Tuesday, October17, 2017 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
East Patchogue, NY

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
6/25/2017 - NOAA is having a major issue that impact the 7 day forecast load times. Many users are reporting problems. The issue has been reported.
5/23/2017 - Worked with NOAA again to speed up the 7 day forecast load times. Thanks to them for being responsive.
5/19/2016 - There were issues with the 3 day airport observation history. I switched to another data source. Let me know if you see any issues with the data feeds.

Sunrise 7:05AMSunset 6:09PM Tuesday October 17, 2017 4:17 PM EDT (20:17 UTC) Moonrise 4:39AMMoonset 5:25PM Illumination 7% Phase: Waning Crescent; Moon at 27 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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ANZ345 South Shore Bays From Jones Inlet Through Shinnecock Bay- 336 Pm Edt Tue Oct 17 2017
Tonight..W winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft or less.
Wed..W winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft or less.
Wed night..SW winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft or less.
Thu..SW winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft or less.
Thu night..SW winds around 10 kt. Waves 1 ft or less.
Fri..NW winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft or less.
Fri night..N winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft or less.
Sat..NE winds around 5 kt, becoming S in the afternoon. Waves 1 ft or less.
Sat night..S winds around 5 kt. Waves 1 ft or less.
Sun..S winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft or less.
Sun night..S winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft or less.
ANZ300 336 Pm Edt Tue Oct 17 2017
Synopsis for the long island waters and new york harbor.. High pressure settles just south of the coastal waters tonight into Wednesday and will remain in control through the weekend.

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near East Patchogue, NY
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location: 40.77, -72.99     debug


Area Discussion for - New York City/Upton, NY
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Fxus61 kokx 171917
afdokx
area forecast discussion
national weather service new york ny
317 pm edt Tue oct 17 2017

Synopsis
High pressure remains in control through the weekend. As it passes
east early next week, rain chances increase as low pressure and a
cold front approach.

Near term until 6 am Wednesday morning
Very little adjustments were made in the near term despite
warmer trend in guidance with temperatures tonight. After
collaboration with surrounding offices decided against frost
advisory with coverage limited to patchy.

At the surface, high pressure to the west continues to draw
closer as the winds go light wsw to variable tonight. With
subtle warm air advection above the surface tonight, and very
little winds and very dry conditions patchy frost should be
achieved in northern most zones. Otherwise, crystal clear with
lows similar to last night, perhaps just a few degrees warmer
than last night in the coldest locations. A wider spread with
tonight's minimums are expected due to a more textbook
radiational cooling set up.

Short term 6 am Wednesday morning through Wednesday night
Sunny skies and a gradual moderation in temps begins on
Wednesday as SW return flow develops around the high to the
south. Temperatures should warm to slightly above seasonable
levels in the upper 60s to lower 70s. It will not be nearly as
cool Wednesday night with warm air advection pattern getting
well underway.

Long term Thursday through Tuesday
Aloft, initial weak shortwave passes with no impact on our weather.

Ridge builds late this week and through the weekend. Thereafter,
differences in the global models arise with regard to timing and
eventual strength of upstream trough as it moves toward the east
coast Monday and Tuesday.

At the surface, a weak cold front passes Thursday night into early
Friday. Otherwise, high pressure builds late this week, and passes
off the coast this weekend. A stronger cold front approaches from
the west Monday and Tuesday. Again, due to differences in the models
aloft, differences are noted on progression of the front, and any
associated waves of low pressure that may ride along it.

Higher confidence in an increase in clouds Monday and Tuesday, along
with increasing rain chances, mainly beginning Monday night into
Tuesday.

In the Thursday through Sunday time frame, expect abundant sunshine
along with daytime highs averaging around 5-10 degrees above normal.

In fact, these above normal temperatures continue Monday and Tuesday
as well in spite of the increase in clouds.

Aviation 19z Tuesday through Sunday
High pressure remains just southwest of the region through
Wednesday.

Vfr through the TAF period. Winds gradually back to the west-
southwest this afternoon. Speeds remain less than 10 kt through
the period.

Ny metro enhanced aviation weather support...

detailed information... Including hourly TAF wind component fcsts
can be found at: http:

Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
44069 7 mi62 min SSW 1.9 G 1.9 57°F 63°F32°F
BRHC3 - 8467150 - Bridgeport, CT 30 mi47 min SW 8.9 G 11 54°F 67°F1024.1 hPa
44039 - Central Long Island Sound 31 mi62 min SW 5.8 G 7.8 53°F 1 ft
44040 - Western Long Island Sound 34 mi88 min SW 7.8 G 12 55°F 36°F
NWHC3 - 8465705 - New Haven, CT 36 mi47 min SW 9.9 G 12 54°F 67°F1024.7 hPa
44025 - LONG ISLAND 33 NM South of Islip, NY 37 mi87 min NNW 3.9 G 7.8 52°F 64°F3 ft1025.9 hPa (-0.8)
44022 - Execution Rocks 40 mi47 min S 5.8 G 7.8 58°F 33°F
KPTN6 - 8516945 - Kings Point, NY 41 mi47 min WSW 1 G 1.9 58°F 66°F1025.7 hPa
44065 - Entrance to New York Harbor 47 mi87 min W 3.9 G 7.8 53°F 65°F2 ft1025.2 hPa (-1.5)33°F

Wind History for Bridgeport, CT
(wind in knots)    EDIT      (on/off)   Help
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Last
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N7
G12
N10
G14
N5
G8
N4
N6
G10
NW5
G8
N6
G10
N8
G11
N6
G11
N6
G9
N4
G7
N5
N3
G6
NE3
NW5
G8
N6
G9
N4
G7
NE4
G8
N5
G9
N4
N5
G8
S6
G10
S10
G14
SW9
G12
1 day
ago
SW9
G13
SW12
G18
SW10
G15
SW12
G19
SW8
G14
SW10
G15
SW10
G15
SW10
G13
SW8
G13
W4
G9
NW5
G9
NW5
G11
NW6
G9
NW5
G8
NW5
G9
N4
G8
N7
G12
N7
G13
N8
G13
NW10
G17
N8
G15
NW10
G13
N9
G14
N7
G13
2 days
ago
S4
S4
S2
S4
S3
SW3
SW4
NE2
SW5
SW5
G8
W2
S6
SW7
SW5
G8
SW5
SW5
SW4
SW6
G10
SW7
G10
S5
G11
SW10
G14
SW10
G13
SW9
G13
SW8
G14

Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Islip, Long Island Mac Arthur Airport, NY6 mi81 minN 010.00 miFair56°F28°F36%1025.3 hPa
Shirley, Brookhaven Airport, NY8 mi81 minWNW 310.00 miFair58°F33°F39%1025.3 hPa
The Gabreski Airport, NY20 mi24 minVar 510.00 miFair56°F28°F34%1025.6 hPa
Farmingdale - Republic Airport, NY22 mi24 minN 010.00 miFair57°F30°F37%1025.1 hPa

Wind History from ISP (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrNW14
G20
N13N11N8N11
G20
N13
G20
N10N15
G21
N9N10N10N10N5N4N6N7N11N8N10NE8NE6NW7CalmE3
1 day agoSW13
G20
SW14
G21
SW13
G21
SW14SW16
G25
S16
G22
SW14
G22
SW14
G23
SW15
G20
W9W6NW15
G20
NW15
G22
NW8W12
G18
NW9NW12
G19
NW13
G18
N9N15NW11N13
G22
NW12N18
2 days agoN5E3CalmE3CalmCalmSE6SE3CalmS4S6S5S4S4S5S6S8SW7S7SW10SW13
G18
SW10
G19
SW13
G18
SW10
G18

Tide / Current Tables for Patchogue, Great South Bay, New York
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Patchogue
Click for Map
Tue -- 04:07 AM EDT     -0.11 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 04:39 AM EDT     Moonrise
Tue -- 07:05 AM EDT     Sunrise
Tue -- 09:53 AM EDT     1.37 feet High Tide
Tue -- 04:26 PM EDT     -0.02 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 05:25 PM EDT     Moonset
Tue -- 06:08 PM EDT     Sunset
Tue -- 10:10 PM EDT     1.35 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
0.90.60.30-0.1-00.30.611.31.41.310.80.50.2000.30.60.91.21.31.3

Tide / Current Tables for Smith Point Bridge, Narrow Bay, Long Island, New York
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Smith Point Bridge
Click for Map
Tue -- 03:08 AM EDT     -0.12 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 04:39 AM EDT     Moonrise
Tue -- 07:05 AM EDT     Sunrise
Tue -- 08:37 AM EDT     1.48 feet High Tide
Tue -- 03:27 PM EDT     -0.02 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 05:24 PM EDT     Moonset
Tue -- 06:07 PM EDT     Sunset
Tue -- 08:54 PM EDT     1.46 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
0.60.30-0.1-00.30.71.11.41.51.31.10.80.50.2-000.30.71.11.41.51.41.1

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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Weather Map
wmap_A
IR Satellite Image from GEOS
east_satellite

GOES Local Image of Northeast    EDIT
Geos

Wind Forecast for New York City/Upton, NY (16,3,4,5)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Upton, NY
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.