in the mid and upper
20s, sunshine and WAA should boost temperatures into the lower and
mid 50s.

For Friday night and Saturday, mid level trough will dig south into
the great lakes and ohio valley. As this occurs, a cold front will
move east through the region late Friday night and Saturday morning.

The front is moisture starved, and mainly clouds are expected with
frontal passage. Have held on to a slight chance of showers across
northern zones where there may be enough forcing saturation for this
to occur. Otherwise, after a fairly mild start in the lower 40s,
highs on Saturday will only be slightly cooler than Fridays highs
due to weak CAA and considerable sunshine. Temperatures should range
from the upper 40s northwest to the lower 50s elsewhere.

Some of the operational models, such as the cmc and the ecmwf, have
trended a little quicker with aforementioned mid level trough, and
subsequently a more blunted CAA push with a secondary dry cold front
Saturday night into Sunday. As a result, have not gone as cold for
highs on Sunday (lower to mid 40s) with the now the prospect of
skies being mostly sunny.

Surface high pressure is now expected to build into the region
Sunday night and then move east on Monday. Given that the CAA from
Sunday will be more blunted muted, we are now expecting a faster
return flow WAA pattern on Monday. So after a cold start in the mid
and upper 20s, highs will boost into the mid 40s north to near 50
south on Monday.

Monday night into Tuesday is expected to by dry as a mid level ridge
traverses east through the region. Stronger WAA and a tightening
pressure gradient southerly flow by Tuesday will warm temperatures
into the mid and upper 50s.

Aviation 10z Wednesday through Sunday
An area of stratocumulus clouds has moved into the northern taf
sites, and these clouds should persist for at least another few
hours. While these clouds are mainlyVFR, some brief MVFR
ceilings will be possible.

Otherwise,VFR conditions are expected through the day, with the
stratocumulus clouds gradually dissipating. Winds out of the
nnw will be at around 10 knots this afternoon, before
diminishing and becoming near zero tonight. Some additional
mid-level clouds will move in during the overnight hours.

Outlook... No significant weather expected.

Iln watches warnings advisories
Oh... None.

Ky... None.

In... None.

Synopsis... Hatzos
near term... Hatzos
short term... Hatzos
long term... Hickman
aviation... Hatzos


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
OWXO1 - Old Woman Creek, OH 92 mi81 min WNW 5.1 36°F 1020 hPa26°F
HHLO1 - Huron Light, OH 93 mi66 min NNW 15 G 24 36°F 1019 hPa (+3.1)

Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Columbus, Ohio State University Airport, OH3 mi73 minWNW 610.00 miOvercast33°F28°F85%1021.2 hPa
John Glenn Columbus International Airport, OH10 mi75 minNW 810.00 miPartly Cloudy34°F28°F82%1020.9 hPa
Columbus, Bolton Field Airport, OH15 mi71 minWNW 510.00 miPartly Cloudy31°F28°F89%1021 hPa
Rickenbacker Air National Guard Base, OH19 mi71 minNW 610.00 miFair32°F29°F88%1021 hPa
Marysville Union County Airport, OH20 mi73 minNNW 610.00 miOvercast33°F28°F82%1021 hPa

Wind History from OSU (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrS9S12S13S16
G26
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G30
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G27
SW8SW7SW8W7W13W10NW13NW15NW6NW7NW10NW9NW6NW12
G19
1 day agoS7S8S9SW10S11S11S12S12S11S10
G21
S10S8S8S9S7S6S9S9S8S9S9S7S9S7
2 days agoW8W10W10W15
G20
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G23
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W17
G25
W14
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G26
W16
G22
W17
G22
W14W13W13
G18
W12
G21
W9W7W8SW6SW5SW6SW5S4

Tide / Current Tables for
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Weather Map and Satellite Images
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Weather Map
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IR Satellite Image from GEOS
east_satellite

GOES Local Image of Mid-Atlantic    EDIT
Geos

Wind Forecast for Wilmington, OH (6,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Wilmington, OH
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.