Monday, May29, 2017 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Bayonne, NJ

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
5/23/2017 - Worked with NOAA again to speed up the 7 day forecast load times. Thanks to them for being responsive.
5/19/2016 - There were issues with the 3 day airport observation history. I switched to another data source. Let me know if you see any issues with the data feeds.

Sunrise 5:26AMSunset 8:20PM Monday May 29, 2017 11:15 AM EDT (15:15 UTC) Moonrise 9:34AMMoonset 12:00AM Illumination 17% Phase: Waxing Crescent; Moon at 4 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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ANZ338 NEw York Harbor- 1015 Am Edt Mon May 29 2017
Today..E winds 10 to 15 kt...diminishing to 5 to 10 kt this afternoon. Waves 2 to 3 ft. Showers late this morning and early afternoon...then chance of showers late. Patchy fog. Vsby 1 to 3 nm.
Tonight..E winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves around 2 ft in the evening... Then 1 ft or less. Chance of showers in the evening. Patchy drizzle. Patchy fog. Vsby 1 to 3 nm.
Tue..SE winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft or less. Patchy fog in the morning with vsby 1 to 3 nm.
Tue night..SE winds 5 to 10 kt...diminishing to around 5 kt after midnight. Waves 1 ft or less. Showers likely.
Wed..W winds around 5 kt...becoming sw in the afternoon. Waves 1 ft or less. Chance of showers in the afternoon.
Wed night..W winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft or less.
Thu..W winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft or less.
Fri..SW winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft or less. Chance of showers at night.
ANZ300 1015 Am Edt Mon May 29 2017
Synopsis for long island waters and new york harbor.. A low pressure system passes to the south...then southeast through tonight. A weak frontal boundary approaches from the west Tuesday then crosses the area Tuesday night. A weak cold front then moves over the tri-state from Wednesday into Wednesday night. High pressure builds across the mid-atlantic coast Thursday and Thursday night. A cold front approaches from the west Friday.

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Bayonne, NJ
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location: 40.59, -74.03     debug


Area Discussion for - New York City/Upton, NY
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Fxus61 kokx 291426
afdokx
area forecast discussion
national weather service new york ny
1026 am edt Mon may 29 2017

Synopsis
A low pressure system approaches passes through into this
evening. A weak cold front approaches from the west Tuesday,
then crosses the area Tuesday night... Followed by another on
Wednesday. High pressure then builds to the south through
Thursday night. Another cold front approaches on Friday then
slowly crosses the area Friday night.

Near term until 6 pm this evening
Two vorticity maximums ahead of a broader upper low to the west
are influencing the development of showers across the area this
morning. Localized brief moderate to heavy rainfall will be
possible as another round moves across nj into portions of
southern ny ct including long island, evident in upstream
observations and given convective appearance on satellite.

Showers gradually taper off from west to east by evening, though
with onshore flow expect a continuation of patchy drizzle and
fog.

Unseasonably cool temperatures today as clouds and rain keep
temperatures in the upper 50s to around 60 for highs, some 10 to
15 degrees below normal.

There is a moderate risk of rip currents for area beaches.

Short term 6 pm this evening through 6 pm Tuesday
Frontal system pushes east of the area tonight, along with the
coastal storm. After some lingering showers early this evening,
conditions should remain dry. However, drizzle and fog may
persist overnight, with low level moisture trapped under an
inversion.

Another front approaches slowly from the west. Chances for rain
increase from west to east during the day Tuesday. Enough
instability for some thunder, but nothing severe expected.

Temperatures continue to be below normal.

Long term Tuesday night through Sunday
The models continue to have differences in how they handle the very
broad closed low that will be over SE canada Tuesday night through
Thursday night. As a result they also differ in the strength and
timing of shortwaves rotating around the base of the low, and hence
on the precise timing of precipitation during this time frame.

However, do have likely pops in for Tuesday night, as the models do
agree there should be some measurable rainfall across the region
then, but do have differences in timing during the night. Lows
Tuesday night should be a few degrees above normal.

For Wednesday and Wednesday night have mainly chance pops across
northern zones and slight chance pops across southern zones. With
showalter indices progged to 0 to -2, also have a slight chance of
thunder in for Wednesday afternoon and evening. Highs Wednesday and
lows Wednesday night should be a few degrees above normal as well.

Zonal flow sets up Thursday and Thursday night, and it appears the
region and with significant shortwaves progged to the NE and NW during
this time frame, have gone with a dry forecast then.

The model differences become even more noticeable Friday-Saturday.

For Friday, do have chance pops throughout by afternoon and continue
through Friday evening (along with a slight chance of thunder). Then
limit pops to slight chance from late Friday night-Saturday morning.

Then go with a dry forecast late Saturday Saturday night as both the
gfs and ECMWF show the core of the closed low to the NE then.

The new ECMWF has joined the 00z GFS in keeping Sunday dry, but
noting it previously had a coastal low approaching (now just
suppressed farther s), do have slight chance pops for Sunday.

Temperatures Thursday through Saturday night will feature near
normal highs and lows a few degrees above normal. Highs Sunday are
currently forecast to be a few degrees below normal.

Aviation 14z Monday through Friday
A weakening frontal system will approach from the west, while
low pressure passes off to the southeast today. The area will
be between the two systems, under an area of weak high
pressure. This will result in widespread clouds and periods of
light rain and or drizzle.

Expect widespread MVFR CIGS through this evening, with local
ifr at khpn. Showers moving in from the west could bring tempo
ifr vsby to the nyc metros toward midday, with thunder chances
nil as instability off to the west weakens. Thereafter could see
tempo ifr CIGS at any time from mid afternoon into the evening,
but the main push for ifr CIGS looks to be after midnight
tonight.

High confidence in E to ene winds 8-15 kt this morning,
diminishing to 10 kt or less this afternoon. Confidence still
only medium at best on wind direction this evening, which could
range anywhere from NW to se, but speeds should be light.

Ny metro enhanced aviation weather support...

detailed information, including hourly TAF wind component fcsts,
can be found at: http:

Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
ROBN4 - 8530973 - Robins Reef, NJ 5 mi46 min E 8 G 9.9 57°F 1013.7 hPa
BGNN4 - 8519483 - Bergen Point West Reach, NJ 7 mi46 min 58°F 61°F1013.2 hPa
MHRN6 8 mi46 min E 8.9 G 9.9
BATN6 - 8518750 - The Battery, NY 8 mi46 min 58°F 60°F1013 hPa
SDHN4 - 8531680 - Sandy Hook, NJ 9 mi46 min E 11 G 17 56°F 60°F1012.3 hPa
KPTN6 - 8516945 - Kings Point, NY 21 mi46 min E 4.1 G 8 57°F 59°F1013.3 hPa
44065 - Entrance to New York Harbor 23 mi86 min ENE 16 G 19 56°F 57°F6 ft1012.2 hPa (+0.6)55°F
44022 - Execution Rocks 26 mi46 min E 16 G 21 57°F 54°F
44040 - Western Long Island Sound 35 mi61 min E 18 G 23 56°F 3 ft53°F
NBLP1 - 8548989 - Newbold, PA 49 mi46 min E 2.9 G 6 58°F 66°F1013.2 hPa

Wind History for Robbins Reef, NJ
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SE14
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Newark, Newark International Airport, NJ11 mi25 minE 57.00 miLight Rain58°F54°F87%1013.6 hPa
New York City, Central Park, NY13 mi25 minESE 89.00 miLight Rain57°F55°F93%1013.5 hPa
New York, Kennedy International Airport, NY14 mi25 minE 910.00 miLight Rain58°F55°F90%1013.8 hPa
New York, La Guardia Airport, NY15 mi25 minNE 710.00 miLight Rain59°F52°F78%1013.6 hPa
Teterboro, Teterboro Airport, NJ19 mi25 minENE 75.00 miLight Rain Fog/Mist57°F54°F90%1013.4 hPa
Caldwell, Essex County Airport, NJ24 mi23 minE 69.00 miLight Rain58°F54°F87%1014.4 hPa

Wind History from EWR (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrE10SE9
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SE6SE10E8E8E6E6E9E7E8NE6E86E6E4E5
1 day agoE7E7W106W6SW7W8W7W5E7E7E7CalmE4E3E3SE3CalmNE3E3E53E6SE7
2 days agoSW15
G22
W17W14
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W12NW10
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W15W14W11W8NW11NW5NW10NW11SW6W3SW3SW4SW4CalmCalmNW8NW5NW6

Tide / Current Tables for Fort Hamilton, The Narrows, New York
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Fort Hamilton
Click for Map
Mon -- 05:28 AM EDT     Sunrise
Mon -- 05:46 AM EDT     -0.57 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 09:34 AM EDT     Moonrise
Mon -- 11:47 AM EDT     5.22 feet High Tide
Mon -- 05:50 PM EDT     -0.03 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 08:18 PM EDT     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
5.84.83.41.90.6-0.3-0.50.11.42.94.155.24.73.52.21.10.2-00.61.83.34.65.5

Tide / Current Tables for The Narrows, Midchannel, New York Harbor, New York Current
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The Narrows
Click for Map
Mon -- 01:13 AM EDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Mon -- 04:29 AM EDT     -2.58 knots Max Ebb
Mon -- 05:28 AM EDT     Sunrise
Mon -- 08:11 AM EDT     0.00 knots Slack
Mon -- 09:34 AM EDT     Moonrise
Mon -- 10:35 AM EDT     1.79 knots Max Flood
Mon -- 01:35 PM EDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Mon -- 04:45 PM EDT     -2.20 knots Max Ebb
Mon -- 08:13 PM EDT     0.00 knots Slack
Mon -- 08:18 PM EDT     Sunset
Mon -- 10:55 PM EDT     2.14 knots Max Flood
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
1.50.3-1-1.9-2.5-2.5-1.9-1.2-0.211.71.81.50.7-0.5-1.4-2-2.2-1.7-1-0.20.91.92.1

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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Weather Map
wmap_A
IR Satellite Image from GEOS
east_satellite

GOES Local Image of Mid-Atlantic    EDIT
Geos

Wind Forecast for New York City/Upton, NY (11,2,3,4)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Upton, NY
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.