Sunday, July22, 2018 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Neptune City, NJ

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Sunrise 5:44AMSunset 8:20PM Sunday July 22, 2018 8:42 AM EDT (12:42 UTC) Moonrise 4:09PMMoonset 1:50AM Illumination 71% Phase: Waxing Gibbous; Moon at 9 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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ANZ450 Coastal Waters From Sandy Hook To Manasquan Inlet Nj Out 20 Nm- Coastal Waters From Manasquan Inlet To Little Egg Inlet Nj Out 20 Nm- 552 Am Edt Sun Jul 22 2018
.small craft advisory in effect through late Monday night...
Today..S winds 20 to 25 kt with gusts up to 30 kt, becoming se 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt. Seas 7 to 10 ft, subsiding to 4 to 6 ft. SWell mainly from the se with a dominant period of 9 seconds. A slight chance of showers late this morning. A chance of showers and tstms this afternoon.
Tonight..S winds 15 to 20 kt with gusts up to 25 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft. SWell mainly from the se with a dominant period of 8 seconds. A chance of showers and tstms early in the evening, then showers likely with a chance of tstms in the late evening and overnight.
Mon..S winds 15 to 20 kt with gusts up to 25 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft. SWell mainly from the se with a dominant period of 8 seconds. A chance of tstms. Showers likely, mainly in the morning.
Mon night..SE winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt. Seas 4 to 7 ft. SWell mainly from the se with a dominant period of 8 seconds. A chance of showers and tstms.
Tue..SE winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft. A chance of showers and tstms.
Tue night..S winds 10 to 15 kt. Gusts up to 20 kt in the evening. Seas 3 to 5 ft. A chance of showers and tstms.
Wed..S winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. A chance of showers and tstms.
Wed night..S winds around 15 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft. Showers likely with a chance of tstms.
Thu..S winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft. A chance of tstms. Showers likely, mainly in the morning.
Thu night..SW winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft. A chance of showers and tstms. Winds and seas higher in and near tstms.
ANZ400 552 Am Edt Sun Jul 22 2018
Synopsis for the coastal waters from sandy hook nj to fenwick island de and for delaware bay.. Low pressure located in eastern pennsylvania early this morning will move northwest toward the eastern great lakes and southern ontario today. Meanwhile, another area of low pressure located in the middle part of the ohio river valley will move to the south. The low is expected to meander in the southeastern states during the first half of the new week. High pressure located over the western north atlantic is anticipated to gain some influence over our weather during the week. A cold front may arrive from the northwest on Friday.

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Neptune City , NJ
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location: 40.19, -74.03     debug


Area Discussion for - Philadelphia/Mount Holly, PA
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Fxus61 kphi 221101
afdphi
area forecast discussion
national weather service mount holly nj
701 am edt Sun jul 22 2018

Synopsis
Low pressure located in eastern pennsylvania early this morning
will move northwest toward the eastern great lakes and southern
ontario today. Meanwhile, another area of low pressure located
in the middle part of the ohio river valley will move to the
south. The low is expected to meander in the southeastern states
during the first half of the new week. High pressure located
over the western north atlantic is anticipated to gain some
influence over our weather during the week. A cold front may
arrive from the northwest on Friday.

Near term until 6 pm this evening
Surface low pressure is centered in eastern pennsylvania early
this morning. The low will continue to push to the
north northwest this morning towards western new york.

Showers are exiting fairly quickly to the north this morning. We
should see a little bit of drying out this morning although the
southerly flow is keeping it pretty moist in the low levels.

Considerable cloudiness is expected for today. Not expecting
many breaks in the cloud cover to occur but we could see some
sun peeking out, mainly across the southern areas which remain
further away from the surface. Even though the skies will remain
overcast across the region, the southerly flow turns more
southwesterly aloft, which will allow for some warming to occur
through the day. High temperatures will rebound from the
unseasonably cool temperatures of Saturday and rise back into
the low to mid 80s for today.

A few shortwaves rotate through the mid level flow today and
may provide enough lift to allow for some thunderstorms to
develop. Instability at the surface seems marginal with the best
instability remaining to our south. However, given any sun
breaking through the clouds along with the shortwave activity,
we could see some storms pop up this afternoon. While pwats are
not nearly as high as they were on Saturday (generally between
1.50-1.75 inches) we could still see some decent rainfall.

However, storm motion looks to be fairly progressive so do not
anticipate that this will be a big flooding threat.

Short term 6 pm this evening through 6 am Monday
Deep southerly flow will continue as we get sandwiched between
a deep upper low to the west and strong ridging to the east over
the atlantic. This will continue to bring in moisture rich air
to the area. With the influx of moisture, we will continue to
have a chance for showers and thunderstorms through tonight.

Best chances for thunder will be earlier in the period but we
could see a few storms continue into the overnight.

Temperatures won't fall much through the overnight as we remain
pretty socked in with clouds and a continue southwest flow
aloft. Overnight lows will only drop into the low to mid 70s
across the region. With so much low level moisture in place, we
may see some fog develop across parts of the region.

Long term Monday through Saturday
A deep mid level trough is forecast to be located from the
central great lakes to florida on Monday morning, with a ridge
over the western north atlantic. The general pattern should
remain in place through Wednesday, with the ridge expected to
retreat and the trough anticipated to lift northeastward on
Thursday.

The expected weather pattern will maintain a deep southerly
flow of moist air into and over our region on Monday, Tuesday
and Wednesday. There is the potential for showers and
thunderstorms each day, especially in the afternoon and evening
hours. The abundant moisture will result in locally heavy
rainfall. As the ground becomes increasingly saturated in parts
of our area, the possibility of flooding along small streams and
creeks, and in areas of poor drainage will increase.

There is the likelihood of showers and thunderstorms from
Wednesday night into Thursday in much of our region as the mid
level trough approaches and passes overhead. Again, there may be
some locally heavy rain at that time.

A mid level long wave trough is expected to settle over eastern
canada for late in the week into Saturday. The trough is
forecast to influence the great lakes and the northeastern
states. It should push a cold front into our region. The chance
of widespread showers and thunderstorms will likely decrease
with the resulting loss of deep atmospheric moisture.

The very humid air will likely result in a relatively narrow
diurnal temperature range from Monday through Thursday. Daytime
highs should be in the upper 70s to the middle 80s, with
overnight lows ranging mostly from the upper 60s to the middle
70s. The daily temperature ranges may increase slightly for
Friday and Saturday with highs mainly in the 80s and lows in the
60s and lower 70s.

Aviation 10z Sunday through Thursday
The following discussion is for kphl, kpne, kttn, kabe, krdg,
kilg, kmiv, kacy and surrounding areas.

Today... Mainly ifr conditions to start the day. Improvement to
MVFR is expected through this morning withVFR conditions
possible late morning early afternoon. Some showers will
continue to move through the region this morning, ending from
south to north. A lull in precipitation is expected for today
with showers and possible thunderstorms returning, mainly for
this afternoon evening. Southeast to south winds around 10 to 15
knots with gusts up to 20 knots this afternoon.

Tonight...VFR conditions early will deteriorate to MVFR ifr in
showers and thunderstorms. Southeast winds around 10 knots
overnight. Fog possible as low level moisture remains high.

Outlook...

Monday... Variable conditions (ifr MVFRVFR) with showers and a
chance of thunderstorms. Southeast wind around 10 knots.

Monday night and Tuesday... Variable conditions (ifr MVFRVFR)
at night, mainlyVFR during the day, except in precipitation.

Showers likely and a chance of thunderstorms. Southeast wind 5
to 10 knots.

Tuesday night and Wednesday... Variable conditions
(ifr MVFRVFR) at night, mainlyVFR during the day, except in
precipitation. Showers likely and a chance of thunderstorms.

South wind 5 to 10 knots.

Wednesday night and Thursday... Variable conditions
(ifr MVFRVFR) with showers and a chance of thunderstorms. South
to southwest wind 5 to 10 knots.

Marine
The small craft advisory on the delaware bay has been
canacelled. Winds have fallen below 25 knots and are expected to
remain below 25 knots through today.

The gale warning has been cancelled as we are no longer seeing
34 knot or greater winds across the waters. The gale warning has
been converted to a small craft advisory. There is not a small
craft advisory in effect for the new jersey and delaware
coasts through tonight.

Wind are expected to subside through this morning, eventually
losing the bulk of their gustiness. Winds will become south to
southeast around 10 to 15 knots with gusts up to 25 knots. Even
though winds will fall below SCA criteria, seas will remain
above 5 feet through tonight.

Outlook...

Monday... Small craft advisory conditions are expected with
southerly wind gusts around 25 knots. Wave heights on our ocean
waters should be in the 5 to 6 foot range.

Monday night and Tuesday... Wave heights on our ocean waters are
expected to remain around 5 feet. As a result, a small craft
advisory will likely be needed at that time.

Tuesday night and Wednesday... No marine headlines are
anticipated.

Wednesday night and Thursday... Wave heights on our ocean waters
are expected to build around 5 or 6 feet due to the persistent
long southerly fetch. As a result, a small craft advisory may be
needed at that time.

Rip currents...

there is a high risk for the formation of dangerous rip
currents for today.

Although the low pressure will shift well to the north of the
region today, the surf will remain pretty agitated. Surf zone
waves will be around 5 to 7 feet, with a strong southerly flow
and a longer wave period than on Saturday. Keeping these factors
in mind, we have maintained the high risk of rip currents.

An enhanced rip current risk should linger into much of the new
week as a persistent southerly fetch keeps wave heights around
4 to 6 feet on the waters off our coast.

Equipment
The kdox radar will remain offline until parts and a
maintenance kit to replace the azimuth and elevation motors are
received. The current estimated return to service is early in
the new week.

Phi watches warnings advisories
Pa... None.

Nj... High rip current risk through this evening for njz014-024>026.

De... High rip current risk through this evening for dez004.

Md... None.

Marine... Small craft advisory until 6 am edt Tuesday for anz450>455.

Synopsis... Iovino
near term... Meola
short term... Meola
long term... Iovino
aviation... Iovino meola
marine... Iovino meola
equipment...



Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
SDHN4 - 8531680 - Sandy Hook, NJ 19 mi42 min S 17 G 19 72°F 73°F
44065 - Entrance to New York Harbor 21 mi42 min S 19 G 27 74°F 73°F1011.2 hPa (+2.8)70°F
ROBN4 - 8530973 - Robins Reef, NJ 32 mi42 min SSE 21 G 24 73°F 1011.1 hPa
MHRN6 32 mi42 min S 7 G 18
BGNN4 - 8519483 - Bergen Point West Reach, NJ 32 mi42 min 73°F 76°F1010.8 hPa (+3.0)
44091 32 mi42 min 73°F10 ft
BATN6 - 8518750 - The Battery, NY 35 mi42 min 73°F 73°F1011.8 hPa (+2.7)
NBLP1 - 8548989 - Newbold, PA 38 mi42 min SSW 7 G 13 71°F 79°F1010.7 hPa (+4.0)
BDRN4 - 8539094 - Burlington, Delaware River, NJ 45 mi66 min SSW 7 G 9.9 71°F 81°F1009.2 hPa
KPTN6 - 8516945 - Kings Point, NY 45 mi42 min SSW 14 G 19 73°F 70°F1012.2 hPa
44025 - LONG ISLAND 33 NM South of Islip, NY 46 mi52 min SSE 14 G 18 73°F 69°F10 ft1012 hPa (+2.6)

Wind History for Sandy Hook, NJ
(wind in knots)    EDIT      (on/off)   Help
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Belmar-Farmingdale, NJ5 mi46 minS 710.00 miLight Rain70°F69°F97%1011.7 hPa
Lakehurst Naval Air Station, NJ19 mi2.6 hrsno data1.00 miOvercast0°F0°F%1008.1 hPa
Miller Air Park, NJ23 mi46 minS 610.00 miOvercast72°F69°F91%1011.6 hPa

Wind History from BLM (wind in knots)
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1 day agoCalmE5SE8SE11E9E9E9E9SE10SE7SE8SE6SE5SE5SE5SE5SE3SE5E3E3E3E4E6--
2 days agoNE7NE7NE56E7----SE9SE7SE8SE5SE6SE4SE3SE4SE3S3--CalmCalmCalmCalm--N4

Tide / Current Tables for Shark River Hills, New Jersey
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Shark River Hills
Click for Map
Sun -- 01:50 AM EDT     Moonset
Sun -- 04:05 AM EDT     4.01 feet High Tide
Sun -- 05:45 AM EDT     Sunrise
Sun -- 10:34 AM EDT     0.49 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 04:09 PM EDT     Moonrise
Sun -- 04:42 PM EDT     4.84 feet High Tide
Sun -- 08:19 PM EDT     Sunset
Sun -- 11:19 PM EDT     0.57 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
1.32.233.743.83.22.51.81.10.60.51.12.13.144.74.84.43.72.81.91.10.6

Tide / Current Tables for Brielle, Route 35 bridge, Manasquan River, New Jersey
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Brielle
Click for Map
Sun -- 01:50 AM EDT     Moonset
Sun -- 04:06 AM EDT     3.59 feet High Tide
Sun -- 05:45 AM EDT     Sunrise
Sun -- 10:20 AM EDT     0.46 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 04:08 PM EDT     Moonrise
Sun -- 04:43 PM EDT     4.28 feet High Tide
Sun -- 08:19 PM EDT     Sunset
Sun -- 11:04 PM EDT     0.53 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
1.322.73.33.63.42.82.21.50.90.50.61.122.83.64.24.33.93.22.41.60.90.5

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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wmap_A
GOES Local Image of Mid-Atlantic    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
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Wind Forecast for Philadelphia/Mount Holly, PA (8,2,3,4)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Philadelphia, PA
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.