Tuesday, November13, 2018 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Harbor Hills, NY

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
10/6/2018 Colors of tide XTide graphs changed to emphasize that they were upgraded. See next note. Comments welcome.
10/4/2018 I have fixed XTide and updated the harmonic files. There were some name changes so you might have to click EDIT to find the new station name.

Sunrise 6:39AMSunset 4:39PM Tuesday November 13, 2018 10:35 PM EST (03:35 UTC) Moonrise 12:50PMMoonset 10:42PM Illumination 35% Phase: Waxing Crescent; Moon at 6 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
    EDIT      (on/off)   Help
ANZ338 NEw York Harbor- 928 Pm Est Tue Nov 13 2018
.small craft advisory in effect through Wednesday afternoon...
Tonight..NW winds 15 to 20 kt with gusts up to 25 kt. Waves around 2 ft.
Wed..NW winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 25 kt. Waves around 2 ft.
Wed night..N winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt, becoming ne 5 to 10 kt after midnight. Waves 1 ft or less.
Thu..NE winds 10 to 15 kt, becoming E 15 to 20 kt in the afternoon. Waves 2 to 3 ft. Chance of snow, rain and sleet in the morning, then rain with snow likely in the afternoon. Vsby 1 to 3 nm.
Thu night..E winds 20 to 25 kt with gusts up to 30 kt. Waves 2 to 4 ft. Rain. Vsby 1 to 3 nm.
Fri..N winds 20 to 25 kt, becoming nw 15 to 20 kt in the afternoon. Waves 2 to 4 ft. Rain, mainly in the morning with vsby 1 to 3 nm.
Fri night..W winds 10 to 15 kt. Waves 2 to 3 ft.
Sat..W winds around 10 kt. Waves around 2 ft in the morning, then 1 ft or less.
Sat night..NW winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft or less.
Sun..N winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft or less.
Sun night..NE winds around 5 kt, becoming E after midnight. Waves 1 ft or less.
ANZ300 928 Pm Est Tue Nov 13 2018
Synopsis for the long island waters and new york harbor.. High pressure builds into the waters from the west tonight and Wednesday, then begins to weaken Wednesday night. Low pressure will then track up the east coast on Thursday and pass through on Friday. High pressure then returns for Saturday.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Harbor Hills, NY
   Hourly   EDIT   Help
location: 40.79, -73.78     debug


Area Discussion for - New York City/Upton, NY
      (on/off)   Help   NOTE: mouseover dotted underlined text for definition
Fxus61 kokx 140250
afdokx
area forecast discussion
national weather service new york ny
950 pm est Tue nov 13 2018

Synopsis
Strong high pressure will build in from the west through
Wednesday night. The high will then retreat northeast from new
england into the canadian maritimes Thursday into Thursday night
as intensifying low pressure moves up the coast. The low will
pass through on Friday, and then head northeast past the
canadian maritimes on Saturday as high pressure builds to the
south and west. A cold front will pass through on Sunday,
followed by another frontal system Sunday night into Monday
night.

Near term until 6 am Wednesday morning
Only minor changes with this update to capture the latest
observational trends. Plenty of clouds remain across the area,
although some breaks are starting to develop.

High pressure builds in from the west tonight with a fairly
tight pressure gradient in place over the region as low pressure
deepens over the canadian maritimes. Breezy conditions will
result, and with a strong jet streak not too far to our north,
plenty of cirrus should remain into the late night hours after
lower and mid clouds scour out in the evening. The combination
of clouds and winds will prevent frost formation, so no frost
advisories are planned at this time. Lows in the low to mid 30s
across coastal sections and 25-30 inland.

Short term 6 am Wednesday morning through Wednesday night
Deep-layered ridging occurs on Wednesday with high pressure building
in, then the high shifts towards new england Wednesday night with a
continuation of dry weather and primarily cirrus streaming through
from time to time. Temperatures will continue to be seasonably cold
with both high and low temperatures averaging 10-15 colder than
normal. Wind chills will still be as low as the upper 20s to lower
30s even during the warmest part of the day. Most guidance shows
lows in nyc in the upper 20s or around 30, so will issue a freeze
watch for the remaining boroughs where the growing season has not
yet ended. Lows otherwise range downward into the teens across the
northern suburbs and the pine barrens region.

Long term Thursday through Tuesday
Main focus remains with the retreating high and approaching
coastal storm Thursday into Friday. Big picture remains much the
same as with the previous forecast, as a mid 1030s high retreats
ne, and as an upper low moving across the oh tn valleys spins up
sfc low pressure along the SE coast, which then heads up the
coast to a position along the jersey shore by 12z fri. The front
end of the storm holds the greatest concern as far as wintry wx,
as cad via the retreating high continues to supply cold air,
with snow likely all the way down to the coast on thu, perhaps
an inch or two for western long island, nyc metro, and coastal
ct before precip changes to rain by Thu evening. A more complex
scenario likely farther inland, as sfc temp remain AOB freezing
while warmer air moves in aloft on SE h8 flow, with primarily
an advy level snowfall of 2-3 inches, changing to sleet and then
freezing rain of less than 1 10 inch accretion during thu
night. ATTM probabilistic guidance indicates only a 10-20
percent chance of higher snow ice amts than currently fcst,
with MAX potential for 5-7 inches of snow and 1-2 tenths of an
inch of ice across the i-84 corridor in the lower hudson valley
and ct, also extending down into W passaic, and northern
rockland westchester.

Temps should warm enough during Fri morning to change precip to
all rain except perhaps in the highest elevations north west
of nyc.

This storm is still a couple of days away, so track and timing
changes are possible and could result in further changes to the
fcst.

For the weekend, a cooling trend as another shot of cold air comes
in for sun. Another frontal system should pass through with chances
for rain snow showers from Sunday night into Mon night. &&

Aviation 03z Wednesday through Sunday
Canadian high pressure builds into the region through early
Wednesday evening.

Vfr through the TAF period, except for a brief period of MVFR
possible at kisp through around 1z.

Nw winds through the TAF period. Winds become gusty throughout
at all terminals by mid evening, with g20-25kt. Gusts should
abate by around 8-9z with sustained winds around 10-15kt. Gusts
resume around 13z with g around 20-25kt. Gusts should abate
around 22z with speeds around 10kt.

Outlook for 00z Thursday through Sunday
Wednesday night-Thursday morning Vfr.

Thursday afternoon Ifr or lower conditions likely with a
wintry mix. Ese-ene winds g15-25kt likely.

Thursday night Ifr or lower conditions likely. Wintry mix
quickly to rain nyc long island terminals. Several hours of a
wintry mix probable lower hudson valley S ct terminals before
change over to rain (no change over kswf). Ene winds g25-35kt
or llws possible Thursday night, mainly nyc metro coastal
terminals.

Friday MVFR or lower conditions probable with rain (freezing
rain to rain in the am kswf) in the morning, possibly becoming
vfr in western terminals in the afternoon. N-nw winds g25-35kt
probable.

Friday night-Saturday Vfr. NW winds g15-25kt possible.

Saturday night-Sunday Vfr. SW winds g15-25kt possible Sunday
afternoon.

Marine
Sca remains on all waters tonight and Wednesday, although gusts on
the ocean east of moriches inlet could get close to gale force at
times tonight. The SCA might need to be extended by a few hours into
Wednesday evening mainly on the ocean.

Winds and seas should start to ramp up on Thu between departing
high pressure and approaching intensifying low pressure, with
sca conds initially on the ocean Thu afternoon, then easterly
gales on the ocean and the far eastern sound Thu night, and sca
conds elsewhere. Could also see NW gales on the ocean daytime
fri as the low departs. Lingering elevated ocean seas above 5 ft
likely to continue into Fri night and possibly Sat morning.

Hydrology
Liquid equivalent QPF of 1-1.5 inches expected mainly from
midday Thu til midday fri. A good deal of this should fall as
snow and then freezing rain across the interior. Nuisance
ponding urban flooding possible in the nyc metro area and across
long island and coastal ct.

Tides coastal flooding
Tidal departures of 2 1 2 to 3 ft needed for minor coastal
flooding during the times of high tide late Thu night into fri
afternoon. There is potential for minor coastal impacts across
normally vulnerable western long island sound, ny harbor,
western great south bay, and peconic bay locales with the thu
night high tide, as easterly gales ramp up. Winds should shift
nw heading into the Fri afternoon high tide, which would likely
relegate potential minor impacts at that time to the long island
south shore bays.

Equipment
Nyc NOAA weather radio station kwo35 (162.55 mhz) will remain off
the air for an extended period of time.

Okx watches warnings advisories
Ct... None.

Ny... Freeze watch from late Wednesday night through Thursday
morning for nyz072-073-075-176-178.

Nj... None.

Marine... Small craft advisory until 6 pm est Wednesday for anz330-335-
338-340-345-350-353-355.

Synopsis... Jc goodman
near term... Feb jc
short term... Jc
long term... Goodman
aviation... Maloit
marine... Jc goodman
hydrology... Jc goodman
tides coastal flooding...

equipment...



Weather Reporting Stations
   EDIT       (on/off)   Help   NOTE: Click on distance to see the station location on a map
Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
KPTN6 - 8516945 - Kings Point, NY 2 mi36 min NNW 14 G 21 45°F 53°F1019.9 hPa (+2.4)
44022 - Execution Rocks 7 mi51 min W 14 G 19 53°F
BATN6 - 8518750 - The Battery, NY 14 mi36 min 44°F 53°F1019.2 hPa (+2.5)
ROBN4 - 8530973 - Robins Reef, NJ 18 mi36 min WNW 20 G 25 45°F 1019.7 hPa (+2.5)
BGNN4 - 8519483 - Bergen Point West Reach, NJ 22 mi36 min 45°F 51°F1019.5 hPa (+2.3)
MHRN6 23 mi36 min W 8.9 G 14
SDHN4 - 8531680 - Sandy Hook, NJ 25 mi36 min WNW 15 G 19 46°F 50°F1020.8 hPa (+2.4)
44065 - Entrance to New York Harbor 29 mi26 min WNW 21 G 29 47°F 54°F1019.5 hPa34°F
44069 37 mi36 min WNW 12 G 16 45°F 49°F35°F
BRHC3 - 8467150 - Bridgeport, CT 41 mi42 min W 4.1 G 9.9 43°F 54°F1016.7 hPa

Wind History for Kings Point, NY
(wind in knots)    EDIT      (on/off)   Help
10
PM
11
PM
12
AM
1
AM
2
AM
3
AM
4
AM
5
AM
6
AM
7
AM
8
AM
9
AM
10
AM
11
AM
12
PM
1
PM
2
PM
3
PM
4
PM
5
PM
6
PM
7
PM
8
PM
9
PM
Last
24hr
SW1
SE6
E4
E4
E4
E3
E2
E2
E3
NE5
NE6
G9
NE6
N16
N17
G21
N18
N18
G23
N11
N11
G14
N15
G21
N19
G23
N16
N16
G22
N14
G18
N15
1 day
ago
N6
SE2
--
SE2
E3
S1
S2
S3
SE3
S4
SW4
S2
W2
W5
SW7
SW8
G11
SW10
SW10
SW8
S3
S3
S2
S3
SE1
2 days
ago
NW11
G14
NW11
G15
NW12
G15
NW12
N11
N11
NW11
NW10
G15
N12
N10
G14
NW11
G14
N9
G13
N7
G13
N16
N13
NW10
N11
G16
NW7
G14
N11
N10
N8
N7
N7
N7

Airport Reports
    EDIT      (on/off)   Help   Click EDIT to display multiple airports
AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
New York, La Guardia Airport, NY5 mi45 minWNW 19 G 2410.00 miMostly Cloudy and Breezy45°F30°F58%1018.6 hPa
New York, Kennedy International Airport, NY9 mi45 minWNW 14 G 2210.00 miOvercast45°F32°F61%1019 hPa
New York City, Central Park, NY10 mi45 minno data10.00 miPartly Cloudy43°F32°F65%1018.6 hPa
Teterboro, Teterboro Airport, NJ15 mi45 minNW 710.00 miA Few Clouds43°F32°F65%1018.6 hPa
White Plains - Westchester County Airport, NY20 mi1.7 hrsWNW 12 G 1810.00 miMostly Cloudy42°F30°F65%1016.9 hPa
Farmingdale - Republic Airport, NY20 mi43 minNW 1010.00 miOvercast43°F32°F65%1018.1 hPa
Newark, Newark International Airport, NJ21 mi45 minWNW 1110.00 miMostly Cloudy43°F30°F60%1019.3 hPa

Wind History from LGA (wind in knots)
11
PM
12
AM
1
AM
2
AM
3
AM
4
AM
5
AM
6
AM
7
AM
8
AM
9
AM
10
AM
11
AM
12
PM
1
PM
2
PM
3
PM
4
PM
5
PM
6
PM
7
PM
8
PM
9
PM
10
PM
Last 24hrE5NE4NE7NE9NE8NE8NE6NE56N7NW6NW14NW13NW13
G23
NW18NW12NW10W18NW17
G27
NW16
G25
NW14
G20
NW16NW12NW19
G24
1 day agoCalmN3E4NE3CalmSE3SE5E5S3S5S43S7SW6SW7S4SE7SE7S4S4SE6SE6SE5E4
2 days agoW10W11W10
G18
NW12W10W11NW13NW9NW10W14NW13NW10NW12NW13W12
G19
W12
G20
NW9NW8NW9NW8NW6NW5NW7N5

Tide / Current Tables for Willets Point, New York
   EDIT   RT Ports Option   Weekend mode (on/off)   (on/off)   Help   One Week of Data
Willets Point
Click for Map
Tue -- 03:00 AM EST     6.71 feet High Tide
Tue -- 06:39 AM EST     Sunrise
Tue -- 08:44 AM EST     1.41 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 11:49 AM EST     Moonrise
Tue -- 02:47 PM EST     6.97 feet High Tide
Tue -- 04:38 PM EST     Sunset
Tue -- 09:42 PM EST     Moonset
Tue -- 09:58 PM EST     1.10 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

12
am
1
am
2
am
3
am
4
am
5
am
6
am
7
am
8
am
9
am
10
am
11
am
12
pm
1
pm
2
pm
3
pm
4
pm
5
pm
6
pm
7
pm
8
pm
9
pm
10
pm
11
pm
3.75.66.56.76.65.84.22.41.51.41.62.23.75.66.876.86.24.931.71.21.11.3

Tide / Current Tables for Throg's Neck, Long Island Sound, New York Current
   EDIT      (on/off)   Help   One Week of Data
Throg's Neck
Click for Map
Tue -- 03:29 AM EST     -0.61 knots Max Ebb
Tue -- 06:08 AM EST     0.00 knots Slack
Tue -- 06:39 AM EST     Sunrise
Tue -- 09:43 AM EST     0.87 knots Max Flood
Tue -- 11:49 AM EST     Moonrise
Tue -- 12:23 PM EST     -0.00 knots Slack
Tue -- 03:56 PM EST     -0.57 knots Max Ebb
Tue -- 04:38 PM EST     Sunset
Tue -- 06:32 PM EST     0.00 knots Slack
Tue -- 09:42 PM EST     Moonset
Tue -- 10:08 PM EST     0.84 knots Max Flood
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

12
am
1
am
2
am
3
am
4
am
5
am
6
am
7
am
8
am
9
am
10
am
11
am
12
pm
1
pm
2
pm
3
pm
4
pm
5
pm
6
pm
7
pm
8
pm
9
pm
10
pm
11
pm
-0-0.2-0.4-0.6-0.6-0.3-00.10.30.70.80.50.1-0.1-0.3-0.5-0.6-0.4-0.10.10.20.50.80.6

Weather Map and Satellite Images
       (on/off)   HelpWeather Map
wmap_A
GOES Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for New York City/Upton, NY (22,6,7,8)
      (on/off)   Help

Ground Weather Radar Station Upton, NY
   (on/off)   Help
weather_mapweather_map weather_map

Ad by Google

Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.