Tuesday, January16, 2018 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Fair Haven, NJ

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
6/25/2017 - NOAA is having a major issue that impact the 7 day forecast load times. Many users are reporting problems. The issue has been reported.
5/23/2017 - Worked with NOAA again to speed up the 7 day forecast load times. Thanks to them for being responsive.
5/19/2016 - There were issues with the 3 day airport observation history. I switched to another data source. Let me know if you see any issues with the data feeds.

Sunrise 7:14AMSunset 4:57PM Tuesday January 16, 2018 8:05 AM EST (13:05 UTC) Moonrise 7:49AMMoonset 5:46PM Illumination 0% Phase: New Moon; Moon at 29 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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ANZ338 NEw York Harbor- 650 Am Est Tue Jan 16 2018
Today..NE winds around 5 kt, becoming se late this morning. Waves 1 ft or less.
Tonight..SE winds around 5 kt, becoming N after midnight. Waves 1 ft or less. Snow and rain after midnight.
Wed..NW winds 10 to 15 kt. Waves 1 to 2 ft. Snow and rain in the morning.
Wed night..NW winds around 15 kt with gusts up to 25 kt. Waves 1 to 2 ft.
Thu..W winds around 15 kt with gusts up to 25 kt. Waves 1 to 2 ft.
Thu night..W winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 25 kt. Waves 1 to 2 ft.
Fri..W winds 10 to 15 kt. Waves 1 to 2 ft.
Fri night..W winds 10 to 15 kt. Waves 1 to 2 ft.
Sat..SW winds 10 to 15 kt. Waves 1 to 2 ft.
Sat night..SW winds 10 to 15 kt. Waves 1 to 2 ft.
ANZ300 650 Am Est Tue Jan 16 2018
Synopsis for the long island waters and new york harbor.. High pressure will continue to weaken today, allowing low pressure to approach from the west. Meanwhile, a developing weak coastal low will and pass just east of Montauk on Wednesday before moving up the coast into the canadian maritimes Wednesday night. High pressure will then build to the south through the rest of the week.

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Fair Haven borough, NJ
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location: 40.36, -74.03     debug


Area Discussion for - Philadelphia/Mount Holly, PA
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Fxus61 kphi 161125
afdphi
area forecast discussion
national weather service mount holly nj
625 am est Tue jan 16 2018

Synopsis
A ridge of high pressure will weaken across the area today. A
low pressure system and front will approach from the great lakes
region tonight. Another low will develop off the coast and
affect the weather tonight and early Wednesday. More high
pressure will build towards the area late this week and remain
for the weekend. Low pressure and a cold front will move towards
the middle atlantic region for the start of next week.

Near term until 6 pm this evening
Weak low pressure over the great lakes will push a cold front
toward our region today. Meanwhile, a secondary low is forecast
to begin developing off CAPE hatteras this afternoon.

We continue to expect snow today in parts of eastern
pennsylvania and northern new jersey. The remainder of our
forecast area should remain mostly cloudy with no precipitation
during the daylight hours.

An initial shot of light snow will affect berks county, the
lehigh valley, the poconos and the northwestern edge of new
jersey early this morning. Any accumulation should be around an
inch or less. The more substantial snow is expected to move into
those areas from the northwest during the course of the
afternoon.

We have made some adjustments to the timing of the winter
weather advisory, delaying the start time in all but berks
county, the lehigh valley and the poconos.

The wind is expected to remain fairly light today. High
temperatures should favor the 30s in eastern pennsylvania and
northern new jersey. Readings are forecast to rise into the
lower 40s on the coastal plain.

Short term 6 pm this evening through Wednesday night
The secondary low is forecast to strengthen gradually as it
moves northward off the coasts of delaware and new jersey
tonight, then over the coastal waters of new england on
Wednesday. The system will likely throw some precipitation back
over our region for tonight and Wednesday morning.

The precipitation type will favor snow. However, the boundary
layer is expected to be warm enough for some rain on the coastal
plain during the first half of the nighttime period.

We continue to expect a substantial snow in the northern part
of our forecast area. Amounts of 4 to 6 inches are anticipated
for the poconos with totals tapering down to perhaps an inch or
two in the philadelphia metropolitan area and southern new
jersey. Little or no snow accumulation is expected for the
delmarva south of the canal and for far southern new jersey.

The precipitation is expected to be mainly off our coast by
Wednesday afternoon with some clearing late in the day.

A light wind for much of tonight should become northwest around
10 mph toward daybreak on Wednesday. The northwest wind is
forecast to increase to 10 to 15 mph on Wednesday with some
gusts near 20 mph.

Low temperatures tonight should be mainly in the 20s. Readings
should recover only slightly on Wednesday with highs mostly in
the upper 20s and lower 30s.

Long term Thursday through Monday
The upper low that affected the weather in the near short term
parts of the forecast will be moving though the tidewater area
and it will take the last of the precip with it. We only has a
few lingering showers Wed evening across the ERN srn most parts
of the area. Sprawling high pressure from the southern
mississippi valley will begin to move into the area. Dry weather
is expected for Wed night and into Thu Fri as the high builds.

Temperatures will be below normal until Friday, when readings
will be near normal.

The high continues to affect the weather this weekend, so more
fair weather is expected. The airmass will moderate as the upper
ridge continues to build. Temperatures will be closer to 10
degrees above normal by Saturday and the near 15 degrees above
normal by Sunday.

The next low pressure system will be rather intense as it moves
from the plains states to the great lakes area early next week.

We will be on the warmer side of the system, so mostly rain is
expected at this time. Temperatures will still be much above
normal Mon before returning closer to normal tue. High chance
and low likely pops (srn poconos) are in the fcst at this time.

Pops decrease back to slgt chc for Tuesday after the cold front
crosses the area.

Aviation 12z Tuesday through Saturday
The following discussion is for kphl, kpne, kttn, kabe, krdg,
kilg, kmiv, kacy and surrounding areas.

Today... MVFR andVFR ceilings today. Snow around krdg and kabe
may briefly reduce conditions to ifr early this morning and
again late this afternoon.

Tonight... Snow developing with conditions lowering to ifr.

Wednesday... The snow is expected to end in the morning with
conditions improving toVFR for the afternoon hours.

Outlook...

wed night...VFR. Fair with W to NW winds 5 to 10 knots.

Thu thru sat...VFR. NW W winds Thu Fri and SW winds sat.

Marine
A small craft advisory will remain in effect for our ocean
waters from manasquan inlet to fenwick island until 6:00 pm.

Wave heights on our outer waters are expected to be around 5
feet due to the residual onshore flow.

There should be a lull early tonight. Low pressure off the
coasts of delaware and new jersey tonight should strengthen as
it moves northeastward on Wednesday. Wind speeds and wave
heights are forecast to increase gradually from late tonight
into Wednesday.

Outlook...

wed night through Thursday: SCA conditions on the ocean with sub-sca
across delaware bay. Fair weather.

Thursday night: SCA conditions diminishing. Fair weather.

Friday through Saturday: sub-sca conditions. Fair weather.

Hydrology
An ice jam continues along the delaware river at trenton, and
flooding has been reported adjacent to the river in bucks and
mercer counties. Several road closures are in place between
morrisville and yardley in pa and along nj state highway 29 in
trenton.

The ice is having an impact on the ability to accurately
forecast the river level in the trenton vicinity. Please use any
forecast levels with caution.

If you live near the delaware river in the trenton and yardley
vicinity, pay special attention to any additional information
that is issued regarding the delaware river. Additional ice jams
may form this weekend when milder conditions arrive.

Phi watches warnings advisories
Pa... Winter weather advisory until 6 am est Wednesday for paz054-
055-060>062.

Winter weather advisory from 4 pm this afternoon to 6 am est
Wednesday for paz101-103-105.

Nj... Winter weather advisory from 4 pm this afternoon to 9 am est
Wednesday for njz008>010.

Winter weather advisory until 9 am est Wednesday for njz001-
007.

De... None.

Md... None.

Marine... Small craft advisory until 6 pm est this evening for
anz451>455.

Synopsis... O'hara
near term... Iovino
short term... Iovino
long term... O'hara
aviation... Iovino o'hara
marine... Iovino o'hara
hydrology... Staff


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
SDHN4 - 8531680 - Sandy Hook, NJ 7 mi47 min E 6 G 8.9 32°F1033.7 hPa
44065 - Entrance to New York Harbor 17 mi75 min NE 5.8 G 9.7 30°F 42°F5 ft1032.8 hPa (+0.5)28°F
BGNN4 - 8519483 - Bergen Point West Reach, NJ 20 mi53 min 33°F1033.1 hPa
MHRN6 21 mi47 min NNE 4.1 G 5.1
ROBN4 - 8530973 - Robins Reef, NJ 21 mi47 min NE 5.1 G 6 28°F 1033.6 hPa
BATN6 - 8518750 - The Battery, NY 24 mi47 min 28°F 35°F1033.7 hPa
KPTN6 - 8516945 - Kings Point, NY 34 mi47 min ESE 4.1 G 6 25°F 32°F1034.3 hPa
NBLP1 - 8548989 - Newbold, PA 41 mi47 min ENE 2.9 G 4.1 27°F 32°F1033.2 hPa
44091 43 mi35 min 42°F6 ft
44025 - LONG ISLAND 33 NM South of Islip, NY 47 mi75 min NNE 7.8 G 9.7 31°F 39°F5 ft1032.9 hPa (+0.6)
BDRN4 - 8539094 - Burlington, Delaware River, NJ 48 mi89 min NE 1.9 G 5.1 32°F1032.3 hPa

Wind History for Sandy Hook, NJ
(wind in knots)    EDIT      (on/off)   Help
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Belmar-Farmingdale, NJ14 mi69 minNNE 310.00 miOvercast28°F25°F88%1033.3 hPa

Wind History from BLM (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrNE11
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NE12NE10NE10NE9NE8NE9NE7E8E10NE6E10E7NE4NE4N3CalmN6NW6NW5NE6N3E4
1 day agoN12
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NW10NW12NW10N11N7N5N6NE7N7N4N7N6N7N7N8N8N8N9
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2 days agoNW15
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NW17NW14NW15NW11NW14NW13NW12NW10NW11

Tide / Current Tables for Oceanic Bridge, Navesink River, Shrewsbury River, New Jersey
   EDIT   RT Ports Option   Weekend mode (on/off)   (on/off)   Help   One Week of Data
Oceanic Bridge
Click for Map
Tue -- 02:44 AM EST     0.01 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 06:48 AM EST     Moonrise
Tue -- 07:16 AM EST     Sunrise
Tue -- 08:25 AM EST     3.62 feet High Tide
Tue -- 03:25 PM EST     -0.15 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 04:45 PM EST     Moonset
Tue -- 04:55 PM EST     Sunset
Tue -- 08:48 PM EST     2.99 feet High Tide
Tue -- 09:18 PM EST     New Moon
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
1.10.50.100.51.42.33.13.63.53.12.41.60.90.3-0.1-00.61.52.32.832.72.2

Tide / Current Tables for The Narrows, Midchannel, New York Harbor, New York Current
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The Narrows
Click for Map
Tue -- 12:06 AM EST     -1.79 knots Max Ebb
Tue -- 03:36 AM EST     0.00 knots Slack
Tue -- 06:17 AM EST     1.92 knots Max Flood
Tue -- 06:49 AM EST     Moonrise
Tue -- 07:17 AM EST     Sunrise
Tue -- 09:22 AM EST     -0.00 knots Slack
Tue -- 12:43 PM EST     -2.08 knots Max Ebb
Tue -- 04:26 PM EST     0.00 knots Slack
Tue -- 04:45 PM EST     Moonset
Tue -- 04:54 PM EST     Sunset
Tue -- 06:44 PM EST     1.42 knots Max Flood
Tue -- 09:18 PM EST     New Moon
Tue -- 09:32 PM EST     -0.00 knots Slack
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
-1.8-1.6-1.2-0.60.51.51.91.81.40.4-0.6-1.4-1.9-2.1-1.8-1.3-0.50.61.31.41.20.5-0.4-1.2

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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Weather Map
wmap_A
IR Satellite Image from GEOS
east_satellite

GOES Local Image of Mid-Atlantic    EDIT
Geos

Wind Forecast for Philadelphia/Mount Holly, PA (8,2,3,4)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Philadelphia, PA
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.