Friday, March22, 2019 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Deal borough, NJ

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
10/6/2018 Colors of tide XTide graphs changed to emphasize that they were upgraded. See next note. Comments welcome.
10/4/2018 I have fixed XTide and updated the harmonic files. There were some name changes so you might have to click EDIT to find the new station name.

Sunrise 6:54AMSunset 7:11PM Friday March 22, 2019 8:23 PM EDT (00:23 UTC) Moonrise 9:14PMMoonset 8:10AM Illumination 96% Phase: Waning Gibbous; Moon at 17 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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ANZ450 Coastal Waters From Sandy Hook To Manasquan Inlet Nj Out 20 Nm- Coastal Waters From Manasquan Inlet To Little Egg Inlet Nj Out 20 Nm- 649 Pm Edt Fri Mar 22 2019
.gale warning in effect through Saturday afternoon...
Tonight..W winds 20 to 25 kt, increasing to 25 to 30 kt after midnight. Gusts up to 40 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft. SWell mainly from the E with a dominant period of 12 seconds. Showers likely with a chance of tstms early in the evening, then a chance of showers late in the evening.
Sat..NW winds 25 to 30 kt, diminishing to 20 to 25 kt in the afternoon. Gusts up to 40 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft, subsiding to 3 to 4 ft early in the afternoon. SWell mainly from the E with a dominant period of 12 seconds.
Sat night..NW winds 15 to 20 kt with gusts up to 30 kt, diminishing to 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt late. Seas 3 to 4 ft. SWell mainly from the ne with a dominant period of 10 seconds.
Sun..W winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt. Seas around 3 ft in the morning, then 2 ft or less.
Sun night..SW winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 25 kt. Seas around 3 ft in the evening, then 2 ft or less.
Mon..W winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas around 3 ft. A chance of showers in the afternoon.
Mon night..N winds 10 to 15 kt, increasing to 15 to 20 kt after midnight. Gusts up to 30 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. A chance of showers in the evening, then a chance of rain and snow showers after midnight with vsby 1 to 3 nm.
Tue..NE winds 15 to 20 kt with gusts up to 30 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft. A chance of showers in the morning with vsby 1 to 3 nm.
Tue night..NE winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. Winds and seas higher in and near tstms.
ANZ400 649 Pm Edt Fri Mar 22 2019
Synopsis for the coastal waters from sandy hook nj to fenwick island de and for delaware bay.. The coastal storm which has been impacting the region will continue to pull away tonight. A cold front will also move through tonight, with gusty northwest winds continuing through Saturday. High pressure will bring dry and mild weather on Sunday. A cold front will move through Monday with showers possible. A large high pressure center will bring dry but cool weather for the middle part of next week.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Deal borough, NJ
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location: 40.25, -73.92     debug


Area Discussion for - Philadelphia/Mount Holly, PA
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Fxus61 kphi 222000
afdphi
area forecast discussion
national weather service mount holly nj
400 pm edt Fri mar 22 2019

Synopsis
The coastal storm which has been impacting the region will continue
to pull away tonight. A cold front will also move through tonight,
with gusty northwest winds continuing through Saturday. High
pressure will bring dry and mild weather on Sunday. A cold front
will move through Monday with showers possible. A large high
pressure center will bring dry but cool weather for the middle part
of next week.

Near term until 6 am Saturday morning
A 980-mb surface low over the gulf of maine this afternoon will
move to nova scotia by Saturday morning. Another upper low and
its associated surface cold front over the eastern great lakes
will move across the region this evening. The two systems will
combine over the canadian maritimes by Saturday morning.

As the cold front passes through, additional showers are
possible. With forecast MAX temps around 50f this afternoon,
resulting afternoon instability per 12z soundings should be
enough to produce a few showers containing small hail, wind
gusts up to 45 mph, and lightning. Exception will be across the
southern poconos, where temperatures are cold enough to support
a mix of snow and rain showers this afternoon.

Scattered rain and snow showers will persist overnight in the
far northern zones with dry conditions elsewhere. Northwest
winds will continue at 20 to 30 mph with gusts up to 40 mph.

Short term 6 am Saturday morning through 6 pm Saturday
The low over the canadian maritimes finally lifts away late
Saturday, and high pressure will build in from the west. Dry
conditions on tap, but gusty northwest winds continue, until
finally subsiding late.

Sunny with highs in the 40s to low 50s, except in the 30s in the
southern poconos.

Long term Saturday night through Friday
Summary... A fairly quiet extended forecast across the area, with
the exception of a strong cold frontal passage Monday night. A
shortwave trough will move toward the region, driving a weak
surface low to move across the central u.S. Toward the mid-
atlantic along a cold front. This shortwave will reinforce the
longwave trough to our northeast as it does so, thus ushering in
colder air. High pressure will build across the great lakes
into the region Tuesday. By Thursday, the high will move off the
coast, leading to milder return flow as we close out the
workweek. More rain is possible as we head into Friday as a cold
front approaches from the northwest. There is some indication
that an area of low pressure may develop off the southeast coast
by Friday, however this remains uncertain and will need to
continue to be monitored.

Dailies...

Saturday night and Sunday... Quiet with temperatures
near normal. Lows Saturday in the mid 20s north to the low 30s
across southern delware. Highs recover to seasonable values as
southwesterly flow develops ahead of the next cold front. Most
locations will top out in the mid to upper 50s.

Sunday night and Monday... Precipitation overspreads the region by
early Monday morning. Mild temperatures continue with lows
staying in the 40s for the most part. Highs will range from the
mid 40s across the southern poconos to the low 60s across
southern delaware. Precip looks to stay all rain during the day
Monday, though a changeover to snow may begin by evening across
the southern poconos.

Monday night and Tuesday... Precip continues across the region as
the cold front continues to advance southward. As the freezing
line makes its way southward, rain will transition to a mix of
rain and snow, eventually transitioning to all snow. It is still
a little unclear how far south this will occur, but at this
point, it looks as if temperatures will cool enough before
precip moves out the area for some snow showers to make their
way into the greater philadelphia metro. Any accumulation would
be very light, though it is still too far out to discuss totals
at this point. Precip should move out the area by Tuesday
afternoon as skies begin to clear. However, it will be much
cooler Tuesday with highs only making it into low 40s for much
of the area.

Tuesday night through Friday night... A relatively quiet period
overall. Cold Tuesday night with lows dropping below freezing
across the area, even into the teens across the southern
poconos. Highs gradually moderating Wednesday through Friday, as
high pressure works its way from the great lakes to the western
atlantic; many locations look to make it into the upper 50s to
near 60 by Friday. Uncertainty in the exact timing of rain
Friday and Friday night, as a cold front makes its way toward
the mid-atlantic, while a wave of low pressure rides along the
stalled cold front to our south from earlier in the workweek.

Went with a blended approach for now, including only a slight
chance for showers early Saturday morning.&&

Aviation 20z Friday through Wednesday
The following discussion is for kphl, kpne, kttn, kabe, krdg,
kilg, kmiv, kacy and surrounding areas.

Rest of today...VFR will be prevailing this afternoon, but
scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms are possible late
this afternoon and this evening which could yield occasional
periods of MVFR. Due to very cold air aloft, any heavier
showers, even without thunder, may contain small hail or
graupel. Best chance for this looks to be ilg, miv, and acy, but
have mentioned shower potential at all sites. Wnw winds 15 to
20 kt with gusts up to 35 kt.

Tonight... Any lingering shower activity should dissipate soon
after 0z. GenerallyVFR, although occasional MVFR ceilings
possible at rdg and abe and cannot rule out a passing snow
shower at those sites through midnight. Wnw winds remain
elevated at 15 to 20 kt with gusts up to 35 kt.

Saturday...VFR. NW winds still around 15 to 20 kt with gusts to 35
kt. By mid to late afternoon, winds should start to diminish with
gusts falling below 30 kt.

Outlook...

Saturday night-Sunday night...VFR, except MVFR possible late
Sunday night. Wnw winds Saturday night will become westerly then
southwesterly on Sunday and through Sunday night. Lingering
gusts of 20 to 25 kt possible early Saturday night, otherwise
speeds 5 to 10 kt.

Monday-Monday night... MVFR and possibly ifr Monday with rain
showers. Winds shifting from southwesterly to westerly to
northerly on Monday with speeds 5 to 10 kt.VFR by Monday night
with winds northerly or northeasterly at around 10 kt with gusts
to 20 kt.

Tuesday-Wednesday...VFR. Northeast winds 5 to 10 kt becoming
easterly at 5 to 10 kt on Wednesday. Gusts to 20 kt possible
Tuesday morning.

Marine
A gale warning remains in effect for all waters. Northwest
winds 20-30 kt with gusts up to 45 kt gusts through tonight.

Saturday... Northwesterly gales continue for much of this
period, but wind speeds should gradually drop off late Saturday
into Saturday night.

Outlook...

Sunday through Monday... Sub SCA conditions with northwesterly winds
of 10 to 15 knots. Some higher gusts possible Sunday and Monday
afternoon of 15 to 20 knots. Wave heights of 1 to 3 feet.

Tuesday... SCA conditions possible with northerly winds 20 to 25 knots,
with gusts of 25 to 30 knots possible. Waves of 4-7 feet
possible.

Wednesday through Friday... Sub SCA conditions with northerly
winds of 10 to 15 knots Wednesday turning more southeasterly by
Friday with speeds dropping to 5 to 10 knots. Waves generally 2
to 4 feet.

Hydrology
The heavy rain is coming to an end. In excess of two inches fell
across SE pa and northern nj. As a result, we are looking at a
handful of gages that are expected to approach flood stage.

The rain that fell across chester county is moving down the
brandywine. The gage at wilmington is currently above action stage
and is forecast to crest shortly. No flooding is expected.

The rain that fell across berks and montgomery counties is moving
down the schuylkill. The gage at norristown has climbed above
action stage and is expected to crest just below flood stage this
afternoon.

The gage at pemberton on the north branch rancocas is expected to
move into action stage later today, but remain below flood stage.

The gage at blackwells mills on the millstone river will climb above
action stage tonight, but is forecast to remain below flood stage.

The gage at pine brook on the passaic river will climb above action
stage shortly and then continue to slowly climb to near flood stage
Saturday night or Sunday morning.

Phi watches warnings advisories
Pa... None.

Nj... None.

De... None.

Md... None.

Marine... Gale warning until 6 pm edt Saturday for anz430-431-450>455.

Synopsis... O'brien
near term... Franklin
short term... Franklin
long term... Davis
aviation... Franklin o'brien
marine... Davis franklin
hydrology... Kruzdlo


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
44065 - Entrance to New York Harbor 14 mi34 min W 21 G 33 45°F 42°F4 ft997.9 hPa35°F
SDHN4 - 8531680 - Sandy Hook, NJ 16 mi36 min W 25 G 29 44°F 43°F999.6 hPa
BGNN4 - 8519483 - Bergen Point West Reach, NJ 29 mi42 min 45°F 43°F998.3 hPa
ROBN4 - 8530973 - Robins Reef, NJ 29 mi36 min NW 28 G 39 45°F 998.3 hPa
MHRN6 30 mi36 min W 19 G 27
BATN6 - 8518750 - The Battery, NY 32 mi36 min 44°F 42°F998 hPa
44091 34 mi24 min 42°F5 ft
44025 - LONG ISLAND 33 NM South of Islip, NY 40 mi34 min W 16 G 18 44°F 40°F7 ft996.9 hPa (+2.7)
KPTN6 - 8516945 - Kings Point, NY 40 mi36 min NW 18 G 25 44°F 39°F997.9 hPa
NBLP1 - 8548989 - Newbold, PA 45 mi36 min NW 8 G 13 40°F 44°F1001.5 hPa

Wind History for Sandy Hook, NJ
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Belmar-Farmingdale, NJ12 mi28 minW 19 G 3210.00 miOvercast and Breezy42°F32°F68%1000.1 hPa

Wind History from BLM (wind in knots)
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Last 24hr--E14
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1 day agoE4E4E5E5E4E5E6SE6SE6E6E8E6NE6NE7E9E9E8E10E10E11E13
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2 days agoS4S4SW4SW4SW5S5SW4SW4SW4CalmS4S3SW5SW5S10
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Tide / Current Tables for Long Branch (fishing pier), New Jersey
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Long Branch (fishing pier)
Click for Map
Fri -- 03:04 AM EDT     -1.00 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 06:56 AM EDT     Sunrise
Fri -- 08:10 AM EDT     Moonset
Fri -- 09:13 AM EDT     5.45 feet High Tide
Fri -- 03:28 PM EDT     -0.95 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 07:09 PM EDT     Sunset
Fri -- 09:14 PM EDT     Moonrise
Fri -- 09:42 PM EDT     5.63 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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2.30.8-0.4-1-0.60.62.23.84.95.45.24.22.71.3-0-0.8-0.80.11.63.24.65.45.64.9

Tide / Current Tables for Belmar, Atlantic Ocean, New Jersey
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Belmar
Click for Map
Fri -- 02:55 AM EDT     -1.01 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 06:56 AM EDT     Sunrise
Fri -- 08:10 AM EDT     Moonset
Fri -- 09:04 AM EDT     5.50 feet High Tide
Fri -- 03:19 PM EDT     -0.96 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 07:10 PM EDT     Sunset
Fri -- 09:14 PM EDT     Moonrise
Fri -- 09:33 PM EDT     5.69 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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2.10.6-0.6-1-0.50.92.545.15.55.142.51.1-0.2-0.9-0.70.31.93.54.85.65.64.8

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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GOES Local Image of Mid-Atlantic    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
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Wind Forecast for Philadelphia/Mount Holly, PA (20,4,5,8)
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.