Monday, March25, 2019 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Neptune City, NJ

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
10/6/2018 Colors of tide XTide graphs changed to emphasize that they were upgraded. See next note. Comments welcome.
10/4/2018 I have fixed XTide and updated the harmonic files. There were some name changes so you might have to click EDIT to find the new station name.

Sunrise 6:49AMSunset 7:14PM Monday March 25, 2019 6:54 PM EDT (22:54 UTC) Moonrise 12:00AMMoonset 9:56AM Illumination 75% Phase: Waning Gibbous; Moon at 20 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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ANZ450 Coastal Waters From Sandy Hook To Manasquan Inlet Nj Out 20 Nm- Coastal Waters From Manasquan Inlet To Little Egg Inlet Nj Out 20 Nm- 625 Pm Edt Mon Mar 25 2019
.small craft advisory in effect from 3 am edt Tuesday through Tuesday afternoon...
Tonight..NE winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming N 20 to 25 kt with gusts up to 30 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. SWell mainly from the ne with a dominant period of 5 seconds. Rain likely, mainly this evening.
Tue..NE winds 20 to 25 kt, becoming N 10 to 15 kt. Gusts up to 30 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. SWell mainly from the ne with a dominant period of 6 seconds.
Tue night..N winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 25 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. SWell mainly from the E with a dominant period of 8 seconds.
Wed..NE winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 25 kt, becoming E 5 to 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas 3 to 5 ft. SWell mainly from the E with a dominant period of 8 seconds.
Wed night..SE winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 3 to 4 ft.
Thu..S winds 5 to 10 kt, increasing to 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas 2 ft or less, then around 3 ft in the afternoon.
Thu night..SW winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt. Seas 3 to 4 ft.
Fri..SW winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 3 to 4 ft.
Fri night..S winds around 10 kt. Seas 3 to 4 ft.
Sat..S winds 10 to 15 kt, increasing to 15 to 20 kt in the afternoon. Gusts up to 25 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft.
Sat night..S winds 15 to 20 kt with gusts up to 25 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft.
ANZ400 625 Pm Edt Mon Mar 25 2019
Synopsis for the coastal waters from sandy hook nj to fenwick island de and for delaware bay.. A weak area of low pressure will move south of our region tonight into early Tuesday. High pressure then builds into the region on Tuesday and remains in control of the weather through the remainder of the week. A cold front will approach from the west on Friday, moving through the region Saturday night into Sunday.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Neptune City , NJ
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location: 40.19, -74.03     debug


Area Discussion for - Philadelphia/Mount Holly, PA
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Fxus61 kphi 252234
afdphi
area forecast discussion
national weather service mount holly nj
634 pm edt Mon mar 25 2019

Synopsis
A weak area of low pressure will move across to the south of our
region tonight into early Tuesday. High pressure then builds into
the region on Tuesday and remains in control of the weather through
the remainder of the week. A cold front will approach from the west
on Friday, moving through the region Saturday night into Sunday.

Near term until 6 am Tuesday morning
630 pm update: made some changes to pops based on radar trends,
mainly to bump them up to likely categorical between i-78 and
delaware bay. No other changes required at this time.

Previous discussion...

rain will continue to move into primarily central and southern
portions of the area this afternoon ahead of a positively-tilted mid-
lvl shortwave, the axis of which currently extends from western pa
into ohio kentucky. At the surface modest cyclogenesis is currently
occurring over southern virginia while surface high pressure over
the northern plains is in the process of moving eastward toward the
great lakes. Lift associated with the mid-lvl wave and surface low
will pivot southeastward late this afternoon into early this
evening, with drier air also filtering in from n-s as northerly flow
increases. Consequently expect precipitation to taper off from nw-se
after sunset with any lingering precipitation generally confined to
cape may county and far southern delaware by midnight. Precipitation
amounts will likely remain on the lighter side with most locations
seeing under a quarter inch, with lesser amounts north of
philadelphia (and little to no precipitation in the poconos and nw
nj).

Cloud cover will also clear out from nw-se overnight as the drier
air filters in, while northerly flow increases in response to the
building high to our NW and the deepening low to our se. Low
temperatures will be a bit tricky as the increases winds keep
temperatures from bottoming out despite the clearing skies and
general cold advection. That being said expect a fairly cool night
with sub-freezing lows (20s and teens possible in eastern pa NW nj)
over most of the area apart from the immediate coast and delmarva.

Short term 6 am Tuesday morning through 6 pm Tuesday
A cool and very dry (pwats around 0.15 inches) airmass will prevail
over the area Tuesday as high pressure, initially over the great
lakes, progresses eastward toward the area. Highs will generally run
about 10 degrees below normal, translating to highs in the mid to
upper 40s (outside of the poconos where temperatures will MAX out in
the 30s). Northerly winds will likely be somewhat breezy early in
the day (particularly near the coast) however these may relax
somewhat as the sfc.Low over the atlantic moves further out to sea
(although this may be cancelled out by increased mixing in the
afternoon).

Long term Tuesday night through Monday
Tuesday night through Friday... High pressure will be in control of
our weather through the bulk of the week. We should have dry
conditions through the week and generally light winds, which should
result in good radiational cooling at night. High temperatures will
start off on the cool side (in the 40s) but as we go through the
week, they will moderate quite a bit and be pretty warm (into the
50s 60s) by the time we reach the weekend. A cold front to the west
gets hung up as it approaches the region on Friday and does not look
like it will make it through the area. Some pre-frontal showers may
develop, mainly across our northern and western areas on Friday.

Saturday and Sunday... The next low pressure system is slated to move
through the region over the weekend. Warming continues out ahead of
the boundary and while we current forecast temps into the 70s, it is
not unheard of the airmass warming more than expected and
temperatures could start to reach into the mid to upper 70s. Once
the front moves through, temperatures should cool off a bit and
highs on Sunday will remain in the 50s to 60s across the forecast
area. Precipitation will start to move into the region from the west
and gradually overspread the area as the front advances into the
area. One item to consider is that there may be enough instability
around to initiate thunderstorms before the front arrives and then
precipitation will continue as the front moves through. The models
have not been handling this feature well over the past few days and
have slowed it down and then sped it up. Will need to see how things
unfold to get a better idea on the timing of the front in our area.

Monday... High pressure will return for Monday and will bring a
return to dry conditions across the forecast area. With the high
remaining more over the area, we may keep more of a north northwest
component to the wind which will cool us off any more and keep
temperatures in the 40s to 50s for highs.

Aviation 00z Tuesday through Saturday
The following discussion is for kphl, kpne, kttn, kabe, krdg, kilg,
kmiv, kacy and surrounding areas.

Tonight... MVFR conditions will be possible at times into the early
evening in rain with the heaviest precipitation expected south of
abe ttn. CIGS lift scatter out from nw-se overnight. N NE winds
around 10 knots expected.

Tuesday... VFR conditions prevailing under clear skies. N NE winds
around 10-15 kts, with some gustiness possible, particularly at
acy.

Outlook...

Tuesday...VFR conditions expected. North to northeast winds around
10 to 15 knots with gusts up to 25 knots possible.

Wednesday...VFR conditions expected. East to southeast winds around
10 knots or less on Wednesday.

Thursday through Friday...VFR conditions expected. Southerly winds
around 10 knots or less on Thursday, becoming more southwest on
Friday.

Saturday... MainlyVFR conditions expected. South winds around 10 to
15 knots with higher gusts possible. Slight chance of some rain
showers, mainly towards the afternoon.

Marine
Sca conditions will likely develop overnight into early Tuesday
morning over all areas apart from upper delaware bay (where winds
will be marginal) as northeasterly winds increase (gusts to around
30 knots) and seas build from s-n. Winds and seas will begin to
subside from n-s on Tuesday afternoon although seas >= 5 ft. Will
likely maintain themselves over the southern ocean zones.

Outlook...

Tuesday night through Wednesday... Small craft advisory conditions,
mainly due to seas around 5 to 7 feet. Seas will start to diminish
late Tuesday night through Wednesday from north to south. Some gusts
near 25 knots overnight.

Wednesday night through Friday... Sub-small craft advisory conditions
expected on the area waters.

Saturday... Southerly winds increase with 25 knot gusts possible.

Seas may start to near 5 feet later Saturday.

Phi watches warnings advisories
Pa... None.

Nj... None.

De... None.

Md... None.

Marine... Small craft advisory from 11 pm this evening to 8 am edt
Wednesday for anz452>455.

Small craft advisory from 3 am to 4 pm edt Tuesday for anz450-
451.

Small craft advisory from 3 am to 10 am edt Tuesday for anz431.

Synopsis... Meola
near term... Cms carr
short term... Carr
long term... Meola
aviation... Carr meola
marine... Carr meola


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
SDHN4 - 8531680 - Sandy Hook, NJ 19 mi54 min 46°F 45°F1018.2 hPa (-1.1)
44065 - Entrance to New York Harbor 21 mi44 min NE 3.9 G 5.8 46°F 1017.3 hPa35°F
44091 32 mi54 min 43°F3 ft
BGNN4 - 8519483 - Bergen Point West Reach, NJ 32 mi54 min 1016.8 hPa (-1.1)
MHRN6 32 mi60 min NW 6 G 6
ROBN4 - 8530973 - Robins Reef, NJ 32 mi54 min 48°F 1017.3 hPa (-1.1)
BATN6 - 8518750 - The Battery, NY 35 mi54 min 49°F 42°F1016.7 hPa (-1.0)
NBLP1 - 8548989 - Newbold, PA 38 mi54 min 46°F 44°F1018 hPa (-0.9)
BDRN4 - 8539094 - Burlington, Delaware River, NJ 45 mi78 min 45°F 44°F1016.9 hPa
KPTN6 - 8516945 - Kings Point, NY 45 mi54 min 48°F 40°F1017.9 hPa (-0.7)
44025 - LONG ISLAND 33 NM South of Islip, NY 46 mi64 min ENE 1.9 G 3.9 43°F 41°F3 ft1017.5 hPa (+0.0)

Wind History for Sandy Hook, NJ
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Belmar-Farmingdale, NJ5 mi58 minNW 510.00 miOvercast48°F30°F50%1017.9 hPa
Lakehurst Naval Air Station, NJ19 mi1.9 hrsNNW 410.00 miOvercast55°F32°F42%1017.3 hPa
Miller Air Park, NJ23 mi58 minN 410.00 miOvercast48°F39°F71%1018 hPa

Wind History from BLM (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrSW11SW11SW7SW7SW8SW7W5W4CalmSW4W3W4W3N3N3N7N9N8N11N8NW7NW9NW8NW5
1 day agoNW14
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NW13--NW9W7W8W11W8W7W6W6W7SW6W8W11W10W11W11W9
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Tide / Current Tables for Shark River Hills, New Jersey
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Shark River Hills
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Mon -- 05:56 AM EDT     -0.24 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 06:51 AM EDT     Sunrise
Mon -- 09:56 AM EDT     Moonset
Mon -- 12:00 PM EDT     4.44 feet High Tide
Mon -- 06:08 PM EDT     0.08 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 07:13 PM EDT     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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5.24.53.42.10.90.1-0.20.21.22.43.44.14.44.13.32.21.20.40.10.31.22.43.44.3

Tide / Current Tables for Brielle, Route 35 bridge, Manasquan River, New Jersey
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Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.


Weather Map and Satellite Images
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GOES Local Image of Mid-Atlantic    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
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Wind Forecast for Philadelphia/Mount Holly, PA (18,4,5,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Philadelphia, PA
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.