Tuesday, November13, 2018 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Spring Lake, NJ

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
10/6/2018 Colors of tide XTide graphs changed to emphasize that they were upgraded. See next note. Comments welcome.
10/4/2018 I have fixed XTide and updated the harmonic files. There were some name changes so you might have to click EDIT to find the new station name.

Sunrise 6:38AMSunset 4:41PM Tuesday November 13, 2018 9:13 PM EST (02:13 UTC) Moonrise 12:49PMMoonset 10:45PM Illumination 35% Phase: Waxing Crescent; Moon at 6 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
    EDIT      (on/off)   Help
ANZ450 Coastal Waters From Sandy Hook To Manasquan Inlet Nj Out 20 Nm- Coastal Waters From Manasquan Inlet To Little Egg Inlet Nj Out 20 Nm- 614 Pm Est Tue Nov 13 2018
.small craft advisory in effect through Wednesday afternoon...
Tonight..NW winds 20 to 25 kt with gusts up to 30 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft. SWell mainly from the se with a dominant period of 9 seconds.
Wed..NW winds 20 to 25 kt with gusts up to 30 kt, diminishing to 15 to 20 kt with gusts up to 25 kt in the afternoon. Seas 3 to 5 ft. SWell mainly from the se with a dominant period of 9 seconds.
Wed night..N winds 15 to 20 kt, becoming ne 10 to 15 kt in the late evening and overnight. Seas 3 to 4 ft. SWell mainly from the se with a dominant period of 9 seconds.
Thu..NE winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt, becoming E 20 to 25 kt with gusts up to 30 kt. Seas 4 to 7 ft, building to 6 to 8 ft late. SWell mainly from the ne with a dominant period of 6 seconds. Rain and snow early in the morning, then rain in the late morning and afternoon. Vsby 1 to 3 nm until late afternoon.
Thu night..E winds 25 to 30 kt with gusts up to 40 kt. Seas 9 to 12 ft. Rain.
Fri..NE winds 15 to 20 kt, becoming nw 20 to 25 kt in the afternoon. Gusts up to 35 kt. Seas 9 to 12 ft, subsiding to 6 to 9 ft in the afternoon. Rain.
Fri night..NW winds 15 to 20 kt with gusts up to 30 kt. Seas 4 to 7 ft, subsiding to 3 to 5 ft after midnight.
Sat..NW winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 4 ft.
Sat night..NW winds around 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less.
Sun..NW winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas around 3 ft.
Sun night..NW winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas around 3 ft.
ANZ400 614 Pm Est Tue Nov 13 2018
Synopsis for the coastal waters from sandy hook nj to fenwick island de and for delaware bay.. Low pressure is moving into atlantic canada this evening. High pressure will gradually build in from the west through Wednesday, before moving across to the north of our area on Wednesday night and Thursday. An area of low pressure will develop near the panhandle of florida late Wednesday, then track northeast along the coast of the mid atlantic Thursday into Thursday night before heading northeast into atlantic canada Friday. High pressure will then return later Friday through the weekend.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Spring Lake , NJ
   Hourly   EDIT   Help
location: 40.15, -74.03     debug


Area Discussion for - Philadelphia/Mount Holly, PA
      (on/off)   Help   NOTE: mouseover dotted underlined text for definition
Fxus61 kphi 132321
afdphi
area forecast discussion
national weather service mount holly nj
621 pm est Tue nov 13 2018

Synopsis
Low pressure is moving into atlantic canada this evening. High
pressure will gradually build in from the west through Wednesday,
before moving across to the north of our area on Wednesday night
and Thursday. An area of low pressure will develop near the
panhandle of florida late Wednesday, then track northeast along
the coast of the mid atlantic Thursday into Thursday night
before heading northeast into atlantic canada Friday. High
pressure will then return later Friday through the weekend.

Near term through Wednesday
Few changes for the 630 pm update. The center of the low
continues to lift further away from the region towards atlantic
canada.

Lingering back end energy could still bring a couple stray
showers through the rest of the day. As the low continues
pulling away, the circulation around the system has caused
northwesterly winds to develop, allowing drier and cooler air to
drain southeast across the region. Clouds will gradually start
breaking up through the night. A few flurries could make their
way into carbon and monroe but at this point expect it to
generally be dry tonight. Temperatures will drop to near or
below freezing across most of the cwa, but the winds and clouds
will prevent a big plunge in temps, and also should limit
city suburb differences.

Short term Wednesday through 6 am Wednesday
High pressure will be building in from the west on Wednesday
with drying at all levels. Winds will remain a bit gusty as
pressures continue rising but generally expecting gusts no
higher than 20-25 mph. The drying should allow a decent amount
of sunshine, but with strong cold advection, temps will struggle
to rise much, with most of the region having their coldest day
of the season thus far. Many areas will get stuck in the 30s
while warmer areas should reach the lower 40s. The extremes will
be the poconos, where it will likely stay near freezing, and far
southern de nj, where temps may read the middle 40s.

Long term Wednesday through Tuesday
Active weather in the long term focuses on the nor'easter which
is likely to affect the region Thursday into Friday. This system
will have plenty of gulf and atlantic moisture to work with and
strong dynamics thanks to a potent upper level disturbance,
combined with strong baroclinic forcing due to the unusually
cold air mass meeting the still warm atlantic waters. After the
system passes Friday, high pressure will likely result in much
quieter weather this weekend into early next week.

At the start of the period on Wednesday night, high pressure
shifts to the northeast of the region into southern canada while
low pressure develops to the southwest. After a mostly clear
start, high clouds should move in, then thicken and lower as the
night progresses. Lows will mostly be below freezing, though
warmer areas near the coast and in southern nj de may stay in
the mid 30s.

Warm advection precip overspreads the region ahead of the main
low pressure as we head through Thursday. Have not made
significant adjustments to the forecast given its still a couple
days out, but it is notable that the onset looks earlier, and
overall models seem to have trended a bit colder. Snow is
possible along and even southeast of the i-95 corridor at the
onset, with accumulations more likely northwest of i-95. As warm
advection brings a warm nose aloft, snow likely changes to
sleet freezing rain where the low level cold can hold firm, and
this could also last for some time especially NW of i-95. Winter
storm watches could be required for at least northwestern
portions of the cwa. Near i-95, the issue is always just how
quickly the warmer maritime air can nudge out the cold canadian
air, which is often a struggle. The details have yet to be
fleshed out, but the bottom line is that there could be
significant issues with wintry weather all the way down to i-95
through much of the day Thursday, perhaps even into Thursday
night.

As the surface low heads northeast of the region later
Thursday night into early Friday, a changeover back to snow from
ice rain is possible, though this is highly uncertain.

Regardless, as the low strengthens, some gusty winds are likely
especially Thursday night and Friday as the low pulls away. For
those locations which receive freezing rain (glaze ice), this
could be a significant issue.

We are currently experiencing technical difficulties in getting
our storm total snow and ice maps to the web. For the latest
forecast on these, please see our briefing package.

Things quiet down considerably Saturday through early next week
as high pressure dominates, and the weak systems passing through
are northern stream and moisture starved. That doesn't mean
nothing could happen, but at this point the odds favor a
significant break from our recent rash of storm systems. Temps
will be below normal, however.

Aviation 23z Tuesday through Sunday
The following discussion is for kphl, kpne, kttn, kabe, krdg,
kilg, kmiv, kacy and surrounding areas.

Tonight... MostlyVFR conditions. There is a small chance for
MVFR ceilings redeveloping, primarily across the lehigh valley
for a brief period around 06z, but the chance is too low to
include in the tafs at this time. Northwest wind 8 to 12 knots
gusting around 18 to 22 knots. High confidence overall, low
confidence on the potential for low clouds late tonight.

Wednesday...VFR expected. Northwest winds continued 10-15 knots
gusts 20-25 knots. High confidence.

Outlook...

Wednesday night... MainlyVFR conditions expected. Winds becoming
light and variable, shifting to northeast. High confidence.

Thursday through Friday... Deteriorating conditions through the
day Thursday. Precipitation will overspread the terminals from
south to north with MVFR or lower conditions expected. Precip
may start as snow as far southeast as ilg phl pne ttn, then
shift to fzra pl before going to rain potentially late, though
odds of plain ra at abe rdg are lower. Precip will continue
through Thursday night, gradually ending from south to north
Friday afternoon. Northeast winds around 10 to 20 knots
(strongest towards kacy) with gusts of 25 to 30 knots possible
through Thursday night becoming northwest around 10 to 20 knots
with gusts up to 30 knots possible on Friday. Wind shear likely
Thursday night into Friday. Low confidence.

Friday night through Sunday... Improving conditions Friday night
with a return toVFR expected to occur late. West to northwest
winds around 10 to 15 knots Saturday, lighter Sunday.

Marine
Low pressure is moving up towards atlantic canada. Winds
northwest for rest of this afternoon and tonight. Wind gusts
will generally range 25 to 30 knots. As a result, a small craft
advisory remains in effect for our coastal waters and for
delaware bay.

Waves on our ocean waters are expected to build to 5 to 7 feet.

Waves on delaware bay should increase to 2 to 4 feet.

Wednesday... Small craft advisory conditions continue through
Wednesday. Northwest winds will diminish later in the day. Seas
are expected to drop below 5 feet Wednesday afternoon.

Outlook...

Wednesday night... Winds diminish as high pressure shifts to the
northeast. Looks like we may drop below small craft advisory for
a time.

Thursday through Friday... Winds and seas will increase
as a coastal storm develops to our south and starts to move up
over our waters. Seas will build on Thursday becoming 6 to 12
feet. East to northeast winds will increase during the day
Thursday, increasing to 20 to 30 knots overnight with higher
gusts. Winds will turn to the northwest on Friday, remaining
around 15 to 25 knots. Gale warnings seem likely for later
Thursday through Friday.

Friday night... Gale force gusts are expected to end before
Friday night but small craft advisory conditions will continue.

The northwest winds will start to diminish overnight and lose
their gustiness by early Saturday morning. Seas are expected to
drop below 5 feet Friday night.

Saturday... Sub-small craft advisory conditions expected.

Northwest winds around 10 to 15 knots. Seas around 2 to 4 feet.

Phi watches warnings advisories
Pa... None.

Nj... None.

De... None.

Md... None.

Marine... Small craft advisory until 6 pm est Wednesday for anz450>455.

Small craft advisory until noon est Wednesday for anz430-431.

Synopsis... Meola 99
near term... Johnson 99
short term... 99
long term... Meola mps 99
aviation... Iovino johnson meola 99
marine... Iovino meola 99


Weather Reporting Stations
   EDIT       (on/off)   Help   NOTE: Click on distance to see the station location on a map
Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
SDHN4 - 8531680 - Sandy Hook, NJ 22 mi44 min NW 15 G 20 45°F 51°F1019.7 hPa
44065 - Entrance to New York Harbor 23 mi34 min WNW 21 G 29 47°F 54°F1018 hPa37°F
BGNN4 - 8519483 - Bergen Point West Reach, NJ 34 mi44 min 45°F 51°F1018.1 hPa
MHRN6 35 mi44 min W 8 G 12
ROBN4 - 8530973 - Robins Reef, NJ 35 mi44 min NW 17 G 21 45°F 1018.4 hPa
BATN6 - 8518750 - The Battery, NY 38 mi44 min 44°F 54°F1017.9 hPa
NBLP1 - 8548989 - Newbold, PA 38 mi44 min NNW 7 G 12 45°F 45°F1019.5 hPa
BDRN4 - 8539094 - Burlington, Delaware River, NJ 45 mi98 min WNW 5.1 G 8.9 45°F 45°F1018.6 hPa
44025 - LONG ISLAND 33 NM South of Islip, NY 46 mi84 min WNW 23 G 29 49°F 56°F9 ft1015.7 hPa (+2.9)
JCRN4 - Jacques Cousteau Reserve, NJ 48 mi44 min W 5.1 40°F 1019 hPa32°F
KPTN6 - 8516945 - Kings Point, NY 48 mi44 min N 14 G 18 45°F 54°F1018.6 hPa

Wind History for Sandy Hook, NJ
(wind in knots)    EDIT      (on/off)   Help
10
PM
11
PM
12
AM
1
AM
2
AM
3
AM
4
AM
5
AM
6
AM
7
AM
8
AM
9
AM
10
AM
11
AM
12
PM
1
PM
2
PM
3
PM
4
PM
5
PM
6
PM
7
PM
8
PM
9
PM
Last
24hr
NE4
SE1
SE2
NE5
G8
NE7
NE6
NE8
G12
NE6
E4
G7
NE9
G12
E8
E5
G12
N13
G18
NW17
G22
NW15
G21
NW12
G17
NW16
G20
NW17
NW18
NW20
NW20
NW16
G21
NW17
G22
NW17
1 day
ago
W8
G11
W7
G10
W5
G8
W9
W7
W4
G7
SW4
NW2
--
SW5
W5
W3
NW4
NW3
W2
SE4
S7
SE8
SE7
SE3
SE2
E4
SE1
E3
2 days
ago
W14
G19
W15
G22
W15
G19
W15
G20
W14
G20
NW19
NW18
NW17
G21
NW12
G16
W11
G15
W12
G17
W11
G15
NW8
G17
W7
G10
W9
G14
W12
G15
W13
G16
W10
G13
W11
SW10
W9
SW9
W9
W8
G11

Airport Reports
    EDIT      (on/off)   Help   Click EDIT to display multiple airports
AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Belmar-Farmingdale, NJ6 mi18 minWNW 1210.00 miOvercast43°F33°F68%1019.3 hPa
Lakehurst Naval Air Station, NJ17 mi74 minWNW 610.00 miPartly Cloudy45°F36°F71%1018.2 hPa
Miller Air Park, NJ21 mi18 minWNW 610.00 miMostly Cloudy44°F35°F71%1020.1 hPa

Wind History from BLM (wind in knots)
10
PM
11
PM
12
AM
1
AM
2
AM
3
AM
4
AM
5
AM
6
AM
7
AM
8
AM
9
AM
10
AM
11
AM
12
PM
1
PM
2
PM
3
PM
4
PM
5
PM
6
PM
7
PM
8
PM
9
PM
Last 24hrNW3N4NE3N4NE4NE4E3CalmNE4E5E6N3W7NW10NW11
G17
W13
G19
W11
G17
NW16
G21
W13NW16
G21
W13
G18
W15
G19
W10W12
1 day agoSW3SW4CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmNW3CalmSW3CalmCalmW3SW5S6S6S5SE4SE3CalmCalmCalmCalmCalm
2 days agoW5W7W8W10W9W7W7W6W4W5W8NW8NW14NW10
G16
W9NW12W14
G18
W7
G15
W8W3W3SW4SW4SW4

Tide / Current Tables for Sea Girt, New Jersey
   EDIT   RT Ports Option   Weekend mode (on/off)   (on/off)   Help   One Week of Data
Sea Girt
Click for Map
Tue -- 04:20 AM EST     0.77 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 06:39 AM EST     Sunrise
Tue -- 10:51 AM EST     4.23 feet High Tide
Tue -- 11:48 AM EST     Moonrise
Tue -- 04:41 PM EST     Sunset
Tue -- 05:07 PM EST     0.55 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 09:45 PM EST     Moonset
Tue -- 11:22 PM EST     3.45 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

12
am
1
am
2
am
3
am
4
am
5
am
6
am
7
am
8
am
9
am
10
am
11
am
12
pm
1
pm
2
pm
3
pm
4
pm
5
pm
6
pm
7
pm
8
pm
9
pm
10
pm
11
pm
3.12.31.61.10.80.91.42.233.64.14.23.93.12.21.40.80.50.71.322.73.13.4

Tide / Current Tables for Beaverdam Creek entrance, New Jersey
   EDIT      (on/off)   Help   One Week of Data
Beaverdam Creek entrance
Click for Map
Tue -- 01:55 AM EST     0.24 feet High Tide
Tue -- 06:39 AM EST     Sunrise
Tue -- 07:43 AM EST     0.06 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 11:48 AM EST     Moonrise
Tue -- 02:09 PM EST     0.28 feet High Tide
Tue -- 04:41 PM EST     Sunset
Tue -- 08:32 PM EST     0.04 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 09:45 PM EST     Moonset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

12
am
1
am
2
am
3
am
4
am
5
am
6
am
7
am
8
am
9
am
10
am
11
am
12
pm
1
pm
2
pm
3
pm
4
pm
5
pm
6
pm
7
pm
8
pm
9
pm
10
pm
11
pm
0.20.20.20.20.20.10.10.10.10.10.10.20.20.30.30.30.20.20.10.1000.10.1

Weather Map and Satellite Images
       (on/off)   HelpWeather Map
wmap_A
GOES Local Image of Mid-Atlantic    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop



Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Philadelphia/Mount Holly, PA (21,6,7,8)
      (on/off)   Help

Ground Weather Radar Station Philadelphia, PA
   (on/off)   Help
weather_mapweather_map weather_map

Ad by Google

Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.