Wednesday, June28, 2017 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Oak Beach-Captree, NY

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
6/25/2017 - NOAA is having a major issue that impact the 7 day forecast load times. Many users are reporting problems. The issue has been reported.
5/23/2017 - Worked with NOAA again to speed up the 7 day forecast load times. Thanks to them for being responsive.
5/19/2016 - There were issues with the 3 day airport observation history. I switched to another data source. Let me know if you see any issues with the data feeds.

Sunrise 5:23AMSunset 8:30PM Wednesday June 28, 2017 8:12 AM EDT (12:12 UTC) Moonrise 10:32AMMoonset 11:57PM Illumination 20% Phase: Waxing Crescent; Moon at 4 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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ANZ345 South Shore Bays From Jones Inlet Through Shinnecock Bay- 716 Am Edt Wed Jun 28 2017
Today..W winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming sw with gusts up to 20 kt late. Waves 1 ft or less.
Tonight..SW winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt, diminishing to 5 to 10 kt after midnight. Waves 1 ft or less.
Thu..SW winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming S 15 to 20 kt in the afternoon. Waves 1 ft or less, then around 2 ft in the afternoon.
Thu night..SW winds 15 to 20 kt with gusts up to 25 kt. Waves around 2 ft.
Fri..SW winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt. Waves around 2 ft.
Fri night..SW winds 15 to 20 kt, diminishing to 10 to 15 kt after midnight. Waves around 2 ft in the evening, then 1 ft or less.
Sat..SW winds around 10 kt, becoming s. Waves 1 ft or less. Chance of showers and tstms after midnight.
Sun..W winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft or less. Chance of showers and tstms in the daytime. Winds and waves higher in and near tstms.
ANZ300 716 Am Edt Wed Jun 28 2017
Synopsis for the long island waters and new york harbor.. High pressure builds in this morning. The high passes to the south this afternoon and tonight. A warm front moves north of the waters Thursday night with bermuda high pressure following Friday into Saturday. A cold front moves across Sunday into Sunday night.

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Oak Beach-Captree CDP, NY
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location: 40.66, -73.28     debug


Area Discussion for - New York City/Upton, NY
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Fxus61 kokx 281147
afdokx
area forecast discussion
national weather service new york ny
747 am edt Wed jun 28 2017

Synopsis
High pressure builds into the region today, and offshore on
Thursday. A warm front moves north of the region Thursday
night. Bermuda high pressure then dominates Friday into
Saturday before a cold front moves through Sunday into Sunday
night. The front may then linger just south of the region early
next week.

Near term through tonight
Forecast on track this morning.

A 1024 high was centered over WV this morning. The high will
drift eastward through tonight. Skies will start out clear, but
there should be sct flat CU this afternoon around 5-6 kft.

Below normal highs are forecast, mainly in the upper 70s to near
80s degrees.

Short term Thursday
As the high drifts ewd over the atlantic, the winds will begin
to respond to lowering pres over SRN ontario. This flow, coupled
with the sea breeze circulation, should produce windy conditions
along the coasts by late in the day. Otherwise, all other areas
should have a sly breeze at least. The latest modeling from the
nam, GFS and ECMWF keeps any frontal systems N of the cwa, so
pcpn has been removed from the fcst. Humidity will increase due
to the increasing flow off the ocean, and temps will warm to aoa
average as a thermal ridge begins to build in. The 00z models
have around 14-16c at h85 by the end of the day. If things
unfold as currently expected, dangerous rip currents will be
possible, particularly in the late aftn and eve, requiring a
high risk fcst.

Long term Thursday night through Tuesday
The main trend in the long term is for warmer and more humid
conditions to take shape over the tri-state.

On the larger scale, a shortwave passes to the north Thursday night
followed by rising heights and western atlantic ridging taking shape
Friday into Saturday. This ridge axis moves offshore Sunday as the
next shortwave trough moves across new england through Sunday night.

Another shortwave trough may follow early next week. Models and
ensembles are in good agreement overall on the large scale through
the weekend, then diverge a bit with the handling of any shortwaves
early next week.

At the surface, a warm front moves north of the region Thursday
night. Bermuda high pressure will then influence the weather Friday
into Saturday before a cold front moves through Sunday into Sunday
night. There may be weak surface trough development to the NW of nyc
each day before the cold front moves through Sunday. This front may
then linger to the south early next week.

Shower and thunderstorm chances appear slim Thursday night and
mainly to the north and west of nyc. The same holds true on Friday
into Saturday as ridging and heights build aloft. The best chance of
any convection is mainly from the city north and west. Shower storm
chances increase a bit across the entire area on Sunday with the
passage of the cold front and approaching shortwave. Drier
conditions return on Monday with the next chance at showers and
storms on Tuesday.

Temperatures Friday and Saturday will be in the upper 80s with
increasing humidity levels. A few 90 degree readings are also
possible in the nyc metro and NE nj. MAX heat indices look to stay
in the lower 90s both days at this time at these locations, with
upper 80s elsewhere. Closer to the coast, onshore flow will keep
highs in the lower to middle 80s. Temperatures should be a bit
cooler on Sunday in the lower and middle 80s due to increasing
clouds and higher coverage of showers storms. Highs should gradually
fall back closer to normal early next week.

Aviation 11z Wednesday through Sunday
High pressure builds into the region through today and offshore
on Thursday.VFR conditions are expected through the TAF period.

Only issue today is expected to be gusty winds 15-20 kt from the
s-sw from late this morning until this evening. Winds diminish
tonight before increasing further on Thursday.

Ny metro enhanced aviation weather support...

detailed information, including hourly TAF wind component fcsts,
can be found at http:

Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
44069 11 mi43 min NW 9.7 G 12 63°F 74°F57°F
44022 - Execution Rocks 28 mi43 min S 1.9 G 9.7 63°F 52°F
KPTN6 - 8516945 - Kings Point, NY 28 mi43 min N 7 G 8.9 63°F 65°F1019.1 hPa
44025 - LONG ISLAND 33 NM South of Islip, NY 29 mi83 min NW 16 G 18 66°F 69°F3 ft1017.9 hPa (+1.1)
44065 - Entrance to New York Harbor 30 mi83 min WNW 16 G 18 64°F 68°F1 ft1018.5 hPa (+1.1)53°F
BRHC3 - 8467150 - Bridgeport, CT 36 mi43 min NW 4.1 G 7 63°F 1018.2 hPa
BATN6 - 8518750 - The Battery, NY 39 mi43 min 64°F 68°F1019.3 hPa
SDHN4 - 8531680 - Sandy Hook, NJ 41 mi43 min NW 14 G 15 63°F 71°F1018.9 hPa
ROBN4 - 8530973 - Robins Reef, NJ 42 mi43 min WNW 11 G 14 1020.1 hPa
BGNN4 - 8519483 - Bergen Point West Reach, NJ 46 mi43 min 63°F 70°F1019.7 hPa
44039 - Central Long Island Sound 47 mi43 min NW 9.7 G 12 62°F 1 ft53°F
MHRN6 47 mi43 min WNW 9.9 G 12
NWHC3 - 8465705 - New Haven, CT 47 mi43 min N 7 G 12 62°F 70°F1018.8 hPa

Wind History for Kings Point, NY
(wind in knots)    EDIT      (on/off)   Help
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Islip, Long Island Mac Arthur Airport, NY14 mi17 minNNW 1110.00 miA Few Clouds66°F54°F65%1018.6 hPa

Wind History from FRG (wind in knots)
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Last 24hr----------------------3----6--S11--SW12SW9SW7----W3
1 day ago------------------------------------------------
2 days ago------------------------------------------------

Tide / Current Tables for Oak Beach, Great South Bay, New York
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Oak Beach
Click for Map
Wed -- 02:02 AM EDT     0.86 feet High Tide
Wed -- 05:24 AM EDT     Sunrise
Wed -- 09:07 AM EDT     -0.06 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 10:32 AM EDT     Moonrise
Wed -- 02:45 PM EDT     0.78 feet High Tide
Wed -- 08:28 PM EDT     Sunset
Wed -- 09:17 PM EDT     0.04 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 11:57 PM EDT     Moonset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
0.60.80.90.80.70.50.30.10-0.100.20.40.60.70.80.70.60.40.20.100.10.2

Tide / Current Tables for Amityville, Long Island, New York
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Amityville
Click for Map
Wed -- 02:01 AM EDT     1.50 feet High Tide
Wed -- 05:25 AM EDT     Sunrise
Wed -- 09:16 AM EDT     -0.11 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 10:33 AM EDT     Moonrise
Wed -- 02:46 PM EDT     1.35 feet High Tide
Wed -- 08:28 PM EDT     Sunset
Wed -- 09:27 PM EDT     0.06 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 11:57 PM EDT     Moonset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
1.11.41.51.41.20.90.60.30-0.1-00.30.711.31.31.210.70.40.20.10.10.4

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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Weather Map
wmap_A
IR Satellite Image from GEOS
east_satellite

GOES Local Image of Northeast    EDIT
Geos

Wind Forecast for New York City/Upton, NY (8,2,3,4)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Upton, NY
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.