Thursday, March30, 2017 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Point Lookout, NY

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
5/19/2016 - There were issues with the 3 day airport observation history. I switched to another data source. Let me know if you see any issues with the data feeds.
3/12/2015 - Added section for Gulf current for users in the GMZ marine zones.
This was requested by a user. If you have requests, please let me know.

Sunrise 6:38AMSunset 7:19PM Thursday March 30, 2017 8:30 PM EDT (00:30 UTC) Moonrise 8:31AMMoonset 10:26PM Illumination 13% Phase: Waxing Crescent; Moon at 3 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
    EDIT      (on/off)   Help
ANZ355 Sandy Hook Nj To Fire Island Inlet Ny Out 20 Nm- 738 Pm Edt Thu Mar 30 2017
.gale warning in effect from Friday afternoon through Saturday morning...
Tonight..SE winds 5 to 10 kt...increasing to 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt late. Seas 2 to 3 ft. Chance of light rain late this evening. Chance of rain after midnight...then rain likely late.
Fri..E winds 20 to 25 kt. Gusts up to 35 kt in the afternoon. Seas 3 to 5 ft...building to 5 to 8 ft in the afternoon. Rain. Vsby 1 to 3 nm in the afternoon.
Fri night..E winds 25 to 30 kt with gusts up to 35 kt...diminishing to 20 to 25 kt after midnight. Seas 7 to 10 ft. Rain. Vsby 1 to 3 nm.
Sat..N winds 20 to 25 kt with gusts up to 35 kt. Seas 5 to 8 ft. Rain likely...mainly in the morning.
Sat night..N winds 15 to 20 kt...diminishing to 10 to 15 kt after midnight. Seas 4 to 7 ft.
Sun..NW winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft.
Sun night..NW winds 5 to 10 kt...becoming ne after midnight. Seas 2 to 4 ft.
Mon..E winds 5 to 10 kt...becoming se 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft...building to 5 to 7 ft after midnight. Chance of rain in the evening. Rain likely after midnight.
Tue..E winds 15 to 20 kt...becoming ne in the afternoon...then becoming N in the evening...diminishing to 10 to 15 kt after midnight. Seas 5 to 8 ft...subsiding to 4 to 6 ft. Rain likely in the daytime...then chance of rain in the evening.
ANZ300 738 Pm Edt Thu Mar 30 2017
Synopsis for long island waters and new york harbor.. Low pressure will impact the area tonight through Saturday. High pressure builds in for the second half of the weekend. Another low pressure system may impact the waters Monday night and Tuesday.

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Point Lookout, NY
   Hourly   EDIT   Help
location: 40.58, -73.58     debug


Area Discussion for - New York City/Upton, NY
      (on/off)   Help   NOTE: mouseover dotted underlined text for definition
Fxus61 kokx 302120
afdokx
area forecast discussion
national weather service new york ny
520 pm edt Thu mar 30 2017

Synopsis
An area of low pressure will impact the area tonight through
Saturday. Low pressure moves offshore Saturday afternoon and
night followed by high pressure Sunday through Monday. Another
low pressure system impacts the area Monday night and Tuesday.

High pressure briefly returns on Wednesday.

Near term /until 6 am Friday morning/
Subtle warm advection has led to the development of light
precipitation across portions of nj and southeast ny this
afternoon, though observations indicate little is reaching the
ground at this time due to the antecedent dryness of the air
mass. Gradual deep-layer saturation will occur as a potent
short wave approaches from the southwest, leading to
strengthening southwesterly flow that will draw moisture
northward. Although the warm front will remain to the south of
the area tonight, there is some uncertainty in the overall temperature
profiles tonight. The primary precipitation type is expected to
be rain for a majority of the area, though portions of
southeastern ny and ct may have marginal low temperatures in the
mid 30s. With the warm advection above the surface, the profile
may become supportive of brief periods of snow initially, then
perhaps sleet mixed with rain. Minimal accumulations are
anticipated, so no advisories have been issued at this time.

Short term /6 am Friday morning through Friday night/
As the approaching short wave becomes more negatively tilted,
low pressure will rapidly deepen south of the area in response
to height falls and increasing upward motion. The somewhat
extended period of southwesterly flow will allow pwat values to
increase to near 1 inch, with moderate to heavy rain possible
at times. Any potential for thunderstorms largely remains south
of the area in the warm sector so did not add the threat of any
thunderstorms at this time. Surface temperatures once again
fall Friday night, but with the short wave departing eastward
any moisture aloft gradually begins to decrease. As such, any
lingering precipitation overnight will likely be light
rain/drizzle or perhaps ice pellets across the northern areas of
southeastern ny and ct. Winds are expected to increase Friday
night ahead of the deepening low, generally from the east-
northeast around 15-25 mph with gusts to 30 mph.

Long term /Saturday through Thursday/
Deterministic and ensemble models are in overall good agreement on
the continuation of an active weather pattern into next week.

Southern stream upper level cutoff low and associated surface low
will be moving just south of long island Saturday morning, passing
offshore in the afternoon and evening. Deepest moisture and best
large scale lift shifts to the east of the CWA during the morning
hours. However, enough moisture on the backside of the low should
promote light precipitation, tapering off late in the morning and
afternoon. Thermal and moisture profiles indicate the loss of deep
saturation. Surface temperatures across the interior should largely
be above freezing, with some of the cooler locations running close
to the freezing mark to start the day. Not expecting any snow with
loss of deep saturation and warm nose between 875 and 700 mb. There
is some room below this layer for a few ice pellets, although the
depth of the layer below freezing is rather shallow. It is entirely
possible that much of the lingering precipitation is in the form of
light rain. Precipitation ends by early afternoon with low clouds
likely to linger through the rest of the day. Went below guidance on
temperatures due to NE flow around the low and abundance of clouds.

Highs range from near 40 inland to the middle/upper 40s closer to
the coast. It will also be breezy behind the low with winds gusting
25 to 30 mph at times.

High pressure builds in Saturday night and settles over the area as
upper ridging approaches. Ridging at the surface and aloft will
continue into Monday before sliding offshore by Monday night.

The next system low pressure system to impact the area is Monday
night into Tuesday. The low is mostly associated with a vigorous
southern stream shortwave that lifts north from the gulf coast
region on Monday and then passes near or just south on Tuesday.

This system has a deep moisture feed off the gulf of mexico and
western atlantic and this is well illustrated by models showing pwat
values pushing 1.50 inches or around 250% of normal. There are
differences among the deterministic and ensemble runs on the
placement of the heaviest precip likely due to amplitude of the
shortwave and placement of warm front. Have increased pops to likely
with this forecast package as every GEFS member is showing potential
for a significant rainfall across at least some portion of the cwa.

The shortwave and associated low move offshore Tuesday night.

Brief ridging returns on Wednesday ahead of another low pressure and
shortwave that could impact the region on Thursday.

Near seasonable temperatures are forecast Sunday through Tuesday
although temperatures on Tuesday will be highly dependent on how far
north the warm front gets. Temperatures trend above normal for the
middle of the week.

Aviation /21z Thursday through Tuesday/
Vfr conditions are expected through the first half of tonight
as high pressure drifts east of the region. MVFR conditions
develop after 06z as low pressure approaches. Conditions
gradually fall towards daybreak, with ifr conditions or less
developing after 14-15z in rain. At kswf, a mix of rain and ice
pellets will be possible.

South-southeast flow prevails this evening with wind speeds
remaining below 10 kt. Late tonight, the wind direction becomes
more easterly, and during the morning hours on Friday, speeds
will increase to 10-15kt, with gusts into the 20 kt range.

Ny metro enhanced aviation weather support...

detailed information, including hourly TAF wind component fcsts,
can be found at:
http:/

Weather Reporting Stations
   EDIT       (on/off)   Help   NOTE: Click on distance to see the station location on a map
Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
44065 - Entrance to New York Harbor 16 mi40 min SSW 14 G 16 42°F 42°F3 ft1020.8 hPa (-0.7)33°F
KPTN6 - 8516945 - Kings Point, NY 19 mi42 min 12 G 14 43°F 43°F1020.8 hPa
SDHN4 - 8531680 - Sandy Hook, NJ 24 mi42 min S 9.9 G 11 43°F 45°F1020.1 hPa
BATN6 - 8518750 - The Battery, NY 24 mi42 min 44°F 42°F1020.3 hPa
ROBN4 - 8530973 - Robins Reef, NJ 26 mi42 min SSE 14 G 16 43°F 1020.7 hPa
44040 - Western Long Island Sound 26 mi45 min SSW 5.8 G 7.8 42°F 33°F
BGNN4 - 8519483 - Bergen Point West Reach, NJ 30 mi42 min 45°F 44°F1020.4 hPa
MHRN6 31 mi42 min S 5.1 G 11
44025 - LONG ISLAND 33 NM South of Islip, NY 32 mi40 min S 9.7 G 12 42°F 42°F3 ft1020.9 hPa (-0.5)
BRHC3 - 8467150 - Bridgeport, CT 46 mi42 min S 6 G 8.9 42°F 1020 hPa

Wind History for Kings Point, NY
(wind in knots)    EDIT      (on/off)   Help
8
PM
9
PM
10
PM
11
PM
12
AM
1
AM
2
AM
3
AM
4
AM
5
AM
6
AM
7
AM
8
AM
9
AM
10
AM
11
AM
12
PM
1
PM
2
PM
3
PM
4
PM
5
PM
6
PM
7
PM
Last
24hr
NE5
NE9
G12
NE17
NE12
G15
NE11
G16
NE7
NE9
G12
NE3
NE6
NE4
NE4
G7
NE8
G11
NE8
G11
E5
G10
NE6
G9
E1
G6
--
--
--
--
--
SW11
G14
SW10
G13
SW10
1 day
ago
NE3
E4
G8
--
--
--
--
--
NE7
NE13
G20
NE10
G13
NE9
NE7
G11
NE10
G16
N10
G14
NE11
NE11
G14
NE6
NE7
G16
NE16
N17
NE14
G19
NE13
G18
NE13
G16
2 days
ago
--
--
NE4
--
--
--
E1
G5
--
NE9
SE4
G7
NE4
E2
E3
G9
E2
G6
--
E7
G11
NE4
G7
E1
G5
E6
G12
E4
G9
E1
G8
E5
G9
E7
G10

Airport Reports
    EDIT      (on/off)   Help   Click EDIT to display multiple airports
AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
New York, Kennedy International Airport, NY12 mi39 minSSW 1410.00 miLight Rain43°F30°F63%1021.6 hPa
Farmingdale - Republic Airport, NY14 mi37 minSSW 910.00 miOvercast42°F30°F65%1020.9 hPa
New York, La Guardia Airport, NY21 mi39 minS 1010.00 miLight Rain45°F30°F56%1020.2 hPa

Wind History from JFK (wind in knots)
9
PM
10
PM
11
PM
12
AM
1
AM
2
AM
3
AM
4
AM
5
AM
6
AM
7
AM
8
AM
9
AM
10
AM
11
AM
12
PM
1
PM
2
PM
3
PM
4
PM
5
PM
6
PM
7
PM
8
PM
Last 24hrN9N16
G21
N17
G23
N14
G22
N13
G21
N5N7N8N5N7N6NE8N12NE13N113--S10S8S10S9S13S10SW14
1 day agoN8N12N5N6N6N5N6N11N12N12N14N14N15N16
G23
N20
G26
NW14N17NW19
G23
N14
G22
NW16
G23
NW18
G22
NW16
G23
NW20
G27
N13
2 days agoNE4E4E3E5E4NE6NE7SE4E8E6E5E8NE9E63E16E10NE3E6NE9N7N6N8N10

Tide / Current Tables for Jones Inlet (Point Lookout), Long Island, New York
   EDIT   RT Ports Option   Weekend mode (on/off)   (on/off)   Help   One Week of Data
Jones Inlet (Point Lookout)
Click for Map
Thu -- 04:03 AM EDT     -0.57 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 06:40 AM EDT     Sunrise
Thu -- 08:31 AM EDT     Moonrise
Thu -- 10:03 AM EDT     4.18 feet High Tide
Thu -- 04:13 PM EDT     -0.52 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 07:17 PM EDT     Sunset
Thu -- 10:21 PM EDT     4.52 feet High Tide
Thu -- 10:25 PM EDT     Moonset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
2.91.70.6-0.2-0.6-0.20.723.13.94.23.93.11.90.8-0.1-0.5-0.30.61.93.24.14.54.4

Tide / Current Tables for Throg's Neck, Long Island Sound, New York Current
   EDIT      (on/off)   Help   One Week of Data
Throg's Neck
Click for Map
Thu -- 02:14 AM EDT     -0.88 knots Max Ebb
Thu -- 04:52 AM EDT     0.00 knots Slack
Thu -- 06:41 AM EDT     Sunrise
Thu -- 08:32 AM EDT     Moonrise
Thu -- 08:36 AM EDT     1.15 knots Max Flood
Thu -- 11:07 AM EDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Thu -- 02:40 PM EDT     -0.84 knots Max Ebb
Thu -- 05:17 PM EDT     0.00 knots Slack
Thu -- 07:18 PM EDT     Sunset
Thu -- 09:00 PM EDT     1.11 knots Max Flood
Thu -- 10:27 PM EDT     Moonset
Thu -- 11:25 PM EDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
-0.4-0.7-0.9-0.8-0.400.30.611.10.60-0.3-0.5-0.8-0.8-0.6-0.10.20.40.81.10.80.2

Weather Map and Satellite Images
       (on/off)   Help
Weather Map
wmap_A
IR Satellite Image from GEOS
east_satellite

GOES Local Image of Northeast    EDIT
Geos

Wind Forecast for New York City/Upton, NY (20,4,5,8)
      (on/off)   Help

Ground Weather Radar Station Upton, NY
   (on/off)   Help
weather_mapweather_map weather_map

Ad by Google

Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.