Monday, June25, 2018 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
English, NJ

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
5/20/2018 -- NOAA is having problems with the data feed that I use to draw the graphs. They are aware of the issue and working to resolve it. Sometimes changing the location by about a mile will give a correct graph. 3/3/2018 - There is a new GOES Satellite for the east coast that required rewriting that part of the code. Please report any issues.

Sunrise 5:27AMSunset 8:33PM Monday June 25, 2018 3:36 AM EDT (07:36 UTC) Moonrise 6:16PMMoonset 3:50AM Illumination 90% Phase: Waxing Gibbous; Moon at 12 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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ANZ338 NEw York Harbor- 322 Am Edt Mon Jun 25 2018
Today..NW winds around 10 kt. Waves 1 ft or less.
Tonight..N winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft or less.
Tue..E winds around 5 kt, becoming se in the afternoon. Waves 1 ft or less.
Tue night..S winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft or less.
Wed..S winds 5 to 10 kt, increasing to 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt in the afternoon. Waves 1 ft or less, then around 2 ft in the afternoon.
Wed night..S winds 10 to 15 kt. Waves around 2 ft in the evening, then 1 ft or less. Chance of showers in the evening, then showers and tstms likely after midnight.
Thu..S winds 10 to 15 kt. Waves 1 ft or less. Showers and tstms likely, mainly in the morning.
Thu night..SW winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming W after midnight. Waves 1 ft or less.
Fri..NW winds around 5 kt. Waves 1 ft or less.
Fri night..W winds around 5 kt. Waves 1 ft or less. Winds and waves higher in and near tstms.
ANZ300 322 Am Edt Mon Jun 25 2018
Synopsis for the long island waters and new york harbor.. High pressure builds today and Tuesday. The high moves offshore Wednesday, allowing a warm front to slowly lift northward into Wednesday evening. A cold front will then gradually move through the area Thursday into Thursday night, followed by building high pressure into the weekend.

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near English , NJ
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location: 40.3, -74.37     debug


Area Discussion for - Philadelphia/Mount Holly, PA
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Fxus61 kphi 250716
afdphi
area forecast discussion
national weather service mount holly nj
316 am edt Mon jun 25 2018

Synopsis
High pressure located in central ontario early this morning
will build to the southeast. The center of the high is forecast
to pass off the coasts of southern new england and long island
on Tuesday. The air mass is expected to influence our weather
into early Thursday. A weak frontal boundary approaching from
the west is anticipated to arrive in our region on Thursday.

Another area of high pressure should follow for Friday and the
coming weekend.

Near term until 6 pm this evening
The pattern today reminds me more of a pattern we would see in
late april, not late june. Behind the cold front that arrived
last evening, high pressure will build south form canada through
the day. As it does so, the pressure gradient will slowly relax
through the day. With the high building in, expect dry
conditions through the day.

There are two uncertainties with our forecast today, the sea
breeze and the depth of the mixing layer. A sea breeze should
develop this afternoon, but due to the relatively strong
northwesterly flow, do not expect the sea breeze to make much
progress inland, possibly staying right along the coast.

The question is the depth of the mixing layer. With this
similar pattern in the spring, models tend to underestimate the
depth of the mixing layer. Consequently, depicted dew point
temperatures are often too high, and depicted temperatures are
often too low. However, since this is an unusual pattern for
this time of year, I don't have as much confidence that these
biases will be true today. Therefore, I stayed close to the
warmest and driest guidance for temperatures and dew points
today.

Short term 6 pm this evening through 6 am Tuesday
As the pressure gradient continues to decrease, and with the
loss of diurnal mixing, winds will subsequently decrease as
well. This, along with the clearing skies, will set the stage
for prime radiational cooling conditions. With the dry air in
place, minimum temperatures could be 5 to 10 degrees below
normal.

Long term Tuesday through Sunday
A mid level ridge is forecast to extend from the southeastern
states up over ontario on Tuesday morning. The feature will
progress eastward with its axis expected to pass overhead on
Tuesday night. Surface high pressure is anticipated to pass off
the coasts of southern new england and long island on Tuesday.

The air mass should bring dry conditions to our region for
Tuesday and Tuesday night.

A mid level trough is expected to extend from the great lakes
down to the middle mississippi river valley on Wednesday
morning. The trough is forecast to move to the east and it
should pass over our region on Thursday. As the trough
approaches, we are anticipating an increasing chance of showers
and thunderstorms on Wednesday and Wednesday night. The
potential for showers and thunderstorms will continue into
Thursday as a surface front associated with the mid level
feature arrives in our region. Precipitable water values are
expected to increase to greater than 2 inches, so there is the
potential for some locally heavy rain at that time.

Heat and humidity will be on the increase for Friday, Saturday
and Sunday. A mid level ridge is forecast to build eastward from
the lower ohio river valley on Friday. It is expected to settle
over our region for Saturday and Sunday, limiting the potential
for precipitation even as the heat and humidity levels rise. It
appears as though heat index values will be near or a bit above
100 on Saturday and Sunday.

Aviation 07z Monday through Friday
The following discussion is for kphl, kpne, kttn, kabe, krdg,
kilg, kmiv, kacy and surrounding areas.

Today...VFR conditions are expected with few, if any clouds.

Winds, westerly early this morning will slowly shift to
northwesterly this morning. Gusts to 20 kt are possible this
afternoon. The one caveat is that a sea breeze is expected to
develop this afternoon. However, due to the relatively strong
northwesterly flow, do not expect this sea breeze to reach even
acy. Moderate confidence on the sea breeze, high confidence on
all other aspects of the forecast.

Tonight...VFR conditions will continue. Winds will slowly shift
from northwesterly to northeasterly, but wind speeds after
sunset should be less than 10 kt. High confidence.

Outlook...

Tuesday and Tuesday night... MainlyVFR. East wind less than 10
knots becoming southeast.

Wednesday... MainlyVFR. A chance of afternoon showers and
thunderstorms. Southeast wind around 10 knots becoming south.

Wednesday night... Showers and thunderstorms are likely.

Conditions are expected to lower to MVFR and perhaps to ifr at
times. South wind 5 to 10 knots.

Thursday... Conditions varying from MVFR toVFR with a chance of
showers and thunderstorms. Southwest wind 5 to 10 knots.

Thursday night and Friday... Late night and early morning
visibility restrictions are possible, otherwise mainlyVFR. West
wind 5 to 10 knots becoming northwest.

Marine
Winds and seas are expected to remain below small craft
advisory criteria. However, northwesterly gusts near 20 kt will
be possible, especially this morning.

Outlook...

Tuesday through Wednesday evening... No marine headlines are
anticipated.

Late Wednesday night through Thursday evening... Wave heights on
our ocean waters may build around 5 feet due to a persistent
southerly wind.

Late Thursday night and Friday... No marine headlines are
anticipated.

Rip currents...

the risk for the formation of dangerous rip currents is
forecast to be low today thanks to offshore winds (with the
exception of a weak sea breeze for a period this afternoon) and
wave heights 2 ft or less.

The wind is forecast to become onshore around 10 mph on
Tuesday. However, a medium period swell should keep the risk
for the development of dangerous rip currents at low for
Tuesday.

Phi watches warnings advisories
Pa... None.

Nj... None.

De... None.

Md... None.

Marine... None.

Synopsis... Iovino
near term... Johnson
short term... Johnson
long term... Iovino
aviation... Iovino johnson
marine... Iovino johnson


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
SDHN4 - 8531680 - Sandy Hook, NJ 22 mi54 min W 8 G 11 70°F 72°F1011.2 hPa
NBLP1 - 8548989 - Newbold, PA 23 mi48 min NW 5.1 G 7 71°F 77°F1011.7 hPa
MHRN6 26 mi48 min W 7 G 12
BGNN4 - 8519483 - Bergen Point West Reach, NJ 26 mi48 min 70°F 71°F1010.1 hPa
ROBN4 - 8530973 - Robins Reef, NJ 29 mi48 min WNW 14 G 16 71°F 1010.3 hPa
BDRN4 - 8539094 - Burlington, Delaware River, NJ 30 mi60 min WNW 5.1 G 7 70°F 77°F1011 hPa
BATN6 - 8518750 - The Battery, NY 34 mi48 min 71°F 68°F1010.4 hPa
44065 - Entrance to New York Harbor 36 mi36 min WNW 9.7 G 14 69°F 67°F1009.6 hPa (-0.0)67°F
BDSP1 44 mi48 min 72°F 76°F1011.7 hPa
44091 48 mi36 min 69°F4 ft
PHBP1 - 8545240 - Philadelphia, PA 48 mi54 min 71°F 75°F1011.2 hPa
KPTN6 - 8516945 - Kings Point, NY 48 mi48 min 66°F

Wind History for Sandy Hook, NJ
(wind in knots)    EDIT      (on/off)   Help
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E13
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NE7
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E7
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Belmar-Farmingdale, NJ15 mi40 minWNW 810.00 miFair68°F64°F87%1011 hPa
Trenton, Mercer County Airport, NJ23 mi43 minWNW 410.00 miFair69°F64°F87%1010.4 hPa
Mcguire Air Force Base, NJ23 mi1.7 hrsWNW 610.00 miFair69°F66°F91%1010 hPa

Wind History from BLM (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrCalmSE4S3S3SW5SW6W104SW866SE6S9SW10S5SE7SW5S5W8W5W6W7W7W8
1 day agoE12NE8NE10NE12
G17
NE9NE9NE11
G16
NE8NE9NE9N8NW6CalmSE3E3E5CalmE4NE3NE3CalmSE3CalmCalm
2 days agoE7E7E9E10E10E8
G16
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G16
E9E9E9
G16
E11E10E10E10------------NE8NE8E9

Tide / Current Tables for Old Bridge, South River, Raritan River, New Jersey
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Old Bridge
Click for Map
Mon -- 01:37 AM EDT     0.34 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 03:49 AM EDT     Moonset
Mon -- 05:28 AM EDT     Sunrise
Mon -- 07:20 AM EDT     5.30 feet High Tide
Mon -- 01:40 PM EDT     0.34 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 06:16 PM EDT     Moonrise
Mon -- 07:46 PM EDT     6.53 feet High Tide
Mon -- 08:31 PM EDT     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
1.40.50.41.22.33.64.65.35.14.43.42.31.30.50.41.12.53.95.36.36.55.94.93.6

Tide / Current Tables for Sayreville, Raritan River, New Jersey
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Sayreville
Click for Map
Mon -- 01:03 AM EDT     0.36 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 03:49 AM EDT     Moonset
Mon -- 05:28 AM EDT     Sunrise
Mon -- 06:43 AM EDT     5.12 feet High Tide
Mon -- 01:06 PM EDT     0.36 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 06:16 PM EDT     Moonrise
Mon -- 07:09 PM EDT     6.31 feet High Tide
Mon -- 08:31 PM EDT     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
0.80.40.81.834.14.95.14.63.72.71.70.80.40.71.83.24.65.86.365.242.7

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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wmap_A
GOES Local Image of Mid-Atlantic    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
target = "new">Link to Loop



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Wind Forecast for Philadelphia/Mount Holly, PA (3,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Philadelphia, PA
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.