Tuesday, May23, 2017 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Loch Arbour, NJ

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
5/19/2016 - There were issues with the 3 day airport observation history. I switched to another data source. Let me know if you see any issues with the data feeds.
3/12/2015 - Added section for Gulf current for users in the GMZ marine zones.
This was requested by a user. If you have requests, please let me know.

Sunrise 5:31AMSunset 8:14PM Tuesday May 23, 2017 4:45 AM EDT (08:45 UTC) Moonrise 4:18AMMoonset 5:39PM Illumination 6% Phase: Waning Crescent; Moon at 27 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
    EDIT      (on/off)   Help
ANZ450 Coastal Waters From Sandy Hook To Manasquan Inlet Nj Out 20 Nm- Coastal Waters From Manasquan Inlet To Little Egg Inlet Nj Out 20 Nm- 342 Am Edt Tue May 23 2017
Today..N winds 10 to 15 kt, becoming ne 5 to 10 kt this afternoon. Seas 3 to 4 ft. Mainly in se swell with a dominant period of 7 seconds. A slight chance of showers late this morning. A chance of showers this afternoon.
Tonight..NE winds 5 to 10 kt, increasing to 10 to 15 kt after midnight. Seas 3 to 4 ft. Mainly in E swell with a dominant period of 7 seconds. Showers likely early in the evening, then a chance of showers in the late evening and early morning.
Wed..NE winds 10 to 15 kt, becoming E 5 to 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas 3 to 5 ft. Mainly in se swell with a dominant period of 8 seconds.
Wed night..SE winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming E 10 to 15 kt late. Seas 3 to 5 ft. Mainly in se swell with a dominant period of 7 seconds. Showers likely after midnight.
Thu..SE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft. Showers with a chance of tstms. Patchy fog. Vsby 1 to 3 nm.
Thu night..S winds 15 to 20 kt, becoming sw 10 to 15 kt after midnight. Seas 4 to 6 ft. A chance of showers. Patchy fog. Vsby 1 to 3 nm.
Fri..W winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft. A chance of showers.
Fri night..NW winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 4 ft. A chance of showers in the evening.
Sat..W winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming S in the afternoon. Seas around 3 ft in the morning, then around 2 ft or less.
Sat night..S winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves around 2 ft or less. Winds and seas higher in and near tstms.
ANZ400 342 Am Edt Tue May 23 2017
Synopsis for the coastal waters from sandy hook nj to fenwick island de and for delaware bay.. A low pressure system will pass to the south and east of the area tonight, followed by weak high pressure for Wednesday. Another system develops over the ohio valley affecting the area late Wednesday through early Friday. Weak high pressure returns for Saturday with yet another low pressure forecast to affect the region for Sunday or Monday.

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Loch Arbour, NJ
   Hourly   EDIT   Help
location: 40.23, -73.98     debug


Area Discussion for - Philadelphia/Mount Holly, PA
      (on/off)   Help   NOTE: mouseover dotted underlined text for definition
Fxus61 kphi 230807
afdphi
area forecast discussion
national weather service mount holly nj
407 am edt Tue may 23 2017

Synopsis
A low pressure system will pass to the south and east of the
area tonight, followed by weak high pressure for Wednesday. Another
system develops over the ohio valley affecting the area late
Wednesday through early Friday. Weak high pressure returns for
Saturday with yet another low pressure forecast to affect the region
for Sunday or Monday.

Near term /until 6 pm this evening/
A low is expected to slide northeast along the now stationary front
which is stalled well off shore. Models have trended later and
further southeast with the track of this low. As a result, adjusted
pops down through the morning hours, and along and west of the i95
corridor. As mentioned by the previous shift, it doesn't look like
there will be enough instability to support thunderstorms. Thus,
expect only showers through the day today.

As for temperatures, there may be a slight warming trend as compared
to yesterday, but thanks to onshore flow, and increasing cloud cover
late in the day, expect to remain slightly below normal.

Short term /6 pm this evening through 6 am Wednesday/
Low will continue to slide northeast, with lingering showers
possible, especially through the evening hours. A mid level short
wave ridge is expected to build over the ridge beginning late
tonight though. The associated subsidence should help to bring a
quick end to the precipitation after midnight.

Long term /Wednesday through Monday/
Wednesday... The coastal low remains to the south and east of our
area and pushes to the northeast fairly quickly. We dry out through
Wednesday and rain looks to hold off for much of the day as weak
high pressure cross the area.

Wednesday night and Thursday... Low pressure over the ohio valley
will move northeast on Thursday. Another low forms along the cold
frontal boundary as it nears our area, and will cross our area later
Thursday.

Rain will start to overspread the region late Wednesday night and
continue through much of Thursday. Marginal instability is noted and
we continue to mention the chance for convection across the area.

With pwat's once again rising up around 1.5-1.7 inches, we have the
potential for moderate to heavy rain. With the wet period we have
had of late, we will need to continue to monitor any heavy rain
threat.

Friday... Some showers possible Friday, mainly early and across the
northern half of our forecast area. Overall, it should start to
clear out across our area. Although, a slight cool down can be
expected in the westerly flow.

Saturday... High pressure will build in for Saturday and it should be
a great start to the holiday weekend. A shortwave moves through the
mid levels and across our area Saturday afternoon/evening. This may
spark off a few light showers, mainly across the northern areas.

Sunday and Monday... The rest of the holiday weekend looks unsettled
as another low pressure system develops and heads towards the mid-
atlantic. A chance for some showers and/or thunderstorms will be
possible. A cooler day on Sunday with highs only into the low to mid-
70s but warming is expected for Monday, with highs into the upper
70s to lower 80s.

Aviation /08z Tuesday through Saturday/
The following discussion is for kphl, kpne, kttn, kabe, krdg, kilg,
kmiv, kacy and surrounding areas.

Some low clouds continue to linger across the coastal plains and
shallow ground fog has developed at some of the TAF sites in the
wake of the cold front earlier. Expect this to continue at times
through sunrise. After 12z, should see several hours at least ofVFR
conditions across the region. After 18z, could see low clouds and
showers move in from the south. At this time, kilg, kmiv, and kacy
are at the highest risk to see conditions drop belowVFR (though it
is also possible at kphl, kttn, and kpne).

Winds will be gradually shifting through the day from northerly to
easterly, before shifting back to northeasterly tonight, but wind
speeds are expected to generally remain at or below 10 kt.

Outlook...

Wednesday...VFR conditions expected early. MVFR/ifr conditions
early, mainly at kmiv/kacy. Easterly winds around 10 knots or less.

Wednesday night and Thursday... Deteriorating conditions as rain
moves into the area.VFR conditions with periods of MVFR/ifr in
showers/thunderstorms. Easterly winds around 10 to 15 knots becoming
south to southeast around 10 knots or less late.

Friday... Improving conditions with a return toVFR expected. Showers
possible early. West winds around 10 to 15 knots.

Saturday... MainlyVFR conditions expected. West to southwest winds.

Marine
Winds and seas are expected to remain below SCA criteria for almost
all of the area waters today and tonight. The one exception is the
delaware coastal waters where seas could build to near 5 feet by
tonight, and wind gusts above 20 kt are expected. At this time
though, do not have enough confidence to issue an sca.

Outlook...

Wednesday... Small craft conditions may occur early in the day along
the southern new jersey and delaware coasts due to hazardous seas.

Thursday and Friday... Seas are expected to build in the prolonged
easterly flow. Small craft advisory will likely be needed. Improving
conditions on the waters through Friday as seas start to subside and
winds diminish.

Saturday... Both winds and waves are expected to stay below sca
criteria.

Hydrology
After rain amounts near 3 inches in some places across south jersey,
levels for many creek and rivers in the coastal plains continue to
rise. At this time, all remain below bankfull and flood stages, but
we continue to monitor this area. Models have trended further
southeast and later with heavy rain today. Thus, though these areas
will likely see additional rain late today, we are expecting
generally light rain amounts (near or below one quarter inch).

A wet pattern looks to continue for much of the week. The next
period of heavy rain could come as early as Wednesday night into
Thursday.

Tides/coastal flooding
Astronomical tides are running higher than normal this time of
year. With the new moon taking place on Thursday, combined with
a possible prolonged easterly flow, we may see some of our
coastal sites exceed minor tidal flooding levels during the
Wednesday and Thursday evening tide cycles. There is also a
small chance that we could reach moderate levels in a few spots.

Phi watches/warnings/advisories
Pa... None.

Nj... None.

De... None.

Md... None.

Marine... None.

Synopsis... Meola
near term... Johnson
short term... Johnson
long term... Meola
aviation... Johnson/meola
marine... Johnson/meola
hydrology...

tides/coastal flooding...



Weather Reporting Stations
   EDIT       (on/off)   Help   NOTE: Click on distance to see the station location on a map
Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
SDHN4 - 8531680 - Sandy Hook, NJ 16 mi45 min N 1.9 G 2.9 59°F 58°F1012.4 hPa (-1.2)
44065 - Entrance to New York Harbor 18 mi55 min N 9.7 G 9.7 58°F 56°F2 ft1013.4 hPa (-0.9)57°F
ROBN4 - 8530973 - Robins Reef, NJ 30 mi45 min N 5.1 G 6 60°F 1013.8 hPa (-1.1)
BGNN4 - 8519483 - Bergen Point West Reach, NJ 30 mi45 min 60°F 59°F1013.4 hPa (-1.1)
MHRN6 30 mi45 min NNW 5.1 G 6
BATN6 - 8518750 - The Battery, NY 33 mi45 min 61°F 57°F1013 hPa (-1.1)
44091 33 mi45 min 57°F3 ft
NBLP1 - 8548989 - Newbold, PA 41 mi45 min NNE 1.9 G 2.9 60°F 67°F1014 hPa (-1.0)
KPTN6 - 8516945 - Kings Point, NY 42 mi45 min E 2.9 G 5.1 58°F 57°F1013.3 hPa (-0.9)
44025 - LONG ISLAND 33 NM South of Islip, NY 43 mi55 min N 12 G 14 56°F 55°F3 ft1012.4 hPa (-0.8)
44022 - Execution Rocks 47 mi45 min 59°F 57°F
BDRN4 - 8539094 - Burlington, Delaware River, NJ 48 mi69 min 61°F 69°F1013 hPa

Wind History for Sandy Hook, NJ
(wind in knots)    EDIT      (on/off)   Help
5
AM
6
AM
7
AM
8
AM
9
AM
10
AM
11
AM
12
PM
1
PM
2
PM
3
PM
4
PM
5
PM
6
PM
7
PM
8
PM
9
PM
10
PM
11
PM
12
AM
1
AM
2
AM
3
AM
4
AM
Last
24hr
SE6
SE8
SE7
G10
SE10
G14
SE9
E10
SE9
G12
SE11
G15
SE9
G13
SE12
G15
SE9
G13
S8
SE7
S5
SW2
--
NW1
NW5
W5
NW8
NW13
G16
NW7
G10
N4
G9
N2
1 day
ago
NW2
N3
NE3
E6
E8
E9
E8
G12
SE8
G11
SE9
G15
SE7
G13
SE12
SE12
G15
SE11
SE9
G12
SE8
G11
SE7
G11
SE9
G13
SE7
G11
SE7
SE6
G10
SE7
SE5
SE5
SE6
2 days
ago
NE9
G13
NE9
G12
NE10
G14
E7
G12
NE10
G14
E7
G10
E8
G13
E8
SE9
G12
SE9
SE6
G9
SE8
G11
SE7
S7
G10
SE7
S7
S7
S6
S7
S8
S6
SE3
SE1
NW1

Airport Reports
    EDIT      (on/off)   Help   Click EDIT to display multiple airports
AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Belmar-Farmingdale, NJ9 mi49 minN 66.00 miFog/Mist59°F57°F93%1014 hPa
Lakehurst Naval Air Station, NJ22 mi1.8 hrsNW 44.00 miFog/Mist61°F59°F93%1013.1 hPa

Wind History from BLM (wind in knots)
5
AM
6
AM
7
AM
8
AM
9
AM
10
AM
11
AM
12
PM
1
PM
2
PM
3
PM
4
PM
5
PM
6
PM
7
PM
8
PM
9
PM
10
PM
11
PM
12
AM
1
AM
2
AM
3
AM
4
AM
Last 24hrE5E5E7E9E8E10SE8SE5SE6E6SE5SE5E5SE4S3W4CalmW6W4W6W9NW11NW6N6
1 day agoCalmN4NE4NE5E11NE9SE9E9E9SE10E10SE8E11SE8SE8SE8E6SE7SE4SE4SE4SE4SE6SE4
2 days agoN9
G15
NE15
G20
NE12
G20
NE15
G18
E13
G18
E12NE14E11
G15
E12
G20
E12E9E8E6SE5E5SE3CalmSE3SE3SE4CalmCalmCalmCalm

Tide / Current Tables for Belmar, Atlantic Ocean, New Jersey
   EDIT   RT Ports Option   Weekend mode (on/off)   (on/off)   Help   One Week of Data
Belmar
Click for Map
Tue -- 04:17 AM EDT     Moonrise
Tue -- 05:33 AM EDT     Sunrise
Tue -- 05:37 AM EDT     4.89 feet High Tide
Tue -- 11:45 AM EDT     -0.31 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 05:38 PM EDT     Moonset
Tue -- 06:04 PM EDT     5.66 feet High Tide
Tue -- 08:12 PM EDT     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
0.10.71.93.24.24.84.84.231.80.7-0.1-0.30.31.63.14.45.35.75.34.32.91.60.5

Tide / Current Tables for Gooseneck Point, bridge, Shrewsbury River, New Jersey
   EDIT      (on/off)   Help   One Week of Data
Gooseneck Point
Click for Map
Tue -- 03:02 AM EDT     0.00 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 04:17 AM EDT     Moonrise
Tue -- 05:33 AM EDT     Sunrise
Tue -- 08:30 AM EDT     2.83 feet High Tide
Tue -- 03:11 PM EDT     -0.18 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 05:38 PM EDT     Moonset
Tue -- 08:12 PM EDT     Sunset
Tue -- 08:57 PM EDT     3.28 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
1.20.60.200.20.91.72.42.82.82.41.81.10.50.1-0.2-00.71.62.53.13.33.12.5

Weather Map and Satellite Images
       (on/off)   Help
Weather Map
wmap_A
IR Satellite Image from GEOS
east_satellite

GOES Local Image of Mid-Atlantic    EDIT
Geos

Wind Forecast for Philadelphia/Mount Holly, PA (4,6,7,8)
      (on/off)   Help

Ground Weather Radar Station Philadelphia, PA
   (on/off)   Help
weather_mapweather_map weather_map

Ad by Google

Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.