Friday, November16, 2018 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Deal borough, NJ

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
10/6/2018 Colors of tide XTide graphs changed to emphasize that they were upgraded. See next note. Comments welcome.
10/4/2018 I have fixed XTide and updated the harmonic files. There were some name changes so you might have to click EDIT to find the new station name.

Sunrise 6:42AMSunset 4:39PM Friday November 16, 2018 9:32 PM EST (02:32 UTC) Moonrise 2:33PMMoonset 12:37AM Illumination 66% Phase: Waxing Gibbous; Moon at 9 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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ANZ450 Coastal Waters From Sandy Hook To Manasquan Inlet Nj Out 20 Nm- Coastal Waters From Manasquan Inlet To Little Egg Inlet Nj Out 20 Nm- 906 Pm Est Fri Nov 16 2018
.small craft advisory in effect through Saturday morning...
Rest of tonight..W winds 20 to 25 kt, diminishing to 15 to 20 kt. Gusts up to 30 kt. Seas 4 to 7 ft. SWell mainly from the se with a dominant period of 10 seconds.
Sat..W winds 15 to 20 kt with gusts up to 25 kt, diminishing to 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt in the late morning and afternoon. Seas 3 to 5 ft. SWell mainly from the se with a dominant period of 9 seconds.
Sat night..NW winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas around 3 ft. SWell mainly from the se with a dominant period of 9 seconds.
Sun..N winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming E early in the afternoon, then becoming S late. Seas 2 ft or less. SWell mainly from the se with a dominant period of 9 seconds.
Sun night..SW winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less.
Mon..W winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas around 3 ft.
Mon night..NW winds 10 to 15 kt. Gusts up to 20 kt in the evening. Seas around 3 ft.
Tue..NW winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 ft or less, then around 3 ft in the afternoon.
Tue night..NW winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 3 to 4 ft.
Wed..N winds 10 to 15 kt, becoming nw 5 to 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas 3 to 4 ft.
Wed night..W winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas around 3 ft.
ANZ400 906 Pm Est Fri Nov 16 2018
Synopsis for the coastal waters from sandy hook nj to fenwick island de and for delaware bay.. High pressure is forecast to build to our west on Saturday before weakening Saturday night as a weak cold front moves across the area. High pressure builds to our north Sunday, before another frontal system moves across the area Sunday night into Monday. Yet another frontal system is possible around Tuesday, with high pressure for the middle of the week.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Deal borough, NJ
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location: 40.25, -73.92     debug


Area Discussion for - Philadelphia/Mount Holly, PA
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Fxus61 kphi 162048
afdphi
area forecast discussion
national weather service mount holly nj
348 pm est Fri nov 16 2018

Synopsis
High pressure is forecast to build to our west on Saturday
before weakening Saturday night as a weak cold front moves
across the area. High pressure builds to our north Sunday,
before another frontal system moves across the area Sunday night
into Monday. Yet another frontal system is possible around
Tuesday, with high pressure for the middle of the week.

Near term until 6 am Saturday morning
The deep low pressure system continues to move northeast of the
area while high pressure well to the west starts to influence
the area. The strong pressure gradient between the two systems
continues to produce gusty W to NW winds across the area. These
winds will decrease late this afternoon and further diminish
overnight. The afternoon clouds that have developed over the
area will decrease tonight leaving mostly clear skies. Low
temperatures tonight will drop into the upper 20s across the
north and reach the low mid 30d elsewhere.

Short term 6 am Saturday morning through 6 pm Saturday
High pressure will continue to push east, reaching the
appalachians Saturday. Fair weather will continue across the
region with partly to mostly sunny skies expected. Temperatures
will continue below normal, with highs only reaching the low mid
40s across the far north west and upper 40s to around 50 S e.

Winds will be less gusty than today with speeds only around 8 to
12 mph expected.

Long term Saturday night through Friday
High pressure will continue to weaken to our west overnight as
a frontal boundary approaches from the northwest Saturday night.

The front may wash our overnight before reaching our area, then
high pressure briefly builds across the area early on Sunday.

Through the day Sunday, a surface boundary is forecast to move
into our area from the west as the high pressure moves eastward.

Enhanced lift and moisture are forecast to move across the area
Sunday through Monday as the boundary slowly traverses the
area. This could begin a period of showers to much of the area,
especially northeast pennsylvania and northern new jersey later
Sunday through Monday night, before shifting to the east later
Monday into Monday night. Details in thermal profiles are still
quite uncertain, but there is the potential for another mix of
rain and snow for some areas. Northeast pennsylvania and
northern new jersey have the best chance of seeing snow, while
areas farther south have the best chance of staying rain. If
snow occurs across the northern areas, there could be some
accumulations later Sunday into Monday.

Another quick moving frontal boundary is expected to sweep
across the area on Tuesday, which could bring another chance of
showers. This front is expected to be colder, and would bring a
better chance of snow to the much of the area.

Neither of these systems look to be a significant snow producer
at this point, although it would not be surprising to see a
couple of inches across portions of northeast pennsylvania and
northern new jersey later Sunday through Tuesday.

As we move into Wednesday, high pressure builds across the
area, then offshore on Thursday. This brings fair weather back
to the area, along with cooler conditions on Wednesday. Once the
high moves offshore Thursday, temperatures warm slightly
compared to Wednesday, but will remain below normal.

The forecast for Friday into the weekend becomes uncertain in
specifics, but the long term guidance does indicated the
potential for another coastal storm. There are timing and
placement differences between the models, but they each show a
low near the east coast at some point between Friday and Sunday.

Aviation 20z Friday through Wednesday
The following discussion is for kphl, kpne, kttn, kabe, krdg,
kilg, kmiv, kacy and surrounding areas.

Tonight...VFR with decreasing clouds. A few sc still expected
across the N W areas into the evening. Winds settling back to 5
to 10 knots after midnight.

Saturday...VFR expected with mostly clear skies. Some ci cs
clouds may spread over the area during the afternoon. Winds will
be mostly W around 10 knots.

Outlook...

Saturday night... MVFR conditions may occur periodically.

Sunday-Tuesday... Periods of MVFR conditions possible with a
chance of showers.

Tuesday night-Wednesday...VFR conditions expected.

Marine
We have lowered the remaining gale and issued a SCA for the
ocean waters with the 330 pm issuance. The SCA flag for delaware
bay will remain through the overnight and end a little before
the ocean sca. Deep low pressure will continue to move away
tonight while high pressure begins to reach the area late
tonight and Saturday. Fair weather is expected with slowly
lowering seas.

Outlook...

Saturday night-Tuesday... Conditions expected to remain below
advisory levels with west-northwest winds 10-15 knots.

Tuesday night... Conditions may increase to near small craft
advisory levels.

Wednesday... Conditions expected to be below advisory levels.

Phi watches warnings advisories
Pa... None.

Nj... None.

De... None.

Md... None.

Marine... Small craft advisory until 11 am est Saturday for anz450>455.

Small craft advisory until 5 am est Saturday for anz430-431.

Synopsis... Robertson
near term... O'hara
short term... O'hara
long term... Robertson o'hara
aviation... Robertson o'hara
marine... Robertson o'hara


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
44065 - Entrance to New York Harbor 14 mi42 min W 21 G 27 43°F 54°F4 ft1013.3 hPa35°F
SDHN4 - 8531680 - Sandy Hook, NJ 16 mi32 min W 16 G 22 41°F 47°F1015 hPa (+2.2)
BGNN4 - 8519483 - Bergen Point West Reach, NJ 29 mi32 min 39°F 49°F1013.4 hPa (+2.2)
ROBN4 - 8530973 - Robins Reef, NJ 29 mi32 min W 20 G 25 40°F 1013.6 hPa (+2.4)
MHRN6 30 mi32 min WSW 9.9 G 12
BATN6 - 8518750 - The Battery, NY 32 mi32 min 40°F 51°F1013.3 hPa (+2.5)
KPTN6 - 8516945 - Kings Point, NY 40 mi32 min NW 17 G 20 42°F 49°F1013.5 hPa (+2.2)
44025 - LONG ISLAND 33 NM South of Islip, NY 40 mi42 min W 23 G 27 45°F 55°F8 ft1012.3 hPa (+2.1)
NBLP1 - 8548989 - Newbold, PA 45 mi32 min WNW 7 G 12 40°F 42°F1015.5 hPa (+2.1)

Wind History for Sandy Hook, NJ
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Belmar-Farmingdale, NJ12 mi36 minW 810.00 miFair39°F30°F70%1015 hPa

Wind History from BLM (wind in knots)
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1 day agoN7N8NW7N6N4N6NE6N5NE7NE7E7NE12NE10NE9
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Tide / Current Tables for Long Branch (fishing pier), New Jersey
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Long Branch (fishing pier)
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Fri -- 01:33 AM EST     3.66 feet High Tide
Fri -- 06:42 AM EST     Sunrise
Fri -- 07:37 AM EST     1.21 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 01:33 PM EST     Moonrise
Fri -- 01:45 PM EST     4.03 feet High Tide
Fri -- 04:38 PM EST     Sunset
Fri -- 08:13 PM EST     0.68 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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3.23.63.63.22.521.61.31.21.62.333.53.943.72.92.11.510.70.81.42.2

Tide / Current Tables for Belmar, Atlantic Ocean, New Jersey
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Belmar
Click for Map
Fri -- 01:24 AM EST     3.70 feet High Tide
Fri -- 06:42 AM EST     Sunrise
Fri -- 07:28 AM EST     1.22 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 01:33 PM EST     Moonrise
Fri -- 01:36 PM EST     4.07 feet High Tide
Fri -- 04:38 PM EST     Sunset
Fri -- 08:04 PM EST     0.68 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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3.43.73.63.12.51.91.51.31.31.72.43.13.6443.62.821.40.90.70.91.52.3

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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GOES Local Image of Mid-Atlantic    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
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Wind Forecast for Philadelphia/Mount Holly, PA (21,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Philadelphia, PA
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.