Marine Weather and Tides
10/6/2018 Colors of tide XTide graphs changed to emphasize that they were upgraded. See next note. Comments welcome.
10/4/2018 I have fixed XTide and updated the harmonic files. There were some name changes so you might have to click EDIT to find the new station name.
|Sunrise 7:19AM||Sunset 5:15PM||Saturday November 17, 2018 12:55 PM EST (17:55 UTC)||Moonrise 2:39PM||Moonset 1:14AM||Illumination 72%|
7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Worthington, OHHourly EDIT Help
Area Discussion for - Wilmington, OH  (on/off)  Help NOTE: mouseover dotted underlined text for definition
|Fxus61 kiln 171435|
area forecast discussion
national weather service wilmington oh
935 am est Sat nov 17 2018
High pressure will push off to the east through this afternoon.
A weak cold front will drop down across the area tonight into
Sunday, bringing the chance for some light rain and snow to the
region. A gradual warming trend is expected through the later
part of next week.
Near term until 6 pm this evening
A small sucker hole has been moving across the far northern
counties early this morning, but based on the latest satellite
loop, it will be moving east and the clouds will be returning
for the rest of the day. Farther south, the stratus has been
more persistent, but some of the models are indicating some
breaks for the afternoon hours. Will continue with this trend in
the forecast, but will keep an eye on them increase they do not
The clouds will keep temperatures from rising too much today.
Expect temperatures to ranging from the upper 30s in the
northwest to the mid to possibly upper 40s across the far south.
Short term 6 pm this evening through 6 pm Sunday
Shearing out short wave energy moving across the southern great
lakes will help push a weakening cold front down into northern
portions of our area tonight. Moisture is mainly limited to
below 700 mb, but this may still be enough to produce some
light precipitation across northwest portions of our area
heading into tonight. Thermal profiles across our northwest
support mainly a rain snow mix initially and then possibly
changing over to all snow across our far northwest later
tonight. QPF amounts should be on the light side though with
little if any snow accumulation expected.
The front will continue to sag southeast across our area through
the day on Sunday as a weak surface wave rides east along it.
This will keep the chance for few showers going across much of
the area during the day on Sunday, but again with relatively
limited moisture, will keep pops on the lower side. Highs on
Sunday will range from the upper 30s in the northwest to around
50 across the south. This will support a rain snow mix with any
precipitation across our northwest, with generally rain
Long term Sunday night through Friday
A cold surface cold front with a strung-out disturbance aloft will
be stretched across the ohio valley to start the long term period.
While forcing will be rather meager with this system, the arrival of
a more focused S W Sunday night should allow for light rain and or
possibly a rain snow mix to develop initially south west of the iln
fa before propagating eastward into the southern half or so of the
local area Sunday night into the first part of Monday morning. The
last several model runs have shown a slightly more focused vort max
translating the ohio valley Monday morning, yielding increased
confidence in the potential for more widespread albeit still light
precipitation during this time period. As such, did raise pops a bit
for the southern third of the iln fa Monday morning before the
activity inevitably pushes east of the area by the late afternoon.
As mentioned, the low level thermal profile will likely be very
close to the typical critical thresholds between rain and snow with
this banded pcpn early Monday morning -- although do think that any
snow would be wet in nature and not likely to stick readily to the
relatively-warm ground. Moreover, where pcpn is likely to be ongoing
Monday morning, near-ground air temperatures will be in the mid-30s,
suggesting that any impacts for the morning commute would be minor
in nature. The mix of light rain snow is expected to transition to
mainly light rain late in the morning into the afternoon hours as bl
temperatures warm too much to continue to allow for snow to reach
the surface. All in all, cannot completely rule out a few spots
receiving a quarter of an inch of snow on grassy and elevated
surfaces Monday morning -- but do think that this would be the
exception rather than the rule.
Another embedded disturbance within broad and large-scale troughing
across the eastern third of the country will pivot southeast through
the great lakes and ohio valley regions on Tuesday. This should keep
or potentially reintroduce a slight chance of light rain snow
showers on Tuesday, so did add slight chance pops to account for
Past Tuesday, broad northwest flow aloft will be maintained as
surface high pressure builds into the eastern ohio valley by
Thursday into early Friday. Thanksgiving day continues to look like
a dry one -- with seasonal temperatures in the mid 40s to lower
50s from north to south, respectively.
The next chance for rain may arrive late Friday into Saturday, the
specifics of which will come into better focus in future fcst
Overall, slightly below normal temperatures early in the period will
trend to near normal by thanksgiving and potentially slightly above
normal by the end of the workweek into next weekend.
Aviation 15z Saturday through Wednesday
The solid MVFR stratus deck is still in place across the area
this morning. As surface high pressure pushes off to the east
and we start to develop some southerly low level flow, we should
begin to see some erosion in the low clouds from the south.
Timing of this is still somewhat uncertain though so will just allow
for a gradual improvement in CIGS through the day from south to
north. A cold front will push down from the northwest tonight,
leading to a chance for some light rain, possibly mixing snow
at times later tonight into Sunday morning. The best chance for
pcpn looks to be northwest of the TAF sites so have kept the
tafs dry for now. Some MVFR CIGS will once again be possible
through the later portions of the TAF period.
Outlook... MVFR conditions are expected to continue into
Iln watches warnings advisories
Synopsis... Jgl sites
near term... Sites
short term... Jgl
long term... Kc
Weather Reporting StationsEDIT (on/off)  Help NOTE: Click on distance to see the station location on a map
|Stations||Dist||Age||Wind||Air Temp||Water Temp||Waves||Pressure||DewPt|
|OWXO1 - Old Woman Creek, OH||92 mi||70 min||WNW 2.9||40°F||1025 hPa||30°F|
|HHLO1 - Huron Light, OH||93 mi||55 min||NNW 6 G 8.9||38°F||1023 hPa (+0.3)|
Airport ReportsEDIT (on/off)  Help Click EDIT to display multiple airports
|Columbus, Ohio State University Airport, OH||3 mi||62 min||SSW 7||8.00 mi||Overcast||40°F||32°F||73%||1025.6 hPa|
|John Glenn Columbus International Airport, OH||10 mi||64 min||S 6||7.00 mi||Overcast||41°F||32°F||70%||1025.6 hPa|
|Columbus, Bolton Field Airport, OH||15 mi||65 min||SSW 5||10.00 mi||Overcast||41°F||32°F||70%||1025.4 hPa|
|Rickenbacker Air National Guard Base, OH||19 mi||80 min||SSE 4||10.00 mi||Overcast||39°F||31°F||74%||1025.4 hPa|
|Marysville Union County Airport, OH||20 mi||60 min||S 6||10.00 mi||Overcast||39°F||32°F||79%||1025.1 hPa|
Wind History from OSU (wind in knots)
|1 day ago||SE||E||SE||Calm||E||Calm||Calm||SW||W||W||W||SW||SW||SW||W||SW|
|2 days ago||N||NE||NE||NE||E||NE||NE||NE||E||E||NE||NE||E||E||E||E||E||E||E||E||E||E||SE||SE |
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GOES Local Image of Mid-Atlantic EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop
Other links: Northern Pacific Contential US Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Wilmington, OH (12,3,4,5)(on/off)  Help
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