Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Urbana, IL
April 25, 2024 2:48 PM CDT (19:48 UTC) Change Location
 | Sunrise 5:57 AM Sunset 7:43 PM Moonrise 9:54 PM Moonset 6:36 AM |
Area Discussion for - Central Illinois, IL
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FXUS63 KILX 251708 AFDILX
Area Forecast Discussion...Updated Aviation National Weather Service Lincoln IL 1208 PM CDT Thu Apr 25 2024
KEY MESSAGES
- Waves of showers and storms will be seen Friday through Sunday.
Storms could be severe at times and also bring heavy rainfall.
- Temperatures will climb to near 80 this weekend, with extended outlooks favoring warmer than normal conditions continuing through next weekend.
UPDATE
Issued at 959 AM CDT Thu Apr 25 2024
Central Illinois continues to be influenced by ridging extending from high pressure over the lower Great Lakes. Some passing mid and high clouds will be in place today. Temps are on track to warm into the lower to mid 60s.
Deubelbeiss
DISCUSSION
Issued at 335 AM CDT Thu Apr 25 2024
Light east winds under surface ridging and mostly clear skies has allowed temperatures to drop into the 30s early this morning. Cirrus tied to an upper shortwave diving south through Minnesota will spread into the area today, but otherwise dry and somewhat cooler than normal conditions will prevail.
A more active weather pattern is in the works for later this week into the weekend as a pair of low pressure systems lift through the Plains states and Midwest. The first will be Friday into Saturday with the second Saturday night into Sunday night. The aforementioned upper ridge will shift into the eastern US and amplify, leaving southwest flow positioned overhead here locally. Temperatures will quickly warm through the weekend, approaching 80 degrees by Saturday. A wide open Gulf will advect higher dewpoints northward through the weekend, approaching 60 on Friday and middle 60s Saturday.
A warm front will lift north through the area on Friday, with strong WAA sparking the develop of showers and storms Friday morning.
Limited instability with the morning activity should keep the severe threat minimal. The surface low will enter Nebraska Friday evening as the negatively tilted upper wave catches up to it. As the LLJ ramps up Friday evening, convection will blossom along and ahead of a dryline boundary/front near the Kansas/Missouri border where the better instability will be. The LLJ and instability gradient will gradually spill into Illinois late Friday night, allowing storm activity to continue as it approaches. A few severe storms could occur during this time.
Morning shower and storm activity could linger into Saturday morning as the surface low enters the Upper Mississippi Valley. A stationary front will stretch south of there into the central Plains with the second surface low spinning up near the Oklahoma panhandle. This second system will take a similar track as the first, but just a bit further east. The latest guidance shows us quickly destabilizing by the afternoon hours with a 50-70% chance for SBCAPE > 1000 J/kg west of I-55 and similar probabilities for bulk shear > 30 kts in that same area. Lack of forcing will likely keep most of the storm activity west of here throughout the day until the low pushes the stationary/cold front into western parts of our area later Saturday night. The threat for severe storms also exists Saturday night, but another concern is the threat for heavy rainfall due to training of storms through Sunday morning.
The cold front will track slowly through the area Sunday into Sunday night, bringing yet another day of potential storm activity. Forcing will be the strongest on Sunday with the front in the vicinity, but lingering convection from the night prior could prevent us from fully destabilizing. Total precipitation through the weekend looks to range from 1 to 2 inches, though areas west of I-55 could see amounts higher than that.
Temperatures stay mild through the new week with the Climate Prediction Center showing above normal temperatures sticking around through at least next weekend.
NMA
AVIATION
(For the 18z TAFs through 18z Friday Afternoon)
Issued at 1207 PM CDT Thu Apr 25 2024
High pressure over the Great Lakes will continue to provide a light east/southeast breeze and VFR conditions through most of the period. A warm front will approach the terminals Friday afternoon with showers and a few storms reaching the western sites late in the period. MVFR/IFR ceilings will also accompany the warm front late.
Deubelbeiss
ILX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
None.
Area Forecast Discussion...Updated Aviation National Weather Service Lincoln IL 1208 PM CDT Thu Apr 25 2024
KEY MESSAGES
- Waves of showers and storms will be seen Friday through Sunday.
Storms could be severe at times and also bring heavy rainfall.
- Temperatures will climb to near 80 this weekend, with extended outlooks favoring warmer than normal conditions continuing through next weekend.
UPDATE
Issued at 959 AM CDT Thu Apr 25 2024
Central Illinois continues to be influenced by ridging extending from high pressure over the lower Great Lakes. Some passing mid and high clouds will be in place today. Temps are on track to warm into the lower to mid 60s.
Deubelbeiss
DISCUSSION
Issued at 335 AM CDT Thu Apr 25 2024
Light east winds under surface ridging and mostly clear skies has allowed temperatures to drop into the 30s early this morning. Cirrus tied to an upper shortwave diving south through Minnesota will spread into the area today, but otherwise dry and somewhat cooler than normal conditions will prevail.
A more active weather pattern is in the works for later this week into the weekend as a pair of low pressure systems lift through the Plains states and Midwest. The first will be Friday into Saturday with the second Saturday night into Sunday night. The aforementioned upper ridge will shift into the eastern US and amplify, leaving southwest flow positioned overhead here locally. Temperatures will quickly warm through the weekend, approaching 80 degrees by Saturday. A wide open Gulf will advect higher dewpoints northward through the weekend, approaching 60 on Friday and middle 60s Saturday.
A warm front will lift north through the area on Friday, with strong WAA sparking the develop of showers and storms Friday morning.
Limited instability with the morning activity should keep the severe threat minimal. The surface low will enter Nebraska Friday evening as the negatively tilted upper wave catches up to it. As the LLJ ramps up Friday evening, convection will blossom along and ahead of a dryline boundary/front near the Kansas/Missouri border where the better instability will be. The LLJ and instability gradient will gradually spill into Illinois late Friday night, allowing storm activity to continue as it approaches. A few severe storms could occur during this time.
Morning shower and storm activity could linger into Saturday morning as the surface low enters the Upper Mississippi Valley. A stationary front will stretch south of there into the central Plains with the second surface low spinning up near the Oklahoma panhandle. This second system will take a similar track as the first, but just a bit further east. The latest guidance shows us quickly destabilizing by the afternoon hours with a 50-70% chance for SBCAPE > 1000 J/kg west of I-55 and similar probabilities for bulk shear > 30 kts in that same area. Lack of forcing will likely keep most of the storm activity west of here throughout the day until the low pushes the stationary/cold front into western parts of our area later Saturday night. The threat for severe storms also exists Saturday night, but another concern is the threat for heavy rainfall due to training of storms through Sunday morning.
The cold front will track slowly through the area Sunday into Sunday night, bringing yet another day of potential storm activity. Forcing will be the strongest on Sunday with the front in the vicinity, but lingering convection from the night prior could prevent us from fully destabilizing. Total precipitation through the weekend looks to range from 1 to 2 inches, though areas west of I-55 could see amounts higher than that.
Temperatures stay mild through the new week with the Climate Prediction Center showing above normal temperatures sticking around through at least next weekend.
NMA
AVIATION
(For the 18z TAFs through 18z Friday Afternoon)
Issued at 1207 PM CDT Thu Apr 25 2024
High pressure over the Great Lakes will continue to provide a light east/southeast breeze and VFR conditions through most of the period. A warm front will approach the terminals Friday afternoon with showers and a few storms reaching the western sites late in the period. MVFR/IFR ceilings will also accompany the warm front late.
Deubelbeiss
ILX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
None.
Airport Reports
EDIT (hide/show) Help Click EDIT to display multiple airports. Follow links for more data.| Airport | Dist | Age | Wind kt | Vis | Sky | Weather | Temp | DewPt | RH | inHg |
| KCMI UNIVERSITY OF ILLINOISWILLARD,IL | 6 sm | 55 min | E 09 | 10 sm | Clear | 57°F | 39°F | 51% | 30.27 | |
| KTIP RANTOUL NATL AVN CNTRFRANK ELLIOTT FLD,IL | 13 sm | 13 min | E 05 | 10 sm | Clear | 57°F | 37°F | 47% | 30.27 |
Central Illinois, IL,
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