Monday, March27, 2017 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Island Park, NY

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
5/19/2016 - There were issues with the 3 day airport observation history. I switched to another data source. Let me know if you see any issues with the data feeds.
3/12/2015 - Added section for Gulf current for users in the GMZ marine zones.
This was requested by a user. If you have requests, please let me know.

Sunrise 6:43AMSunset 7:16PM Monday March 27, 2017 6:34 PM EDT (22:34 UTC) Moonrise 6:40AMMoonset 6:53PM Illumination 0% Phase: New Moon; Moon at 0 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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ANZ355 Sandy Hook Nj To Fire Island Inlet Ny Out 20 Nm- 408 Pm Edt Mon Mar 27 2017
.dense fog advisory in effect from midnight tonight to noon edt Tuesday...
Tonight..W winds around 5 kt...becoming E 5 to 10 kt. Seas around 3 ft. Patchy fog this evening. Areas of dense fog after midnight. Light rain likely after midnight...mainly late. Vsby 1 to 3 nm...decreasing to 1 nm or less after midnight.
Tue..NE winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas around 3 ft. Rain likely... Mainly in the morning. Areas of fog in the morning...then patchy fog in the afternoon. Vsby 1 nm or less...increasing to 1 to 3 nm in the afternoon.
Tue night..NE winds 5 to 10 kt...becoming N after midnight. Seas 2 to 4 ft. Rain likely. Areas of fog. Vsby 1 nm or less.
Wed..N winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft.
Wed night..N winds around 15 kt with gusts up to 25 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft.
Thu..N winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 25 kt...becoming ne 5 to 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas 2 to 4 ft.
Thu night..S winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas around 2 ft.
Fri..SE winds 10 to 15 kt...increasing to 15 to 20 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft...building to 5 to 8 ft. Rain likely .
Sat..N winds 15 to 20 kt...diminishing to 10 to 15 kt after midnight. Seas 4 to 7 ft...subsiding to 3 to 5 ft after midnight. Rain likely...mainly in the morning.
ANZ300 408 Pm Edt Mon Mar 27 2017
Synopsis for long island waters and new york harbor.. A nearly stationary front over the water this evening will sink just to the S of the coastal waters tonight...and remain there through Tue as as weak low pres approaches from the w. The low will pass to the S Tue night. High pressure builds in for Wednesday and Thursday...and shifts offshore Thursday night. A low pressure system approaches from the central united states Thursday night and impacts the region Friday and Saturday. High pressure returns for Sunday.

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Island Park, NY
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location: 40.6, -73.65     debug


Area Discussion for - New York City/Upton, NY
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Fxus61 kokx 272027
afdokx
area forecast discussion
national weather service new york ny
427 pm edt Mon mar 27 2017

Synopsis
A nearly stationary front will sink to the south tonight, and
remain just south through Tuesday. Weak low pressure will also
approach on Tuesday, and pass south Tuesday night. High pressure
will build in for Wednesday and Thursday, and shifts offshore
Thursday night. A low pressure system will approach from the
central states Thursday night, and impact the region Friday and
Saturday. High pressure will return for Sunday.

Near term /until 6 am Tuesday morning/
The front at 20z bisected the area, running from the lower half
of nyc to near groton ct. As a wave of low pressure develops
east of new england this evening, the front should sink to the
south, with winds becoming variable and then settling in from
the east late. This may bring somewhat drier air in initially,
but then with light winds and nearly saturated low levels, dense
fog is likely to develop, especially across southern ct and long
island where a dense fog advy has been issued. Rain approaching
from the west ahead of the next weak wave of low pressure may
prevent the fog from becoming dense farther west, but this
remain uncertain.

Lows tonight should range from the mid 40s INVOF nyc, to the
lower 40s most elsewhere, to the upper 30s across most of
southern ct.

Short term /6 am Tuesday morning through Tuesday night/
Rain is likely over the area in the morning as a mid level
impulse moves across. There is some elevated instability, enough
to enhance rainfall rates but not quite enough for a mention of
thunder. Then we should see a relative lull in precip until
a weak low moves off the mid atlantic coast Tue evening and its
associated upper trough move across. Once again there could be
enough elevated instability to enhance rainfall rates in the
evening, especially per the NAM which may be too unstable aloft,
so once again did not mention thunder. Also expect fog to
redevelop Tue night, though with the air mass not quite as
saturated and more of an offshore wind component, dense fog
appears less likely.

Highs on Tue should be 50-55 from nyc west, and in the upper
40s to near 50s most elsewhere. Lows Tue night should range from
40-45 nyc metro and long island, to the upper 30s inland.

Long term /Wednesday through Monday/
Typical spring pattern during this period with a deep closed low
emerging into the central us for the midweek... And then slowly
translating to the east coast by late week/weekend. The pattern then
repeats itself with another deep closed low emerging into the
southern plains by early next week.

Locally a northern stream trough over the region Wednesday slides
east Thursday... With model sensitivity and forecast challenge in the
interaction of the central plains closed low with a northern stream
shortwave over the ohio valley/great lakes Friday before it slide to
the east coast Saturday. Appears to be increasing agreement in
gefs/eps and operational gfs/ecmwf/gem on the opening shortwave
staying detached/far enough south for associated low pressure to
approach the mid atlantic and track over or just south of the region
fri/sat. Since this is still 4-5 days away will have to monitor this
interaction... As the low track could trend north if the interaction
w/ northern stream increases.

A low pressure system tracking to the south of the region would
spell potential for a period of wintry precip to start... A wind
swept rain... And at least minor coastal flood concerns fri/sat.

Farther north development/intensification would spell lesser
potential and duration of wintry precip, rain or coastal flooding.

Before then dry and seasonably mild conditions expected Wed and thu
as canadian high pressure builds into the region. In the wake of low
pressure... Generally dry and mild conditions expected sun/mon with a
generally zonal upper flow and pac airmass overspreading the area.

Aviation /20z Monday through Saturday/
A warm front will remain in the vicinity of the terminals this
afternoon.

Expect low stratus with periods of fog through the forecast period.

Cigs may improve to MVFR for a period this afternoon/evening,
however overnight, they are expected to fall back to ifr or
lower. Visibilities have improved toVFR in most spots. This
too should only last through the afternoon/evening, then vsbys
fall back below ifr or less as fog re-develops. There is a
chance that vsbys fall to 1/4 mile or less, however will leave
out of the tafs for now and will monitor through the evening.

Winds will remain less than 10 kt through the afternoon and
evening, before falling to light and variable overnight. Some
locations may even become calm.

Ny metro enhanced aviation weather support...

detailed information, including hourly TAF wind component forecasts,
can be found at: http:/

Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
KPTN6 - 8516945 - Kings Point, NY 16 mi46 min 1.9 G 4.1 42°F 40°F1015.3 hPa
44065 - Entrance to New York Harbor 16 mi44 min SE 3.9 G 3.9 46°F 44°F3 ft1015.7 hPa (-1.2)46°F
SDHN4 - 8531680 - Sandy Hook, NJ 21 mi46 min SSE 1 G 1.9 50°F 43°F1014.3 hPa
BATN6 - 8518750 - The Battery, NY 21 mi46 min 57°F 42°F1014.8 hPa
ROBN4 - 8530973 - Robins Reef, NJ 22 mi46 min SE 2.9 G 5.1 51°F 1015.2 hPa
44040 - Western Long Island Sound 25 mi49 min ENE 1.9 G 3.9 41°F 1 ft40°F
BGNN4 - 8519483 - Bergen Point West Reach, NJ 26 mi46 min 56°F 42°F1014.9 hPa
MHRN6 27 mi46 min SW 5.1 G 8
44025 - LONG ISLAND 33 NM South of Islip, NY 35 mi44 min ESE 3.9 G 3.9 43°F 42°F4 ft1015.5 hPa (-1.0)
BRHC3 - 8467150 - Bridgeport, CT 47 mi52 min SSE 1.9 G 2.9 42°F 1015.2 hPa

Wind History for Kings Point, NY
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
New York, Kennedy International Airport, NY8 mi43 minSW 710.00 miMostly Cloudy55°F50°F83%1015.5 hPa
Farmingdale - Republic Airport, NY16 mi41 minENE 49.00 miOvercast53°F46°F80%1015.5 hPa
New York, La Guardia Airport, NY17 mi43 minENE 710.00 miOvercast48°F43°F83%1015.3 hPa
New York City, Central Park, NY21 mi43 minNE 58.00 miOvercast51°F44°F77%1015.3 hPa

Wind History from JFK (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrE11E7NE9E10E12NE9NE8NE7E8E7NE6E5E6E8E6E3CalmN3CalmW5W7W106SW7
1 day agoSE8E9NE8E7NE11NE10NE8NE11NE7NE8NE10NE9NE10NE10NE10NE10E10E13E15E14E12E10E13E14
2 days agoS11S11S8SW8S6S7S8S11S8S4W12W13W7W5N4SW3Calm5S5N8N8SE9E6NE14

Tide / Current Tables for Long Beach, Long Island, New York
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Long Beach
Click for Map
Mon -- 02:07 AM EDT     -0.33 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 06:40 AM EDT     Moonrise
Mon -- 06:46 AM EDT     Sunrise
Mon -- 08:22 AM EDT     4.64 feet High Tide
Mon -- 02:28 PM EDT     -0.53 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 06:53 PM EDT     Moonset
Mon -- 07:14 PM EDT     Sunset
Mon -- 08:43 PM EDT     4.71 feet High Tide
Mon -- 10:59 PM EDT     New Moon
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
0.90.1-0.3-0.10.82.13.24.14.64.53.72.51.20.2-0.4-0.40.31.52.93.94.64.74.13

Tide / Current Tables for Throg's Neck, Long Island Sound, New York Current
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Throg's Neck
Click for Map
Mon -- 02:38 AM EDT     0.00 knots Slack
Mon -- 06:09 AM EDT     1.12 knots Max Flood
Mon -- 06:41 AM EDT     Moonrise
Mon -- 06:46 AM EDT     Sunrise
Mon -- 08:55 AM EDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Mon -- 12:19 PM EDT     -0.81 knots Max Ebb
Mon -- 03:01 PM EDT     0.00 knots Slack
Mon -- 06:33 PM EDT     1.09 knots Max Flood
Mon -- 06:53 PM EDT     Moonset
Mon -- 07:15 PM EDT     Sunset
Mon -- 09:06 PM EDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Mon -- 10:59 PM EDT     New Moon
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
-0.8-0.6-0.20.10.30.71.10.90.3-0-0.3-0.6-0.8-0.7-0.4-00.20.5110.50-0.2-0.5

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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Weather Map
wmap_A
IR Satellite Image from GEOS
east_satellite

GOES Local Image of Northeast    EDIT
Geos

Wind Forecast for New York City/Upton, NY (18,4,5,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Upton, NY
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.