Sunrise 6:10 AM   Sunset 7:36 PM Moonrise 12:30 PM   Moonset 3:10 AM

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ANZ355 Sandy Hook Nj To Fire Island Inlet Ny Out 20 Nm- 1010 Am Edt Tue Apr 16 2024
Today - NW winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming W this afternoon. Seas 2 to 4 ft. Tonight - SW winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming N after midnight. Seas 2 to 4 ft. Wed - E winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas around 3 ft. Chance of showers in the afternoon. Wed night - SE winds 10 to 15 kt, becoming E 15 to 20 kt after midnight. Seas 3 to 4 ft. Showers.Thu - E winds 20 to 25 kt with gusts up to 30 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft. Showers.Thu night - E winds 15 to 20 kt with gusts up to 25 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft. Chance of showers in the evening. Fri - E winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. Fri night - S winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 4 ft. Chance of showers. Sat - W winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt. Seas around 3 ft. Chance of showers. Sat night - NW winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt. Seas around 3 ft.

ANZ300 1010 Am Edt Tue Apr 16 2024
Synopsis for the long island and connecticut coastal waters - High pressure will build in from the northwest through tonight. A slow moving warm front then approaches from the southwest Wednesday into Thursday. High pressure briefly builds in for Friday. A cold front moves through Saturday into Saturday night. High pressure builds in late Saturday night into Monday.

FXUS61 KOKX 161418 AFDOKX

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service New York NY 1018 AM EDT Tue Apr 16 2024

SYNOPSIS
High pressure will build in from the northwest through tonight. A slow moving warm front then approaches from the southwest Wednesday into Thursday. High pressure briefly builds in for Friday. A cold front moves through Saturday into Saturday night. High pressure builds in late Saturday night into Monday.

NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/
Forecast remains generally on track. Adjusted high temperatures up slightly to account for the rapidly warming BL which may overperform with highs similar to yesterday but not to the same extent.

A departing upper trough across the Northeast and an upper low lifting across the Central Plains will allow ridging between the two to build into the area through tonight. At the surface, high pressure ridging down across the Great Lakes will work in from the west. Expect another warm, dry day, but about 10 degrees cooler than the day before. Highs are expected to be in the mid and upper 60s to around 70 across the NYC metro. NW winds today may occasionally gusts 15 to 20 mph. Seabreezes should not get too far inland.

For tonight, clear skies and light northerly winds will allow for a cooler night than recent days, but still a few degrees above normal.

SHORT TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/
Weakening low pressure lifts up through the Great Lakes on Wednesday and into south central Canada by Thursday. The associated warm front will approach from the SW during this time with increasing rain chances Wednesday afternoon and night due to deep-layered warm advection. The system is not deeply convective and lift is modest. Rainfall amounts are forecast to between 0.25 to 0.75", with the highest amounts at this time across the NYC/NJ metro and LI. The bulk of the rain looks to fall Wednesday night.

An easterly flow and chances of rain will drop highs on Wednesday about 5 to 10 degrees cooler than Tuesday, and this trend continues into Thursday. East winds ramp up Wednesday night into Thursday as the pressure gradient strengthens between the departing high and the warm front. Gusts potential is 20 to 30 mph, highest along the coast. A frontal wave developing along the warm front pushes off the Mid Atlantic coast on Thursday.

LONG TERM /THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY/
The warm front weakens Thursday night as it moves into deep layered ridging and a weak low tracks east of the Mid-Atlantic. The low meanders off the mid-Atlantic coast on Friday with an inverted trough extending northward towards us. At the same time, a cold front approaches from the west. Most, if not all of the day will likely be dry, however, cannot rule out an afternoon shower especially north and west of New York City. A chance of showers then follows for the entire forecast area Friday night into Saturday with the cold front passing through.

High pressure then builds in from the west Saturday night through Monday, with dry conditions forecast through the period.

High temperatures through the period are expected to be within a few degrees of normal.

AVIATION /14Z TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/
High pressure builds over the terminals today into tonight.

VFR through the TAF period.

Winds NW around 10 kt, with occasional gusts around 15-20 kt into early this evening. A coastal sea breeze will be possible later in the day, though there still remains uncertainty with this. Added TEMPO for wind shifts more to the SW at KJFK, KISP, and KGON. The winds lighten and remain mainly N to NNE this evening, becoming light and variable for outlying terminals.

...NY Metro (KEWR/KLGA/KJFK/KTEB) TAF Uncertainty...

Occasional gusts 15 to 20 kt this morning into the afternoon.
The gusts may be prevailing at times.

Late day S-SW sea breeze possible for KJFK, timing may be off by a couple of hours with confidence in occurrence below average.

OUTLOOK FOR 12Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY...

Wed and Thu: MVFR or lower possible at times with potential for rain showers, mostly Wed night into early Thu. SE to E winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts near 20 kt.

Fri: MVFR or lower possible with rain showers.

Sat: MVFR possible early with showers.

Detailed information, including hourly TAF wind component forecasts, can be found at: https:/ www.weather.gov/zny/n90

MARINE
Wind and seas are forecast to remain below SCA as high pressure builds in from the NW through tonight. A warm front approaches on Wednesday with a tightening pressure gradient between the front and departing high. There is the potential for SCA conditions in an easterly flow late Wednesday night into Thursday. Gusts of 25 to 30 kt will be possible with seas on the ocean of 4 to 7 ft.

Winds diminish Thursday night into Friday, however a lingering swell with onshore flow may keep ocean seas above 5 ft through at least Friday morning. Sub- advisory conditions on all waters otherwise Friday afternoon through Saturday.

HYDROLOGY
There is the potential for 0.25" to 0.75" of rainfall from Wednesday afternoon through Thursday afternoon. No hydrologic impacts are expected with this event.

OKX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
CT...None.
NY...None.
NJ...None.
MARINE...None.

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Biltmore Shores
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Tue -- 03:09 AM EDT     Moonset
Tue -- 04:44 AM EDT     1.35 feet High Tide
Tue -- 06:12 AM EDT     Sunrise
Tue -- 12:07 PM EDT     0.27 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 12:30 PM EDT     Moonrise
Tue -- 05:30 PM EDT     1.19 feet High Tide
Tue -- 07:34 PM EDT     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION

Biltmore Shores, South Oyster Bay, Long Island, New York, Tide feet

Throg's Neck
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Tue -- 12:26 AM EDT     0.79 knots Max Flood
Tue -- 03:11 AM EDT     Moonset
Tue -- 03:58 AM EDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Tue -- 06:13 AM EDT     Sunrise
Tue -- 06:50 AM EDT     -0.53 knots Max Ebb
Tue -- 10:28 AM EDT     0.00 knots Slack
Tue -- 12:31 PM EDT     Moonrise
Tue -- 12:53 PM EDT     0.76 knots Max Flood
Tue -- 04:24 PM EDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Tue -- 07:17 PM EDT     -0.54 knots Max Ebb
Tue -- 07:36 PM EDT     Sunset
Tue -- 10:55 PM EDT     0.00 knots Slack
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION

Throg's Neck, Long Island Sound, New York Current, knots

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