Monday, June18, 2018 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Bellmore, NY

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
5/20/2018 -- NOAA is having problems with the data feed that I use to draw the graphs. They are aware of the issue and working to resolve it. Sometimes changing the location by about a mile will give a correct graph. 3/3/2018 - There is a new GOES Satellite for the east coast that required rewriting that part of the code. Please report any issues.

Sunrise 5:21AMSunset 8:29PM Monday June 18, 2018 3:10 AM EDT (07:10 UTC) Moonrise 10:50AMMoonset 12:00AM Illumination 24% Phase: Waxing Crescent; Moon at 5 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
    EDIT      (on/off)   Help
ANZ355 Sandy Hook Nj To Fire Island Inlet Ny Out 20 Nm- 1019 Pm Edt Sun Jun 17 2018
Overnight..SW winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas around 2 ft.
Mon..SW winds 10 to 15 kt, becoming S 15 to 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas 2 to 4 ft.
Mon night..SW winds 15 to 20 kt, diminishing to 10 to 15 kt after midnight. Seas 2 to 4 ft. Chance of showers and tstms. Vsby 1 to 3 nm.
Tue..NW winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming ne in the afternoon. Seas 2 to 3 ft. Chance of showers and tstms in the morning with vsby 1 to 3 nm.
Tue night..NE winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas around 2 ft.
Wed..E winds around 5 kt, becoming S in the afternoon. Seas around 2 ft.
Wed night..SW winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming W after midnight. Seas around 2 ft.
Thu..NE winds around 5 kt, becoming E in the afternoon. Seas around 2 ft.
Thu night..SE winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming E after midnight. Seas around 2 ft.
Fri..NE winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming se in the afternoon. Seas around 2 ft.
Fri night..S winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas around 2 ft. Winds and seas higher in and near tstms.
ANZ300 1019 Pm Edt Sun Jun 17 2018
Synopsis for the long island waters and new york harbor.. High pressure remains offshore in the atlantic through Monday. A cold front approaches from the north Monday night, then crosses the area early Tuesday. Weak high pressure builds in from the northwest thereafter into midweek. Outside of a reinforcing cold front Wednesday night, high pressure will remain across the region through Friday night.

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Bellmore, NY
   Hourly   EDIT   Help
location: 40.62, -73.51     debug


Area Discussion for - New York City/Upton, NY
      (on/off)   Help   NOTE: mouseover dotted underlined text for definition
Fxus61 kokx 180659
afdokx
area forecast discussion
national weather service new york ny
259 am edt Mon jun 18 2018

Synopsis
Offshore high pressure remains through Monday. A cold front will
approach from the north Monday and move across early Tuesday.

Weak high pressure builds in Tuesday afternoon into midweek.

Outside of a reinforcing cold front Wednesday night, high
pressure will remain across the region through Saturday. A
frontal system then approaches Saturday night into Sunday.

Near term until 6 am this morning
The forecast remains on track. Cirrus will continue to spill
over the large ridge centered across the southeast us through
the night.

High pressure will be offshore in the atlantic. There will be
s-sw flow, allowing for warmer and more humid conditions. Used a
combination of mav and ecs for the lows, ranging from near 70
in nyc to lower 60s in some parts of the interior, se
connecticut and eastern long island.

Short term 6 am this morning through 6 pm Tuesday
The mid level and upper levels have nearly zonal flow that remains
but there will be some progression eastward as the base of the
ridge moves farther east in the southeast us. There will be a
mid and upper level trough making its way into quebec.

The mid and upper level trough moves across northern new england
Monday night into early Tuesday. The trough begins to lift
northeast of the region Tuesday afternoon.

At the surface, low pressure moves eastward just north of maine
Monday, moving into the canadian maritimes Monday night. This
will bring a cold front that will approach the region from the
north Monday night. The front moves across the region early
Tuesday. Weak high pressure builds in from the north behind the
front.

For Monday, hot and humid conditions with highest combination
across the lower hudson valley and northeast nj. Just high
enough temperatures and dewpoints across northeast nj and the
lower hudson valley to make for heat indices near 100.

Elsewhere, expecting heat indices in the mid to upper 90s for
nyc (mostly 95 to 97) and in the 90s for southern connecticut
and nassau into western suffolk. Lower heat indices are expected
farther east. Actual high temperatures are in the mid 90s across
parts of northeast nj and the lower hudson valley and with
moisture advection and pooling of dewpoints near the hudson
river, that is why the heat indices are a few degrees higher for
these locations. Actual highs for nyc are in the lower 90s with
dewpoints more in the upper 60s.

The highs forecast on Monday are a combination of the 00z ecs
and the previous forecast, going a little above the mav and met
guidance.

Rain returns to the forecast in the form of showers and
thunderstorms late Monday afternoon through Monday night. These
will taper off early Tuesday. These could produce locally heavy
rain and gusty winds, but the severe threat looks to be limited
to locations farther north of the region, where more wind shear
will exist with lower heights and closer to the base of the
upper level trough.

Went for warmer lows Monday night (mainly in the 70s) as
airmass remains very warm and humid with showers and
thunderstorms across parts of the region. Some model differences
on whether this moves across as a MCS or a weakened one. The
lows Monday night were from a combination of mav met ecs.

Expecting another warm but drier day Tuesday behind the front.

Went with warmer combination of mav ecs for highs, mid 80s to
near 90.

There is a moderate rip current risk for Monday.

Long term Tuesday night through Sunday
Models have continued to trend toward a drier forecast with
mainly seasonable temperatures. There had been concern with the
proximity of a frontal system stalling close enough to the area
for potential wet weather toward the end of the week. However,
a northern branch upper trough drops southeast across eastern
canada and into the northeast for the midweek period, lifting
out toward the end of the week into the weekend. A southern
branch shortwave trough approaches for the second half of next
weekend.

At the surface, high pressure prevails across the region through
much of the period, until a frontal system approaches Saturday
night into Sunday.

Aviation 07z Monday through Friday
High pressure to the south will give way to an approaching cold
front tonight. Widely scattered tstms with brief MVFR ifr vsby
and gusty winds are possible with a pre-frontal trough late
today and early this evening, most likely from about 21z-23z at
kswf, 22z-01z at the nyc metro terminals and khpn, and 00z-02z
at kisp. Since the expected coverage is scattered at most and
not guaranteed to have direct terminal impacts, have mentioned
via vcts rather than prob30 tempo. This could change with later
issuances as confidence in timing and coverage increase.

An additional round of showers tstms with the front itself
expected toward the very end of the 24-hr period and beyond.

Sw flow will increase today, with during Monday with sustained
winds 10-15 kt and gusts around 20 kt from about 18z-24z.

Outlook for 06z Tuesday through Friday
Late tonight Chance of MVFR or lower conditions and locally
gusty winds in showers and thunderstorms.

Tuesday Sight chance of an early morning shower with MVFR
vsby, otherwiseVFR. NW winds (right of 310 magnetic) 15g20kt.

Tuesday night-Wednesday Vfr.

Wednesday night Chance of showers and possibly a tstm, with
MVFR or lower conds, as low pressure passes to the south.

Thursday-Friday Vfr.

Marine
Weak high pressure based offshore, will keep a weak pressure
gradient and conditions below SCA for tonight into early Monday.

Winds and seas increase ahead of a cold front Monday afternoon
into Monday night, but forecast has conditions staying mainly below
sca outside of some brief 25kt gusts on the ocean. The sub-sca
conditions remain on Tuesday.

High pressure prevails Wednesday through Friday with winds 10
kt or less and seas 2 ft or less.

Hydrology
Showers and thunderstorms late Monday through early Tuesday
could result in locally heavy rain. The precipitable water value
of the airmass is forecast to reach near 2 inches. Locally minor
flooding is possible.

Equipment
Nyc NOAA weather radio station kwo-35 (162.55 mhz) remains off
the air for an extended period of time.

Okx watches warnings advisories
Ct... None.

Ny... Heat advisory from 11 am this morning to 8 pm edt this evening
for nyz067>071.

Nj... Heat advisory from 11 am this morning to 8 pm edt this evening
for njz002-004-006-103>108.

Marine... None.

Synopsis... Jm dw
near term... Jm ds
short term... Jm
long term... Dw
aviation... Goodman
marine... Jm dw
hydrology... Jm dw
equipment...



Weather Reporting Stations
   EDIT       (on/off)   Help   NOTE: Click on distance to see the station location on a map
Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
KPTN6 - 8516945 - Kings Point, NY 19 mi40 min SSW 7 G 7 71°F 64°F1018.8 hPa
44065 - Entrance to New York Harbor 20 mi30 min WSW 5.8 G 5.8 68°F 66°F1017.9 hPa66°F
44069 23 mi40 min Calm G 0 70°F 72°F70°F
BATN6 - 8518750 - The Battery, NY 27 mi40 min 72°F 65°F1018.7 hPa
SDHN4 - 8531680 - Sandy Hook, NJ 28 mi40 min WSW 4.1 G 5.1 71°F 72°F1019.2 hPa
ROBN4 - 8530973 - Robins Reef, NJ 30 mi40 min SW 5.1 G 7 73°F 1018.4 hPa
44025 - LONG ISLAND 33 NM South of Islip, NY 31 mi80 min SW 9.7 G 12 68°F 66°F2 ft1018.2 hPa (+0.0)
BGNN4 - 8519483 - Bergen Point West Reach, NJ 34 mi40 min 73°F 68°F1017.9 hPa
MHRN6 35 mi40 min SW 6 G 8
BRHC3 - 8467150 - Bridgeport, CT 42 mi40 min SW 2.9 G 5.1 69°F 61°F1017.2 hPa

Wind History for Kings Point, NY
(wind in knots)    EDIT      (on/off)   Help
2
AM
3
AM
4
AM
5
AM
6
AM
7
AM
8
AM
9
AM
10
AM
11
AM
12
PM
1
PM
2
PM
3
PM
4
PM
5
PM
6
PM
7
PM
8
PM
9
PM
10
PM
11
PM
12
AM
1
AM
Last
24hr
S5
S4
S1
S1
SW1
NE4
NE4
NE2
SW1
NE1
NE2
SW3
NE2
SW2
SW11
SW13
SW15
SW16
SW16
S10
S9
SW8
SW8
SW7
1 day
ago
S4
S3
S5
SW4
--
--
N4
NE2
NE2
NE2
NE1
N3
N1
NE3
NE3
--
SW14
S12
SW13
S11
S8
G11
S9
S5
S4
2 days
ago
N15
G19
N14
G18
N12
N13
NE16
NE11
G15
NE13
NE5
G9
NE4
G8
E7
NE6
G9
NE11
NE6
G9
NE14
G18
NE9
NE6
SE1
SE3
S4
S5
SW3

Airport Reports
    EDIT      (on/off)   Help   Click EDIT to display multiple airports
AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Farmingdale - Republic Airport, NY9 mi77 minSW 410.00 miFair68°F64°F87%1018.2 hPa
New York, Kennedy International Airport, NY15 mi79 minSSW 610.00 miMostly Cloudy69°F64°F87%1018.4 hPa
New York, La Guardia Airport, NY23 mi79 minSW 810.00 miPartly Cloudy76°F61°F60%1017.7 hPa

Wind History from FRG (wind in knots)
4
AM
5
AM
6
AM
7
AM
8
AM
9
AM
10
AM
11
AM
12
PM
1
PM
2
PM
3
PM
4
PM
5
PM
6
PM
7
PM
8
PM
9
PM
10
PM
11
PM
12
AM
1
AM
2
AM
3
AM
Last 24hrCalmCalmCalmCalmN4Calm333S7S10S9S10S8S11S11S7S8SW10SW8SW8SW6SW4SW4
1 day agoSW3SW3CalmNW3NW4N7NE7NE8544SW8SW12S10SW10S7SW7SW6SW8SW5SW5SW3SW3Calm
2 days agoNW7NW4NW9N4N9
G15
N8N12
G18
N14
G21
N11N11N7NW10
G16
N12N8N10N10N6E3E3SE3S3CalmCalmW3

Tide / Current Tables for Green Island, Long Island, New York
   EDIT   RT Ports Option   Weekend mode (on/off)   (on/off)   Help   One Week of Data
Green Island
Click for Map
Mon -- 01:21 AM EDT     2.39 feet High Tide
Mon -- 05:22 AM EDT     Sunrise
Mon -- 08:04 AM EDT     -0.17 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 10:49 AM EDT     Moonrise
Mon -- 02:09 PM EDT     2.12 feet High Tide
Mon -- 08:16 PM EDT     0.10 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 08:27 PM EDT     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
2.12.42.321.50.90.4-0-0.2-00.411.51.92.121.61.10.70.30.10.20.61.1

Tide / Current Tables for Throg's Neck, Long Island Sound, New York Current
   EDIT      (on/off)   Help   One Week of Data
Throg's Neck
Click for Map
Mon -- 12:53 AM EDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Mon -- 04:13 AM EDT     -0.78 knots Max Ebb
Mon -- 05:23 AM EDT     Sunrise
Mon -- 07:02 AM EDT     0.00 knots Slack
Mon -- 10:26 AM EDT     1.05 knots Max Flood
Mon -- 10:50 AM EDT     Moonrise
Mon -- 01:11 PM EDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Mon -- 04:39 PM EDT     -0.80 knots Max Ebb
Mon -- 07:35 PM EDT     0.00 knots Slack
Mon -- 08:29 PM EDT     Sunset
Mon -- 10:53 PM EDT     1.07 knots Max Flood
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
0.3-0-0.3-0.6-0.8-0.7-0.3-00.20.510.90.40-0.2-0.5-0.7-0.8-0.5-0.20.10.30.81.1

Weather Map and Satellite Images
       (on/off)   HelpWeather Map
wmap_A
GOES Local Image of Northeast    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
target = "new">Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for New York City/Upton, NY (3,6,7,8)
      (on/off)   Help

Ground Weather Radar Station Upton, NY
   (on/off)   Help
weather_mapweather_map weather_map

Ad by Google

Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.