Thursday, November23, 2017 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Port Reading, NJ

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
6/25/2017 - NOAA is having a major issue that impact the 7 day forecast load times. Many users are reporting problems. The issue has been reported.
5/23/2017 - Worked with NOAA again to speed up the 7 day forecast load times. Thanks to them for being responsive.
5/19/2016 - There were issues with the 3 day airport observation history. I switched to another data source. Let me know if you see any issues with the data feeds.

Sunrise 6:52AMSunset 4:34PM Thursday November 23, 2017 9:58 AM EST (14:58 UTC) Moonrise 11:53AMMoonset 9:57PM Illumination 24% Phase: Waxing Crescent; Moon at 5 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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ANZ338 NEw York Harbor- 929 Am Est Thu Nov 23 2017
Today..W winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft or less.
Tonight..W winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft or less.
Fri..W winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming sw in the afternoon. Waves 1 ft or less.
Fri night..SW winds around 10 kt. Waves 1 ft or less.
Sat..SW winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft or less.
Sat night..NW winds 10 to 15 kt. Waves 1 to 2 ft.
Sun..NW winds 15 to 20 kt. Waves around 2 ft.
Sun night..NW winds 10 to 15 kt. Waves around 2 ft.
Mon..W winds 10 to 15 kt, diminishing to 5 to 10 kt in the afternoon. Waves subsiding to 1 ft or less.
Mon night..SW winds around 10 kt. Waves 1 ft or less.
ANZ300 929 Am Est Thu Nov 23 2017
Synopsis for the long island waters and new york harbor.. High pressure builds to the south through Friday, then pushes east of the atlantic coast into Saturday. A cold front approaches from the west Saturday, then crosses the area Saturday night. High pressure then builds in from the southwest through Monday night, then slides off the mid-atlantic coast Tuesday.

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Port Reading, NJ
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location: 40.56, -74.22     debug


Area Discussion for - New York City/Upton, NY
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Fxus61 kokx 231447
afdokx
area forecast discussion
national weather service new york ny
947 am est Thu nov 23 2017

Synopsis
High pressure builds to the south through Friday, then pushes
east of the atlantic coast into Saturday. A cold front
approaches from the west Saturday, then crosses the area
Saturday night. High pressure then builds in from the southwest
through Monday night, then slides off the mid-atlantic coast
Tuesday. A cold front approaches from the west Tuesday night,
then crosses the area on Wednesday.

Near term until 6 pm this evening
Made only minor changes to the hourly temperatures and dew point temperatures
based on the latest observations and trends. This forecast appears
on track.

Otherwise... A 700-500 hpa trough approaches today, but with dry
low-mid levels it should be dry, with just some patchy high
clouds out ahead of it, mainly in the afternoon.

Highs today should be 5-10 degrees below normal, mainly from
around 40 to the lower 40s.

Short term 6 pm this evening through 6 pm Friday
The trough crosses the region in pieces, with the northern
stream portion crossing the area this evening, and the southern
stream portion overnight. Given the unphased nature of the
trough and relatively dry mid-upper levels, have continued with
a dry forecast for tonight. Lows tonight should be around 5
degrees below normal, mainly from the mid 20s to around 30,
except low-mid 30s in the nyc metro.

Southwest flow sets up aloft on Friday, with no notable
shortwave progged to pass over the area in this flow, it should
be dry, with minimal, if any cloud cover. Highs should be near
normal.

Long term Friday night through Wednesday
Sw flow aloft continues Friday night, and absent any shortwaves
in the flow, it should continue to be dry, with minimal cloud
cover. Lows Friday night should be near to slightly above
normal.

A deep layered trough approaches on Saturday, models do differ
on how well phased it is. The GFS is the most coherent between
the northern and southern streams, while the ECMWF cmc NAM have
the northern stream trough progressing quicker than the
southern stream trough, and shearing out as it lifts ne. The
sref has similar coherence to the gfs, but is slower with the
overall system.

Noting that the northern stream currently is more progressive
than the southern stream, have leaned more towards the
ecmwf cmc NAM Saturday Saturday night. However, do have slight
chance pops mainly Saturday afternoon (and into the evening far
e zones) with the addition of lift just ahead of the surface
cold front.

The region remains at the base of a northern stream trough
Sunday-Sunday night. However, given dry low levels, have
continued with a dry forecast.

Deep layered ridging builds from Monday into Tuesday, then
slides off shore through Tuesday night. Subsidence associated
with the ridge should keep things dry, with minimal cloud cover.

Models then differ on Wednesday. The cmc has a closed low N of
the great lakes with and associated full latitude trough
building into the deep south. The ECMWF has a shearing out
northern stream shortwave race by to the north. The GFS is
fairly similar to the ecmwf, however, not quite as flat with the
shortwave overall pattern over the eastern u.S. Since the cmc
appears to be a clear outlier, went with a gfs ECMWF blend. With
expectation of relatively dry-low to mid levels and limited
dynamics to work with, limited pops on Wednesday to slight
chance, as some isolated showers cannot be ruled out.

Temperatures Saturday-Wednesday, start out above normal on
Saturday, should be below normal Sunday-Monday, then above
normal Tuesday and Wednesday.

Aviation 15z Thursday through Monday
High pressure builds to the south through Friday, while a weak
surface trough passes through the area this evening.

Vfr. NW winds 10 kt or less (right of 310 magnetic) this
morning, likely backing to the west (left of 310 magnetic) in
the afternoon.

Ny metro enhanced aviation weather support...

detailed information, including hourly TAF wind component forecasts,
can be found at: http:

Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
MHRN6 6 mi40 min NW 8 G 11
BGNN4 - 8519483 - Bergen Point West Reach, NJ 7 mi40 min 35°F 50°F1020.2 hPa
ROBN4 - 8530973 - Robins Reef, NJ 11 mi40 min NNW 8 G 12 34°F 1020.7 hPa
SDHN4 - 8531680 - Sandy Hook, NJ 13 mi40 min NW 8.9 G 12 34°F 49°F1021.2 hPa
BATN6 - 8518750 - The Battery, NY 15 mi40 min 34°F 51°F1020.6 hPa
44065 - Entrance to New York Harbor 30 mi68 min NW 9.7 G 14 37°F 55°F3 ft1019.4 hPa (+1.2)24°F
KPTN6 - 8516945 - Kings Point, NY 30 mi40 min NE 2.9 G 7 34°F 49°F1020.8 hPa
44022 - Execution Rocks 34 mi43 min N 3.9 G 7.8 38°F 22°F
NBLP1 - 8548989 - Newbold, PA 41 mi40 min N 7 G 11 33°F 44°F1021.5 hPa
44040 - Western Long Island Sound 44 mi69 min NNW 7.8 G 14 35°F 22°F
BDRN4 - 8539094 - Burlington, Delaware River, NJ 48 mi82 min WNW 4.1 G 8 32°F 45°F1021.3 hPa

Wind History for Bergen Point West Reach, NY
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Newark, Newark International Airport, NJ11 mi67 minNW 910.00 miA Few Clouds35°F19°F52%1020.2 hPa
Morristown Municipal, NJ19 mi68 minNNE 410.00 miClear34°F19°F56%1020.3 hPa
New York City, Central Park, NY20 mi67 minWNW 310.00 miFair33°F19°F56%1019.9 hPa
Caldwell, Essex County Airport, NJ22 mi65 minVar 310.00 miFair33°F19°F56%1021 hPa
Teterboro, Teterboro Airport, NJ23 mi67 minNW 510.00 miFair35°F19°F52%1020 hPa
New York, La Guardia Airport, NY24 mi67 minNW 910.00 miA Few Clouds36°F21°F55%1019.9 hPa
New York, Kennedy International Airport, NY24 mi67 minNW 810.00 miA Few Clouds36°F21°F55%1020.4 hPa
Somerville, Somerset Airport, NJ24 mi65 minNW 510.00 miFair34°F21°F59%1020.3 hPa

Wind History from EWR (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrW7NW6NW14
G22
NW17
G21
W19
G23
NW19
G28
NW17NW17
G24
N21
G29
NW19
G25
NW20
G27
NW18
G22
NW14
G22
NW10NW10W9NW12NW9NW9NW8W6W6NW9NW7
1 day agoSW17
G24
SW15
G23
SW15
G21
SW13S15
G18
S14
G21
S6CalmS5S7S4S5S4CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmN4CalmW5NW5NE4
2 days agoW20
G24
W16
G24
W15
G26
W15
G23
W14
G19
W15SW12
G20
SW13
G18
SW8SW12SW8SW9SW12SW10SW11SW7SW7SW8SW6W4W4CalmSW11SW13
G24

Tide / Current Tables for Rossville, Arthur Kill, New York
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Rossville
Click for Map
Thu -- 04:45 AM EST     0.85 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 06:52 AM EST     Sunrise
Thu -- 10:52 AM EST     Moonrise
Thu -- 10:56 AM EST     5.20 feet High Tide
Thu -- 04:33 PM EST     Sunset
Thu -- 05:30 PM EST     0.53 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 08:57 PM EST     Moonset
Thu -- 11:35 PM EST     4.28 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
4.13.32.31.510.91.32.43.64.555.24.94.131.91.10.60.61.22.23.23.94.2

Tide / Current Tables for Bayonne Bridge, Kill van Kull, New York Current
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Bayonne Bridge
Click for Map
Thu -- 01:56 AM EST     -1.23 knots Max Ebb
Thu -- 04:37 AM EST     0.00 knots Slack
Thu -- 06:52 AM EST     Sunrise
Thu -- 07:26 AM EST     1.75 knots Max Flood
Thu -- 10:24 AM EST     -0.00 knots Slack
Thu -- 10:52 AM EST     Moonrise
Thu -- 02:23 PM EST     -1.58 knots Max Ebb
Thu -- 04:33 PM EST     Sunset
Thu -- 05:15 PM EST     0.00 knots Slack
Thu -- 07:56 PM EST     1.65 knots Max Flood
Thu -- 08:56 PM EST     Moonset
Thu -- 11:10 PM EST     -0.00 knots Slack
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
-0.7-1.1-1.2-1-0.40.211.71.60.90.2-0.3-0.8-1.2-1.5-1.5-0.9-0.20.51.31.71.20.50.1

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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Weather Map
wmap_A
IR Satellite Image from GEOS
east_satellite

GOES Local Image of Mid-Atlantic    EDIT
Geos

Wind Forecast for New York City/Upton, NY (9,2,3,4)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Philadelphia, PA
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.