Friday, July28, 2017 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
West New York, NJ

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
6/25/2017 - NOAA is having a major issue that impact the 7 day forecast load times. Many users are reporting problems. The issue has been reported.
5/23/2017 - Worked with NOAA again to speed up the 7 day forecast load times. Thanks to them for being responsive.
5/19/2016 - There were issues with the 3 day airport observation history. I switched to another data source. Let me know if you see any issues with the data feeds.

Sunrise 5:48AMSunset 8:16PM Friday July 28, 2017 2:48 PM EDT (18:48 UTC) Moonrise 11:29AMMoonset 11:33PM Illumination 27% Phase: Waxing Crescent; Moon at 5 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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ANZ338 NEw York Harbor- 145 Pm Edt Fri Jul 28 2017
.gale watch in effect from Saturday morning through late Saturday night...
This afternoon..SE winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft or less. Isolated showers.
Tonight..E winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming ne after midnight. Waves 1 ft or less, then around 2 ft after midnight. Rain after midnight with vsby 1 to 3 nm.
Sat..NE winds 15 to 20 kt with gusts up to 35 kt. Waves 3 to 5 ft. Rain likely in the morning, then chance of light rain in the afternoon. Vsby 1 to 3 nm in the morning.
Sat night..NE winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 25 kt. Waves 2 to 4 ft.
Sun..NE winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt, becoming E 5 to 10 kt in the afternoon. Waves 2 to 3 ft.
Sun night..SE winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming ne after midnight. Waves 2 to 3 ft.
Mon..NE winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming N after midnight. Waves around 2 ft in the morning, then 1 ft or less.
Tue..N winds around 5 kt, becoming ne around 5 kt in the afternoon, then becoming sw. Waves 1 ft or less.
ANZ300 145 Pm Edt Fri Jul 28 2017
Synopsis for the long island waters and new york harbor.. Low pressure developing across the ohio valley today will pass south of the waters during the day on Saturday, and then well east of the waters Saturday night. High pressure builds to the northwest Sunday through Tuesday. Meanwhile, another low tracks south of the waters Monday.

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near West New York, NJ
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location: 40.78, -74     debug


Area Discussion for - New York City/Upton, NY
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Fxus61 kokx 281753
afdokx
area forecast discussion
national weather service new york ny
153 pm edt Fri jul 28 2017

Synopsis
Low pressure developing over the ohio valley rides along a
stalled front, approaching tonight and passing south of long
island on Saturday. Another wave of low pressure moves along the
stalled frontal boundary Monday, south of the region. High
pressure builds to the northwest Sunday through Wednesday. The
high weakens Thursday as a cold front approaches from the
northwest.

Near term until 6 pm this evening
The area remains in between systems today, as a weak cold front
settles south of the area and a shortwave diving out of the
upper midwest induces surface low development over the ohio
valley by this evening.

Temperatures in the low to mid 80s will be the highs which are
pretty much being experienced early this afternoon. The sea
breeze that developed along the south shore of long island with
associated cumulus has further developed vertically to point of
shower formation across parts of long island. Some showers have
also developed well north of nyc. Forecast adjusted accordingly
to account for isolated to widely scattered shower development.

This is consistent with the hrrr, wrf-arw and arf-nmm models in
their reflectivity fields.

Short term 6 pm this evening through 6 pm Saturday
With lingering diurnal instability, there will still be isolated
showers for the first few hours of this evening. Otherwise, dry
conditions are expected.

As the developing surface low emerges off the DELMARVA coast
and rides northeast along the stalled frontal boundary, rain
will overspread the area from southwest to northeast late
tonight. Models continue to indicate that the heaviest rainfall
will be focused south of the area, with a tight precipitation
gradient on the northern edge of the system. With this in mind,
lowered QPF amounts for the entire region. However, any
northward adjustment in the track of the low would bring higher
rainfall totals back into the local area. With precipitable
water values expected to be in the 1.5-2 inch range, such a
scenario would also increase the flooding threat.

Rain begins to taper off late Saturday morning, although the
weather will remain somewhat unsettled overall as the upper
trough lingers over the area. In addition, wind gusts of 25-35
mph are possible on Saturday as the low passes south of the
area. With plenty of cloud cover, temperatures during the day on
Saturday will remain below normal, generally in the 70s.

Long term Saturday night through Thursday
An upper trough will remain along the eastern sea board Saturday
night into Tuesday as energy rotates through the trough, and an
upper level jet remains on the eastern side. The trough moves
little as a western atlantic ridge remains in place.

Some uncertainty remains with the forecast Saturday night into
Sunday as the trend has been for the low to track farther south with
the latest model runs. Currently the precipitation will be winding
down Saturday night as the low moves south and east of the region.

Another low is expected to develop across the mid atlantic region
late Sunday night into Monday and also track south and east. Again,
there is uncertainty as to where this low will track. Currently
precipitation will be possible, east of new york city, Sunday night
into Monday night.

The upper trough does weaken Monday night into Tuesday as the flow
until Wednesday night into Thursday when another shortwave rotates
into the northern flow and re amplifies the trough along the coast.

At the surface high pressure builds to the northwest Monday night
and Tuesday, then weakens as a cold front develops in response to
the digging shortwave, and brings a cold front to northwest of the
area during Thursday. Will mention thunder ahead of the cold front
as the area become marginally unstable.

Aviation 18z Friday through Wednesday
Low pressure develops over the middle atlantic tonight and then
tracks south and east of long island on Saturday.

Se sea breezes continue developing this afternoon 10 kt or less.

Winds back to the E and NE this evening and diminish. NE winds
increase and become gusty 25-30 kt, especially at coastal
terminals Saturday morning.

MainlyVFR through this evening. Lingering MVFR at long island
terminals will lift toVFR through 19z. -ra develops late
tonight into Saturday morning, but staying south of kswf.

Flight categories fall to MVFR 06-09z time frame.

Ny metro enhanced aviation weather support...

detailed information, including hourly TAF wind component fcsts,
can be found at http:

Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
BATN6 - 8518750 - The Battery, NY 6 mi49 min 78°F 75°F1009.9 hPa (-0.8)
ROBN4 - 8530973 - Robins Reef, NJ 9 mi49 min S 15 G 15 1010.7 hPa (-0.8)
BGNN4 - 8519483 - Bergen Point West Reach, NJ 12 mi49 min 83°F 76°F1010 hPa (-0.9)
MHRN6 13 mi49 min ESE 9.9 G 12
KPTN6 - 8516945 - Kings Point, NY 13 mi49 min NE 8 G 9.9 78°F 73°F1010.3 hPa (-0.7)
44022 - Execution Rocks 16 mi34 min NE 5.8 G 5.8 80°F 69°F
SDHN4 - 8531680 - Sandy Hook, NJ 22 mi49 min ESE 7 G 8 77°F 75°F1009.6 hPa (-0.7)
44040 - Western Long Island Sound 25 mi64 min NE 3.9 G 3.9 76°F 69°F
44065 - Entrance to New York Harbor 32 mi59 min ESE 3.9 G 3.9 73°F 74°F2 ft1009.9 hPa (-0.6)71°F
44069 49 mi64 min S 5.8 G 7.8 75°F 79°F72°F

Wind History for Robbins Reef, NJ
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
New York City, Central Park, NY2 mi58 minN 010.00 miPartly Cloudy83°F64°F53%1010.1 hPa
New York, La Guardia Airport, NY6 mi58 minNE 910.00 miMostly Cloudy81°F69°F67%1010 hPa
Teterboro, Teterboro Airport, NJ6 mi58 minVar 510.00 miOvercast83°F66°F59%1009.7 hPa
Newark, Newark International Airport, NJ10 mi58 minVar 69.00 miOvercast85°F64°F51%1009.8 hPa
New York, Kennedy International Airport, NY14 mi58 minSSE 1010.00 miMostly Cloudy81°F71°F74%1010.5 hPa
Caldwell, Essex County Airport, NJ16 mi56 minENE 510.00 miA Few Clouds82°F66°F58%1010.9 hPa
Morristown Municipal, NJ22 mi64 minENE 410.00 miPartly Cloudy82°F68°F62%1010.5 hPa

Wind History from NYC (wind in knots)
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Last 24hr4S5S3Calm3CalmCalmCalmCalmCalm3CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmNE343Calm53Calm
1 day agoSW4Calm343S7CalmS4S3CalmCalmCalm53SW4CalmCalm3Calm5--4--W4
2 days ago44CalmE65NE64E5NE6E5NE654NE5N3N3NE33E4E55CalmW73

Tide / Current Tables for Union Stock Yards, Hudson River, New York
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Union Stock Yards
Click for Map
Fri -- 01:09 AM EDT     4.74 feet High Tide
Fri -- 05:48 AM EDT     Sunrise
Fri -- 07:24 AM EDT     0.03 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 11:28 AM EDT     Moonrise
Fri -- 01:49 PM EDT     4.69 feet High Tide
Fri -- 07:46 PM EDT     0.62 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 08:15 PM EDT     Sunset
Fri -- 11:32 PM EDT     Moonset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
4.44.74.53.72.51.40.60.10.212.13.13.94.54.74.23.22.21.40.80.61.12.13

Tide / Current Tables for Throg's Neck, Long Island Sound, New York Current
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Throg's Neck
Click for Map
Fri -- 01:06 AM EDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Fri -- 04:13 AM EDT     -0.73 knots Max Ebb
Fri -- 05:48 AM EDT     Sunrise
Fri -- 07:19 AM EDT     0.00 knots Slack
Fri -- 10:20 AM EDT     0.99 knots Max Flood
Fri -- 11:28 AM EDT     Moonrise
Fri -- 01:17 PM EDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Fri -- 04:36 PM EDT     -0.74 knots Max Ebb
Fri -- 07:43 PM EDT     0.00 knots Slack
Fri -- 08:14 PM EDT     Sunset
Fri -- 10:45 PM EDT     1.01 knots Max Flood
Fri -- 11:31 PM EDT     Moonset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
0.30-0.2-0.5-0.7-0.6-0.3-00.10.510.90.40.1-0.2-0.4-0.7-0.7-0.5-0.100.30.81

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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Weather Map
wmap_A
IR Satellite Image from GEOS
east_satellite

GOES Local Image of Northeast    EDIT
Geos

Wind Forecast for New York City/Upton, NY (14,3,4,5)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Upton, NY
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.