Wednesday, June28, 2017 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Fire Island, NY

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
6/25/2017 - NOAA is having a major issue that impact the 7 day forecast load times. Many users are reporting problems. The issue has been reported.
5/23/2017 - Worked with NOAA again to speed up the 7 day forecast load times. Thanks to them for being responsive.
5/19/2016 - There were issues with the 3 day airport observation history. I switched to another data source. Let me know if you see any issues with the data feeds.

Sunrise 5:23AMSunset 8:30PM Wednesday June 28, 2017 6:49 PM EDT (22:49 UTC) Moonrise 10:32AMMoonset 11:57PM Illumination 24% Phase: Waxing Crescent; Moon at 5 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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ANZ345 South Shore Bays From Jones Inlet Through Shinnecock Bay- 352 Pm Edt Wed Jun 28 2017
.small craft advisory in effect from Thursday afternoon through Thursday evening...
Tonight..SW winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt, diminishing to 5 to 10 kt late. Waves 1 to 2 ft this evening, then 1 ft or less.
Thu..SW winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt, becoming S 15 to 20 kt in the afternoon with occasional gusts up to 35 kt late. Waves 1 to 2 ft.
Thu night..SW winds 15 to 20 kt with gusts up to 30 kt, diminishing to 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt after midnight. Waves around 2 ft.
Fri..SW winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt. Waves 1 to 2 ft.
Fri night..SW winds 15 to 20 kt, diminishing to 10 to 15 kt after midnight. Waves around 2 ft.
Sat..SW winds around 10 kt, becoming S in the afternoon. Waves around 1 ft.
Sat night..S winds 10 to 15 kt. Waves 1 to 2 ft. Chance of showers and tstms after midnight.
Sun..W winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft or less. Chance of showers and tstms in the daytime.
Mon..W winds around 5 kt, becoming sw in the afternoon, then becoming W after midnight. Waves 1 ft or less. Winds and waves higher in and near tstms.
ANZ300 352 Pm Edt Wed Jun 28 2017
Synopsis for the long island waters and new york harbor.. High pressure will continue to build eastward and become nearly stationary off the mid atlantic coast, while a warm front passes well to the north. The offshore high will dominate from Friday into Saturday before a cold front moves through on Sunday. The front may then become stationary just to the south early next week.

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Fire Island, NY
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location: 40.61, -73.23     debug


Area Discussion for - New York City/Upton, NY
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Fxus61 kokx 282152
afdokx
area forecast discussion
national weather service new york ny
552 pm edt Wed jun 28 2017

Synopsis
High pressure will continue to build eastward and become nearly
stationary off the mid atlantic coast, while a warm front passes
well to the north. The offshore high will dominate from Friday
into Saturday before a cold front moves through on Sunday. The
front may then become stationary just to the south early next
week.

Near term until 6 am Thursday morning
Afternoon CU are already scattering out more quickly than
anticipated, so expect a mostly clear night. Thin high clouds
could arrive this evening, then also some mid level clouds as a
mid level vort MAX outruns a flattening upper ridge to the
west. Lows tonight should be close to or a few degrees below mos
guidance mins, with 55-60 well inland and across much of
eastern long island, and 60-65 elsewhere.

Short term 6 am Thursday morning through Thursday night
The pressure gradient will tighten up by afternoon as the high
moves out over the atlantic, and as a warm front out ahead of
low pressure in the upper great lakes sets up across upstate ny
and new england, s-sw winds will increase to 15-25 mph with
gusts 30-35 mph, and it is quite possible that much of long
island and southern ct could see peak wind gusts close to 40 mph
late in the afternoon. Temps away from immediate south-facing
shores should peak in the 80s, though if the stronger southerly
flow kicks in sooner than expected, much of long island may not
make it out of the 70s. Highs in urban NE nj may approach 90.

Dangerous rip currents are expected at the ocean beaches,
particularly in the afternoon and evening.

For Thu night, with the warm front well off to the north do not
expect much of any precip, though eastern areas could see some
mid level clouds as an area of mid level moisture and weak
instability rides across. It will also be warmer and more humid
than recent nights, with lows 65-70.

Long term Friday through Wednesday
Bermuda high pressure will continue to usher in warmer and more
humid air from Friday into Sunday. There is a chance for showers
and thunderstorms each period, with the better chances during
the afternoon and early evening both Saturday and Sunday.

Drier and less humid conditions return on Monday with the next
chance at showers and storms on Tuesday and Wednesday.

Temperatures Friday and Saturday will be in the upper 80s with
increasing humidity levels. A few 90 degree readings are also
possible in the nyc metro and NE nj. MAX heat indices look to stay
in the lower 90s both days at this time at these locations, with
upper 80s elsewhere. Closer to the coast, onshore flow will keep
highs in the lower to middle 80s. Temperatures should be a bit
cooler on Sunday in the lower and middle 80s due to increasing
clouds and higher coverage of showers storms. Highs should
gradually fall back closer to normal early next week.

Aviation 22z Wednesday through Monday
High pressure will continue to build into the region before
drifting offshore on Thursday.

Vfr. Westerly winds back SW this evening outside of sea breezes.

Sw or S winds behind sea breeze passage should prevail into
this evening. Winds diminish this evening as well.

Ny metro enhanced aviation weather support...

detailed information, including hourly TAF wind component fcsts,
can be found at http:

Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
44069 10 mi50 min SSW 18 G 21 70°F 75°F62°F
44025 - LONG ISLAND 33 NM South of Islip, NY 25 mi60 min SW 19 G 21 69°F 70°F2 ft1019.1 hPa (-0.7)
44065 - Entrance to New York Harbor 30 mi60 min SSW 19 G 23 69°F 69°F2 ft1019.1 hPa (-0.7)59°F
44040 - Western Long Island Sound 30 mi50 min WSW 3.9 G 5.8 74°F 56°F
KPTN6 - 8516945 - Kings Point, NY 32 mi50 min NW 6 G 9.9 75°F 65°F1018.4 hPa (-0.7)
44022 - Execution Rocks 32 mi50 min W 5.8 G 12 74°F 52°F
BRHC3 - 8467150 - Bridgeport, CT 39 mi50 min W 4.1 G 9.9 78°F 1017.4 hPa (-0.7)
SDHN4 - 8531680 - Sandy Hook, NJ 42 mi50 min W 9.9 G 11 76°F 73°F1018.4 hPa (-0.4)
BATN6 - 8518750 - The Battery, NY 42 mi50 min 77°F 69°F1018.5 hPa (-0.4)
ROBN4 - 8530973 - Robins Reef, NJ 44 mi50 min WNW 12 G 19 1019.2 hPa (-0.6)
44039 - Central Long Island Sound 48 mi65 min SSW 5.8 G 7.8 72°F 1 ft58°F
MHRN6 49 mi50 min WNW 8 G 11
BGNN4 - 8519483 - Bergen Point West Reach, NJ 49 mi50 min 79°F 72°F1018.8 hPa (-0.4)

Wind History for Kings Point, NY
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Farmingdale - Republic Airport, NY13 mi57 minSSW 1610.00 miA Few Clouds73°F57°F57%1018.9 hPa
Islip, Long Island Mac Arthur Airport, NY15 mi54 minSSW 1610.00 miA Few Clouds74°F55°F54%1018.6 hPa
Shirley, Brookhaven Airport, NY24 mi54 minSW 1110.00 miFair74°F57°F57%1018.9 hPa

Wind History from FRG (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrSW7----W3------------------NW6NW7NW7N6NW9
G17
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G18
NW7N10--S16
1 day ago------------------------------3----6--S11--SW12SW9
2 days ago------------------------------------------------

Tide / Current Tables for Fire Island Coast Guard Station, Long Island, New York
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Fire Island Coast Guard Station
Click for Map
Wed -- 05:24 AM EDT     Sunrise
Wed -- 05:56 AM EDT     -0.18 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 10:32 AM EDT     Moonrise
Wed -- 12:06 PM EDT     2.12 feet High Tide
Wed -- 06:07 PM EDT     0.10 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 08:28 PM EDT     Sunset
Wed -- 11:57 PM EDT     Moonset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
2.321.40.90.4-0-0.200.511.51.92.121.61.10.70.30.10.20.61.21.62

Tide / Current Tables for Point o' Woods, Long Island, New York
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Point o' Woods
Click for Map
Wed -- 02:08 AM EDT     0.87 feet High Tide
Wed -- 05:24 AM EDT     Sunrise
Wed -- 08:46 AM EDT     -0.07 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 10:31 AM EDT     Moonrise
Wed -- 02:53 PM EDT     0.78 feet High Tide
Wed -- 08:27 PM EDT     Sunset
Wed -- 08:57 PM EDT     0.04 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 11:56 PM EDT     Moonset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
0.70.80.90.80.70.50.30.1-0-0.100.20.40.60.70.80.70.60.40.20.100.10.3

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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Weather Map
wmap_A
IR Satellite Image from GEOS
east_satellite

GOES Local Image of Northeast    EDIT
Geos

Wind Forecast for New York City/Upton, NY (18,4,5,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Upton, NY
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.